Margin-Aware Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Basketball 2014-15

Updated through games of April 6

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.564
Victory point formula: `V_A=1/(1+e^(-M_A/5.0))`
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A^1.6/(R_A^1.6+R_B^1.6)`
Expected margin for a matchup: `M_(A,B)=8.9*ln(R_A/R_B)`
Home field equivalent to 4.0 points in expected margin

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average	Margin vs Average
1	Kentucky	38-1	2.175	15.215	0.9873	24.2
2	Wisconsin	36-4	2.509	11.224	0.9795	21.5
3	Duke	35-4	2.839	11.151	0.9793	21.5
4	Arizona	34-4	2.023	10.049	0.9757	20.5
5	Gonzaga	34-3	1.758	9.7213	0.9744	20.2
6	Villanova	33-3	1.853	8.8204	0.9702	19.4
7	Virginia	30-4	2.184	8.7488	0.9698	19.3
8	Notre Dame	32-6	2.202	6.4553	0.9518	16.6
9	Utah	25-9	2.111	5.4647	0.9380	15.1
10	Kansas	27-9	2.545	5.419	0.9373	15.0
11	Northern Iowa	31-4	1.436	5.2946	0.9350	14.8
12	Wichita St.	29-5	1.574	5.2746	0.9347	14.8
13	North Carolina	26-12	2.59	4.8831	0.9267	14.1
14	Oklahoma	24-11	2.267	4.7651	0.9240	13.9
15	Louisville	27-9	2.155	4.6696	0.9217	13.7
16	Iowa St.	25-9	2.165	4.454	0.9161	13.3
17	Michigan St.	27-12	2.286	4.3182	0.9122	13.0
18	Baylor	23-10	2.158	4.2966	0.9115	13.0
19	SMU	26-7	1.476	3.996	0.9017	12.3
20	West Virginia	25-10	2.038	3.635	0.8875	11.5
21	Stephen F. Austin	26-5	1.042	3.5808	0.8850	11.4
22	Ohio St.	24-11	1.747	3.5533	0.8838	11.3
23	VCU	26-10	1.764	3.5512	0.8837	11.3
24	Butler	23-11	1.97	3.494	0.8810	11.1
25	Xavier	23-14	2.071	3.4444	0.8786	11.0
26	Arkansas	27-9	1.702	3.427	0.8777	11.0
27	Maryland	28-7	1.751	3.4228	0.8775	11.0
28	Georgetown	22-11	2.028	3.3273	0.8725	10.7
29	Iowa	22-12	1.893	3.1738	0.8639	10.3
30	Texas	20-14	2.01	3.1209	0.8607	10.1
31	Davidson	23-8	1.439	3.0397	0.8555	9.9
32	BYU	23-10	1.448	3.0368	0.8554	9.9
33	San Diego St.	26-9	1.457	3.0182	0.8541	9.8
34	Murray St.	27-6	1.043	2.9776	0.8514	9.7
35	North Carolina St.	22-14	2.056	2.9736	0.8511	9.7
36	Providence	22-12	2.043	2.9642	0.8505	9.7
37	Dayton	27-9	1.409	2.8748	0.8442	9.4
38	Cincinnati	23-11	1.469	2.8202	0.8401	9.2
39	UCLA	22-14	1.93	2.7904	0.8378	9.1
40	Stanford	24-13	1.729	2.7675	0.8360	9.1
41	Boise St.	23-9	1.273	2.7315	0.8331	8.9
42	Oregon	25-10	1.754	2.7237	0.8325	8.9
43	LSU	22-11	1.484	2.6893	0.8296	8.8
44	Georgia	21-12	1.847	2.6703	0.8280	8.7
45	St. John’s	20-12	1.776	2.6052	0.8223	8.5
46	Miami FL	25-13	1.694	2.5882	0.8208	8.5
47	Vanderbilt	20-14	1.523	2.5686	0.8190	8.4
48	Oklahoma St.	17-14	1.996	2.5254	0.8149	8.2
49	Buffalo	23-10	1.339	2.4977	0.8122	8.1
50	Temple	26-11	1.39	2.4646	0.8090	8.0
51	Mississippi	21-13	1.641	2.4123	0.8036	7.8
52	Louisiana Tech	26-9	1.105	2.3962	0.8019	7.8
53	Purdue	21-13	1.675	2.3819	0.8004	7.7
54	Illinois St.	21-13	1.467	2.3673	0.7988	7.7
55	Valparaiso	25-6	0.9957	2.3585	0.7978	7.6
56	Indiana	20-14	1.652	2.3516	0.7971	7.6
57	Rhode Island	22-10	1.279	2.319	0.7934	7.5
58	Old Dominion	27-8	1.05	2.2812	0.7891	7.3
59	Green Bay	22-9	1.181	2.2595	0.7865	7.3
60	Florida	16-17	1.954	2.2076	0.7802	7.0
61	Richmond	21-14	1.407	2.1927	0.7784	7.0
62	Colorado St.	26-7	1.092	2.1755	0.7762	6.9
63	Texas A&M	21-12	1.441	2.1726	0.7758	6.9
64	Georgia St.	24-10	1.119	2.1552	0.7736	6.8
65	Minnesota	17-15	1.594	2.1379	0.7713	6.8
66	Yale	20-10	1.22	2.1089	0.7674	6.6
67	Saint Mary’s	20-10	1.241	2.0877	0.7645	6.6
68	Alabama	18-15	1.685	2.0653	0.7614	6.5
69	Harvard	20-8	1.155	2.0577	0.7603	6.4
70	TCU	18-15	1.515	2.0292	0.7563	6.3
71	Wofford	26-7	0.9761	1.9832	0.7494	6.1
72	Syracuse	18-13	1.661	1.981	0.7491	6.1
73	Tulsa	23-10	1.268	1.9809	0.7491	6.1
74	Connecticut	20-15	1.379	1.9734	0.7479	6.1
75	Illinois	19-14	1.565	1.9623	0.7462	6.0
76	Arizona St.	18-16	1.594	1.961	0.7460	6.0
77	Sam Houston St.	22-9	0.8548	1.9478	0.7440	5.9
78	George Washington	22-13	1.345	1.9202	0.7396	5.8
79	South Carolina	16-16	1.687	1.8808	0.7332	5.6
80	Evansville	23-12	1.115	1.8289	0.7243	5.4
81	Toledo	20-13	1.199	1.7978	0.7188	5.2
82	Iona	26-9	0.9674	1.7211	0.7045	4.8
83	UC Davis	23-7	0.9413	1.7202	0.7043	4.8
84	Central Michigan	20-9	1.038	1.718	0.7039	4.8
85	Michigan	15-16	1.768	1.7138	0.7031	4.8
86	UTEP	22-11	1.049	1.7086	0.7021	4.8
87	Kansas St.	15-17	1.825	1.6701	0.6944	4.6
88	UC Irvine	19-13	1.15	1.6452	0.6892	4.4
89	Clemson	16-15	1.538	1.6429	0.6888	4.4
90	New Mexico St.	21-11	0.8943	1.6418	0.6885	4.4
91	Wyoming	23-10	1.059	1.6409	0.6884	4.4
92	Bowling Green	21-11	0.9983	1.6321	0.6865	4.4
93	Pittsburgh	18-15	1.531	1.6213	0.6842	4.3
94	Eastern Washington	23-9	0.9411	1.5922	0.6779	4.1
95	Georgia Tech	12-19	1.673	1.5879	0.6770	4.1
96	Seton Hall	16-15	1.594	1.5833	0.6760	4.1
97	Cleveland St.	17-15	1.158	1.5731	0.6737	4.0
98	Kent St.	22-12	1.083	1.5662	0.6721	4.0
99	Creighton	14-19	1.567	1.5654	0.6720	4.0
100	North Carolina Central	22-8	0.7762	1.5606	0.6709	4.0
101	Memphis	18-14	1.234	1.5585	0.6704	3.9
102	Akron	20-14	1.045	1.553	0.6691	3.9
103	St. Bonaventure	18-13	1.137	1.544	0.6671	3.9
104	Tennessee	16-16	1.635	1.5265	0.6630	3.8
105	Colorado	16-18	1.469	1.5235	0.6623	3.7
106	South Dakota St.	22-11	0.9456	1.5214	0.6618	3.7
107	La Salle	17-16	1.369	1.516	0.6606	3.7
108	Northeastern	23-12	1.003	1.5097	0.6591	3.7
109	Penn St.	18-16	1.447	1.5016	0.6571	3.6
110	UNLV	17-15	1.252	1.483	0.6526	3.5
111	Albany	24-9	0.8373	1.479	0.6516	3.5
112	High Point	20-10	0.9402	1.4765	0.6510	3.5
113	Oregon St.	16-14	1.349	1.4654	0.6483	3.4
114	Florida St.	17-16	1.444	1.4502	0.6445	3.3
115	Washington	16-15	1.371	1.4093	0.6339	3.1
116	California	18-15	1.441	1.4088	0.6338	3.1
117	William & Mary	18-13	1.057	1.4055	0.6329	3.0
118	Pepperdine	17-14	1.155	1.4031	0.6323	3.0
119	Stony Brook	21-12	0.9285	1.3997	0.6314	3.0
120	Eastern Kentucky	19-12	0.8805	1.3903	0.6288	2.9
121	UC Santa Barbara	17-14	1.179	1.3851	0.6274	2.9
122	Western Kentucky	18-12	1.042	1.3665	0.6224	2.8
123	Loyola Chicago	22-13	1.123	1.36	0.6206	2.7
124	Georgia Southern	19-9	0.8445	1.3551	0.6192	2.7
125	North Florida	20-12	0.7944	1.3435	0.6160	2.6
126	Massachusetts	17-15	1.414	1.3423	0.6156	2.6
127	Coastal Carolina	20-10	0.8183	1.3334	0.6131	2.6
128	Vermont	19-14	0.8003	1.3292	0.6119	2.5
129	Hofstra	20-14	0.7998	1.3202	0.6093	2.5
130	San Diego	14-16	1.28	1.3166	0.6083	2.4
131	Hawaii	20-13	0.9353	1.3165	0.6083	2.4
132	Louisiana Lafayette	19-14	0.9697	1.3155	0.6080	2.4
133	Chattanooga	20-10	0.8038	1.3029	0.6043	2.4
134	Utah St.	17-13	1.022	1.2981	0.6029	2.3
135	UAB	19-16	1.126	1.2937	0.6016	2.3
136	Marquette	13-19	1.679	1.2642	0.5927	2.1
137	Northwestern	15-17	1.465	1.2489	0.5880	2.0
138	Nebraska	13-18	1.515	1.2432	0.5862	1.9
139	Boston College	13-19	1.556	1.2374	0.5844	1.9
140	North Dakota St.	21-10	0.8806	1.2314	0.5825	1.9
141	Belmont	21-11	0.9366	1.2108	0.5759	1.7
142	Eastern Michigan	17-14	1.046	1.2057	0.5743	1.7
143	Wake Forest	13-19	1.56	1.1935	0.5703	1.6
144	Long Beach St.	14-17	1.468	1.1895	0.5690	1.5
145	St. Francis NY	22-12	0.7349	1.184	0.5672	1.5
146	Radford	19-12	0.8569	1.1776	0.5650	1.5
147	Western Michigan	18-14	1.062	1.1735	0.5636	1.4
148	Rider	21-12	0.8704	1.1689	0.5621	1.4
149	New Mexico	15-16	1.065	1.1563	0.5578	1.3
150	Louisiana Monroe	20-14	0.9496	1.1309	0.5490	1.1
151	Tennessee Martin	19-13	0.9698	1.1301	0.5488	1.1
152	Charlotte	14-18	1.079	1.1215	0.5458	1.0
153	Canisius	18-15	0.9139	1.1122	0.5424	0.9
154	Portland	15-16	1.142	1.0768	0.5296	0.7
155	Auburn	14-20	1.579	1.0572	0.5222	0.5
156	Manhattan	19-14	0.8311	1.0485	0.5189	0.4
157	Montana	18-13	0.8559	1.0455	0.5178	0.4
158	Morehead St.	15-17	0.9362	1.0417	0.5163	0.4
159	NJIT	17-12	0.8839	1.0365	0.5143	0.3
160	Texas Southern	22-13	0.8431	1.0332	0.5130	0.3
161	San Francisco	13-18	1.15	1.0296	0.5117	0.3
162	Lafayette	19-13	0.9034	1.0279	0.5110	0.2
163	Florida Gulf Coast	19-11	0.7453	1.0256	0.5101	0.2
164	Princeton	15-14	0.9054	1.0191	0.5076	0.2
165	Middle Tennessee	18-17	1.051	1.0139	0.5055	0.1
166	Cal Poly	11-16	1.142	1.0108	0.5043	0.1
167	Norfolk St.	18-14	0.8114	0.99556	0.4982	-0.0
168	USC	12-20	1.345	0.99508	0.4980	-0.0
169	Northern Arizona	22-15	0.8818	0.99491	0.4980	-0.0
170	Colgate	15-17	0.9022	0.99127	0.4965	-0.1
171	Winthrop	16-13	0.7579	0.98984	0.4959	-0.1
172	USC Upstate	20-12	0.6546	0.9898	0.4959	-0.1
173	Texas Tech	13-19	1.39	0.98397	0.4935	-0.1
174	IPFW	13-15	0.9038	0.9768	0.4906	-0.2
175	Maryland Eastern Shore	18-15	0.8208	0.97512	0.4899	-0.2
176	Robert Morris	20-15	0.8652	0.97267	0.4889	-0.2
177	Monmouth	18-15	0.8515	0.95796	0.4828	-0.4
178	Sacramento St.	19-12	0.7763	0.95739	0.4826	-0.4
179	Saint Joseph’s	13-18	1.178	0.95053	0.4797	-0.5
180	New Hampshire	17-13	0.749	0.95021	0.4796	-0.5
181	Columbia	12-15	0.9669	0.95009	0.4795	-0.5
182	UT Arlington	15-15	0.9204	0.94826	0.4788	-0.5
183	Oakland	14-17	1.146	0.946	0.4778	-0.5
184	American	17-16	0.9672	0.94303	0.4766	-0.5
185	UNC Wilmington	17-14	0.9453	0.94175	0.4760	-0.5
186	Dartmouth	14-15	0.9487	0.93606	0.4736	-0.6
187	Bucknell	18-15	0.9094	0.927	0.4697	-0.7
188	Charleston Southern	16-12	0.8452	0.92469	0.4687	-0.7
189	James Madison	19-14	0.8838	0.9189	0.4662	-0.8
190	Quinnipiac	15-15	0.772	0.91272	0.4635	-0.8
191	Indiana St.	14-16	1.053	0.90993	0.4623	-0.8
192	Mississippi St.	12-19	1.209	0.90983	0.4623	-0.8
193	DePaul	12-20	1.432	0.89972	0.4578	-0.9
194	Incarnate Word	14-11	0.7953	0.88944	0.4533	-1.0
195	St. Francis PA	15-16	0.8758	0.88797	0.4526	-1.1
196	Northern Illinois	13-16	1.052	0.88572	0.4516	-1.1
197	Oral Roberts	17-15	0.9512	0.88446	0.4510	-1.1
198	Eastern Illinois	16-15	0.9794	0.87878	0.4485	-1.2
199	Gardner Webb	16-15	0.9776	0.87757	0.4480	-1.2
200	Washington St.	13-18	1.393	0.87547	0.4470	-1.2
201	Lehigh	15-14	0.8611	0.86651	0.4429	-1.3
202	Saint Peter’s	16-18	0.8098	0.86072	0.4403	-1.3
203	Cornell	12-17	0.9546	0.85716	0.4387	-1.4
204	Mount St. Mary’s	15-15	0.8443	0.85686	0.4385	-1.4
205	Detroit	13-18	1.07	0.85645	0.4383	-1.4
206	Mercer	17-16	0.7792	0.85063	0.4356	-1.4
207	Virginia Tech	11-22	1.262	0.8369	0.4293	-1.6
208	East Tennessee St.	14-14	0.8466	0.81128	0.4171	-1.9
209	UTSA	12-16	0.8649	0.80256	0.4129	-2.0
210	Denver	12-18	0.8561	0.78994	0.4068	-2.1
211	Northwestern St.	15-13	0.8292	0.78452	0.4041	-2.2
212	Milwaukee	12-16	1.045	0.77536	0.3996	-2.3
213	Santa Clara	12-18	1.147	0.77151	0.3977	-2.3
214	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	18-14	0.7274	0.77125	0.3976	-2.3
215	Tulane	14-16	0.9244	0.76637	0.3951	-2.4
216	Duquesne	11-19	1.064	0.75961	0.3918	-2.4
217	Miami OH	12-19	0.9986	0.75623	0.3901	-2.5
218	Texas St.	11-17	0.913	0.75527	0.3896	-2.5
219	Fresno St.	13-17	1.07	0.75441	0.3891	-2.5
220	Sacred Heart	14-17	0.7409	0.75103	0.3874	-2.5
221	Houston	13-19	0.8656	0.7446	0.3842	-2.6
222	UC Riverside	12-17	0.9475	0.73254	0.3780	-2.8
223	Missouri	8-23	1.506	0.73175	0.3776	-2.8
224	South Dakota	15-16	0.8604	0.72559	0.3744	-2.9
225	Bryant	16-15	0.8284	0.72549	0.3744	-2.9
226	Air Force	12-17	0.9042	0.72321	0.3732	-2.9
227	Rutgers	10-22	1.517	0.71727	0.3701	-3.0
228	Southern Illinois	11-21	0.9598	0.70669	0.3646	-3.1
229	Arkansas Little Rock	12-18	0.7975	0.70234	0.3623	-3.1
230	Western Carolina	13-17	0.8623	0.69767	0.3599	-3.2
231	Boston University	12-17	0.8899	0.69281	0.3573	-3.3
232	East Carolina	12-19	0.9797	0.69168	0.3567	-3.3
233	Holy Cross	13-16	0.8615	0.68892	0.3552	-3.3
234	Delaware St.	16-18	0.8032	0.68876	0.3551	-3.3
235	Idaho	11-17	0.8081	0.68616	0.3537	-3.4
236	Rice	10-19	0.9737	0.68154	0.3513	-3.4
237	Alabama St.	17-10	0.4952	0.68048	0.3507	-3.4
238	Portland St.	13-14	0.7901	0.675	0.3478	-3.5
239	North Texas	12-17	0.9333	0.66117	0.3403	-3.7
240	UNC Asheville	12-16	0.8126	0.66012	0.3397	-3.7
241	Fordham	9-21	1.11	0.65789	0.3385	-3.7
242	Hampton	17-18	0.698	0.65754	0.3383	-3.7
243	Lamar	11-15	0.8126	0.65156	0.3351	-3.8
244	Seattle	16-16	0.6624	0.64972	0.3340	-3.8
245	SIU Edwardsville	10-16	0.7894	0.64212	0.3299	-3.9
246	Howard	13-16	0.7423	0.6376	0.3274	-4.0
247	Northern Colorado	13-15	0.7154	0.63162	0.3241	-4.1
248	Southern	15-17	0.6879	0.62655	0.3212	-4.2
249	Wright St.	9-20	0.9868	0.62395	0.3198	-4.2
250	Cal St. Bakersfield	11-19	0.6861	0.61981	0.3175	-4.3
251	Missouri St.	9-20	1.11	0.61502	0.3148	-4.3
252	George Mason	8-22	1.278	0.61389	0.3142	-4.3
253	Grand Canyon	15-15	0.6066	0.60995	0.3120	-4.4
254	Army	14-15	0.7332	0.60569	0.3096	-4.5
255	Ohio	10-20	1.043	0.60026	0.3065	-4.5
256	Southeast Missouri St.	11-17	0.7906	0.59877	0.3056	-4.6
257	Tennessee Tech	10-18	0.8445	0.59567	0.3039	-4.6
258	Elon	13-18	0.8145	0.59534	0.3037	-4.6
259	Northern Kentucky	11-17	0.775	0.58612	0.2984	-4.8
260	Nebraska Omaha	11-17	0.7295	0.58581	0.2983	-4.8
261	Drexel	11-18	0.8914	0.57295	0.2909	-5.0
262	Navy	12-19	0.7969	0.56567	0.2867	-5.1
263	Brown	11-18	0.9091	0.56264	0.2849	-5.1
264	Pacific	9-19	1.099	0.56258	0.2849	-5.1
265	FIU	14-17	0.8404	0.55432	0.2801	-5.3
266	Appalachian St.	12-17	0.8887	0.55233	0.2789	-5.3
267	Penn	9-19	0.9589	0.5507	0.2780	-5.3
268	Weber St.	11-17	0.8115	0.55023	0.2777	-5.3
269	Towson	11-20	0.7583	0.54969	0.2774	-5.3
270	Drake	8-22	1.109	0.53364	0.2680	-5.6
271	Delaware	10-20	0.8993	0.53082	0.2663	-5.6
272	Arkansas St.	10-18	0.8179	0.52514	0.2630	-5.7
273	UCF	11-18	0.8828	0.52211	0.2612	-5.8
274	Marshall	9-21	0.9254	0.52124	0.2607	-5.8
275	Siena	11-20	0.8285	0.51933	0.2595	-5.8
276	LIU Brooklyn	12-18	0.7597	0.51391	0.2563	-5.9
277	UMKC	12-19	0.7167	0.51317	0.2559	-5.9
278	Bradley	8-24	1.019	0.50496	0.2510	-6.1
279	Prairie View A&M	14-18	0.6684	0.50325	0.2500	-6.1
280	Saint Louis	10-21	0.9873	0.50052	0.2484	-6.2
281	Hartford	13-16	0.717	0.49897	0.2474	-6.2
282	Samford	12-19	0.669	0.49707	0.2463	-6.2
283	Loyola Marymount	7-23	1.243	0.49626	0.2458	-6.2
284	Lipscomb	11-17	0.7627	0.48965	0.2419	-6.4
285	UMass Lowell	11-17	0.805	0.48882	0.2414	-6.4
286	McNeese St.	11-16	0.6981	0.4863	0.2399	-6.4
287	College of Charleston	9-24	0.8606	0.48045	0.2363	-6.5
288	Nevada	7-22	0.9341	0.47553	0.2334	-6.6
289	South Florida	8-23	1.054	0.47035	0.2303	-6.7
290	Troy	8-19	0.7494	0.47003	0.2301	-6.7
291	IUPUI	10-21	0.9317	0.46768	0.2287	-6.8
292	Ball St.	6-23	1.013	0.46604	0.2277	-6.8
293	Florida Atlantic	7-20	0.8708	0.46553	0.2273	-6.8
294	Cal St. Northridge	7-24	0.9882	0.46056	0.2243	-6.9
295	Fairfield	7-24	0.8279	0.45814	0.2229	-6.9
296	Loyola MD	11-19	0.8221	0.45473	0.2208	-7.0
297	Illinois Chicago	8-24	0.9507	0.45357	0.2201	-7.0
298	Jacksonville St.	10-19	0.7851	0.44639	0.2158	-7.2
299	Youngstown St.	8-21	0.9093	0.4449	0.2149	-7.2
300	Campbell	7-22	0.7996	0.44382	0.2142	-7.2
301	South Alabama	10-21	0.8923	0.44225	0.2133	-7.3
302	Furman	9-22	0.7812	0.44165	0.2129	-7.3
303	Wagner	9-20	0.7793	0.43044	0.2061	-7.5
304	New Orleans	8-18	0.6789	0.41685	0.1978	-7.8
305	VMI	9-19	0.7537	0.41683	0.1978	-7.8
306	UNC Greensboro	8-22	0.7317	0.41174	0.1947	-7.9
307	Southern Miss	7-20	0.9624	0.40937	0.1933	-7.9
308	Southern Utah	9-19	0.7265	0.40159	0.1885	-8.1
309	Cal St. Fullerton	7-22	0.9132	0.40031	0.1877	-8.1
310	Niagara	8-22	0.8502	0.39914	0.1870	-8.2
311	Jackson St.	11-21	0.5772	0.3973	0.1859	-8.2
312	Houston Baptist	8-16	0.7833	0.39335	0.1835	-8.3
313	Southeastern Louisiana	8-23	0.6644	0.37501	0.1723	-8.7
314	Utah Valley	9-19	0.6972	0.37451	0.1720	-8.7
315	North Dakota	6-22	0.7921	0.37146	0.1702	-8.8
316	Arkansas Pine Bluff	12-20	0.6024	0.36662	0.1672	-8.9
317	Longwood	9-23	0.7309	0.35056	0.1575	-9.3
318	Idaho St.	5-23	0.7206	0.34735	0.1555	-9.4
319	Marist	7-25	0.833	0.33969	0.1509	-9.6
320	Austin Peay	6-22	0.8706	0.33959	0.1508	-9.6
321	Fairleigh Dickinson	7-21	0.7663	0.33051	0.1454	-9.9
322	Western Illinois	6-20	0.8176	0.32551	0.1424	-10.0
323	Montana St.	6-23	0.7678	0.31958	0.1388	-10.2
324	Coppin St.	7-23	0.7462	0.31658	0.1370	-10.2
325	Nicholls St.	7-19	0.6682	0.31419	0.1356	-10.3
326	Alabama A&M	8-20	0.5529	0.30826	0.1321	-10.5
327	Abilene Christian	7-21	0.7023	0.30749	0.1316	-10.5
328	The Citadel	8-19	0.6821	0.30401	0.1295	-10.6
329	Bethune Cookman	9-21	0.4918	0.29462	0.1240	-10.9
330	Kennesaw St.	8-22	0.6678	0.29294	0.1230	-10.9
331	Presbyterian	6-22	0.7607	0.28937	0.1209	-11.0
332	Binghamton	5-25	0.773	0.28222	0.1167	-11.3
333	Texas Pan American	7-21	0.7192	0.28093	0.1159	-11.3
334	South Carolina St.	9-22	0.6498	0.28085	0.1159	-11.3
335	Jacksonville	7-22	0.6209	0.276	0.1131	-11.5
336	Savannah St.	7-22	0.6557	0.26552	0.1070	-11.8
337	Chicago St.	5-24	0.8247	0.26535	0.1069	-11.8
338	Morgan St.	7-24	0.6631	0.25348	0.1001	-12.2
339	Stetson	6-22	0.6227	0.24906	0.0976	-12.4
340	North Carolina A&T	7-23	0.5592	0.24184	0.0935	-12.6
341	Liberty	4-24	0.681	0.23375	0.0890	-12.9
342	Tennessee St.	3-26	0.8565	0.23353	0.0889	-12.9
343	Central Connecticut	5-26	0.6651	0.21264	0.0775	-13.8
344	UMBC	4-26	0.6553	0.20147	0.0715	-14.3
345	Maine	3-27	0.7636	0.18571	0.0633	-15.0
346	Alcorn St.	5-25	0.4907	0.18165	0.0613	-15.2
347	Mississippi Valley St.	6-26	0.5557	0.16841	0.0547	-15.9
348	San Jose St.	0-28	0.9755	0.12517	0.0347	-18.5
349	Central Arkansas	2-27	0.6555	0.118	0.0317	-19.0
350	Florida A&M	2-27	0.5297	0.095007	0.0226	-20.9
351	Grambling St.	0-27	0.4874	0.07436	0.0154	-23.1