Updated through games of April 6

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.853

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Kentucky

38-1

3.352

52.958

0.9815

2

Duke

35-4

5.653

37.516

0.9740

3

Wisconsin

36-4

4.323

29.478

0.9672

4

Virginia

30-4

3.764

21.557

0.9557

5

Villanova

33-3

2.495

19.125

0.9503

6

Arizona

34-4

2.933

18.929

0.9498

7

Gonzaga

34-3

2.388

18.843

0.9496

8

Notre Dame

32-6

4.097

18.302

0.9482

9

Northern Iowa

31-4

1.97

11.642

0.9209

10

Wichita St.

29-5

2.15

10.087

0.9098

11

Kansas

27-9

3.487

9.4645

0.9044

12

Maryland

28-7

2.648

9.1895

0.9019

13

Louisville

27-9

3.302

8.9619

0.8996

14

North Carolina

26-12

3.956

8.0592

0.8896

15

Michigan St.

27-12

3.623

7.6483

0.8844

16

Utah

25-9

2.938

7.4149

0.8812

17

Iowa St.

25-9

2.851

7.1948

0.8780

18

West Virginia

25-10

2.686

6.1895

0.8609

19

Oklahoma

24-11

2.981

6.0815

0.8588

20

SMU

26-7

1.86

6.0167

0.8575

21

Arkansas

27-9

2.216

6.016

0.8575

22

Baylor

23-10

2.703

5.7577

0.8520

23

VCU

26-10

2.298

5.4961

0.8461

24

Oregon

25-10

2.362

5.4418

0.8448

25

Stephen F. Austin

26-5

1.217

5.1505

0.8374

26

Butler

23-11

2.588

5.0718

0.8353

27

San Diego St.

26-9

1.916

5.0175

0.8338

28

Georgetown

22-11

2.579

4.8493

0.8290

29

Providence

22-12

2.778

4.8355

0.8286

30

Davidson

23-8

1.777

4.5831

0.8209

31

Ohio St.

24-11

2.238

4.5654

0.8203

32

Murray St.

27-6

1.185

4.5028

0.8183

33

Dayton

27-9

1.658

4.5014

0.8182

34

Iowa

22-12

2.486

4.3279

0.8123

35

Colorado St.

26-7

1.313

4.2475

0.8094

36

North Carolina St.

22-14

2.787

4.2252

0.8086

37

Xavier

23-14

2.594

4.1

0.8039

38

Wofford

26-7

1.196

3.8708

0.7947

39

Miami FL

25-13

2.113

3.8624

0.7943

40

Stanford

24-13

2.174

3.8234

0.7927

41

Valparaiso

25-6

1.07

3.7819

0.7909

42

Temple

26-11

1.702

3.7447

0.7892

43

UCLA

22-14

2.45

3.7144

0.7879

44

Boise St.

23-9

1.589

3.7086

0.7876

45

St. John’s

20-12

2.239

3.5653

0.7810

46

Georgia

21-12

2.135

3.5586

0.7806

47

Old Dominion

27-8

1.143

3.4287

0.7742

48

Louisiana Tech

26-9

1.297

3.3975

0.7726

49

Cincinnati

23-11

1.711

3.3534

0.7703

50

BYU

23-10

1.565

3.3341

0.7693

51

Texas

20-14

2.379

3.3002

0.7675

52

Buffalo

23-10

1.521

3.2398

0.7641

53

Purdue

21-13

2.042

3.1689

0.7601

54

LSU

22-11

1.678

3.1554

0.7593

55

Tulsa

23-10

1.428

3.0422

0.7526

56

Indiana

20-14

2.163

2.9997

0.7500

57

Rhode Island

22-10

1.468

2.9996

0.7500

58

Green Bay

22-9

1.313

2.9384

0.7461

59

UC Davis

23-7

1.005

2.8977

0.7434

60

Oklahoma St.

17-14

2.424

2.8936

0.7432

61

Syracuse

18-13

2.079

2.7961

0.7366

62

Georgia St.

24-10

1.261

2.7954

0.7365

63

Harvard

20-8

1.232

2.7891

0.7361

64

Mississippi

21-13

1.796

2.7866

0.7359

65

Wyoming

23-10

1.288

2.745

0.7330

66

Illinois St.

21-13

1.76

2.7317

0.7320

67

Iona

26-9

1.031

2.7012

0.7298

68

Texas A&M

21-12

1.566

2.6107

0.7230

69

George Washington

22-13

1.591

2.5781

0.7205

70

Illinois

19-14

1.944

2.5706

0.7199

71

Eastern Washington

23-9

1.081

2.5226

0.7161

72

Yale

20-10

1.294

2.4198

0.7076

73

Richmond

21-14

1.597

2.3181

0.6986

74

Saint Mary’s

20-10

1.236

2.3112

0.6980

75

Central Michigan

20-9

1.121

2.2962

0.6966

76

Evansville

23-12

1.243

2.2554

0.6928

77

Albany

24-9

0.901

2.1881

0.6863

78

UTEP

22-11

1.156

2.1732

0.6849

79

Vanderbilt

20-14

1.555

2.1563

0.6832

80

Pittsburgh

18-15

1.817

2.1473

0.6823

81

North Carolina Central

22-8

0.8673

2.1453

0.6821

82

Alabama

18-15

1.801

2.1279

0.6803

83

Loyola Chicago

22-13

1.307

2.1181

0.6793

84

California

18-15

1.751

2.069

0.6742

85

Michigan

15-16

2.193

2.068

0.6741

86

Kent St.

22-12

1.179

2.0529

0.6724

87

Arizona St.

18-16

1.835

2.0443

0.6715

88

Minnesota

17-15

1.803

2.0218

0.6691

89

Florida

16-17

2.125

2.0098

0.6678

90

Sam Houston St.

22-9

0.8926

1.9976

0.6664

91

Connecticut

20-15

1.497

1.951

0.6611

92

Toledo

20-13

1.309

1.9404

0.6599

93

Seton Hall

16-15

1.829

1.9402

0.6599

94

Northeastern

23-12

1.056

1.9157

0.6570

95

TCU

18-15

1.602

1.8936

0.6544

96

South Dakota St.

22-11

1.007

1.8934

0.6544

97

Kansas St.

15-17

2.08

1.8551

0.6497

98

North Dakota St.

21-10

0.9477

1.8541

0.6496

99

Clemson

16-15

1.729

1.8338

0.6471

100

High Point

20-10

0.9737

1.8203

0.6454

101

Bowling Green

21-11

1.009

1.8166

0.6450

102

Penn St.

18-16

1.625

1.8107

0.6442

103

Tennessee

16-16

1.789

1.7893

0.6415

104

Massachusetts

17-15

1.595

1.788

0.6413

105

South Carolina

16-16

1.75

1.75

0.6364

106

Washington

16-15

1.644

1.7437

0.6355

107

Belmont

21-11

0.9654

1.7377

0.6347

108

Oregon St.

16-14

1.527

1.7245

0.6330

109

UC Irvine

19-13

1.216

1.7194

0.6323

110

Florida St.

17-16

1.615

1.7076

0.6307

111

Georgia Southern

19-9

0.8625

1.6839

0.6274

112

Memphis

18-14

1.332

1.6754

0.6262

113

Stony Brook

21-12

0.9691

1.6151

0.6176

114

Western Kentucky

18-12

1.112

1.6057

0.6162

115

Coastal Carolina

20-10

0.8525

1.5938

0.6145

116

St. Bonaventure

18-13

1.185

1.5933

0.6144

117

New Mexico St.

21-11

0.876

1.5768

0.6119

118

Texas Southern

22-13

0.9677

1.5684

0.6107

119

La Salle

17-16

1.45

1.5326

0.6051

120

Akron

20-14

1.102

1.5288

0.6046

121

UNLV

17-15

1.356

1.5199

0.6032

122

Chattanooga

20-10

0.8122

1.5184

0.6029

123

Colorado

16-18

1.674

1.5027

0.6004

124

UC Santa Barbara

17-14

1.258

1.5012

0.6002

125

Northwestern

15-17

1.66

1.4805

0.5968

126

William & Mary

18-13

1.097

1.4754

0.5960

127

Lafayette

19-13

1.029

1.4545

0.5926

128

Rider

21-12

0.8544

1.4241

0.5875

129

Tennessee Martin

19-13

0.982

1.3883

0.5813

130

UAB

19-16

1.184

1.3873

0.5811

131

Hawaii

20-13

0.9254

1.3722

0.5785

132

Utah St.

17-13

1.074

1.3704

0.5781

133

Western Michigan

18-14

1.084

1.3636

0.5769

134

Long Beach St.

14-17

1.607

1.3466

0.5739

135

Louisiana Monroe

20-14

0.9705

1.3462

0.5738

136

Northern Arizona

22-15

0.9397

1.3383

0.5723

137

Louisiana Lafayette

19-14

1.004

1.328

0.5704

138

Pepperdine

17-14

1.111

1.3259

0.5701

139

Cleveland St.

17-15

1.175

1.3178

0.5685

140

Eastern Kentucky

19-12

0.8615

1.3083

0.5668

141

Marquette

13-19

1.84

1.3016

0.5655

142

Creighton

14-19

1.705

1.2893

0.5632

143

NJIT

17-12

0.9368

1.2837

0.5621

144

Radford

19-12

0.8437

1.2812

0.5616

145

Eastern Michigan

17-14

1.069

1.2758

0.5606

146

St. Francis NY

22-12

0.7258

1.2635

0.5582

147

Nebraska

13-18

1.682

1.251

0.5558

148

Boston College

13-19

1.728

1.2224

0.5500

149

Auburn

14-20

1.691

1.2193

0.5494

150

Montana

18-13

0.8987

1.2086

0.5472

151

Florida Gulf Coast

19-11

0.7363

1.2075

0.5470

152

Washington St.

13-18

1.618

1.2029

0.5460

153

Sacramento St.

19-12

0.7899

1.1995

0.5454

154

North Florida

20-12

0.7458

1.1878

0.5429

155

Middle Tennessee

18-17

1.124

1.1853

0.5424

156

Bucknell

18-15

1

1.1819

0.5417

157

Wake Forest

13-19

1.648

1.1657

0.5383

158

Robert Morris

20-15

0.8921

1.1624

0.5376

159

Charleston Southern

16-12

0.886

1.1486

0.5346

160

American

17-16

1.083

1.145

0.5338

161

Oral Roberts

17-15

1

1.1214

0.5286

162

Georgia Tech

12-19

1.699

1.1187

0.5280

163

James Madison

19-14

0.8426

1.1143

0.5270

164

UNC Wilmington

17-14

0.9309

1.111

0.5263

165

San Diego

14-16

1.244

1.1022

0.5243

166

Eastern Illinois

16-15

0.9978

1.0582

0.5141

167

Gardner Webb

16-15

0.9975

1.058

0.5141

168

Portland

15-16

1.115

1.0515

0.5125

169

Manhattan

19-14

0.7885

1.0429

0.5105

170

Texas Tech

13-19

1.465

1.0359

0.5088

171

New Mexico

15-16

1.092

1.03

0.5074

172

Hofstra

20-14

0.7413

1.0282

0.5070

173

Canisius

18-15

0.8676

1.0253

0.5062

174

Vermont

19-14

0.7578

1.0023

0.5006

175

Incarnate Word

14-11

0.8035

0.9963

0.4991

176

Norfolk St.

18-14

0.7916

0.99588

0.4990

177

Maryland Eastern Shore

18-15

0.8294

0.98014

0.4950

178

Lehigh

15-14

0.9195

0.97887

0.4947

179

Northwestern St.

15-13

0.8547

0.97253

0.4930

180

USC Upstate

20-12

0.6058

0.96473

0.4910

181

Oakland

14-17

1.147

0.96124

0.4901

182

New Hampshire

17-13

0.7504

0.9574

0.4891

183

Indiana St.

14-16

1.076

0.95344

0.4881

184

DePaul

12-20

1.494

0.93837

0.4841

185

Monmouth

18-15

0.7938

0.9381

0.4840

186

Princeton

15-14

0.867

0.92294

0.4800

187

Fresno St.

13-17

1.139

0.89242

0.4716

188

Bryant

16-15

0.8278

0.87802

0.4675

189

USC

12-20

1.391

0.87338

0.4662

190

Saint Joseph’s

13-18

1.166

0.8673

0.4645

191

Northern Illinois

13-16

1.045

0.86624

0.4642

192

Dartmouth

14-15

0.9203

0.86455

0.4637

193

UT Arlington

15-15

0.8607

0.86075

0.4626

194

St. Francis PA

15-16

0.9035

0.85187

0.4600

195

Winthrop

16-13

0.7058

0.85177

0.4600

196

Mount St. Mary’s

15-15

0.8513

0.85127

0.4598

197

Texas A&M Corpus Chris

18-14

0.675

0.84923

0.4592

198

Colgate

15-17

0.9504

0.84769

0.4588

199

Charlotte

14-18

1.06

0.8423

0.4572

200

East Tennessee St.

14-14

0.8194

0.81938

0.4504

201

Rutgers

10-22

1.666

0.81531

0.4491

202

San Francisco

13-18

1.093

0.81291

0.4484

203

Cal Poly

11-16

1.133

0.80914

0.4473

204

Milwaukee

12-16

1.04

0.80217

0.4451

205

Holy Cross

13-16

0.9628

0.79774

0.4437

206

Tulane

14-16

0.8984

0.79574

0.4431

207

Detroit

13-18

1.055

0.78431

0.4396

208

Mercer

17-16

0.7403

0.78264

0.4390

209

South Dakota

15-16

0.8188

0.77197

0.4357

210

Mississippi St.

12-19

1.167

0.76845

0.4345

211

Morehead St.

15-17

0.8606

0.7676

0.4343

212

Santa Clara

12-18

1.102

0.7626

0.4327

213

IPFW

13-15

0.8661

0.76109

0.4322

214

Columbia

12-15

0.8986

0.73518

0.4237

215

Delaware St.

16-18

0.8077

0.72488

0.4203

216

Army

14-15

0.7628

0.71659

0.4174

217

FIU

14-17

0.8378

0.70192

0.4124

218

Portland St.

13-14

0.7445

0.6965

0.4106

219

Alabama St.

17-10

0.4315

0.69411

0.4097

220

Boston University

12-17

0.9471

0.69113

0.4087

221

Quinnipiac

15-15

0.6792

0.67915

0.4045

222

UTSA

12-16

0.858

0.66187

0.3983

223

North Texas

12-17

0.8991

0.65609

0.3962

224

Saint Peter’s

16-18

0.7272

0.65262

0.3949

225

Duquesne

11-19

1.069

0.65171

0.3946

226

Western Carolina

13-17

0.8286

0.64946

0.3937

227

UC Riverside

12-17

0.8893

0.64894

0.3935

228

Air Force

12-17

0.8862

0.64666

0.3927

229

Cornell

12-17

0.8784

0.64103

0.3906

230

Virginia Tech

11-22

1.194

0.6351

0.3884

231

East Carolina

12-19

0.9517

0.62672

0.3853

232

Hampton

17-18

0.6567

0.62299

0.3839

233

Miami OH

12-19

0.9354

0.61601

0.3812

234

Sacred Heart

14-17

0.721

0.6041

0.3766

235

Northern Colorado

13-15

0.6873

0.60399

0.3766

236

Appalachian St.

12-17

0.81

0.59105

0.3715

237

Lamar

11-15

0.7717

0.58464

0.3689

238

Denver

12-18

0.8273

0.57275

0.3642

239

Southern

15-17

0.641

0.57166

0.3637

240

Howard

13-16

0.689

0.5709

0.3634

241

UNC Asheville

12-16

0.7367

0.56829

0.3624

242

Texas St.

11-17

0.8401

0.56764

0.3621

243

Missouri

8-23

1.461

0.56655

0.3617

244

Houston

13-19

0.795

0.56233

0.3599

245

Ohio

10-20

1.044

0.55822

0.3582

246

Seattle

16-16

0.5523

0.55231

0.3558

247

Hartford

13-16

0.665

0.55098

0.3552

248

Brown

11-18

0.8529

0.54676

0.3535

249

Navy

12-19

0.8117

0.53454

0.3483

250

Elon

13-18

0.7157

0.53215

0.3473

251

Rice

10-19

0.9457

0.53054

0.3466

252

Missouri St.

9-20

1.083

0.52881

0.3459

253

UCF

11-18

0.82

0.52567

0.3445

254

Drexel

11-18

0.8169

0.52364

0.3437

255

Idaho

11-17

0.767

0.51822

0.3413

256

Pacific

9-19

1.01

0.51737

0.3410

257

UMass Lowell

11-17

0.7603

0.51374

0.3394

258

Loyola MD

11-19

0.8386

0.51132

0.3383

259

LIU Brooklyn

12-18

0.7259

0.50257

0.3345

260

Weber St.

11-17

0.7414

0.50094

0.3338

261

George Mason

8-22

1.235

0.49913

0.3329

262

Fordham

9-21

1.056

0.49262

0.3300

263

Arkansas Little Rock

12-18

0.7075

0.48977

0.3288

264

Grand Canyon

15-15

0.4805

0.4805

0.3246

265

Prairie View A&M

14-18

0.5964

0.47408

0.3216

266

Northern Kentucky

11-17

0.6857

0.46328

0.3166

267

IUPUI

10-21

0.9053

0.46272

0.3163

268

Lipscomb

11-17

0.6839

0.46211

0.3161

269

Wright St.

9-20

0.9285

0.45346

0.3120

270

Southern Illinois

11-21

0.8147

0.45263

0.3116

271

Penn

9-19

0.8772

0.44931

0.3100

272

Saint Louis

10-21

0.8774

0.44843

0.3096

273

SIU Edwardsville

10-16

0.68

0.44686

0.3088

274

Nebraska Omaha

11-17

0.654

0.44189

0.3065

275

Southeast Missouri St.

11-17

0.6512

0.43999

0.3056

276

McNeese St.

11-16

0.6148

0.43917

0.3052

277

Delaware

10-20

0.8199

0.43856

0.3049

278

Arkansas St.

10-18

0.7317

0.4315

0.3014

279

Tennessee Tech

10-18

0.7311

0.43116

0.3013

280

South Alabama

10-21

0.8352

0.42689

0.2992

281

Siena

11-20

0.7307

0.42481

0.2981

282

Drake

8-22

1.01

0.40814

0.2898

283

Loyola Marymount

7-23

1.164

0.40392

0.2877

284

Houston Baptist

8-16

0.7353

0.39916

0.2853

285

UMKC

12-19

0.5872

0.38666

0.2788

286

Marshall

9-21

0.8238

0.38443

0.2777

287

South Florida

8-23

0.9667

0.37485

0.2726

288

Jacksonville St.

10-19

0.6656

0.37338

0.2719

289

Towson

11-20

0.6408

0.37254

0.2714

290

Samford

12-19

0.5614

0.36973

0.2699

291

Southern Miss

7-20

0.9094

0.35951

0.2644

292

VMI

9-19

0.686

0.35135

0.2600

293

Wagner

9-20

0.7101

0.34677

0.2575

294

Youngstown St.

8-21

0.8041

0.33953

0.2535

295

Cal St. Bakersfield

11-19

0.5445

0.332

0.2493

296

Bradley

8-24

0.8908

0.33186

0.2492

297

Southern Utah

9-19

0.6365

0.326

0.2459

298

Illinois Chicago

8-24

0.8427

0.31394

0.2389

299

Florida Atlantic

7-20

0.7912

0.31278

0.2383

300

Arkansas Pine Bluff

12-20

0.4965

0.31175

0.2377

301

Furman

9-22

0.6923

0.30933

0.2363

302

College of Charleston

9-24

0.7499

0.30878

0.2359

303

Nevada

7-22

0.832

0.30092

0.2313

304

Cal St. Fullerton

7-22

0.8152

0.29488

0.2277

305

Troy

8-19

0.6341

0.29386

0.2271

306

Niagara

8-22

0.7246

0.29294

0.2266

307

Cal St. Northridge

7-24

0.8637

0.28789

0.2235

308

Utah Valley

9-19

0.5449

0.27909

0.2182

309

Ball St.

6-23

0.9043

0.27683

0.2168

310

New Orleans

8-18

0.5545

0.27014

0.2127

311

The Citadel

8-19

0.578

0.26785

0.2113

312

Fairleigh Dickinson

7-21

0.6917

0.26131

0.2072

313

Longwood

9-23

0.6094

0.26116

0.2071

314

UNC Greensboro

8-22

0.6372

0.2576

0.2048

315

Western Illinois

6-20

0.7239

0.25251

0.2016

316

Jackson St.

11-21

0.4471

0.24837

0.1990

317

South Carolina St.

9-22

0.5518

0.24654

0.1978

318

Campbell

7-22

0.677

0.24488

0.1967

319

Austin Peay

6-22

0.7466

0.23827

0.1924

320

Fairfield

7-24

0.7014

0.23381

0.1895

321

Abilene Christian

7-21

0.6183

0.23358

0.1893

322

Marist

7-25

0.724

0.23222

0.1885

323

Nicholls St.

7-19

0.5391

0.22354

0.1827

324

Kennesaw St.

8-22

0.5433

0.21963

0.1801

325

North Dakota

6-22

0.668

0.21319

0.1757

326

Texas Pan American

7-21

0.5634

0.21283

0.1755

327

Coppin St.

7-23

0.5952

0.20649

0.1711

328

Southeastern Louisiana

8-23

0.5277

0.20463

0.1699

329

Presbyterian

6-22

0.6072

0.1938

0.1623

330

Montana St.

6-23

0.6325

0.19363

0.1622

331

Savannah St.

7-22

0.5335

0.19297

0.1618

332

Jacksonville

7-22

0.4872

0.17624

0.1498

333

Alabama A&M

8-20

0.3939

0.17405

0.1482

334

Morgan St.

7-24

0.5205

0.17351

0.1479

335

Bethune Cookman

9-21

0.3707

0.17301

0.1475

336

Chicago St.

5-24

0.6485

0.16529

0.1418

337

Stetson

6-22

0.494

0.15765

0.1362

338

Idaho St.

5-23

0.5902

0.15658

0.1354

339

Binghamton

5-25

0.6211

0.15234

0.1322

340

North Carolina A&T

7-23

0.4079

0.14151

0.1240

341

Central Connecticut

5-26

0.5415

0.12798

0.1135

342

Liberty

4-24

0.5243

0.11308

0.1016

343

Tennessee St.

3-26

0.6877

0.11254

0.1012

344

Mississippi Valley St.

6-26

0.3865

0.10542

0.0954

345

UMBC

4-26

0.4963

0.09927

0.0903

346

Maine

3-27

0.6053

0.095568

0.0872

347

Alcorn St.

5-25

0.2898

0.071077

0.0664

348

Central Arkansas

2-27

0.504

0.061892

0.0583

349

Florida A&M

2-27

0.3851

0.047288

0.0452

350

San Jose St.

0-28

0.8679

0.04413

0.0423

351

Grambling St.

0-27

0.2706

0.014239

0.0140