Updated through games of January 11

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 2.068

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Virginia

15-0

3.056

33.62

0.9711

2

Kentucky

15-0

2.057

22.622

0.9577

3

Gonzaga

15-1

1.935

12.77

0.9274

4

Villanova

15-1

1.88

12.406

0.9254

5

Duke

14-1

1.846

11.443

0.9196

6

Kansas

13-2

2.543

10.537

0.9133

7

Maryland

15-2

1.802

8.4964

0.8947

8

Wisconsin

15-2

1.618

7.628

0.8841

9

VCU

13-3

2.281

7.3492

0.8802

10

Wichita St.

13-2

1.66

6.8781

0.8731

11

Arizona

14-2

1.46

6.4641

0.8660

12

Louisville

14-2

1.398

6.1925

0.8610

13

Iowa St.

12-2

1.6

6.1731

0.8606

14

Utah

12-2

1.584

6.1098

0.8593

15

Northern Iowa

14-2

1.345

5.9567

0.8563

16

Arkansas

13-2

1.42

5.8821

0.8547

17

Notre Dame

15-2

1.188

5.6022

0.8485

18

Seton Hall

13-3

1.721

5.5462

0.8472

19

West Virginia

14-2

1.232

5.4558

0.8451

20

Old Dominion

13-2

1.243

5.1491

0.8374

21

Colorado St.

14-2

1.122

4.9682

0.8324

22

Dayton

13-2

1.189

4.9264

0.8313

23

Baylor

12-3

1.493

4.4802

0.8175

24

George Washington

12-4

1.71

4.1982

0.8076

25

Providence

13-4

1.573

4.148

0.8057

26

North Carolina

12-4

1.672

4.1036

0.8041

27

Wofford

11-4

1.746

3.9676

0.7987

28

Oklahoma St.

11-3

1.394

3.8715

0.7947

29

Wyoming

13-2

0.9289

3.8484

0.7937

30

Bowling Green

10-2

1.136

3.7325

0.7887

31

Texas

12-4

1.44

3.534

0.7794

32

Alabama

11-3

1.254

3.4838

0.7770

33

Green Bay

12-3

1.155

3.4656

0.7761

34

Oklahoma

11-4

1.517

3.4483

0.7752

35

SMU

11-4

1.511

3.433

0.7744

36

Stanford

11-4

1.491

3.3891

0.7722

37

Butler

12-5

1.609

3.342

0.7697

38

Davidson

10-3

1.304

3.3321

0.7692

39

Michigan St.

12-5

1.565

3.2513

0.7648

40

LSU

12-3

1.077

3.2301

0.7636

41

Temple

12-5

1.55

3.2189

0.7630

42

Buffalo

10-4

1.426

2.9813

0.7488

43

Loyola Chicago

10-4

1.422

2.974

0.7484

44

Cincinnati

11-4

1.283

2.9158

0.7446

45

Rhode Island

10-3

1.138

2.9071

0.7441

46

St. John’s

10-4

1.38

2.8854

0.7426

47

Valparaiso

13-3

0.8869

2.8577

0.7408

48

Syracuse

12-4

1.16

2.8473

0.7401

49

Indiana

12-4

1.154

2.8335

0.7391

50

Tulsa

10-4

1.342

2.8065

0.7373

51

San Diego St.

11-4

1.233

2.8025

0.7370

52

Saint Mary’s

12-3

0.9332

2.7996

0.7368

53

Eastern Washington

9-4

1.459

2.7849

0.7358

54

Louisiana Tech

11-4

1.224

2.782

0.7356

55

Ohio St.

13-4

1.026

2.7038

0.7300

56

Coastal Carolina

9-3

1.151

2.6852

0.7286

57

Northeastern

11-5

1.386

2.6645

0.7271

58

North Carolina St.

12-5

1.28

2.6575

0.7266

59

Miami FL

11-4

1.166

2.6511

0.7261

60

Harvard

8-3

1.248

2.6338

0.7248

61

Stephen F. Austin

9-3

1.088

2.5388

0.7174

62

Xavier

11-5

1.32

2.5385

0.7174

63

Georgia

9-5

1.562

2.5228

0.7161

64

BYU

12-5

1.214

2.5204

0.7159

65

Washington

11-4

1.101

2.5032

0.7145

66

Georgetown

10-5

1.404

2.4832

0.7129

67

Murray St.

11-4

1.087

2.4698

0.7118

68

Penn St.

12-4

0.9483

2.3276

0.6995

69

Iona

11-5

1.206

2.3192

0.6987

70

Hofstra

13-4

0.8779

2.3146

0.6983

71

Iowa

11-5

1.193

2.2944

0.6965

72

Illinois

11-6

1.372

2.2868

0.6958

73

Evansville

11-4

0.9959

2.2633

0.6936

74

UC Davis

10-3

0.8742

2.2341

0.6908

75

Lafayette

9-5

1.374

2.2201

0.6895

76

Vanderbilt

10-4

1.052

2.1992

0.6874

77

Sam Houston St.

8-4

1.27

2.1941

0.6869

78

Central Michigan

8-2

0.8077

2.1922

0.6867

79

Yale

9-6

1.541

2.1574

0.6833

80

North Carolina Central

8-5

1.471

2.1506

0.6826

81

TCU

13-3

0.6644

2.1409

0.6816

82

Connecticut

9-5

1.314

2.1231

0.6798

83

Mississippi

10-5

1.189

2.1042

0.6779

84

Texas A&M

9-5

1.289

2.0825

0.6756

85

High Point

9-4

1.083

2.0675

0.6740

86

Oregon

11-4

0.8981

2.0411

0.6712

87

Oregon St.

10-4

0.9649

2.0175

0.6686

88

Tulane

11-4

0.886

2.0136

0.6682

89

New Mexico

11-5

1.039

1.9978

0.6664

90

UTEP

11-5

1.022

1.966

0.6628

91

UCLA

10-7

1.452

1.9641

0.6626

92

Tennessee

9-5

1.215

1.9633

0.6625

93

Massachusetts

9-7

1.55

1.9146

0.6569

94

Western Kentucky

8-5

1.291

1.8862

0.6535

95

Georgia Tech

9-6

1.334

1.868

0.6513

96

Rutgers

10-7

1.345

1.8202

0.6454

97

St. Francis PA

8-6

1.436

1.8185

0.6452

98

Georgia Southern

7-3

0.9486

1.7918

0.6418

99

Georgia St.

9-6

1.275

1.785

0.6409

100

Eastern Kentucky

8-5

1.22

1.7836

0.6408

101

USC Upstate

10-4

0.8528

1.7832

0.6407

102

Minnesota

10-6

1.162

1.782

0.6405

103

Incarnate Word

4-4

1.78

1.7799

0.6403

104

UNLV

9-6

1.265

1.7714

0.6392

105

Illinois St.

9-6

1.265

1.7704

0.6390

106

California

11-6

1.061

1.7686

0.6388

107

Stony Brook

8-7

1.521

1.7005

0.6297

108

Pittsburgh

10-5

0.957

1.6932

0.6287

109

Boise St.

8-6

1.332

1.6871

0.6278

110

Wright St.

8-7

1.503

1.6799

0.6268

111

Colorado

9-6

1.193

1.6709

0.6256

112

Michigan

9-6

1.188

1.6634

0.6245

113

Kent St.

9-5

1.019

1.6469

0.6222

114

La Salle

9-7

1.324

1.6357

0.6206

115

Belmont

9-6

1.16

1.6239

0.6189

116

Northwestern

10-6

1.054

1.6162

0.6178

117

Florida

9-6

1.148

1.6071

0.6164

118

American

9-7

1.293

1.5977

0.6150

119

Clemson

9-6

1.121

1.5697

0.6109

120

Marquette

9-6

1.117

1.564

0.6100

121

Pepperdine

10-5

0.8737

1.5457

0.6072

122

Cal Poly

6-6

1.518

1.5183

0.6029

123

Western Michigan

8-5

1.031

1.5063

0.6010

124

South Carolina

8-5

1.026

1.4988

0.5998

125

Rider

10-6

0.9592

1.4708

0.5953

126

Eastern Illinois

9-6

1.041

1.4577

0.5931

127

Portland

9-6

1.035

1.449

0.5917

128

Auburn

8-6

1.138

1.4417

0.5905

129

Nebraska

10-6

0.9398

1.4411

0.5903

130

Charlotte

7-8

1.603

1.4345

0.5892

131

East Tennessee St.

8-5

0.9727

1.4216

0.5870

132

William & Mary

7-6

1.239

1.4038

0.5840

133

Memphis

9-6

0.9987

1.3982

0.5830

134

Washington St.

8-7

1.238

1.3842

0.5806

135

Kansas St.

9-7

1.111

1.3718

0.5784

136

Toledo

9-6

0.9768

1.3675

0.5776

137

Richmond

9-7

1.096

1.3533

0.5751

138

UC Santa Barbara

6-7

1.528

1.3481

0.5741

139

Gardner Webb

7-6

1.182

1.3394

0.5725

140

Purdue

10-7

0.9878

1.3364

0.5720

141

North Dakota St.

9-5

0.8247

1.3322

0.5712

142

Eastern Michigan

7-4

0.8454

1.3065

0.5664

143

Texas Southern

6-10

2.003

1.3061

0.5664

144

Florida Gulf Coast

8-6

1.02

1.2917

0.5636

145

South Dakota St.

9-7

1.042

1.2872

0.5628

146

Akron

9-5

0.7952

1.2845

0.5623

147

Texas St.

6-5

1.108

1.2789

0.5612

148

Louisiana Lafayette

7-5

0.9724

1.2717

0.5598

149

Albany

8-7

1.116

1.2472

0.5550

150

Long Beach St.

5-11

2.391

1.2431

0.5542

151

Norfolk St.

8-8

1.218

1.2183

0.5492

152

Maryland Eastern Shore

8-9

1.339

1.2118

0.5479

153

Chattanooga

9-7

0.9809

1.2117

0.5479

154

USC

9-7

0.9784

1.2086

0.5472

155

Creighton

9-8

1.092

1.2069

0.5469

156

NJIT

9-9

1.192

1.192

0.5438

157

Wake Forest

9-8

1.056

1.1666

0.5385

158

Hawaii

11-5

0.6038

1.1611

0.5373

159

Texas Tech

10-6

0.7566

1.1602

0.5371

160

Louisiana Monroe

5-6

1.324

1.1472

0.5343

161

Columbia

7-6

0.9956

1.1284

0.5302

162

Army

9-5

0.6984

1.1282

0.5301

163

UT Arlington

8-6

0.8655

1.0964

0.5230

164

Arizona St.

8-8

1.093

1.0926

0.5221

165

St. Bonaventure

8-6

0.8538

1.0815

0.5196

166

Oral Roberts

7-8

1.208

1.0812

0.5195

167

Canisius

8-7

0.951

1.0629

0.5153

168

Tennessee Martin

7-6

0.9271

1.0507

0.5124

169

Florida St.

9-7

0.8387

1.036

0.5088

170

UNC Wilmington

7-7

1.031

1.0312

0.5077

171

Sacramento St.

7-6

0.8968

1.0164

0.5041

172

Ball St.

6-6

1.015

1.0151

0.5037

173

Bryant

6-7

1.134

1.0005

0.5001

174

Boston College

7-7

0.9876

0.98759

0.4969

175

St. Francis NY

8-8

0.9833

0.9833

0.4958

176

Middle Tennessee

8-7

0.8721

0.97475

0.4936

177

DePaul

9-8

0.8785

0.97099

0.4926

178

Utah St.

8-7

0.8684

0.97058

0.4925

179

UMass Lowell

7-8

1.083

0.96872

0.4921

180

James Madison

9-8

0.8533

0.94314

0.4854

181

Elon

8-7

0.8406

0.93951

0.4844

182

San Diego

8-9

1.036

0.9373

0.4838

183

FIU

6-8

1.18

0.9319

0.4824

184

Charleston Southern

5-7

1.218

0.93135

0.4822

185

Boston University

6-8

1.16

0.91567

0.4780

186

New Mexico St.

7-9

1.127

0.91213

0.4770

187

Fairleigh Dickinson

6-8

1.151

0.90868

0.4761

188

Northwestern St.

3-7

1.696

0.89791

0.4731

189

Northern Illinois

6-6

0.8884

0.88839

0.4704

190

Tennessee Tech

7-8

0.9872

0.88324

0.4690

191

Saint Peter’s

8-9

0.9721

0.87954

0.4680

192

Hartford

7-7

0.8787

0.87872

0.4677

193

Saint Joseph’s

6-8

1.104

0.87161

0.4657

194

Mount St. Mary’s

6-9

1.21

0.86395

0.4635

195

Santa Clara

6-10

1.309

0.85358

0.4605

196

Alabama St.

5-5

0.8455

0.84546

0.4581

197

Portland St.

6-6

0.8448

0.84482

0.4579

198

Cal St. Fullerton

6-8

1.065

0.84107

0.4568

199

Lehigh

6-8

1.053

0.83101

0.4539

200

Missouri

6-8

1.043

0.82305

0.4515

201

Radford

7-7

0.8179

0.81791

0.4499

202

Robert Morris

7-9

1.01

0.81789

0.4499

203

Quinnipiac

8-7

0.7279

0.81354

0.4486

204

Dartmouth

6-7

0.9199

0.8117

0.4480

205

Cornell

7-8

0.9032

0.80812

0.4469

206

Detroit

6-9

1.124

0.80293

0.4453

207

San Francisco

7-10

1.078

0.79655

0.4434

208

Indiana St.

7-8

0.8878

0.79431

0.4427

209

Cleveland St.

7-9

0.9745

0.78885

0.4410

210

UC Irvine

6-8

0.9903

0.78182

0.4388

211

Northern Arizona

6-9

1.089

0.77798

0.4376

212

Brown

7-8

0.8661

0.77497

0.4366

213

North Florida

6-9

1.078

0.76985

0.4350

214

Vermont

6-8

0.9717

0.76715

0.4341

215

Holy Cross

5-8

1.117

0.76411

0.4331

216

UCF

7-7

0.7569

0.75692

0.4308

217

George Mason

5-9

1.219

0.75473

0.4301

218

Florida Atlantic

5-7

0.985

0.75326

0.4296

219

Missouri St.

6-8

0.9503

0.75025

0.4287

220

Bucknell

6-10

1.139

0.74261

0.4261

221

New Hampshire

6-8

0.9271

0.73191

0.4226

222

Manhattan

7-8

0.805

0.72026

0.4187

223

Northern Colorado

6-7

0.8115

0.716

0.4172

224

Monmouth

7-8

0.7989

0.71482

0.4168

225

Idaho

5-7

0.9267

0.70866

0.4147

226

Loyola MD

6-9

0.9784

0.69887

0.4114

227

Delaware St.

4-9

1.32

0.69157

0.4088

228

Western Carolina

6-9

0.9621

0.68724

0.4073

229

Princeton

7-9

0.8477

0.68626

0.4070

230

South Dakota

7-9

0.8408

0.68062

0.4050

231

Weber St.

5-8

0.9944

0.68037

0.4049

232

Pacific

6-8

0.8513

0.67211

0.4020

233

South Florida

6-10

1.026

0.66889

0.4008

234

Mercer

7-9

0.8257

0.66846

0.4006

235

Fresno St.

6-9

0.931

0.66499

0.3994

236

Hampton

7-8

0.7306

0.65369

0.3953

237

Montana

5-8

0.9497

0.64979

0.3939

238

Virginia Tech

8-7

0.5693

0.63631

0.3889

239

UC Riverside

6-8

0.8044

0.63502

0.3884

240

Navy

6-9

0.8876

0.63401

0.3880

241

Saint Louis

7-8

0.6967

0.6234

0.3840

242

IUPUI

6-11

1.028

0.61661

0.3814

243

UTSA

5-7

0.8021

0.61336

0.3802

244

Duquesne

5-8

0.8945

0.61202

0.3797

245

Air Force

6-7

0.691

0.60975

0.3788

246

Lamar

4-7

0.9419

0.60944

0.3787

247

UAB

6-9

0.8483

0.60591

0.3773

248

Denver

7-10

0.816

0.60317

0.3762

249

New Orleans

2-6

1.28

0.5974

0.3740

250

UNC Asheville

4-7

0.9188

0.59452

0.3729

251

Towson

7-9

0.7313

0.59203

0.3719

252

Youngstown St.

6-10

0.9004

0.5872

0.3700

253

Grand Canyon

8-8

0.5763

0.57626

0.3656

254

Houston

7-8

0.6286

0.5624

0.3600

255

Siena

6-9

0.7816

0.5583

0.3583

256

Colgate

5-11

1.049

0.54568

0.3530

257

Howard

5-9

0.8766

0.54266

0.3518

258

Ohio

5-8

0.7914

0.54145

0.3513

259

Sacred Heart

6-10

0.8267

0.53915

0.3503

260

Texas Pan American

4-9

1.029

0.53897

0.3502

261

Mississippi St.

6-8

0.6736

0.53181

0.3472

262

Abilene Christian

5-7

0.6853

0.52407

0.3439

263

Northern Kentucky

4-10

1.096

0.52398

0.3438

264

Oakland

4-12

1.27

0.51756

0.3410

265

Lipscomb

4-9

0.9805

0.51358

0.3393

266

Nebraska Omaha

6-9

0.7133

0.50949

0.3375

267

Utah Valley

5-9

0.8176

0.50615

0.3361

268

Seattle

5-8

0.7391

0.50567

0.3358

269

Winthrop

4-8

0.8321

0.48173

0.3251

270

Appalachian St.

4-9

0.9154

0.4795

0.3241

271

Western Illinois

5-8

0.6963

0.47641

0.3227

272

Fordham

4-9

0.9036

0.47332

0.3213

273

Fairfield

5-10

0.8227

0.46499

0.3174

274

Arkansas St.

5-8

0.6754

0.46211

0.3161

275

North Texas

5-8

0.668

0.45702

0.3137

276

Jacksonville St.

6-10

0.6895

0.44966

0.3102

277

Campbell

4-9

0.8528

0.44669

0.3088

278

LIU Brooklyn

5-10

0.7872

0.44496

0.3079

279

North Dakota

3-10

1.136

0.44447

0.3077

280

Troy

4-7

0.6853

0.44344

0.3072

281

VMI

4-11

1.004

0.44166

0.3064

282

Southeastern Louisiana

3-11

1.212

0.43639

0.3038

283

East Carolina

5-9

0.7031

0.43523

0.3032

284

Texas A&M Corpus Chris

5-7

0.5612

0.42915

0.3003

285

Southern Miss

3-9

0.9936

0.42583

0.2987

286

IPFW

5-9

0.6847

0.42387

0.2977

287

Nevada

4-9

0.805

0.42164

0.2966

288

Houston Baptist

2-7

1.009

0.41537

0.2935

289

Jackson St.

4-12

0.9908

0.40365

0.2876

290

Miami OH

5-9

0.6477

0.40096

0.2862

291

College of Charleston

5-12

0.8086

0.38934

0.2802

292

McNeese St.

2-8

1.052

0.3875

0.2793

293

Penn

3-8

0.8048

0.3812

0.2760

294

SIU Edwardsville

5-8

0.5263

0.3601

0.2648

295

Arkansas Little Rock

5-9

0.5747

0.35579

0.2624

296

Milwaukee

3-12

1.064

0.3547

0.2618

297

Drexel

3-11

0.9841

0.35427

0.2616

298

Southern Illinois

6-10

0.5295

0.34529

0.2567

299

Bradley

5-11

0.6597

0.34303

0.2554

300

The Citadel

4-9

0.6398

0.33516

0.2510

301

Samford

6-12

0.6012

0.33399

0.2504

302

Austin Peay

3-11

0.924

0.33263

0.2496

303

Morehead St.

4-12

0.808

0.3292

0.2477

304

Niagara

3-11

0.9092

0.32731

0.2466

305

Southeast Missouri St.

5-10

0.5728

0.32375

0.2446

306

Kennesaw St.

4-12

0.7895

0.32167

0.2434

307

Savannah St.

2-11

1.104

0.30905

0.2361

308

Southern

2-12

1.185

0.30725

0.2350

309

UMKC

3-13

0.9764

0.30301

0.2325

310

Morgan St.

3-14

1.04

0.30186

0.2319

311

Wagner

3-11

0.8209

0.29554

0.2281

312

Longwood

3-12

0.8852

0.29506

0.2278

313

Loyola Marymount

3-13

0.9459

0.29356

0.2269

314

Arkansas Pine Bluff

3-13

0.9348

0.29012

0.2249

315

Drake

2-13

1.181

0.28507

0.2218

316

Southern Utah

2-11

0.977

0.27357

0.2148

317

South Carolina St.

3-13

0.8553

0.26545

0.2098

318

Illinois Chicago

3-13

0.8131

0.25235

0.2015

319

Mississippi Valley St.

2-13

1.045

0.25216

0.2014

320

Alabama A&M

2-10

0.8035

0.24456

0.1965

321

Delaware

2-13

1.012

0.24428

0.1963

322

Cal St. Northridge

3-13

0.7435

0.23073

0.1875

323

South Alabama

2-11

0.7992

0.22378

0.1829

324

Furman

3-11

0.6133

0.22078

0.1808

325

Cal St. Bakersfield

3-12

0.6511

0.21703

0.1783

326

North Carolina A&T

2-13

0.8246

0.19903

0.1660

327

Rice

2-9

0.5934

0.19778

0.1651

328

Prairie View A&M

1-14

1.206

0.19454

0.1629

329

Montana St.

2-13

0.8

0.19311

0.1619

330

Marshall

2-12

0.7247

0.18789

0.1582

331

Chicago St.

1-14

1.149

0.18538

0.1564

332

Jacksonville

3-12

0.5503

0.18343

0.1550

333

Idaho St.

2-12

0.6754

0.17511

0.1490

334

Nicholls St.

0-9

1.213

0.17333

0.1477

335

Stetson

2-11

0.5989

0.16769

0.1436

336

Alcorn St.

1-12

0.8737

0.1618

0.1393

337

Coppin St.

0-15

1.73

0.15727

0.1359

338

UNC Greensboro

2-13

0.6387

0.15417

0.1336

339

UMBC

2-13

0.6336

0.15294

0.1327

340

Bethune Cookman

2-12

0.5801

0.15039

0.1307

341

Grambling St.

0-11

1.196

0.14346

0.1255

342

Maine

1-14

0.8846

0.14268

0.1249

343

Central Connecticut

2-15

0.6417

0.13612

0.1198

344

Marist

1-15

0.8927

0.13525

0.1191

345

Liberty

2-11

0.4697

0.13152

0.1162

346

Binghamton

1-15

0.7428

0.11255

0.1012

347

Presbyterian

1-12

0.5639

0.10442

0.0945

348

Tennessee St.

1-15

0.678

0.10272

0.0932

349

San Jose St.

0-14

1.005

0.097246

0.0886

350

Central Arkansas

0-14

0.5836

0.056476

0.0535

351

Florida A&M

0-15

0.5729

0.052081

0.0495