Updated through games of January 17

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.932

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Xavier

16-1

2.587

18.109

0.9477

2

SMU

17-0

1.449

17.872

0.9470

3

Oklahoma

15-1

2.597

17.14

0.9449

4

Villanova

16-2

2.787

13.937

0.9331

5

Kansas

14-2

2.427

10.746

0.9149

6

West Virginia

15-2

1.97

9.2865

0.9028

7

North Carolina

16-2

1.712

8.5595

0.8954

8

Iowa

14-3

2.396

8.252

0.8919

9

Michigan St.

16-3

2.079

8.0832

0.8899

10

South Carolina

15-1

1.196

7.8925

0.8875

11

Maryland

16-2

1.57

7.8484

0.8870

12

Arkansas Little Rock

13-1

1.275

7.3977

0.8809

13

Texas A&M

15-2

1.533

7.2272

0.8785

14

USC

15-3

1.794

6.5766

0.8680

15

Dayton

14-3

1.816

6.2565

0.8622

16

Providence

15-3

1.572

5.7634

0.8521

17

Baylor

13-3

1.737

5.5971

0.8484

18

Valparaiso

13-3

1.72

5.5422

0.8471

19

Iowa St.

13-4

2.082

5.49

0.8459

20

Arizona

15-3

1.495

5.4811

0.8457

21

Virginia

13-4

2.075

5.4692

0.8454

22

Pittsburgh

14-2

1.234

5.4654

0.8453

23

Oregon

13-4

2.001

5.2749

0.8406

24

Monmouth

13-4

1.973

5.2026

0.8388

25

Purdue

15-3

1.401

5.136

0.8370

26

Miami FL

13-3

1.548

4.9885

0.8330

27

Saint Joseph’s

14-3

1.358

4.6774

0.8239

28

Colorado

13-4

1.713

4.5156

0.8187

29

Louisville

14-3

1.295

4.4621

0.8169

30

Chattanooga

14-3

1.29

4.445

0.8163

31

Evansville

15-3

1.162

4.2606

0.8099

32

Butler

13-4

1.566

4.1273

0.8050

33

Michigan

12-5

1.971

4.0928

0.8036

34

Duke

14-4

1.41

3.9746

0.7990

35

Saint Mary’s

14-2

0.8862

3.9248

0.7969

36

Indiana

15-3

1.068

3.9173

0.7966

37

Utah

12-5

1.853

3.8486

0.7938

38

Hawaii

13-2

0.9053

3.7504

0.7895

39

Grand Canyon

15-2

0.7908

3.7279

0.7885

40

Seton Hall

13-4

1.406

3.7065

0.7875

41

UC Irvine

13-5

1.645

3.6702

0.7859

42

Kentucky

13-4

1.363

3.5937

0.7823

43

Florida St.

12-5

1.701

3.5318

0.7793

44

Notre Dame

12-5

1.69

3.5093

0.7782

45

George Washington

14-4

1.211

3.4122

0.7734

46

Florida

11-6

2.007

3.3454

0.7699

47

IPFW

13-5

1.494

3.3335

0.7692

48

UT Arlington

12-3

1.108

3.3243

0.7687

49

Wichita St.

11-5

1.685

3.241

0.7642

50

Texas A&M Corpus Chris

11-3

1.141

3.1689

0.7601

51

Boise St.

11-5

1.565

3.009

0.7506

52

Texas Tech

11-5

1.562

3.003

0.7502

53

Texas

11-6

1.8

2.9994

0.7500

54

Alabama

10-6

1.915

2.9362

0.7459

55

St. Bonaventure

12-4

1.182

2.9016

0.7437

56

Gonzaga

13-4

1.098

2.896

0.7433

57

Akron

12-4

1.165

2.8605

0.7410

58

VCU

13-5

1.271

2.8357

0.7393

59

UAB

14-3

0.823

2.8348

0.7392

60

Oregon St.

10-5

1.592

2.8164

0.7380

61

Northwestern

15-4

0.9321

2.7962

0.7366

62

Connecticut

12-5

1.322

2.7458

0.7330

63

Cincinnati

13-6

1.417

2.7396

0.7326

64

Princeton

10-4

1.299

2.7166

0.7309

65

South Dakota St.

12-5

1.307

2.7152

0.7308

66

Southern Illinois

16-3

0.6966

2.7089

0.7304

67

Stony Brook

11-4

1.164

2.6449

0.7256

68

California

12-6

1.459

2.6264

0.7242

69

Washington

12-5

1.261

2.6181

0.7236

70

Davidson

10-5

1.461

2.5855

0.7211

71

Mercer

12-4

1.048

2.5713

0.7200

72

James Madison

13-5

1.136

2.535

0.7171

73

Tulsa

11-6

1.51

2.5161

0.7156

74

Kansas St.

11-6

1.505

2.5087

0.7150

75

Marquette

12-6

1.367

2.4604

0.7110

76

Stanford

9-6

1.754

2.4559

0.7106

77

San Diego St.

10-6

1.6

2.4529

0.7104

78

Middle Tennessee

10-5

1.374

2.431

0.7085

79

Mississippi

12-5

1.149

2.3861

0.7047

80

UCLA

11-7

1.606

2.3612

0.7025

81

Hofstra

11-6

1.375

2.2912

0.6962

82

Belmont

12-6

1.272

2.2887

0.6959

83

Creighton

13-6

1.183

2.2863

0.6957

84

William & Mary

10-5

1.287

2.2771

0.6948

85

Northern Illinois

10-3

0.885

2.2617

0.6934

86

Arizona St.

11-7

1.525

2.2434

0.6917

87

BYU

12-6

1.245

2.241

0.6915

88

Virginia Tech

12-6

1.232

2.217

0.6892

89

Georgia Tech

11-7

1.506

2.2145

0.6889

90

Clemson

12-6

1.212

2.1812

0.6857

91

Georgia St.

9-4

1.114

2.1269

0.6802

92

Syracuse

12-7

1.327

2.1072

0.6782

93

Houston

13-4

0.7965

2.0999

0.6774

94

Vanderbilt

10-7

1.518

2.0543

0.6726

95

Northeastern

11-7

1.382

2.0331

0.6703

96

Kent St.

11-5

1.052

2.0222

0.6691

97

Albany

13-5

0.8918

1.9895

0.6655

98

Ohio St.

12-7

1.249

1.9841

0.6649

99

Penn St.

11-8

1.495

1.9665

0.6629

100

Wake Forest

10-7

1.445

1.9554

0.6616

101

Yale

9-5

1.182

1.9093

0.6563

102

Memphis

12-5

0.9185

1.9077

0.6561

103

Navy

13-5

0.8462

1.8876

0.6537

104

LSU

11-6

1.131

1.8852

0.6534

105

North Florida

12-6

1.021

1.8381

0.6477

106

UNC Wilmington

10-5

1.038

1.8362

0.6474

107

Siena

11-6

1.098

1.8306

0.6467

108

Duquesne

11-6

1.082

1.8041

0.6434

109

Temple

9-7

1.442

1.7811

0.6404

110

Georgetown

11-7

1.211

1.7802

0.6403

111

Cal St. Bakersfield

10-5

0.9956

1.7615

0.6379

112

Georgia

9-6

1.254

1.756

0.6372

113

Tennessee St.

12-4

0.6916

1.6976

0.6293

114

Richmond

10-7

1.237

1.673

0.6259

115

Elon

10-7

1.215

1.6435

0.6217

116

UNC Asheville

11-6

0.9855

1.6425

0.6216

117

Louisiana Tech

11-5

0.8508

1.6362

0.6207

118

Oakland

11-7

1.108

1.6288

0.6196

119

Oral Roberts

9-9

1.619

1.6195

0.6182

120

East Tennessee St.

9-7

1.296

1.6004

0.6154

121

Tennessee

9-8

1.444

1.5962

0.6148

122

North Dakota St.

11-6

0.952

1.5867

0.6134

123

Auburn

8-8

1.582

1.5823

0.6127

124

Utah St.

9-6

1.127

1.5781

0.6121

125

Rhode Island

11-7

1.073

1.5774

0.6120

126

Wisconsin

10-9

1.431

1.5678

0.6106

127

Fresno St.

10-6

1.021

1.565

0.6101

128

Milwaukee

11-6

0.9293

1.5488

0.6077

129

Arkansas

9-8

1.389

1.5353

0.6056

130

Nebraska Omaha

10-7

1.121

1.516

0.6025

131

Weber St.

10-5

0.8528

1.5089

0.6014

132

Tennessee Tech

11-6

0.9022

1.5036

0.6006

133

College of Charleston

9-7

1.209

1.4935

0.5990

134

UC Santa Barbara

6-9

2.071

1.4796

0.5967

135

North Carolina St.

10-8

1.2

1.4528

0.5923

136

Ohio

9-6

1.029

1.4407

0.5903

137

Pepperdine

10-7

1.064

1.4397

0.5901

138

UNLV

9-7

1.165

1.4395

0.5901

139

Bowling Green

10-5

0.8089

1.4312

0.5887

140

Vermont

9-8

1.279

1.4137

0.5857

141

Montana

8-6

1.107

1.4025

0.5838

142

Green Bay

9-7

1.124

1.3888

0.5814

143

Army

11-6

0.8231

1.3719

0.5784

144

Illinois

9-9

1.37

1.3701

0.5781

145

Ball St.

11-5

0.7073

1.3602

0.5763

146

Eastern Michigan

6-7

1.493

1.3178

0.5685

147

Toledo

10-6

0.845

1.2956

0.5644

148

Towson

11-6

0.7712

1.2853

0.5624

149

Indiana St.

9-8

1.159

1.2808

0.5616

150

Nevada

8-7

1.123

1.2553

0.5566

151

High Point

9-6

0.896

1.2544

0.5564

152

Buffalo

8-8

1.251

1.2511

0.5558

153

Columbia

10-6

0.8154

1.2503

0.5556

154

New Mexico

10-8

1.021

1.2361

0.5528

155

Nebraska

11-8

0.9297

1.2232

0.5502

156

TCU

9-8

1.061

1.1724

0.5397

157

Northern Iowa

9-9

1.172

1.1722

0.5396

158

Oklahoma St.

9-8

1.051

1.1621

0.5375

159

UCF

9-6

0.8278

1.159

0.5368

160

Harvard

7-8

1.277

1.1425

0.5333

161

Winthrop

9-6

0.7996

1.1194

0.5282

162

Idaho

9-7

0.8863

1.0949

0.5226

163

Marshall

9-9

1.087

1.0874

0.5209

164

New Mexico St.

10-8

0.8896

1.0769

0.5185

165

Radford

8-9

1.184

1.0709

0.5171

166

South Dakota

8-10

1.291

1.0665

0.5161

167

Massachusetts

8-9

1.176

1.0637

0.5154

168

Detroit

7-7

1.054

1.0537

0.5131

169

Wright St.

8-8

1.043

1.0432

0.5106

170

Hampton

9-7

0.8396

1.0372

0.5091

171

Washington St.

8-8

1.031

1.0306

0.5075

172

Southern

8-7

0.9204

1.0287

0.5071

173

Long Beach St.

6-11

1.697

1.0179

0.5044

174

Samford

9-8

0.9111

1.007

0.5017

175

Wagner

10-6

0.6561

1.006

0.5015

176

Stephen F. Austin

7-5

0.762

0.99641

0.4991

177

Fairfield

9-8

0.897

0.99138

0.4978

178

Iona

9-8

0.8928

0.98672

0.4967

179

Fordham

9-6

0.7018

0.9825

0.4956

180

Wyoming

8-9

1.081

0.97767

0.4944

181

Cornell

6-8

1.235

0.97522

0.4937

182

Morehead St.

8-8

0.9602

0.96021

0.4898

183

Missouri

8-9

1.058

0.95719

0.4891

184

Cal Poly

5-9

1.541

0.95405

0.4882

185

Air Force

8-8

0.9507

0.95068

0.4874

186

Old Dominion

9-9

0.9504

0.95044

0.4873

187

Illinois St.

8-10

1.145

0.94566

0.4860

188

NJIT

9-9

0.9391

0.93908

0.4843

189

Florida Gulf Coast

8-7

0.8268

0.92404

0.4803

190

Western Kentucky

8-8

0.92

0.91998

0.4792

191

Louisiana Lafayette

5-8

1.302

0.89063

0.4711

192

Loyola Marymount

8-9

0.9783

0.88509

0.4695

193

Gardner Webb

7-9

1.051

0.85092

0.4597

194

Incarnate Word

5-6

0.9801

0.84941

0.4593

195

East Carolina

8-10

1.026

0.84787

0.4588

196

Colorado St.

8-8

0.8289

0.82887

0.4532

197

Denver

10-9

0.7544

0.82621

0.4524

198

Murray St.

6-10

1.246

0.81287

0.4484

199

Tennessee Martin

8-9

0.8974

0.81193

0.4481

200

Eastern Kentucky

10-9

0.7395

0.80993

0.4475

201

IUPUI

7-13

1.379

0.8084

0.4470

202

Central Michigan

6-8

1.022

0.80718

0.4467

203

Coastal Carolina

7-8

0.9019

0.80697

0.4466

204

Canisius

9-10

0.883

0.80621

0.4464

205

George Mason

7-11

1.184

0.80521

0.4460

206

Colgate

7-9

0.9569

0.77461

0.4365

207

Sam Houston St.

6-8

0.952

0.75156

0.4291

208

Boston University

8-9

0.8112

0.73391

0.4233

209

UTEP

9-8

0.6583

0.7276

0.4212

210

Houston Baptist

7-7

0.7153

0.71529

0.4170

211

DePaul

6-12

1.285

0.71411

0.4166

212

Mississippi St.

7-9

0.8754

0.70868

0.4148

213

Wofford

6-11

1.179

0.7072

0.4142

214

Furman

7-10

0.9561

0.70671

0.4141

215

Bucknell

7-9

0.8723

0.70619

0.4139

216

Texas St.

6-6

0.7025

0.70252

0.4126

217

Saint Peter’s

7-8

0.7779

0.69602

0.4104

218

Eastern Washington

7-8

0.7634

0.68307

0.4058

219

New Hampshire

6-8

0.8392

0.66257

0.3985

220

LIU Brooklyn

9-8

0.5978

0.66075

0.3979

221

South Carolina St.

7-10

0.8838

0.65322

0.3951

222

Cal St. Fullerton

6-8

0.8163

0.64445

0.3919

223

Boston College

7-10

0.8381

0.6195

0.3825

224

FIU

7-9

0.7536

0.61004

0.3789

225

Arkansas St.

6-8

0.7698

0.60772

0.3780

226

South Alabama

5-10

1.066

0.60236

0.3759

227

Austin Peay

6-12

1.083

0.60183

0.3757

228

Fairleigh Dickinson

7-9

0.7411

0.59992

0.3750

229

Missouri St.

6-11

0.9983

0.59896

0.3746

230

Sacramento St.

6-8

0.7517

0.59345

0.3724

231

Western Michigan

5-10

1.046

0.59123

0.3716

232

Western Carolina

4-11

1.342

0.59027

0.3712

233

Tulane

8-11

0.7748

0.58885

0.3706

234

Jackson St.

6-10

0.8951

0.58379

0.3686

235

UC Riverside

8-10

0.6787

0.56064

0.3592

236

San Francisco

9-9

0.5578

0.55783

0.3581

237

Minnesota

6-12

0.9975

0.55418

0.3566

238

Portland

8-11

0.7135

0.54227

0.3516

239

St. John’s

6-12

0.9638

0.53545

0.3487

240

Texas Southern

5-11

1.026

0.53356

0.3479

241

North Dakota

5-9

0.8596

0.53215

0.3473

242

UMKC

5-11

1.02

0.53051

0.3466

243

Manhattan

7-10

0.7141

0.52783

0.3455

244

Louisiana Monroe

4-11

1.171

0.51539

0.3401

245

Saint Louis

6-11

0.853

0.51178

0.3385

246

Mount St. Mary’s

8-11

0.672

0.51068

0.3380

247

Loyola Chicago

7-10

0.6857

0.5068

0.3363

248

Alabama A&M

5-8

0.7338

0.50206

0.3342

249

Howard

6-10

0.7584

0.4946

0.3309

250

Miami OH

5-11

0.9492

0.49359

0.3305

251

Holy Cross

7-10

0.6663

0.49249

0.3300

252

Youngstown St.

5-12

1.005

0.4839

0.3261

253

Dartmouth

5-9

0.7811

0.48352

0.3259

254

Bryant

6-12

0.8517

0.47317

0.3212

255

Montana St.

6-11

0.7876

0.47259

0.3209

256

Cleveland St.

4-13

1.222

0.46351

0.3167

257

La Salle

4-10

0.9662

0.4621

0.3161

258

Norfolk St.

5-12

0.9471

0.45603

0.3132

259

Presbyterian

5-10

0.7909

0.44701

0.3089

260

The Citadel

5-10

0.7815

0.4417

0.3064

261

Southern Miss

4-10

0.9086

0.43453

0.3029

262

St. Francis PA

6-10

0.6625

0.43204

0.3017

263

Jacksonville

6-10

0.6556

0.42758

0.2995

264

Delaware

5-12

0.8699

0.41886

0.2952

265

Western Illinois

4-9

0.7928

0.4153

0.2934

266

Rutgers

5-12

0.8597

0.41393

0.2928

267

Rider

6-12

0.7432

0.41289

0.2922

268

Idaho St.

5-10

0.7269

0.41084

0.2912

269

Maine

6-11

0.6826

0.40954

0.2905

270

Lamar

6-7

0.4639

0.40935

0.2905

271

Charleston Southern

4-11

0.9294

0.40892

0.2902

272

Eastern Illinois

5-12

0.8351

0.40209

0.2868

273

Santa Clara

6-13

0.7689

0.39771

0.2845

274

Penn

5-8

0.5782

0.39558

0.2835

275

Lafayette

5-12

0.8175

0.39361

0.2824

276

Charlotte

4-13

1.017

0.38587

0.2784

277

UMass Lowell

5-11

0.7401

0.38486

0.2779

278

Drexel

3-13

1.239

0.38453

0.2777

279

UC Davis

4-10

0.8006

0.3829

0.2769

280

Troy

4-11

0.8594

0.37815

0.2744

281

Alabama St.

4-11

0.8424

0.37064

0.2704

282

St. Francis NY

6-12

0.6657

0.36981

0.2700

283

Loyola MD

4-12

0.9062

0.36919

0.2696

284

Lehigh

4-12

0.8772

0.35736

0.2633

285

Kennesaw St.

3-14

1.224

0.35544

0.2622

286

San Diego

5-11

0.6796

0.3534

0.2611

287

Florida Atlantic

3-13

1.137

0.35282

0.2608

288

Appalachian St.

4-13

0.926

0.35125

0.2599

289

UNC Greensboro

3-12

1.053

0.35116

0.2599

290

Cal St. Northridge

4-12

0.8597

0.35025

0.2594

291

USC Upstate

4-12

0.8499

0.34627

0.2572

292

Utah Valley

4-11

0.7679

0.33786

0.2525

293

Portland St.

4-10

0.7035

0.33643

0.2517

294

Georgia Southern

4-10

0.7027

0.33607

0.2515

295

Quinnipiac

5-11

0.6458

0.3358

0.2514

296

New Orleans

2-10

1.099

0.33445

0.2506

297

Campbell

6-10

0.511

0.33326

0.2500

298

Savannah St.

5-9

0.538

0.33302

0.2498

299

Arkansas Pine Bluff

3-15

1.196

0.32619

0.2460

300

Rice

4-12

0.7997

0.32582

0.2458

301

Pacific

3-12

0.9767

0.32557

0.2456

302

Niagara

5-14

0.7757

0.32529

0.2454

303

Brown

4-10

0.6788

0.32466

0.2451

304

SIU Edwardsville

4-14

0.9044

0.32091

0.2429

305

Grambling St.

3-11

0.8911

0.32078

0.2429

306

North Texas

5-11

0.613

0.31876

0.2417

307

Drake

4-13

0.8341

0.31639

0.2403

308

VMI

2-11

1.096

0.3069

0.2348

309

Nicholls St.

2-13

1.262

0.30459

0.2335

310

North Carolina A&T

5-13

0.6774

0.30365

0.2329

311

Stetson

3-12

0.9091

0.30303

0.2326

312

Seattle

5-10

0.5337

0.30163

0.2317

313

UMBC

5-14

0.7001

0.29359

0.2270

314

McNeese St.

1-10

1.349

0.2932

0.2267

315

Alcorn St.

3-11

0.8031

0.28913

0.2243

316

Marist

4-12

0.7023

0.28614

0.2225

317

Southern Utah

3-11

0.7826

0.28172

0.2198

318

North Carolina Central

4-12

0.6755

0.2752

0.2158

319

Longwood

3-13

0.8864

0.2751

0.2157

320

San Jose St.

3-12

0.8187

0.27289

0.2144

321

Bethune Cookman

3-13

0.8615

0.26735

0.2110

322

Northern Kentucky

3-11

0.7192

0.25891

0.2057

323

Hartford

5-12

0.5341

0.25716

0.2046

324

Central Arkansas

2-12

0.9573

0.24818

0.1988

325

Abilene Christian

3-10

0.6308

0.24685

0.1980

326

Maryland Eastern Shore

3-15

0.8942

0.24388

0.1961

327

Jacksonville St.

5-14

0.5486

0.23004

0.1870

328

Robert Morris

4-15

0.6858

0.2286

0.1861

329

Lipscomb

2-16

1.119

0.22372

0.1828

330

Florida A&M

4-12

0.5443

0.22175

0.1815

331

UTSA

3-13

0.6795

0.21089

0.1742

332

South Florida

3-16

0.8169

0.21006

0.1736

333

Sacred Heart

3-14

0.7149

0.20754

0.1719

334

Bradley

2-16

1.014

0.20285

0.1686

335

Northern Colorado

3-13

0.6491

0.20145

0.1677

336

UT Rio Grande Valley

3-13

0.6111

0.18966

0.1594

337

Binghamton

3-13

0.6099

0.18929

0.1592

338

Northern Arizona

1-13

1.061

0.18294

0.1546

339

Coppin St.

1-14

1.127

0.18172

0.1538

340

Mississippi Valley St.

2-16

0.8919

0.17838

0.1514

341

American

2-15

0.769

0.16312

0.1402

342

Liberty

2-15

0.7413

0.15725

0.1359

343

Prairie View A&M

1-15

1.018

0.15419

0.1336

344

Morgan St.

2-14

0.5989

0.13523

0.1191

345

Southeast Missouri St.

1-16

0.902

0.12885

0.1141

346

Chicago St.

1-16

0.8123

0.11605

0.1040

347

Northwestern St.

0-11

0.8983

0.10779

0.0973

348

Southeastern Louisiana

0-15

0.9741

0.088554

0.0814

349

Illinois Chicago

0-14

0.8564

0.082876

0.0765

350

Delaware St.

0-15

0.7733

0.070297

0.0657

351

Central Connecticut

1-16

0.4441

0.063439

0.0597