Updated through games of April 3

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.746

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Gonzaga

37-2

2.921

32.128

0.9698

2

Villanova

32-4

3.238

19.723

0.9517

3

Arizona

32-5

3.57

18.397

0.9484

4

Kansas

31-5

3.627

18.133

0.9477

5

North Carolina

32-7

4.405

17.362

0.9455

6

UCLA

31-5

3.413

17.063

0.9446

7

Kentucky

32-6

3.687

16.468

0.9428

8

Oregon

32-6

3.317

14.816

0.9368

9

Duke

28-9

3.96

11.126

0.9175

10

Saint Mary’s

29-5

2.236

10.494

0.9130

11

Baylor

26-8

3.578

10.357

0.9120

12

Florida

27-9

3.703

10.05

0.9095

13

SMU

30-5

2.074

10.049

0.9095

14

Cincinnati

30-6

2.272

9.5403

0.9051

15

Purdue

27-8

3.042

9.1268

0.9013

16

Louisville

25-9

3.479

8.7792

0.8977

17

West Virginia

28-9

3.06

8.5963

0.8958

18

Butler

25-9

3.359

8.4787

0.8945

19

Florida St.

26-9

3.099

8.1174

0.8903

20

Notre Dame

26-10

3.302

7.8961

0.8876

21

Wisconsin

27-10

3.009

7.4581

0.8818

22

Wichita St.

30-5

1.518

7.355

0.8803

23

Iowa St.

24-11

3.464

7.0664

0.8760

24

Virginia

23-11

3.566

6.9897

0.8748

25

Michigan

26-12

3.194

6.5058

0.8668

26

Middle Tennessee

30-5

1.304

6.3183

0.8634

27

Creighton

24-10

2.778

6.1596

0.8603

28

South Carolina

25-11

2.864

6.0714

0.8586

29

Arkansas

26-10

2.535

6.0616

0.8584

30

USC

26-10

2.442

5.8398

0.8538

31

Minnesota

24-10

2.577

5.7133

0.8510

32

UNC Wilmington

27-6

1.427

5.4207

0.8443

33

Maryland

23-9

2.312

5.3938

0.8436

34

Xavier

24-14

3.249

5.3457

0.8424

35

Nevada

28-7

1.421

4.9323

0.8314

36

VCU

26-9

1.871

4.899

0.8305

37

Virginia Tech

22-11

2.557

4.8067

0.8278

38

Northwestern

24-12

2.512

4.7454

0.8259

39

Miami FL

21-12

2.791

4.6521

0.8231

40

Dayton

23-8

1.782

4.5962

0.8213

41

Vermont

28-6

1.165

4.5819

0.8209

42

Rhode Island

25-10

1.959

4.5142

0.8187

43

Oklahoma St.

19-13

3.174

4.488

0.8178

44

Seton Hall

21-12

2.643

4.4057

0.8150

45

Monmouth

27-7

1.24

4.1577

0.8061

46

Illinois St.

27-7

1.231

4.1275

0.8050

47

Michigan St.

20-15

2.992

3.8992

0.7959

48

Wake Forest

19-14

2.898

3.8322

0.7931

49

Kansas St.

21-14

2.623

3.8073

0.7920

50

New Mexico St.

25-6

1.071

3.7846

0.7910

51

TCU

23-15

2.541

3.7736

0.7905

52

UT Arlington

25-9

1.446

3.6506

0.7850

53

East Tennessee St.

25-8

1.278

3.566

0.7810

54

Princeton

22-7

1.265

3.4968

0.7776

55

Belmont

22-7

1.251

3.4592

0.7757

56

Marquette

19-13

2.42

3.4215

0.7738

57

Providence

20-13

2.277

3.3763

0.7715

58

Vanderbilt

19-16

2.743

3.2136

0.7627

59

Winthrop

24-7

1.031

3.0945

0.7558

60

Georgia

18-15

2.594

3.0653

0.7540

61

Mississippi

22-14

1.996

3.0261

0.7516

62

UCF

24-12

1.577

2.9783

0.7486

63

Cal St. Bakersfield

22-10

1.436

2.9344

0.7458

64

Akron

26-9

1.118

2.9281

0.7454

65

Illinois

19-15

2.329

2.8932

0.7431

66

College of Charleston

24-10

1.28

2.8376

0.7394

67

California

21-13

1.815

2.8164

0.7380

68

Houston

21-11

1.533

2.76

0.7340

69

Georgia Tech

20-16

2.236

2.7476

0.7332

70

Clemson

17-16

2.537

2.6817

0.7284

71

Indiana

18-16

2.39

2.6634

0.7270

72

Valparaiso

23-9

1.135

2.6478

0.7259

73

Bucknell

26-9

1.01

2.6457

0.7257

74

Syracuse

19-15

2.049

2.5452

0.7179

75

Florida Gulf Coast

23-8

0.9837

2.5368

0.7173

76

Iowa

19-15

1.991

2.4733

0.7121

77

BYU

22-12

1.405

2.4453

0.7097

78

Richmond

22-13

1.482

2.4018

0.7060

79

UNC Greensboro

22-10

1.161

2.3723

0.7035

80

Oakland

23-9

1.013

2.364

0.7027

81

Boise St.

19-12

1.542

2.3413

0.7007

82

Colorado St.

22-12

1.337

2.3281

0.6995

83

Alabama

19-15

1.866

2.3185

0.6987

84

Pittsburgh

16-17

2.443

2.3107

0.6980

85

Tennessee

15-16

2.438

2.2989

0.6969

86

UNC Asheville

21-10

1.147

2.2443

0.6918

87

Texas Tech

18-14

1.766

2.2223

0.6897

88

Utah

18-12

1.535

2.2177

0.6892

89

Ohio St.

17-15

1.957

2.1948

0.6870

90

Texas A&M

16-15

1.993

2.1133

0.6788

91

Auburn

18-14

1.648

2.0729

0.6746

92

Furman

21-12

1.189

1.9821

0.6647

93

Colorado

18-15

1.64

1.9376

0.6596

94

Fresno St.

18-13

1.428

1.9199

0.6575

95

Northern Kentucky

22-11

1.016

1.9095

0.6563

96

Grand Canyon

20-9

0.9305

1.9054

0.6558

97

St. Bonaventure

20-12

1.187

1.891

0.6541

98

Iona

22-13

1.149

1.8622

0.6506

99

Saint Peter’s

23-13

1.08

1.8242

0.6459

100

Memphis

19-13

1.275

1.8024

0.6432

101

Penn St.

15-18

2.102

1.7785

0.6401

102

Davidson

17-15

1.579

1.7699

0.6390

103

New Mexico

17-14

1.419

1.6939

0.6288

104

Georgetown

14-18

2.13

1.6932

0.6287

105

Towson

19-13

1.177

1.6643

0.6247

106

George Washington

20-15

1.276

1.6624

0.6244

107

North Carolina St.

15-17

1.814

1.6175

0.6180

108

San Diego St.

18-14

1.28

1.6103

0.6169

109

Arkansas St.

19-12

1.054

1.6002

0.6154

110

Texas Southern

23-12

0.8789

1.595

0.6146

111

George Mason

19-14

1.198

1.5842

0.6130

112

San Francisco

19-13

1.112

1.5718

0.6112

113

Louisiana Tech

21-10

0.7852

1.5363

0.6057

114

Louisiana Lafayette

19-12

1.006

1.5269

0.6043

115

Chattanooga

17-12

1.107

1.5173

0.6028

116

North Dakota St.

17-11

1.01

1.4948

0.5992

117

Lehigh

19-12

0.9842

1.4946

0.5991

118

Georgia St.

18-13

1.109

1.491

0.5986

119

Mississippi St.

16-16

1.485

1.4849

0.5976

120

Wright St.

18-12

1.027

1.483

0.5973

121

Stanford

13-17

1.89

1.4812

0.5970

122

Ohio

19-11

0.9018

1.4789

0.5966

123

South Dakota

20-12

0.9161

1.459

0.5933

124

Nebraska

11-19

2.371

1.4455

0.5911

125

Old Dominion

19-12

0.9282

1.4095

0.5850

126

St. John’s

14-19

1.861

1.407

0.5845

127

Yale

17-11

0.9459

1.4

0.5833

128

Wyoming

21-15

1.024

1.3957

0.5826

129

North Dakota

19-10

0.7806

1.3914

0.5818

130

Arizona St.

15-18

1.644

1.3912

0.5818

131

Connecticut

15-17

1.543

1.3758

0.5791

132

Texas A&M Corpus Chris

21-12

0.8213

1.3688

0.5778

133

Harvard

16-10

0.8808

1.3404

0.5727

134

Kent St.

21-14

0.9204

1.3361

0.5719

135

William & Mary

15-14

1.235

1.3149

0.5680

136

Rutgers

14-18

1.635

1.2996

0.5651

137

Temple

16-16

1.293

1.2929

0.5639

138

Nebraska Omaha

17-14

1.071

1.2787

0.5611

139

La Salle

15-15

1.261

1.2612

0.5578

140

New Hampshire

17-12

0.9198

1.2604

0.5576

141

Troy

20-15

0.9594

1.2501

0.5556

142

Albany

20-14

0.8931

1.2388

0.5533

143

Marshall

19-15

0.9767

1.2135

0.5482

144

Oklahoma

11-20

2.086

1.213

0.5481

145

Tulsa

15-17

1.347

1.2011

0.5457

146

Tennessee Martin

20-13

0.8079

1.1979

0.5450

147

Eastern Washington

20-12

0.746

1.188

0.5430

148

Santa Clara

16-16

1.187

1.1868

0.5427

149

Ball St.

20-13

0.7991

1.1849

0.5423

150

Elon

16-14

1.048

1.183

0.5419

151

New Orleans

17-12

0.8629

1.1825

0.5418

152

Texas

11-22

2.204

1.1724

0.5397

153

Jacksonville St.

18-15

0.9908

1.1709

0.5394

154

Rice

21-12

0.7021

1.1702

0.5392

155

Samford

18-16

1.025

1.1424

0.5332

156

Siena

17-17

1.142

1.1419

0.5331

157

Fort Wayne

17-13

0.8947

1.1415

0.5330

158

Northeastern

15-16

1.203

1.1347

0.5315

159

UC Davis

21-13

0.7249

1.1248

0.5294

160

UC Irvine

19-15

0.9048

1.1241

0.5292

161

Georgia Southern

16-15

1.052

1.1162

0.5275

162

North Carolina Central

22-9

0.4976

1.1137

0.5269

163

UMBC

19-13

0.7842

1.1088

0.5258

164

Tennessee St.

15-13

0.9617

1.0943

0.5225

165

Liberty

18-14

0.866

1.0895

0.5214

166

Southern Illinois

16-16

1.088

1.0878

0.5210

167

Texas St.

20-14

0.7841

1.0876

0.5210

168

Buffalo

15-15

1.084

1.0843

0.5202

169

Green Bay

16-14

0.958

1.0816

0.5196

170

Mount St. Mary’s

20-16

0.8705

1.0694

0.5168

171

Canisius

18-16

0.945

1.053

0.5129

172

Loyola Chicago

16-14

0.9284

1.0482

0.5118

173

Northern Iowa

13-16

1.248

1.0342

0.5084

174

Loyola Marymount

14-15

1.089

1.0235

0.5058

175

Washington St.

12-18

1.466

1.0151

0.5038

176

Lipscomb

17-13

0.7916

1.01

0.5025

177

Gardner Webb

16-14

0.8874

1.002

0.5005

178

Fairfield

16-15

0.9281

0.98439

0.4961

179

Weber St.

18-14

0.7732

0.97278

0.4931

180

Sam Houston St.

17-13

0.7613

0.97131

0.4927

181

South Dakota St.

16-17

1.025

0.96953

0.4923

182

Rider

18-15

0.8155

0.96374

0.4908

183

Coastal Carolina

18-19

1.013

0.9637

0.4908

184

Wofford

13-17

1.222

0.95802

0.4893

185

Utah St.

13-17

1.204

0.94371

0.4855

186

Stony Brook

18-14

0.7488

0.94207

0.4851

187

Boston University

17-14

0.7886

0.94123

0.4849

188

Toledo

16-17

0.9828

0.92965

0.4818

189

Western Michigan

15-16

0.9732

0.91755

0.4785

190

Massachusetts

15-18

1.082

0.91525

0.4779

191

Denver

16-14

0.8078

0.91199

0.4770

192

Missouri St.

16-16

0.8978

0.89782

0.4731

193

UMKC

15-17

1.001

0.89245

0.4716

194

Utah Valley

14-17

1.057

0.88565

0.4697

195

LSU

10-21

1.728

0.88345

0.4691

196

Mercer

13-17

1.125

0.88163

0.4685

197

Houston Baptist

13-14

0.9356

0.87524

0.4667

198

San Jose St.

12-16

1.105

0.85246

0.4602

199

Evansville

14-17

1.004

0.84151

0.4570

200

Idaho

17-14

0.6841

0.81651

0.4495

201

LIU Brooklyn

19-12

0.5372

0.81574

0.4493

202

Hofstra

14-17

0.9691

0.81198

0.4481

203

East Carolina

15-18

0.9589

0.81136

0.4479

204

UAB

16-16

0.8026

0.80259

0.4452

205

Eastern Michigan

12-17

1.085

0.79142

0.4418

206

Penn

13-15

0.8832

0.77612

0.4370

207

Stephen F. Austin

15-15

0.7615

0.76155

0.4323

208

Morehead St.

12-16

0.982

0.75756

0.4310

209

Central Michigan

14-16

0.8334

0.73817

0.4247

210

Loyola MD

15-17

0.8251

0.73589

0.4239

211

Navy

15-16

0.7679

0.72406

0.4200

212

Holy Cross

15-17

0.8053

0.71826

0.4180

213

Montana

16-16

0.7041

0.7041

0.4132

214

Fordham

12-19

1.061

0.6989

0.4114

215

Saint Joseph’s

11-20

1.197

0.69586

0.4103

216

Lamar

15-15

0.664

0.66395

0.3990

217

Murray St.

14-17

0.7899

0.66179

0.3982

218

IUPUI

12-18

0.95

0.65771

0.3968

219

Boston College

9-23

1.517

0.65028

0.3940

220

Bradley

12-20

1.014

0.63655

0.3890

221

Western Kentucky

15-17

0.7136

0.63647

0.3889

222

San Diego

12-18

0.9056

0.62698

0.3854

223

Washington

9-22

1.387

0.61962

0.3826

224

USC Upstate

13-16

0.7468

0.6188

0.3823

225

Illinois Chicago

15-19

0.7566

0.609

0.3785

226

Campbell

16-18

0.6736

0.60448

0.3767

227

Little Rock

13-17

0.7621

0.59733

0.3740

228

South Alabama

12-18

0.8487

0.58758

0.3701

229

UTEP

14-17

0.6963

0.5834

0.3684

230

North Florida

11-19

0.9491

0.5787

0.3666

231

Wagner

15-14

0.543

0.57802

0.3663

232

High Point

12-16

0.7439

0.5739

0.3646

233

Saint Louis

12-21

0.9492

0.56949

0.3629

234

Radford

12-18

0.82

0.56769

0.3621

235

Delaware

11-20

0.9762

0.56757

0.3621

236

Alcorn St.

15-14

0.5328

0.56714

0.3619

237

Long Beach St.

13-19

0.801

0.56653

0.3616

238

Eastern Illinois

12-15

0.6883

0.56316

0.3603

239

Northern Illinois

12-17

0.7668

0.55954

0.3588

240

Bowling Green

12-19

0.8334

0.54886

0.3544

241

DePaul

9-23

1.277

0.54724

0.3537

242

Southeastern Louisiana

14-16

0.6166

0.54617

0.3532

243

St. Francis PA

16-17

0.571

0.54017

0.3507

244

Charlotte

12-17

0.7351

0.53643

0.3491

245

Indiana St.

10-20

1.003

0.53626

0.3491

246

UNLV

11-21

0.957

0.53166

0.3471

247

Montana St.

14-16

0.5844

0.5176

0.3411

248

Cal St. Fullerton

15-15

0.5059

0.50589

0.3359

249

Southeast Missouri St.

13-18

0.6802

0.50576

0.3359

250

Robert Morris

14-19

0.6642

0.50221

0.3343

251

Air Force

10-21

0.9748

0.49821

0.3325

252

Nicholls St.

10-17

0.7937

0.49337

0.3304

253

Pacific

10-22

0.9723

0.47581

0.3224

254

Eastern Kentucky

10-19

0.8408

0.47164

0.3205

255

Kennesaw St.

12-18

0.671

0.46455

0.3172

256

Missouri

8-24

1.246

0.46411

0.3170

257

Youngstown St.

11-21

0.8308

0.46156

0.3158

258

Columbia

10-16

0.6987

0.45913

0.3147

259

Portland St.

12-16

0.5932

0.45758

0.3139

260

UTSA

12-19

0.6906

0.45478

0.3126

261

Norfolk St.

15-17

0.4857

0.43317

0.3022

262

Jacksonville

13-16

0.5217

0.43227

0.3018

263

Abilene Christian

9-16

0.7102

0.42612

0.2988

264

Army

12-19

0.646

0.42539

0.2984

265

Austin Peay

9-19

0.8298

0.42504

0.2983

266

Seattle

10-17

0.677

0.42087

0.2962

267

James Madison

9-23

0.97

0.41571

0.2936

268

Manhattan

10-22

0.8471

0.41455

0.2931

269

Hawaii

13-16

0.499

0.41349

0.2925

270

Northwestern St.

9-16

0.6865

0.41191

0.2917

271

Duquesne

10-22

0.8343

0.40827

0.2899

272

Milwaukee

10-24

0.9037

0.40757

0.2896

273

Portland

9-22

0.9081

0.40576

0.2886

274

Pepperdine

8-22

0.9903

0.40032

0.2859

275

Tennessee Tech

10-20

0.7381

0.39477

0.2830

276

Incarnate Word

8-17

0.7632

0.39191

0.2816

277

Quinnipiac

10-21

0.7664

0.39174

0.2815

278

The Citadel

9-21

0.8289

0.3868

0.2789

279

Brown

11-17

0.5695

0.38477

0.2779

280

Sacramento St.

11-18

0.5985

0.38366

0.2773

281

Niagara

10-23

0.7944

0.37289

0.2716

282

Fairleigh Dickinson

10-19

0.6556

0.36779

0.2689

283

Cleveland St.

8-22

0.9073

0.36676

0.2683

284

Sacred Heart

13-19

0.5129

0.36275

0.2662

285

Miami OH

9-21

0.7619

0.35554

0.2623

286

NJIT

9-20

0.715

0.34917

0.2588

287

Appalachian St.

7-21

0.9114

0.34429

0.2561

288

Western Carolina

7-23

0.9851

0.34178

0.2547

289

Bryant

11-20

0.586

0.34067

0.2541

290

Charleston Southern

9-19

0.6628

0.3395

0.2535

291

Hampton

12-17

0.4635

0.33823

0.2527

292

Drexel

8-23

0.8669

0.33613

0.2516

293

Cal St. Northridge

10-18

0.5643

0.3328

0.2497

294

Oral Roberts

6-22

1.039

0.33146

0.2489

295

UMass Lowell

10-20

0.6162

0.32958

0.2479

296

Cal Poly

9-20

0.6744

0.32935

0.2478

297

Marist

8-24

0.8703

0.32424

0.2449

298

Colgate

9-22

0.7195

0.3215

0.2433

299

Northern Colorado

9-18

0.5949

0.32035

0.2426

300

Grambling St.

13-17

0.396

0.31039

0.2369

301

Savannah St.

11-16

0.4345

0.31039

0.2369

302

Southern

13-17

0.3916

0.30695

0.2349

303

Cornell

7-21

0.8095

0.30581

0.2342

304

Morgan St.

13-16

0.3603

0.29855

0.2299

305

Central Arkansas

8-24

0.7905

0.29451

0.2275

306

Detroit

7-23

0.8485

0.29436

0.2274

307

Binghamton

9-20

0.6001

0.29306

0.2266

308

Jackson St.

12-17

0.4012

0.29279

0.2265

309

Louisiana Monroe

7-24

0.8683

0.28943

0.2245

310

Florida Atlantic

8-20

0.6526

0.28837

0.2238

311

UT Rio Grande Valley

7-22

0.7742

0.28004

0.2188

312

Maryland Eastern Shore

12-20

0.4447

0.27924

0.2183

313

Prairie View A&M

11-20

0.4743

0.27573

0.2161

314

South Florida

7-23

0.7939

0.27542

0.2159

315

Dartmouth

7-20

0.6949

0.27473

0.2155

316

Western Illinois

6-20

0.7597

0.265

0.2095

317

Tulane

6-25

0.9358

0.26485

0.2094

318

Drake

6-23

0.8543

0.26153

0.2073

319

Hartford

9-23

0.5976

0.2561

0.2039

320

Lafayette

8-21

0.6008

0.25365

0.2023

321

American

8-22

0.6099

0.24657

0.1978

322

Stetson

8-21

0.5828

0.24609

0.1975

323

McNeese St.

5-21

0.7939

0.22934

0.1866

324

South Carolina St.

9-20

0.4542

0.22181

0.1815

325

Oregon St.

4-27

1.108

0.2139

0.1762

326

Northern Arizona

8-23

0.5484

0.21265

0.1754

327

UC Riverside

6-21

0.6138

0.20461

0.1699

328

Southern Miss

7-22

0.5418

0.19599

0.1639

329

SIU Edwardsville

5-23

0.7018

0.1862

0.1570

330

UC Santa Barbara

5-22

0.6712

0.18565

0.1566

331

Maine

6-25

0.6431

0.18202

0.1540

332

VMI

4-24

0.8429

0.1818

0.1538

333

Chicago St.

3-26

1.059

0.17334

0.1477

334

North Texas

6-22

0.5223

0.16669

0.1429

335

FIU

5-24

0.5798

0.1478

0.1288

336

Delaware St.

8-22

0.3599

0.1455

0.1270

337

Mississippi Valley St.

7-25

0.4486

0.1439

0.1258

338

Coppin St.

7-23

0.4017

0.13937

0.1223

339

Central Connecticut

6-23

0.4519

0.13833

0.1215

340

Alabama St.

7-23

0.3941

0.13675

0.1203

341

Howard

8-24

0.3555

0.13243

0.1169

342

Idaho St.

4-26

0.6258

0.12517

0.1112

343

Bethune Cookman

8-22

0.3087

0.12479

0.1109

344

Longwood

4-24

0.5575

0.12025

0.1073

345

Arkansas Pine Bluff

6-24

0.4048

0.11906

0.1064

346

Southern Utah

4-27

0.5838

0.11267

0.1013

347

Presbyterian

3-25

0.6386

0.10845

0.0978

348

St. Francis NY

3-27

0.466

0.073582

0.0685

349

Florida A&M

5-23

0.2639

0.070003

0.0654

350

Alabama A&M

2-27

0.3391

0.041644

0.0400

351

North Carolina A&T

1-29

0.2968

0.024328

0.0237