Updated through games of April 2

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.946

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Villanova

36-4

3.753

25.587

0.9624

2

Virginia

31-3

3.192

23.05

0.9584

3

Kansas

31-8

3.747

12.819

0.9276

4

Cincinnati

31-5

2.412

12.061

0.9234

5

Michigan

32-8

3.384

11.932

0.9227

6

Xavier

29-6

2.798

11.38

0.9192

7

Michigan St.

30-5

2.123

10.287

0.9114

8

Duke

29-8

3.082

9.8939

0.9082

9

Purdue

30-7

2.661

9.8631

0.9079

10

Gonzaga

32-5

1.863

9.6034

0.9057

11

North Carolina

26-11

3.919

8.6226

0.8961

12

Loyola Chicago

31-6

1.96

8.495

0.8947

13

Tennessee

26-9

3.155

8.2638

0.8921

14

Texas Tech

27-10

3.129

7.7554

0.8858

15

Auburn

26-8

2.534

7.3341

0.8800

16

Clemson

25-10

3.126

7.2043

0.8781

17

West Virginia

26-11

3.273

7.2001

0.8781

18

Kentucky

26-11

2.985

6.5671

0.8678

19

Houston

27-8

2.174

6.5224

0.8671

20

Nevada

29-8

2.01

6.4538

0.8658

21

Wichita St.

25-8

2.227

6.2131

0.8614

22

Arizona

27-8

2.051

6.1535

0.8602

23

Ohio St.

25-9

2.407

6.0741

0.8586

24

Kansas St.

25-12

2.729

5.3578

0.8427

25

Rhode Island

26-8

1.827

5.2884

0.8410

26

Texas A&M

22-13

3.193

5.1743

0.8380

27

Miami FL

22-10

2.462

5.0307

0.8342

28

St. Bonaventure

26-8

1.66

4.8049

0.8277

29

Florida St.

23-12

2.627

4.7671

0.8266

30

Arkansas

23-12

2.577

4.6775

0.8239

31

Saint Mary’s

30-6

1.109

4.656

0.8232

32

Middle Tennessee

24-8

1.673

4.4898

0.8178

33

TCU

21-12

2.669

4.4478

0.8164

34

Seton Hall

22-12

2.548

4.4354

0.8160

35

Florida

21-13

2.825

4.3834

0.8142

36

New Mexico St.

25-6

1.218

4.305

0.8115

37

Murray St.

24-6

1.258

4.2781

0.8105

38

Buffalo

26-9

1.613

4.2241

0.8086

39

Mississippi St.

24-12

2.16

4.0805

0.8032

40

Butler

21-14

2.76

4.0061

0.8002

41

South Dakota St.

24-7

1.329

3.9859

0.7994

42

Penn St.

26-13

2.099

3.98

0.7992

43

Syracuse

23-14

2.495

3.9432

0.7977

44

Creighton

20-12

2.411

3.8395

0.7934

45

Providence

21-14

2.643

3.8371

0.7933

46

Western Kentucky

26-11

1.7

3.7398

0.7890

47

Virginia Tech

21-12

2.224

3.7073

0.7876

48

Utah

23-12

2.027

3.6792

0.7863

49

Louisville

22-14

2.406

3.6483

0.7849

50

Nebraska

22-11

1.935

3.6375

0.7844

51

Vermont

26-8

1.242

3.5961

0.7824

52

Texas

19-15

2.885

3.5839

0.7818

53

Oklahoma

18-14

2.831

3.5621

0.7808

54

Missouri

19-13

2.468

3.4896

0.7773

55

USC

24-12

1.826

3.45

0.7753

56

Alabama

20-16

2.807

3.4483

0.7752

57

Old Dominion

25-7

1.095

3.4144

0.7735

58

North Carolina St.

21-12

2.027

3.3782

0.7716

59

UCLA

21-12

2.019

3.3642

0.7709

60

Marquette

21-14

2.3

3.3391

0.7695

61

Montana

24-8

1.237

3.3216

0.7686

62

Boise St.

22-9

1.468

3.2854

0.7666

63

Louisiana Lafayette

25-7

1.044

3.2545

0.7650

64

Oklahoma St.

21-15

2.365

3.2249

0.7633

65

College of Charleston

24-8

1.142

3.0656

0.7540

66

UNC Greensboro

24-8

1.114

2.991

0.7494

67

Baylor

18-15

2.476

2.9264

0.7453

68

Georgia

18-15

2.465

2.913

0.7444

69

Arizona St.

20-12

1.829

2.9123

0.7444

70

Belmont

24-9

1.194

2.9003

0.7436

71

San Diego St.

21-11

1.545

2.7803

0.7355

72

Northeastern

22-10

1.354

2.767

0.7345

73

Notre Dame

20-15

2.078

2.7071

0.7302

74

Washington

21-13

1.728

2.6813

0.7284

75

Davidson

21-12

1.605

2.6745

0.7279

76

LSU

18-15

2.247

2.6559

0.7265

77

Oregon

23-13

1.571

2.6545

0.7264

78

BYU

24-11

1.296

2.6441

0.7256

79

Stephen F. Austin

24-7

0.877

2.631

0.7246

80

Marshall

24-11

1.289

2.6302

0.7245

81

Maryland

18-13

1.931

2.5973

0.7220

82

East Tennessee St.

23-9

1.051

2.4516

0.7103

83

Temple

17-16

2.271

2.4005

0.7059

84

Boston College

19-16

2.01

2.355

0.7019

85

Toledo

22-11

1.239

2.3299

0.6997

86

South Carolina

16-16

2.302

2.3018

0.6971

87

Bucknell

25-10

0.9925

2.2871

0.6958

88

South Dakota

22-9

1.011

2.2622

0.6935

89

Rider

22-10

1.069

2.1839

0.6859

90

Stanford

19-16

1.849

2.1658

0.6841

91

UCF

19-13

1.531

2.1638

0.6839

92

Tulsa

19-12

1.413

2.1457

0.6821

93

Furman

21-10

1.062

2.0771

0.6750

94

Lipscomb

20-10

1.111

2.0762

0.6749

95

Wright St.

23-10

0.9678

2.0618

0.6734

96

UC Davis

20-11

1.193

2.0523

0.6724

97

Northern Colorado

23-12

1.12

2.0325

0.6702

98

UC Santa Barbara

21-9

0.933

1.9993

0.6666

99

Colorado

17-15

1.777

1.9928

0.6659

100

Fresno St.

19-11

1.208

1.9814

0.6646

101

Memphis

21-13

1.275

1.9787

0.6643

102

Penn

23-9

0.8474

1.9774

0.6641

103

Wyoming

19-13

1.396

1.9736

0.6637

104

St. John’s

15-17

2.213

1.9733

0.6637

105

Illinois St.

17-15

1.721

1.9296

0.6587

106

Southern Illinois

19-13

1.355

1.9162

0.6571

107

Idaho

20-9

0.9239

1.8918

0.6542

108

Utah Valley

20-11

1.092

1.8786

0.6526

109

Bradley

19-13

1.318

1.8627

0.6507

110

UMBC

22-11

0.9844

1.8507

0.6492

111

William & Mary

17-12

1.325

1.8161

0.6449

112

Northern Kentucky

20-10

0.9552

1.7858

0.6410

113

Hofstra

18-12

1.155

1.6684

0.6252

114

Georgia St.

22-11

0.878

1.6507

0.6227

115

Indiana

16-15

1.554

1.6477

0.6223

116

UNLV

20-13

1.094

1.6215

0.6185

117

Wisconsin

15-18

1.868

1.5808

0.6125

118

Jacksonville St.

22-13

0.971

1.5737

0.6115

119

Cal St. Fullerton

18-12

1.083

1.5649

0.6101

120

Iowa St.

13-18

2.089

1.553

0.6083

121

Eastern Michigan

18-13

1.14

1.5325

0.6051

122

Ball St.

18-13

1.131

1.5216

0.6034

123

New Mexico

18-15

1.277

1.5094

0.6015

124

SMU

17-16

1.425

1.5065

0.6010

125

Wagner

21-10

0.7478

1.4631

0.5940

126

UT Arlington

20-13

0.9864

1.4625

0.5939

127

Eastern Washington

18-15

1.231

1.4553

0.5927

128

Georgetown

15-15

1.452

1.4515

0.5921

129

Radford

21-13

0.9304

1.4438

0.5908

130

Vanderbilt

12-20

2.293

1.4395

0.5901

131

Albany

21-10

0.7147

1.3982

0.5830

132

Canisius

21-12

0.8373

1.3955

0.5825

133

Missouri St.

17-15

1.242

1.393

0.5821

134

Northern Iowa

14-16

1.562

1.3836

0.5805

135

Iona

20-14

0.9961

1.3817

0.5801

136

Oregon St.

16-16

1.379

1.3789

0.5796

137

Southeastern Louisiana

19-12

0.9037

1.3722

0.5785

138

VCU

18-15

1.144

1.352

0.5748

139

Wofford

18-13

0.9983

1.3425

0.5731

140

Georgia Southern

19-12

0.8776

1.3327

0.5713

141

Weber St.

17-11

0.895

1.3247

0.5698

142

UNC Asheville

19-13

0.9362

1.3235

0.5696

143

Northwestern

14-17

1.57

1.3154

0.5681

144

UAB

18-13

0.9746

1.3107

0.5672

145

UC Irvine

16-17

1.376

1.3012

0.5654

146

Nicholls St.

17-11

0.8784

1.3001

0.5652

147

Connecticut

14-18

1.625

1.2913

0.5636

148

San Diego

19-14

0.9759

1.2907

0.5635

149

Harvard

17-14

1.074

1.282

0.5618

150

Minnesota

15-17

1.42

1.2667

0.5588

151

Mississippi

12-20

1.989

1.249

0.5554

152

Drake

16-17

1.307

1.2363

0.5528

153

Central Michigan

18-15

1.043

1.2324

0.5520

154

Evansville

15-15

1.23

1.2297

0.5515

155

Florida Gulf Coast

20-12

0.771

1.2279

0.5511

156

Portland St.

17-14

1.027

1.2261

0.5508

157

Iowa

14-19

1.614

1.22

0.5495

158

San Francisco

21-17

0.9978

1.2136

0.5482

159

Tennessee Tech

17-14

0.9829

1.1732

0.5398

160

Grand Canyon

21-12

0.7027

1.1712

0.5394

161

Utah St.

16-17

1.226

1.1598

0.5370

162

Towson

16-14

1.025

1.1575

0.5365

163

Saint Joseph’s

16-16

1.141

1.141

0.5329

164

Georgia Tech

13-19

1.612

1.1402

0.5327

165

Saint Louis

16-16

1.131

1.1312

0.5308

166

Mercer

17-15

0.9976

1.1185

0.5280

167

Niagara

19-14

0.812

1.0739

0.5178

168

Kent St.

16-17

1.115

1.055

0.5134

169

Western Michigan

15-15

1.048

1.0478

0.5117

170

Oakland

19-14

0.7917

1.0471

0.5115

171

Austin Peay

17-15

0.9337

1.0469

0.5115

172

Winthrop

16-12

0.8074

1.0466

0.5114

173

Dayton

14-17

1.208

1.0125

0.5031

174

Illinois

13-18

1.344

0.99932

0.4998

175

Valparaiso

13-17

1.271

0.99583

0.4990

176

UTSA

17-15

0.863

0.96756

0.4918

177

Wake Forest

11-20

1.655

0.96237

0.4904

178

Tulane

14-17

1.137

0.95277

0.4879

179

Miami OH

14-18

1.172

0.9313

0.4822

180

DePaul

11-20

1.602

0.93127

0.4822

181

Seattle

17-14

0.7783

0.92892

0.4816

182

Sam Houston St.

17-15

0.8227

0.9224

0.4798

183

Yale

15-15

0.9135

0.91346

0.4774

184

Washington St.

12-19

1.379

0.90823

0.4760

185

North Texas

18-18

0.8984

0.89839

0.4732

186

Navy

19-12

0.5887

0.89388

0.4720

187

Hawaii

15-13

0.7815

0.88924

0.4707

188

Indiana St.

11-18

1.374

0.88069

0.4683

189

Louisiana Tech

15-16

0.9241

0.87128

0.4656

190

Hartford

18-14

0.6869

0.86414

0.4636

191

St. Francis PA

16-13

0.7117

0.85897

0.4621

192

Colgate

18-14

0.6783

0.85336

0.4604

193

Bowling Green

14-16

0.9578

0.84831

0.4590

194

Rutgers

14-19

1.121

0.84777

0.4588

195

Long Beach St.

13-18

1.138

0.846

0.4583

196

George Washington

15-18

0.9823

0.83119

0.4539

197

Illinois Chicago

18-16

0.7443

0.82941

0.4534

198

George Mason

16-17

0.8753

0.82798

0.4529

199

Tennessee St.

13-15

0.9402

0.82621

0.4524

200

Liberty

19-15

0.6626

0.82326

0.4515

201

Fairfield

17-16

0.7742

0.8184

0.4501

202

Ohio

13-17

1.039

0.81441

0.4489

203

Fort Wayne

14-15

0.8406

0.78967

0.4412

204

Pacific

13-18

1.013

0.75312

0.4296

205

Troy

14-17

0.8853

0.74175

0.4259

206

Central Arkansas

17-17

0.7382

0.73819

0.4247

207

La Salle

13-19

1.041

0.73637

0.4241

208

Denver

13-15

0.8372

0.7357

0.4239

209

Elon

12-18

1.047

0.72491

0.4203

210

Richmond

12-20

1.147

0.72

0.4186

211

Robert Morris

16-17

0.7523

0.7116

0.4158

212

North Dakota St.

12-17

0.9639

0.70339

0.4129

213

Milwaukee

15-16

0.7426

0.70013

0.4118

214

Southern Miss

12-18

1.01

0.6993

0.4115

215

Akron

13-18

0.9381

0.69758

0.4109

216

Mount St. Mary’s

16-14

0.6092

0.68783

0.4075

217

Lamar

15-14

0.6266

0.66704

0.4001

218

Lehigh

15-14

0.6161

0.6558

0.3961

219

Grambling St.

16-14

0.58

0.6548

0.3957

220

Princeton

12-16

0.8347

0.64393

0.3917

221

Louisiana Monroe

13-16

0.7689

0.63707

0.3892

222

Manhattan

14-17

0.751

0.62925

0.3862

223

Duquesne

16-16

0.6195

0.61953

0.3825

224

Boston University

14-16

0.6993

0.6194

0.3825

225

Massachusetts

13-20

0.8964

0.60458

0.3768

226

Delaware

12-19

0.9159

0.60314

0.3762

227

Northern Illinois

11-19

0.982

0.59879

0.3745

228

Drexel

12-20

0.9501

0.59656

0.3737

229

North Carolina A&T

18-15

0.5038

0.59535

0.3732

230

Monmouth

11-20

1.014

0.58941

0.3708

231

LIU Brooklyn

17-17

0.5853

0.58531

0.3692

232

Campbell

15-16

0.6062

0.57151

0.3637

233

UT Rio Grande Valley

13-18

0.7684

0.57139

0.3636

234

Texas Southern

16-20

0.699

0.56898

0.3626

235

Appalachian St.

13-18

0.7582

0.56378

0.3605

236

North Dakota

10-20

1.05

0.5616

0.3596

237

Western Carolina

11-19

0.916

0.55851

0.3584

238

North Florida

11-19

0.915

0.55795

0.3581

239

Idaho St.

12-16

0.7197

0.55519

0.3570

240

Southern Utah

11-19

0.9036

0.55095

0.3552

241

Stony Brook

12-19

0.8321

0.54794

0.3540

242

Saint Peter’s

14-18

0.6882

0.54705

0.3536

243

Colorado St.

10-21

1.059

0.54137

0.3512

244

Southeast Missouri St.

12-17

0.7384

0.5388

0.3501

245

Savannah St.

13-17

0.6862

0.53781

0.3497

246

New Orleans

13-17

0.681

0.53377

0.3480

247

Hampton

16-16

0.5323

0.53229

0.3474

248

Cal St. Bakersfield

9-18

0.9874

0.53166

0.3471

249

Texas St.

13-18

0.7148

0.5315

0.3470

250

Air Force

10-19

0.946

0.5307

0.3467

251

Cornell

11-16

0.7387

0.52767

0.3454

252

Gardner Webb

11-18

0.7933

0.50853

0.3371

253

Prairie View A&M

15-18

0.6006

0.50823

0.3370

254

Pittsburgh

8-24

1.362

0.50753

0.3367

255

Central Connecticut

14-18

0.6262

0.49775

0.3323

256

Charleston Southern

12-16

0.6427

0.49579

0.3315

257

UNC Wilmington

9-21

1.057

0.49345

0.3304

258

Coastal Carolina

11-18

0.7584

0.48615

0.3271

259

Abilene Christian

12-16

0.629

0.48524

0.3267

260

California

8-23

1.243

0.48212

0.3253

261

Bethune Cookman

16-14

0.4221

0.47661

0.3228

262

South Alabama

12-18

0.6882

0.47645

0.3227

263

Eastern Illinois

10-19

0.8493

0.47642

0.3227

264

Oral Roberts

8-20

1.064

0.47015

0.3198

265

Montana St.

11-19

0.762

0.46462

0.3172

266

High Point

11-16

0.6421

0.45864

0.3144

267

Fairleigh Dickinson

11-18

0.6958

0.44603

0.3085

268

NJIT

12-16

0.5737

0.44257

0.3068

269

Loyola Marymount

10-20

0.7808

0.41766

0.2946

270

North Carolina Central

16-16

0.413

0.41303

0.2923

271

Army

12-17

0.562

0.41013

0.2908

272

James Madison

9-22

0.9159

0.40925

0.2904

273

FIU

11-18

0.6361

0.40773

0.2896

274

Holy Cross

12-19

0.6008

0.39563

0.2835

275

Quinnipiac

12-21

0.653

0.39179

0.2815

276

St. Francis NY

11-18

0.6094

0.39065

0.2809

277

Norfolk St.

13-17

0.4976

0.38997

0.2806

278

Western Illinois

8-16

0.7152

0.38824

0.2797

279

Florida Atlantic

9-19

0.749

0.38366

0.2773

280

East Carolina

10-20

0.7153

0.38263

0.2767

281

Brown

10-16

0.5815

0.38211

0.2765

282

Eastern Kentucky

9-20

0.7707

0.3764

0.2735

283

Jacksonville

11-18

0.5766

0.36964

0.2699

284

Santa Clara

10-19

0.6575

0.36886

0.2695

285

South Florida

10-22

0.7393

0.36178

0.2657

286

UTEP

10-20

0.6683

0.35746

0.2633

287

UMKC

8-21

0.8417

0.35538

0.2622

288

IUPUI

9-19

0.6888

0.3528

0.2608

289

SIU Edwardsville

9-21

0.749

0.34951

0.2590

290

Cleveland St.

11-23

0.6802

0.34703

0.2576

291

Nebraska Omaha

7-22

0.9507

0.34389

0.2559

292

Fordham

9-22

0.767

0.34271

0.2552

293

UMass Lowell

11-18

0.5346

0.34268

0.2552

294

Green Bay

10-20

0.6231

0.33331

0.2500

295

Arkansas St.

9-21

0.6982

0.32585

0.2458

296

The Citadel

8-21

0.7547

0.31867

0.2417

297

Arkansas Pine Bluff

14-21

0.4563

0.31431

0.2391

298

McNeese St.

8-17

0.6095

0.31301

0.2384

299

Southern

13-18

0.4164

0.30963

0.2364

300

Samford

8-22

0.7353

0.29725

0.2291

301

Cal Poly

7-22

0.8169

0.29548

0.2281

302

Kennesaw St.

8-20

0.6606

0.2919

0.2259

303

Morehead St.

6-21

0.8736

0.2912

0.2255

304

UC Riverside

7-22

0.8042

0.2909

0.2253

305

Tennessee Martin

8-21

0.6682

0.28214

0.2201

306

Portland

7-22

0.7601

0.27492

0.2156

307

Chattanooga

8-23

0.6934

0.26887

0.2119

308

Columbia

7-19

0.6436

0.26685

0.2106

309

Lafayette

9-21

0.5615

0.26205

0.2076

310

Siena

8-24

0.6859

0.25555

0.2035

311

Texas A&M Corpus Chris

8-18

0.5245

0.25554

0.2035

312

Morgan St.

11-19

0.4035

0.24606

0.1975

313

Presbyterian

8-21

0.5823

0.24586

0.1973

314

VMI

7-21

0.6484

0.24496

0.1968

315

Binghamton

9-20

0.4965

0.24249

0.1952

316

Stetson

8-20

0.5388

0.23807

0.1923

317

New Hampshire

8-21

0.5597

0.23632

0.1911

318

Loyola MD

8-22

0.574

0.23204

0.1883

319

Jackson St.

10-20

0.4253

0.2275

0.1853

320

Sacred Heart

9-21

0.4833

0.22555

0.1840

321

Little Rock

6-24

0.7503

0.22068

0.1808

322

Sacramento St.

5-25

0.8644

0.21202

0.1749

323

Youngstown St.

6-24

0.7149

0.21025

0.1737

324

Dartmouth

6-20

0.5841

0.20377

0.1693

325

Charlotte

5-23

0.7211

0.19131

0.1606

326

Detroit

6-24

0.6481

0.19063

0.1601

327

Northern Arizona

4-26

0.9066

0.18132

0.1535

328

South Carolina St.

8-22

0.4392

0.17753

0.1508

329

Pepperdine

5-26

0.7483

0.17687

0.1503

330

Marist

6-25

0.6225

0.17617

0.1498

331

San Jose St.

3-26

1.056

0.17273

0.1473

332

Howard

8-23

0.4383

0.16996

0.1453

333

Rice

5-24

0.6573

0.16754

0.1435

334

Florida A&M

8-25

0.4516

0.16188

0.1393

335

Alabama St.

8-23

0.4136

0.16038

0.1382

336

Alcorn St.

7-21

0.407

0.15377

0.1333

337

American

6-24

0.5113

0.15039

0.1307

338

Cal St. Northridge

4-24

0.6355

0.13706

0.1205

339

Longwood

4-26

0.6165

0.1233

0.1098

340

Maine

4-26

0.5938

0.11876

0.1062

341

USC Upstate

3-25

0.6265

0.10639

0.0962

342

Maryland Eastern Shore

5-25

0.4196

0.10291

0.0933

343

Coppin St.

5-27

0.4422

0.10085

0.0916

344

Bryant

3-28

0.5643

0.086075

0.0793

345

Incarnate Word

3-21

0.3981

0.079626

0.0738

346

Houston Baptist

3-25

0.4667

0.079246

0.0734

347

Mississippi Valley St.

4-28

0.4063

0.075748

0.0704

348

Chicago St.

1-29

0.9237

0.075716

0.0704

349

Northwestern St.

2-23

0.4936

0.070515

0.0659

350

Alabama A&M

3-28

0.3708

0.056567

0.0535

351

Delaware St.

2-28

0.3633

0.043107

0.0413