Updated through games of April 8

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.793

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Virginia

35-3

4.715

38.241

0.9745

2

Duke

32-6

5.402

24.128

0.9602

3

Gonzaga

33-4

2.708

16.988

0.9444

4

Michigan St.

32-7

4.224

16.646

0.9433

5

Houston

33-4

2.587

16.228

0.9420

6

Kentucky

30-7

4.309

15.968

0.9411

7

Tennessee

30-6

3.784

15.892

0.9408

8

North Carolina

29-7

4.366

15.668

0.9400

9

Texas Tech

31-7

4.043

15.457

0.9392

10

Michigan

30-7

3.493

12.945

0.9283

11

Florida St.

29-8

3.617

11.614

0.9207

12

Buffalo

31-4

1.909

11.283

0.9186

13

LSU

28-7

3.238

11.239

0.9183

14

Auburn

29-10

3.957

10.494

0.9130

15

Wofford

27-5

2.333

10.23

0.9110

16

Kansas

26-10

4.099

9.802

0.9074

17

Purdue

26-10

3.878

9.2747

0.9027

18

Cincinnati

28-7

2.372

8.2308

0.8917

19

Virginia Tech

26-9

3.052

7.9927

0.8888

20

Kansas St.

25-9

3.011

7.5998

0.8837

21

Wisconsin

23-11

3.29

6.4475

0.8657

22

Nevada

29-5

1.321

6.2004

0.8611

23

Maryland

23-11

3.031

5.9402

0.8559

24

Villanova

26-10

2.459

5.8807

0.8547

25

Murray St.

26-5

1.386

5.8659

0.8544

26

UNC Greensboro

27-7

1.702

5.7068

0.8509

27

Washington

27-9

2.084

5.6575

0.8498

28

Belmont

26-6

1.543

5.6569

0.8498

29

Mississippi St.

23-11

2.821

5.5286

0.8468

30

Iowa St.

23-12

2.98

5.4077

0.8439

31

UCF

24-9

2.224

5.4008

0.8438

32

Lipscomb

27-8

1.709

5.1282

0.8368

33

Utah St.

27-7

1.521

5.1008

0.8361

34

Marquette

24-10

2.256

5.0022

0.8334

35

New Mexico St.

28-5

1.086

4.9296

0.8314

36

UC Irvine

30-6

1.117

4.6912

0.8243

37

Iowa

23-12

2.576

4.6755

0.8238

38

VCU

25-8

1.583

4.4148

0.8153

39

Louisville

20-14

3.134

4.3466

0.8130

40

Oklahoma

20-14

3.113

4.3185

0.8120

41

Minnesota

22-14

2.815

4.2674

0.8102

42

Temple

23-10

1.991

4.2425

0.8093

43

Liberty

26-7

1.273

4.1185

0.8046

44

TCU

23-14

2.407

3.8051

0.7919

45

Toledo

24-8

1.401

3.7599

0.7899

46

North Carolina St.

24-12

1.982

3.7429

0.7892

47

Texas

21-16

2.863

3.6806

0.7864

48

Baylor

20-14

2.625

3.6418

0.7846

49

Florida

20-16

2.933

3.6031

0.7828

50

Arizona St.

23-11

1.815

3.5579

0.7806

51

Oregon

25-13

1.946

3.5556

0.7805

52

Vermont

26-7

1.074

3.4742

0.7765

53

Furman

22-8

1.403

3.4717

0.7764

54

Ohio St.

20-15

2.614

3.4062

0.7730

55

Yale

21-8

1.385

3.2808

0.7664

56

Syracuse

20-14

2.342

3.2481

0.7646

57

Saint Mary’s

22-12

1.86

3.2382

0.7641

58

Mississippi

20-13

2.176

3.2269

0.7634

59

Hofstra

26-8

1.108

3.2074

0.7623

60

Seton Hall

20-14

2.283

3.1664

0.7600

61

Georgia St.

23-10

1.376

2.9305

0.7456

62

Old Dominion

26-9

1.117

2.9261

0.7453

63

Wichita St.

22-15

2.051

2.9206

0.7449

64

Memphis

22-14

1.926

2.9198

0.7449

65

Northeastern

23-11

1.463

2.8666

0.7414

66

Clemson

20-14

2.042

2.8322

0.7391

67

St. John’s

21-13

1.763

2.7357

0.7323

68

Davidson

23-10

1.281

2.7293

0.7319

69

Nebraska

18-17

2.572

2.7111

0.7305

70

Alabama

18-16

2.429

2.7071

0.7302

71

East Tennessee St.

22-10

1.297

2.6507

0.7261

72

Creighton

19-15

2.122

2.6362

0.7250

73

Indiana

19-16

2.21

2.5887

0.7213

74

Charleston

23-9

1.061

2.4749

0.7122

75

Utah Valley

23-10

1.145

2.439

0.7092

76

Xavier

19-16

2.022

2.3686

0.7031

77

Harvard

18-12

1.636

2.3628

0.7026

78

Montana

24-9

0.947

2.2998

0.6969

79

Colorado

23-13

1.333

2.2525

0.6925

80

Fresno St.

22-9

0.9948

2.2264

0.6901

81

BYU

19-13

1.568

2.2163

0.6891

82

Kent St.

20-11

1.279

2.1993

0.6874

83

Dayton

21-12

1.318

2.197

0.6872

84

Northern Kentucky

24-9

0.9014

2.1892

0.6864

85

San Francisco

20-10

1.169

2.1862

0.6861

86

Arkansas

18-16

1.943

2.1647

0.6840

87

Drake

22-10

1.059

2.1631

0.6839

88

Georgetown

19-14

1.634

2.1617

0.6837

89

Jacksonville St.

22-9

0.9514

2.1293

0.6804

90

South Florida

23-14

1.328

2.0996

0.6774

91

Bowling Green

20-12

1.306

2.0806

0.6754

92

South Carolina

15-16

2.203

2.0768

0.6750

93

Abilene Christian

23-7

0.7173

2.0675

0.6740

94

Penn St.

14-18

2.573

2.045

0.6716

95

Colgate

23-11

1.033

2.0238

0.6693

96

Western Kentucky

20-14

1.454

2.0165

0.6685

97

Saint Louis

23-13

1.179

1.9922

0.6658

98

Providence

18-16

1.776

1.9787

0.6643

99

Stony Brook

23-9

0.8374

1.9538

0.6615

100

Tulsa

18-14

1.532

1.9277

0.6584

101

San Diego

20-15

1.453

1.8935

0.6544

102

Oregon St.

18-13

1.406

1.8913

0.6541

103

Texas St.

22-10

0.9232

1.8866

0.6536

104

Georgia Southern

19-12

1.234

1.8739

0.6520

105

Marshall

23-14

1.183

1.8693

0.6515

106

Butler

16-17

1.971

1.8642

0.6509

107

Central Michigan

20-12

1.163

1.8514

0.6493

108

San Diego St.

20-13

1.246

1.8479

0.6489

109

Loyola Marymount

20-12

1.156

1.8415

0.6481

110

Penn

18-12

1.274

1.8402

0.6479

111

Missouri

15-17

2.035

1.8147

0.6447

112

Austin Peay

20-11

1.031

1.7739

0.6395

113

Bucknell

21-12

1.061

1.7681

0.6387

114

Utah

17-14

1.472

1.7574

0.6373

115

Arizona

17-15

1.56

1.7486

0.6362

116

Radford

19-11

1.066

1.7481

0.6361

117

Southern Miss

17-12

1.273

1.745

0.6357

118

West Virginia

15-21

2.363

1.7329

0.6341

119

Oklahoma St.

12-20

2.758

1.7315

0.6339

120

South Dakota St.

23-9

0.7359

1.717

0.6319

121

Lehigh

20-11

0.9761

1.6788

0.6267

122

UCLA

17-16

1.552

1.6404

0.6213

123

Texas A&M

14-18

2.057

1.6351

0.6205

124

Rutgers

14-17

1.913

1.603

0.6158

125

Louisiana Tech

18-13

1.179

1.5854

0.6132

126

Brown

18-12

1.094

1.5798

0.6124

127

Gardner Webb

20-12

0.9314

1.4833

0.5973

128

Princeton

14-12

1.279

1.4686

0.5949

129

DePaul

19-17

1.323

1.4657

0.5944

130

Grand Canyon

19-14

1.102

1.4569

0.5930

131

Connecticut

16-17

1.538

1.4553

0.5927

132

Nebraska Omaha

20-11

0.8361

1.4381

0.5898

133

Rhode Island

18-15

1.181

1.3958

0.5826

134

NJIT

21-13

0.8881

1.3781

0.5795

135

Miami FL

14-18

1.724

1.3702

0.5781

136

North Texas

18-12

0.9291

1.3421

0.5730

137

Loyola Chicago

19-14

1.007

1.3317

0.5711

138

UAB

18-15

1.105

1.3055

0.5663

139

SMU

15-17

1.45

1.2932

0.5639

140

Stanford

15-16

1.371

1.2924

0.5638

141

UC Santa Barbara

20-10

0.6841

1.279

0.5612

142

Wright St.

19-14

0.9603

1.2701

0.5595

143

UTSA

14-14

1.241

1.2407

0.5537

144

USC

16-17

1.306

1.2349

0.5526

145

Louisiana

17-13

0.9667

1.2334

0.5523

146

Georgia Tech

14-18

1.547

1.23

0.5516

147

Texas Southern

22-14

0.8103

1.2286

0.5513

148

FIU

16-14

1.086

1.2258

0.5507

149

Illinois

12-21

2.034

1.2207

0.5497

150

St. Bonaventure

18-16

1.084

1.2079

0.5471

151

Southern Illinois

17-15

1.058

1.1864

0.5426

152

Boston College

14-17

1.411

1.1826

0.5418

153

Bradley

19-15

0.9517

1.1824

0.5418

154

Sam Houston St.

18-12

0.8177

1.1812

0.5415

155

Northern Colorado

19-11

0.7109

1.1659

0.5383

156

UT Arlington

16-16

1.154

1.1537

0.5357

157

Duquesne

19-13

0.8141

1.1509

0.5351

158

Prairie View A&M

21-13

0.7379

1.145

0.5338

159

Green Bay

19-17

1.029

1.1405

0.5328

160

Northwestern

13-19

1.612

1.1405

0.5328

161

Notre Dame

14-19

1.504

1.1368

0.5320

162

Pittsburgh

14-19

1.49

1.1264

0.5297

163

Akron

15-16

1.189

1.1214

0.5286

164

George Mason

18-15

0.9479

1.1203

0.5284

165

Ohio

13-17

1.379

1.0807

0.5194

166

Winthrop

15-12

0.8721

1.0659

0.5159

167

Northern Illinois

15-17

1.182

1.0543

0.5132

168

Ball St.

15-17

1.163

1.0372

0.5091

169

Campbell

17-13

0.8061

1.0285

0.5070

170

UT Rio Grande Valley

18-17

0.9746

1.0272

0.5067

171

Miami OH

13-17

1.306

1.0234

0.5058

172

UNLV

17-14

0.8398

1.0023

0.5006

173

Louisiana Monroe

18-16

0.8966

0.99901

0.4998

174

Eastern Michigan

11-17

1.468

0.99197

0.4980

175

Illinois St.

16-16

0.987

0.98698

0.4967

176

Santa Clara

15-15

0.9703

0.97031

0.4925

177

Georgia

11-21

1.721

0.95589

0.4887

178

North Florida

14-17

1.136

0.95215

0.4877

179

Northern Iowa

14-18

1.181

0.93843

0.4841

180

Fairleigh Dickinson

19-14

0.7069

0.93491

0.4832

181

Cornell

13-16

1.124

0.93169

0.4823

182

Samford

16-16

0.9141

0.91409

0.4776

183

Missouri St.

15-16

0.9653

0.91013

0.4765

184

Florida Atlantic

14-16

1.024

0.9068

0.4756

185

Indiana St.

13-16

1.069

0.88534

0.4696

186

Cal St. Bakersfield

15-16

0.9374

0.88386

0.4692

187

UMBC

18-13

0.655

0.88082

0.4683

188

Hartford

17-15

0.7822

0.87703

0.4672

189

Pepperdine

15-18

1.035

0.87604

0.4670

190

North Dakota St.

17-16

0.8133

0.85972

0.4623

191

Holy Cross

16-17

0.9042

0.8553

0.4610

192

Wake Forest

11-20

1.453

0.84452

0.4579

193

Coastal Carolina

15-17

0.9452

0.843

0.4574

194

Saint Joseph’s

14-19

1.084

0.81945

0.4504

195

Presbyterian

17-16

0.7717

0.81575

0.4493

196

Delaware

15-16

0.8626

0.81327

0.4485

197

Lamar

16-13

0.6677

0.80585

0.4462

198

Hawaii

16-13

0.6554

0.79102

0.4417

199

William & Mary

13-17

0.9999

0.7837

0.4394

200

Weber St.

16-15

0.7377

0.78246

0.4390

201

Norfolk St.

19-14

0.5876

0.77721

0.4373

202

St. Francis PA

16-15

0.7266

0.77068

0.4352

203

Seattle

16-15

0.7243

0.76825

0.4345

204

Iona

17-16

0.709

0.74953

0.4284

205

Cal St. Fullerton

14-18

0.9289

0.73834

0.4247

206

Illinois Chicago

14-16

0.8311

0.73612

0.4240

207

Pacific

12-18

1.061

0.73426

0.4234

208

Oakland

15-17

0.8103

0.72274

0.4195

209

Rider

16-15

0.6807

0.72196

0.4193

210

High Point

14-15

0.7617

0.71551

0.4171

211

Purdue Fort Wayne

15-15

0.7063

0.70631

0.4139

212

New Orleans

15-14

0.6571

0.69954

0.4116

213

Eastern Washington

15-18

0.8254

0.69841

0.4112

214

Hampton

15-17

0.7726

0.6891

0.4080

215

North Carolina A&T

17-13

0.54

0.68891

0.4079

216

Siena

17-16

0.6452

0.68207

0.4055

217

Cal Baptist

12-15

0.8307

0.67967

0.4046

218

Valparaiso

13-18

0.9053

0.67314

0.4023

219

New Mexico

13-18

0.9047

0.67275

0.4022

220

American

15-15

0.6723

0.67231

0.4020

221

Charleston Southern

14-16

0.7503

0.66457

0.3992

222

Long Beach St.

13-19

0.9138

0.64633

0.3926

223

Vanderbilt

9-23

1.498

0.64196

0.3910

224

South Alabama

15-17

0.718

0.64036

0.3904

225

Florida Gulf Coast

12-18

0.92

0.63693

0.3891

226

Canisius

15-17

0.7114

0.6345

0.3882

227

IUPUI

14-17

0.7559

0.6333

0.3877

228

Southern Utah

15-17

0.6906

0.61593

0.3812

229

Boston University

14-18

0.7721

0.6137

0.3803

230

Southeastern Louisiana

15-16

0.6452

0.60832

0.3782

231

Navy

12-19

0.9188

0.60505

0.3770

232

Robert Morris

16-17

0.6281

0.59413

0.3727

233

St. Francis NY

15-16

0.6272

0.59137

0.3716

234

Drexel

12-19

0.8836

0.58189

0.3678

235

Montana St.

14-17

0.6861

0.57487

0.3650

236

Quinnipiac

16-15

0.5371

0.56963

0.3629

237

Arkansas St.

11-19

0.9337

0.56931

0.3628

238

LIU Brooklyn

15-16

0.5887

0.55502

0.3569

239

Eastern Kentucky

11-18

0.8624

0.55283

0.3560

240

Rice

11-19

0.906

0.55245

0.3559

241

Morehead St.

11-20

0.9446

0.54916

0.3545

242

Air Force

13-18

0.7355

0.54695

0.3536

243

Detroit

11-20

0.9355

0.5439

0.3523

244

Portland St.

13-16

0.6564

0.54385

0.3523

245

Boise St.

12-20

0.8649

0.54309

0.3520

246

Sacred Heart

14-17

0.6425

0.5383

0.3499

247

Troy

10-18

0.8893

0.52448

0.3440

248

James Madison

12-19

0.7867

0.5181

0.3413

249

Army

12-19

0.7854

0.51722

0.3409

250

UMass Lowell

13-17

0.6534

0.51211

0.3387

251

The Citadel

9-18

0.9497

0.51135

0.3383

252

Middle Tennessee

9-21

1.076

0.50201

0.3342

253

Monmouth

14-21

0.7275

0.50119

0.3339

254

Sacramento St.

12-16

0.639

0.49293

0.3302

255

Washington St.

11-21

0.8821

0.49003

0.3289

256

Richmond

13-20

0.724

0.4883

0.3281

257

Colorado St.

11-20

0.8254

0.4799

0.3243

258

Evansville

9-21

1.017

0.47441

0.3218

259

Mercer

9-20

0.97

0.47372

0.3214

260

Eastern Illinois

13-18

0.6364

0.47324

0.3212

261

UMKC

10-21

0.9209

0.47068

0.3200

262

East Carolina

10-21

0.9148

0.46754

0.3186

263

Columbia

8-18

0.9576

0.46653

0.3181

264

South Dakota

11-17

0.6649

0.44923

0.3100

265

California

8-23

1.143

0.4431

0.3070

266

Wagner

11-17

0.6553

0.44278

0.3069

267

Longwood

13-18

0.5911

0.43953

0.3053

268

Loyola MD

11-21

0.7908

0.43936

0.3052

269

Appalachian St.

8-21

1.037

0.43795

0.3046

270

Chattanooga

9-20

0.8833

0.43138

0.3014

271

Dartmouth

9-19

0.8308

0.42552

0.2985

272

Massachusetts

11-21

0.7651

0.42505

0.2983

273

La Salle

10-21

0.8256

0.42199

0.2968

274

North Carolina Central

15-16

0.4415

0.41631

0.2939

275

Youngstown St.

10-20

0.7748

0.41444

0.2930

276

Grambling St.

14-17

0.494

0.41392

0.2927

277

Central Arkansas

11-19

0.6701

0.40862

0.2901

278

Howard

14-17

0.4709

0.39454

0.2829

279

UNC Wilmington

9-23

0.9198

0.39421

0.2827

280

Stephen F. Austin

10-16

0.5909

0.3883

0.2797

281

Lafayette

9-20

0.7835

0.38264

0.2767

282

Cal St. Northridge

12-21

0.6337

0.38022

0.2755

283

Texas A&M Corpus Chris

10-18

0.6441

0.37985

0.2753

284

Tennessee Martin

10-19

0.6751

0.37871

0.2747

285

UC Davis

9-20

0.766

0.37409

0.2722

286

Idaho St.

9-19

0.711

0.36416

0.2669

287

Marist

12-19

0.5508

0.36275

0.2662

288

Charlotte

8-21

0.8547

0.36089

0.2652

289

Houston Baptist

10-18

0.6097

0.35954

0.2645

290

Elon

9-21

0.7684

0.35856

0.2639

291

Fordham

11-20

0.6144

0.35722

0.2632

292

Arkansas Pine Bluff

12-19

0.5373

0.35386

0.2614

293

Oral Roberts

9-21

0.7565

0.35306

0.2609

294

Niagara

13-19

0.4915

0.34766

0.2580

295

Nicholls St.

10-17

0.5526

0.34349

0.2557

296

Jacksonville

10-20

0.6416

0.34319

0.2555

297

VMI

8-21

0.8033

0.33919

0.2533

298

Little Rock

8-21

0.7976

0.33677

0.2519

299

North Alabama

7-22

0.9294

0.33618

0.2516

300

George Washington

9-24

0.8163

0.33613

0.2516

301

Northern Arizona

10-21

0.6515

0.33299

0.2498

302

Albany

11-20

0.5677

0.33009

0.2482

303

Central Connecticut

9-20

0.6717

0.32804

0.2470

304

Towson

9-22

0.7153

0.31958

0.2422

305

North Dakota

8-18

0.6494

0.31636

0.2403

306

Bryant

10-20

0.5834

0.31206

0.2378

307

Florida A&M

10-19

0.5486

0.30778

0.2353

308

Cleveland St.

8-21

0.7279

0.30732

0.2351

309

Western Michigan

7-24

0.9131

0.30437

0.2333

310

Bethune Cookman

12-17

0.4096

0.29893

0.2301

311

Alabama St.

10-19

0.5196

0.29149

0.2257

312

Manhattan

11-21

0.5147

0.28594

0.2224

313

Milwaukee

8-22

0.6916

0.2796

0.2185

314

Southeast Missouri St.

8-21

0.661

0.2791

0.2182

315

Jackson St.

11-19

0.4492

0.2739

0.2150

316

Western Carolina

6-25

0.9365

0.26504

0.2095

317

Saint Peter’s

10-22

0.5281

0.25841

0.2053

318

Mount St. Mary’s

7-22

0.7034

0.25443

0.2028

319

Tennessee St.

7-21

0.6638

0.25077

0.2005

320

SIU Edwardsville

8-21

0.5828

0.24607

0.1975

321

UC Riverside

7-23

0.6892

0.23911

0.1930

322

UTEP

6-21

0.7143

0.2381

0.1923

323

Western Illinois

8-21

0.559

0.23602

0.1910

324

Fairfield

9-22

0.5096

0.22768

0.1855

325

Northwestern St.

8-20

0.5

0.22095

0.1810

326

Binghamton

8-23

0.5666

0.21969

0.1801

327

Denver

7-22

0.6061

0.21921

0.1798

328

Savannah St.

10-20

0.3921

0.20975

0.1734

329

Wyoming

7-24

0.6241

0.20802

0.1722

330

Tulane

4-27

1.047

0.20207

0.1681

331

Tennessee Tech

6-23

0.6399

0.19588

0.1638

332

McNeese St.

6-21

0.571

0.19032

0.1599

333

Portland

5-25

0.7278

0.17851

0.1515

334

Coppin St.

8-25

0.4165

0.1493

0.1299

335

Kennesaw St.

4-26

0.7288

0.14575

0.1272

336

Morgan St.

8-20

0.3195

0.14117

0.1237

337

Alcorn St.

6-21

0.4151

0.13836

0.1215

338

Stetson

5-24

0.5257

0.134

0.1182

339

Cal Poly

4-23

0.5753

0.12915

0.1144

340

Southern

6-25

0.4209

0.11911

0.1064

341

Maine

4-27

0.5726

0.11049

0.0995

342

South Carolina St.

6-26

0.4034

0.11001

0.0991

343

Mississippi Valley St.

5-26

0.4204

0.09937

0.0904

344

San Jose St.

3-27

0.6284

0.099222

0.0903

345

Idaho

3-26

0.6007

0.098292

0.0895

346

Maryland Eastern Shore

5-25

0.3734

0.091592

0.0839

347

Alabama A&M

5-27

0.3939

0.089826

0.0824

348

New Hampshire

3-24

0.4568

0.080609

0.0746

349

USC Upstate

3-26

0.491

0.08035

0.0744

350

Chicago St.

1-29

0.9642

0.079035

0.0732

351

Delaware St.

4-25

0.3703

0.076851

0.0714

352

Incarnate Word

2-25

0.5644

0.074539

0.0694

353

UNC Asheville

2-26

0.5785

0.073622

0.0686