Updated through games of March 11

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.886

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Kansas

27-3

3.846

24.355

0.9606

2

Dayton

29-2

2.266

19.745

0.9518

3

Gonzaga

31-2

2.052

19.056

0.9501

4

San Diego St.

29-2

1.887

16.441

0.9427

5

Baylor

26-4

2.833

14.166

0.9341

6

Florida St.

26-5

2.375

10.049

0.9095

7

Villanova

24-7

3.018

9.0544

0.9005

8

Creighton

23-7

2.856

8.2314

0.8917

9

East Tennessee St.

27-4

1.587

8.223

0.8916

10

Duke

25-6

2.251

7.9518

0.8883

11

Maryland

24-7

2.391

7.172

0.8776

12

Kentucky

25-6

1.984

7.0104

0.8752

13

Auburn

25-6

1.975

6.9774

0.8746

14

Louisville

24-7

2.281

6.8439

0.8725

15

Oregon

24-7

2.234

6.7006

0.8701

16

BYU

23-8

2.402

6.1948

0.8610

17

Saint Mary’s

25-8

2.204

6.1467

0.8601

18

Seton Hall

21-9

2.827

6.0571

0.8583

19

Virginia

23-7

2.041

5.8816

0.8547

20

Butler

22-9

2.498

5.5905

0.8483

21

Michigan St.

22-9

2.354

5.2692

0.8405

22

West Virginia

21-10

2.61

5.106

0.8362

23

Stephen F. Austin

25-3

0.82

4.8289

0.8284

24

Richmond

24-7

1.563

4.6903

0.8243

25

Houston

23-8

1.753

4.5216

0.8189

26

Wisconsin

21-10

2.253

4.4073

0.8151

27

Utah St.

24-8

1.638

4.3972

0.8147

28

Northern Iowa

23-6

1.308

4.2735

0.8104

29

Ohio St.

21-10

2.152

4.2107

0.8081

30

Saint Louis

22-8

1.677

4.1482

0.8058

31

USC

22-9

1.849

4.1372

0.8053

32

Wichita St.

23-8

1.589

4.0974

0.8038

33

LSU

21-10

2.034

3.9805

0.7992

34

Colorado

21-11

2.154

3.8765

0.7949

35

Rhode Island

21-9

1.796

3.848

0.7937

36

Oklahoma

19-12

2.514

3.8171

0.7924

37

Liberty

28-4

0.6986

3.7469

0.7893

38

Furman

22-7

1.347

3.723

0.7883

39

Arizona

21-11

2.056

3.7001

0.7872

40

Illinois

20-10

1.97

3.6836

0.7865

41

Arizona St.

20-11

2.132

3.6673

0.7857

42

Yale

21-7

1.364

3.6109

0.7831

43

Penn St.

21-10

1.842

3.6042

0.7828

44

Iowa

20-11

2.076

3.5706

0.7812

45

Akron

22-7

1.289

3.5629

0.7808

46

Marquette

18-12

2.436

3.5181

0.7787

47

Providence

19-12

2.235

3.3933

0.7724

48

Michigan

19-12

2.224

3.3769

0.7715

49

Florida

19-12

2.163

3.2841

0.7666

50

Cincinnati

20-10

1.735

3.2444

0.7644

51

Rutgers

19-11

1.957

3.2098

0.7625

52

Vermont

25-7

1.029

3.2066

0.7623

53

Texas

19-12

2.098

3.1865

0.7611

54

Xavier

19-13

2.236

3.161

0.7597

55

Memphis

21-10

1.558

3.0486

0.7530

56

Indiana

20-12

1.857

2.9581

0.7474

57

N.C. State

20-12

1.857

2.9568

0.7473

58

Mississippi St.

20-11

1.673

2.8778

0.7421

59

UNC Greensboro

21-9

1.324

2.838

0.7394

60

Duquesne

21-9

1.296

2.7782

0.7353

61

Arkansas

20-12

1.719

2.7378

0.7325

62

Eastern Washington

21-8

1.151

2.7255

0.7316

63

New Mexico St.

23-6

0.8224

2.6867

0.7288

64

Texas Tech

18-13

1.994

2.6818

0.7284

65

Stanford

20-12

1.676

2.6698

0.7275

66

Hofstra

25-8

0.9563

2.6677

0.7273

67

Oklahoma St.

18-14

2.115

2.661

0.7269

68

Harvard

20-8

1.175

2.6599

0.7268

69

UCLA

18-12

1.791

2.5874

0.7212

70

Belmont

25-7

0.8284

2.5828

0.7209

71

San Francisco

21-12

1.536

2.56

0.7191

72

Notre Dame

20-12

1.581

2.5175

0.7157

73

Tulsa

21-10

1.28

2.5045

0.7147

74

Boise St.

19-12

1.533

2.3273

0.6995

75

Louisiana Tech

20-8

1.025

2.3194

0.6987

76

Tennessee

17-14

1.886

2.2515

0.6925

77

Georgia Tech

16-14

1.977

2.232

0.6906

78

Connecticut

19-12

1.459

2.2152

0.6890

79

South Carolina

18-13

1.647

2.2149

0.6890

80

Purdue

16-15

2.082

2.2082

0.6883

81

North Dakota St.

23-8

0.8511

2.1951

0.6870

82

Colgate

24-9

0.9012

2.1887

0.6864

83

Northern Colorado

20-9

1.068

2.1876

0.6863

84

Pacific

21-10

1.103

2.1584

0.6834

85

St. John’s

17-15

1.872

2.0994

0.6774

86

Oregon St.

18-13

1.56

2.0984

0.6773

87

Syracuse

18-14

1.656

2.0839

0.6757

88

Bowling Green

19-10

1.153

2.0549

0.6727

89

Wright St.

23-7

0.7046

2.0309

0.6701

90

Western Kentucky

19-10

1.137

2.0269

0.6696

91

Utah

16-15

1.903

2.018

0.6687

92

Nevada

19-12

1.315

1.9969

0.6663

93

Little Rock

20-10

1.065

1.9915

0.6657

94

VCU

18-13

1.463

1.9678

0.6630

95

Bradley

22-11

1.045

1.9653

0.6628

96

SMU

19-11

1.197

1.9627

0.6625

97

Georgetown

15-17

2.173

1.9378

0.6596

98

North Texas

18-11

1.237

1.929

0.6586

99

Colorado St.

19-12

1.269

1.9267

0.6583

100

Alabama

16-15

1.796

1.9051

0.6558

101

Clemson

16-15

1.769

1.8767

0.6524

102

Minnesota

15-16

1.969

1.8561

0.6499

103

DePaul

15-16

1.966

1.8535

0.6496

104

St. Bonaventure

18-12

1.263

1.825

0.6460

105

Loyola Chicago

20-11

1.054

1.8137

0.6446

106

Miami FL

15-16

1.918

1.8081

0.6439

107

Indiana St.

17-12

1.31

1.7952

0.6422

108

Northern Kentucky

21-9

0.8286

1.7756

0.6397

109

William & Mary

20-11

1.017

1.7493

0.6363

110

Delaware

21-11

0.9613

1.7303

0.6337

111

Texas A&M

16-14

1.53

1.7279

0.6334

112

Georgia

15-16

1.798

1.6957

0.6290

113

Winthrop

22-10

0.8261

1.688

0.6280

114

Buffalo

19-12

1.1

1.6704

0.6255

115

Western Carolina

17-12

1.215

1.6655

0.6248

116

Texas St.

19-11

1.009

1.6542

0.6232

117

Kent St.

18-12

1.141

1.6475

0.6223

118

TCU

15-16

1.744

1.6444

0.6218

119

Washington

15-17

1.778

1.5854

0.6132

120

Siena

20-10

0.8479

1.5852

0.6132

121

Davidson

16-14

1.403

1.5843

0.6130

122

St. Francis PA

21-10

0.8019

1.569

0.6107

123

UC Irvine

19-11

0.9409

1.543

0.6068

124

Virginia Tech

16-16

1.53

1.53

0.6047

125

Missouri

15-16

1.594

1.5032

0.6005

126

Penn

15-11

1.137

1.5015

0.6002

127

Montana

17-12

1.086

1.4883

0.5981

128

North Carolina

14-19

1.951

1.4754

0.5960

129

Pittsburgh

16-17

1.557

1.4728

0.5956

130

Chattanooga

18-13

1.095

1.4721

0.5955

131

South Alabama

17-11

0.9806

1.4513

0.5921

132

UNLV

17-15

1.292

1.4487

0.5916

133

South Dakota St.

20-10

0.7749

1.4487

0.5916

134

Murray St.

21-9

0.6755

1.4474

0.5914

135

Radford

19-11

0.8813

1.4454

0.5911

136

UCF

16-14

1.254

1.4159

0.5861

137

California

14-18

1.756

1.3961

0.5827

138

New Mexico

18-14

1.106

1.391

0.5818

139

Georgia St.

17-13

1.079

1.3766

0.5792

140

Georgia Southern

18-13

1.021

1.3725

0.5785

141

Drake

18-14

1.086

1.3659

0.5773

142

North Florida

19-12

0.8868

1.3466

0.5738

143

Stony Brook

19-13

0.9448

1.3357

0.5719

144

Pepperdine

16-16

1.336

1.3355

0.5718

145

Boston University

20-13

0.8974

1.3307

0.5709

146

Washington St.

16-16

1.325

1.3251

0.5699

147

Towson

17-13

1.032

1.3168

0.5684

148

UC Santa Barbara

19-10

0.7334

1.3073

0.5666

149

Merrimack

19-11

0.792

1.299

0.5650

150

Valparaiso

18-16

1.164

1.297

0.5647

151

Mississippi

15-17

1.454

1.2969

0.5646

152

Temple

14-17

1.525

1.2776

0.5609

153

Wake Forest

13-18

1.711

1.2721

0.5599

154

Santa Clara

18-13

0.9199

1.2371

0.5530

155

Massachusetts

14-17

1.465

1.2277

0.5511

156

Lafayette

18-12

0.8458

1.2217

0.5499

157

Ball St.

17-13

0.9502

1.2124

0.5480

158

Austin Peay

19-12

0.7932

1.2045

0.5464

159

George Mason

17-15

1.074

1.2037

0.5462

160

La Salle

15-15

1.201

1.2009

0.5456

161

Northern Illinois

17-13

0.928

1.1841

0.5421

162

Nicholls St.

17-10

0.736

1.1839

0.5421

163

Charleston

16-14

1.042

1.1762

0.5405

164

Rider

18-12

0.8111

1.1716

0.5395

165

Wofford

17-16

1.099

1.1619

0.5374

166

Boston College

13-19

1.637

1.1575

0.5365

167

Iowa St.

12-20

1.841

1.1559

0.5362

168

Brown

14-12

0.9893

1.1359

0.5318

169

FIU

16-13

0.9215

1.1122

0.5266

170

Appalachian St.

16-15

1.038

1.101

0.5240

171

South Dakota

17-12

0.7949

1.0894

0.5214

172

Monmouth

18-13

0.8081

1.0867

0.5208

173

Portland St.

16-14

0.9592

1.083

0.5199

174

Toledo

16-15

1.016

1.0776

0.5187

175

Saint Peter’s

18-12

0.7453

1.0765

0.5184

176

Sacred Heart

19-13

0.7532

1.0648

0.5157

177

South Florida

14-17

1.263

1.058

0.5141

178

Princeton

13-13

1.057

1.0567

0.5138

179

Missouri St.

16-17

1.112

1.0523

0.5127

180

Ohio

15-15

1.038

1.0384

0.5094

181

Charlotte

16-13

0.8433

1.0177

0.5044

182

Marshall

16-15

0.9526

1.0104

0.5026

183

Kansas St.

11-21

1.794

0.99642

0.4991

184

Southern Illinois

15-16

1.056

0.9961

0.4990

185

Robert Morris

19-14

0.7271

0.96159

0.4902

186

Northeastern

17-16

0.9018

0.95333

0.4881

187

UAB

17-13

0.746

0.95182

0.4877

188

Cal Baptist

17-10

0.5781

0.92991

0.4818

189

Southern Utah

15-15

0.919

0.91897

0.4789

190

Eastern Michigan

12-16

1.186

0.91511

0.4778

191

Nebraska Omaha

15-16

0.9685

0.91313

0.4773

192

American

16-14

0.8048

0.90864

0.4761

193

Mercer

15-15

0.9045

0.90447

0.4749

194

Oral Roberts

13-14

0.9592

0.89735

0.4729

195

Prairie View A&M

17-13

0.6965

0.88868

0.4705

196

Abilene Christian

16-11

0.6331

0.8864

0.4699

197

Montana St.

14-15

0.9379

0.88103

0.4684

198

Northern Arizona

14-14

0.8627

0.86274

0.4632

199

Sacramento St.

14-14

0.8589

0.85894

0.4621

200

Green Bay

15-16

0.8644

0.81497

0.4490

201

Hawaii

16-13

0.6711

0.80991

0.4475

202

UTEP

14-15

0.8526

0.80094

0.4447

203

Arkansas St.

14-16

0.8973

0.79475

0.4428

204

UT Arlington

12-18

1.134

0.78541

0.4399

205

Coastal Carolina

14-17

0.9354

0.78369

0.4394

206

North Carolina Central

15-13

0.6799

0.77372

0.4362

207

Youngstown St.

16-15

0.7151

0.75842

0.4313

208

Tulane

12-18

1.09

0.75477

0.4301

209

Texas Southern

15-16

0.7917

0.74642

0.4274

210

Hartford

16-15

0.6989

0.74123

0.4257

211

Florida Atlantic

14-15

0.7815

0.73418

0.4234

212

Cal St. Northridge

13-17

0.9165

0.71833

0.4180

213

Illinois Chicago

17-17

0.7058

0.70582

0.4138

214

Gardner Webb

14-16

0.7886

0.69851

0.4113

215

Sam Houston St.

14-13

0.6498

0.69461

0.4099

216

Quinnipiac

15-15

0.6946

0.69457

0.4099

217

Tennessee St.

16-15

0.6484

0.68766

0.4075

218

Lipscomb

14-16

0.7714

0.68323

0.4059

219

North Carolina A&T

16-15

0.6382

0.6769

0.4037

220

Central Michigan

11-18

1.056

0.67663

0.4036

221

Vanderbilt

11-21

1.202

0.66757

0.4003

222

UMKC

13-14

0.7046

0.65915

0.3973

223

Miami OH

11-19

1.069

0.65206

0.3947

224

Army

14-15

0.6895

0.64772

0.3931

225

North Dakota

12-18

0.9301

0.64389

0.3917

226

Bucknell

14-20

0.8926

0.64352

0.3915

227

Drexel

13-19

0.8968

0.6343

0.3881

228

Rice

13-17

0.8007

0.6276

0.3856

229

New Hampshire

13-15

0.7132

0.62675

0.3853

230

Southern

15-15

0.6229

0.6229

0.3838

231

Old Dominion

13-19

0.8733

0.61769

0.3818

232

Navy

13-16

0.7364

0.61018

0.3790

233

Western Michigan

11-19

0.9958

0.60719

0.3778

234

UMBC

12-17

0.8212

0.59927

0.3747

235

Dartmouth

11-17

0.8861

0.59872

0.3745

236

Louisiana

13-19

0.8455

0.59804

0.3742

237

UC Riverside

14-15

0.6356

0.59707

0.3739

238

George Washington

12-20

0.9418

0.59139

0.3716

239

Northwestern

8-23

1.491

0.57806

0.3663

240

Fresno St.

10-19

1.028

0.57661

0.3657

241

Eastern Kentucky

14-17

0.6842

0.57323

0.3644

242

Oakland

13-19

0.8051

0.56947

0.3628

243

Lamar

14-15

0.6009

0.56449

0.3608

244

Loyola Marymount

10-21

1.093

0.55867

0.3584

245

Air Force

11-20

0.9591

0.55762

0.3580

246

Bryant

14-17

0.6599

0.55292

0.3561

247

Loyola MD

14-17

0.6584

0.5516

0.3555

248

Norfolk St.

13-14

0.588

0.55009

0.3549

249

Florida A&M

12-15

0.6714

0.54936

0.3546

250

Albany

13-18

0.7384

0.54904

0.3544

251

LIU

14-18

0.6863

0.54549

0.3530

252

Iona

12-17

0.7252

0.52922

0.3461

253

Bethune Cookman

13-14

0.564

0.52761

0.3454

254

Seattle

12-15

0.6416

0.52496

0.3442

255

UC Davis

12-18

0.7582

0.52488

0.3442

256

East Carolina

11-20

0.8932

0.51932

0.3418

257

Niagara

12-20

0.8266

0.51905

0.3417

258

Stetson

14-17

0.6161

0.51623

0.3405

259

Manhattan

13-18

0.6897

0.51288

0.3390

260

Illinois St.

9-21

1.091

0.50898

0.3373

261

Eastern Illinois

15-15

0.5087

0.50873

0.3372

262

Campbell

13-16

0.6033

0.4999

0.3333

263

UTSA

10-19

0.8777

0.49239

0.3299

264

Grambling St.

13-15

0.5554

0.48808

0.3280

265

Hampton

12-19

0.7381

0.48604

0.3271

266

Canisius

12-20

0.7617

0.4783

0.3235

267

Grand Canyon

13-16

0.5686

0.47112

0.3202

268

UNC Asheville

13-16

0.5653

0.46835

0.3190

269

Jacksonville

12-18

0.6751

0.46741

0.3185

270

Fairfield

12-20

0.7378

0.46327

0.3166

271

Jackson St.

13-17

0.5849

0.45847

0.3144

272

UT Rio Grande Valley

10-16

0.6976

0.4584

0.3143

273

Weber St.

9-20

0.9164

0.44753

0.3092

274

UMass Lowell

12-19

0.6794

0.44738

0.3091

275

Nebraska

7-25

1.393

0.44691

0.3089

276

Charleston Southern

12-18

0.6264

0.43364

0.3025

277

Elon

10-21

0.8448

0.43178

0.3016

278

St. Francis NY

12-18

0.6229

0.43121

0.3013

279

San Diego

8-23

1.111

0.43077

0.3011

280

Alcorn St.

11-15

0.5593

0.42368

0.2976

281

Northwestern St.

12-15

0.5082

0.41583

0.2937

282

Lehigh

9-21

0.8894

0.41505

0.2933

283

Purdue Fort Wayne

11-19

0.6806

0.415

0.2933

284

Fairleigh Dickinson

10-19

0.721

0.40448

0.2880

285

North Alabama

11-17

0.594

0.40137

0.2864

286

Saint Joseph’s

6-26

1.459

0.39801

0.2847

287

Cleveland St.

10-21

0.7688

0.39293

0.2821

288

Longwood

12-18

0.5624

0.38937

0.2802

289

USC Upstate

11-20

0.6696

0.38928

0.2802

290

Long Beach St.

9-21

0.8339

0.38915

0.2801

291

Milwaukee

10-19

0.6425

0.36043

0.2649

292

Morgan St.

12-16

0.4616

0.3561

0.2626

293

McNeese St.

11-17

0.5155

0.34831

0.2583

294

Louisiana Monroe

7-20

0.88

0.34789

0.2581

295

Texas A&M Corpus Chris

12-18

0.5005

0.3465

0.2573

296

Cal St. Fullerton

9-20

0.7064

0.34498

0.2565

297

Wyoming

8-24

0.9147

0.34076

0.2542

298

Evansville

8-23

0.8671

0.33621

0.2516

299

Binghamton

8-19

0.7202

0.33375

0.2502

300

Central Arkansas

9-21

0.6841

0.31926

0.2420

301

James Madison

8-21

0.7457

0.31485

0.2395

302

Cal St. Bakersfield

9-19

0.6143

0.31464

0.2393

303

Mount St. Mary’s

10-21

0.6053

0.30937

0.2363

304

UNC Wilmington

7-22

0.8514

0.30797

0.2355

305

Maine

8-22

0.7468

0.30189

0.2319

306

Fordham

9-22

0.6669

0.29798

0.2296

307

Utah Valley

8-19

0.6424

0.29771

0.2294

308

Morehead St.

11-19

0.484

0.29513

0.2279

309

Troy

7-22

0.8158

0.29506

0.2278

310

Coppin St.

11-20

0.5074

0.29498

0.2278

311

San Jose St.

6-24

0.9967

0.29315

0.2267

312

Portland

7-23

0.8413

0.29189

0.2259

313

Idaho St.

6-22

0.9098

0.29036

0.2250

314

Jacksonville St.

11-19

0.4685

0.2857

0.2222

315

Southern Miss

6-22

0.8768

0.27983

0.2186

316

Detroit

8-23

0.7042

0.27308

0.2145

317

Samford

7-23

0.7545

0.26176

0.2075

318

Cornell

5-20

0.8448

0.25539

0.2034

319

NJIT

8-21

0.6025

0.25441

0.2028

320

High Point

7-23

0.7139

0.24767

0.1985

321

Florida Gulf Coast

8-22

0.6096

0.24641

0.1977

322

South Carolina St.

9-18

0.457

0.24606

0.1975

323

Presbyterian

8-22

0.5993

0.24225

0.1950

324

Middle Tennessee

5-23

0.8827

0.23419

0.1898

325

Wagner

7-21

0.6069

0.22926

0.1865

326

Idaho

6-24

0.7573

0.22274

0.1822

327

Tennessee Martin

7-20

0.5517

0.2181

0.1790

328

Tennessee Tech

7-22

0.5948

0.21512

0.1770

329

Cal Poly

5-23

0.7572

0.20088

0.1673

330

Alabama St.

8-24

0.5203

0.19385

0.1624

331

Marist

7-23

0.5571

0.19327

0.1620

332

VMI

6-24

0.6564

0.19304

0.1618

333

Alabama A&M

8-22

0.4646

0.1878

0.1581

334

Columbia

5-24

0.7206

0.18368

0.1552

335

Denver

6-24

0.6002

0.17652

0.1500

336

IUPUI

5-25

0.6596

0.16178

0.1393

337

New Orleans

5-21

0.493

0.14241

0.1247

338

SIU Edwardsville

6-23

0.4457

0.13645

0.1201

339

Southeastern Louisiana

5-23

0.4936

0.13096

0.1158

340

The Citadel

3-24

0.7145

0.12608

0.1120

341

Incarnate Word

6-22

0.3881

0.12386

0.1102

342

Holy Cross

3-28

0.7786

0.11876

0.1062

343

Western Illinois

3-21

0.5748

0.11496

0.1031

344

Southeast Missouri St.

5-24

0.4361

0.11116

0.1000

345

Houston Baptist

4-25

0.4794

0.099506

0.0905

346

Delaware St.

5-25

0.397

0.097374

0.0887

347

Central Connecticut

3-27

0.5934

0.093697

0.0857

348

Maryland Eastern Shore

4-27

0.4224

0.081512

0.0754

349

Arkansas Pine Bluff

3-26

0.487

0.079689

0.0738

350

Mississippi Valley St.

3-27

0.4819

0.076091

0.0707

351

Howard

3-28

0.4016

0.061258

0.0577

352

Kennesaw St.

1-28

0.622

0.052709

0.0501

353

Chicago St.

1-25

0.5106

0.048174

0.0460