Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Basketball 2020-21

Updated through games of April 5

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.546
Preseason adjustment included for teams who have played fewer than 15 games
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Gonzaga	31-1	3.165	41.151	0.9763
2	Baylor	28-2	3.823	32.225	0.9699
3	Houston	27-4	2.014	10.439	0.9126
4	Michigan	23-5	2.314	8.7215	0.8971
5	Illinois	24-7	2.652	7.9558	0.8883
6	USC	25-8	2.773	7.734	0.8855
7	Alabama	26-7	2.383	7.71	0.8852
8	Arkansas	25-7	2.399	7.4788	0.8821
9	Oklahoma St.	21-9	3.406	7.2988	0.8795
10	Loyola Chicago	24-5	1.689	6.6267	0.8689
11	BYU	19-7	2.742	6.6131	0.8686
12	Kansas	20-9	3.095	6.3377	0.8637
13	San Diego St.	22-5	1.67	6.0381	0.8579
14	Oregon	21-7	2.233	5.9097	0.8553
15	UCLA	22-10	2.889	5.903	0.8551
16	Texas	19-8	2.718	5.8645	0.8543
17	Colorado	23-9	2.328	5.4323	0.8445
18	West Virginia	19-10	2.993	5.336	0.8422
19	Drake	24-5	1.355	5.3169	0.8417
20	Villanova	18-7	2.235	5.1279	0.8368
21	Iowa	22-9	2.272	5.0852	0.8357
22	Ohio St.	21-10	2.517	4.9247	0.8312
23	Winthrop	23-2	0.6639	4.6474	0.8229
24	Creighton	22-9	2.021	4.5226	0.8189
25	Colgate	14-2	0.9811	4.3449	0.8129
26	Florida St.	18-7	1.872	4.2943	0.8111
27	LSU	19-10	2.398	4.274	0.8104
28	Virginia	18-7	1.802	4.1345	0.8052
29	Texas Tech	18-11	2.633	4.1071	0.8042
30	UC Santa Barbara	20-5	1.205	3.9849	0.7994
31	Wichita St.	14-6	1.918	3.9646	0.7986
32	Memphis	20-8	1.745	3.9485	0.7979
33	St. Bonaventure	16-5	1.432	3.8565	0.7941
34	Belmont	25-4	0.7878	3.7959	0.7915
35	Missouri	16-10	2.423	3.687	0.7866
36	Purdue	18-10	2.137	3.6241	0.7837
37	Louisiana Tech	23-8	1.399	3.6089	0.7830
38	Oklahoma	16-11	2.565	3.591	0.7822
39	Western Kentucky	21-8	1.514	3.5857	0.7819
40	VCU	19-7	1.475	3.5581	0.7806
41	Clemson	16-8	1.914	3.5259	0.7790
42	Tennessee	18-9	1.891	3.5128	0.7784
43	Oregon St.	19-13	2.482	3.5093	0.7782
44	Arizona	17-9	1.973	3.477	0.7766
45	Navy	15-3	0.9354	3.43	0.7743
46	Colorado St.	19-8	1.583	3.4166	0.7736
47	Connecticut	15-8	1.853	3.2182	0.7629
48	Boise St.	18-9	1.702	3.1602	0.7596
49	Syracuse	18-10	1.829	3.1006	0.7561
50	Abilene Christian	20-5	0.9339	3.0892	0.7555
51	North Carolina	18-11	1.917	2.9898	0.7494
52	Georgia Tech	17-9	1.693	2.982	0.7489
53	Wisconsin	18-13	2.217	2.9813	0.7488
54	Utah St.	19-9	1.504	2.9357	0.7459
55	Saint Mary’s	14-10	2.17	2.9241	0.7452
56	Rutgers	16-12	2.246	2.9111	0.7443
57	Florida	15-10	1.956	2.8062	0.7373
58	North Texas	17-10	1.696	2.7284	0.7318
59	Louisville	13-7	1.585	2.7046	0.7301
60	UNC Greensboro	21-9	1.239	2.6559	0.7265
61	SMU	11-6	1.574	2.6234	0.7240
62	UAB	20-7	1.034	2.6167	0.7235
63	Virginia Tech	15-7	1.34	2.6012	0.7223
64	Morehead St.	21-8	1.097	2.599	0.7221
65	Maryland	16-14	2.223	2.5102	0.7151
66	Georgia St.	14-6	1.182	2.4428	0.7095
67	Xavier	13-8	1.529	2.3342	0.7001
68	Marshall	15-7	1.201	2.3312	0.6998
69	Stanford	14-13	2.144	2.2914	0.6962
70	Southern Utah	15-4	0.7581	2.2742	0.6946
71	Michigan St.	15-13	1.984	2.2579	0.6931
72	Yale	0-0	1	2.2544	0.6927
73	Ohio	16-8	1.206	2.2222	0.6897
74	Loyola Marymount	13-9	1.608	2.2209	0.6895
75	St. John’s	16-11	1.559	2.1829	0.6858
76	Old Dominion	14-8	1.334	2.1762	0.6852
77	Liberty	19-6	0.7952	2.1736	0.6849
78	Toledo	21-9	1.007	2.1578	0.6833
79	Seton Hall	14-13	1.996	2.1336	0.6809
80	Cleveland St.	19-8	0.9827	2.1205	0.6795
81	Missouri St.	15-7	1.09	2.116	0.6791
82	Georgetown	13-13	2.103	2.1032	0.6777
83	Mississippi	16-12	1.585	2.0548	0.6726
84	Wright St.	18-6	0.7892	2.0518	0.6723
85	Mississippi St.	18-15	1.694	2.0024	0.6669
86	Richmond	13-9	1.435	1.9814	0.6646
87	Pepperdine	13-12	1.83	1.9655	0.6628
88	Saint Louis	14-7	1.072	1.9556	0.6617
89	Eastern Kentucky	20-7	0.7662	1.9381	0.6596
90	UC Irvine	16-9	1.159	1.9312	0.6588
91	Chattanooga	16-8	1.046	1.9271	0.6584
92	Nevada	15-10	1.342	1.925	0.6581
93	Auburn	13-14	2.042	1.9107	0.6564
94	Texas St.	17-6	0.7589	1.8721	0.6518
95	Harvard	0-0	1	1.8516	0.6493
96	Furman	13-9	1.306	1.8036	0.6433
97	Utah	12-13	1.932	1.7986	0.6427
98	Cincinnati	12-11	1.659	1.7913	0.6417
99	Santa Clara	11-8	1.36	1.7894	0.6415
100	Prairie View A&M	16-5	0.6621	1.7826	0.6406
101	Wofford	13-9	1.283	1.7714	0.6392
102	Duke	13-11	1.522	1.765	0.6383
103	Providence	13-13	1.762	1.7625	0.6380
104	UCF	11-12	1.902	1.7607	0.6378
105	Washington St.	14-13	1.637	1.7504	0.6364
106	Penn St.	11-14	2.157	1.7395	0.6350
107	Siena	12-5	0.8372	1.7388	0.6349
108	Indiana	12-15	2.119	1.7334	0.6342
109	Dayton	14-10	1.277	1.7212	0.6325
110	N.C. State	14-11	1.383	1.7144	0.6316
111	Eastern Washington	15-8	0.9846	1.7101	0.6310
112	Minnesota	14-15	1.819	1.7086	0.6308
113	Georgia	13-12	1.572	1.6886	0.6281
114	Marquette	13-14	1.801	1.6849	0.6275
115	Texas Southern	16-9	0.994	1.6567	0.6236
116	Iona	12-6	0.9175	1.6516	0.6229
117	Kent St.	14-8	1.008	1.6445	0.6219
118	Mercer	15-11	1.244	1.6427	0.6216
119	Indiana St.	14-10	1.216	1.6386	0.6210
120	South Dakota St.	15-7	0.8401	1.6307	0.6199
121	Weber St.	14-6	0.7763	1.6044	0.6160
122	Coastal Carolina	14-8	0.9727	1.5871	0.6135
123	UMBC	14-6	0.7605	1.5718	0.6112
124	Pacific	8-9	1.73	1.5655	0.6102
125	Norfolk St.	15-8	0.8908	1.5471	0.6074
126	Buffalo	15-9	0.9823	1.5436	0.6069
127	Bryant	14-7	0.8433	1.5379	0.6060
128	Akron	13-8	0.9998	1.526	0.6041
129	Davidson	12-9	1.186	1.5252	0.6040
130	TCU	12-14	1.75	1.5246	0.6039
131	Arizona St.	11-14	1.883	1.5188	0.6030
132	Nicholls St.	17-7	0.6807	1.4815	0.5970
133	Stephen F. Austin	13-5	0.6633	1.4796	0.5967
134	UC Riverside	14-8	0.9039	1.4748	0.5959
135	Sam Houston St.	15-9	0.9372	1.4727	0.5956
136	Jacksonville St.	16-9	0.8818	1.4696	0.5951
137	Wagner	13-7	0.8457	1.4426	0.5906
138	Louisiana	15-9	0.9041	1.4207	0.5869
139	Oral Roberts	15-11	1.056	1.3935	0.5822
140	Drexel	12-8	0.9775	1.389	0.5814
141	Hartford	15-9	0.8522	1.3392	0.5725
142	Northeastern	10-9	1.222	1.3384	0.5724
143	Grand Canyon	14-7	0.7307	1.3325	0.5713
144	Morgan St.	12-7	0.8252	1.3107	0.5672
145	Kentucky	9-16	2.175	1.3049	0.5661
146	Wyoming	14-11	1.04	1.2899	0.5633
147	Penn	0-0	1	1.2896	0.5633
148	Monmouth	12-8	0.8862	1.2594	0.5574
149	George Mason	12-9	0.9771	1.2563	0.5568
150	James Madison	10-7	0.9257	1.2524	0.5560
151	Army	11-10	1.15	1.2501	0.5556
152	Hofstra	13-10	0.9797	1.2353	0.5526
153	East Tennessee St.	11-12	1.317	1.219	0.5494
154	Butler	10-15	1.737	1.2107	0.5477
155	South Alabama	13-11	1.031	1.1961	0.5447
156	Notre Dame	11-15	1.556	1.1787	0.5410
157	Cal St. Bakersfield	13-11	0.9964	1.1558	0.5361
158	Appalachian St.	13-12	1.068	1.1474	0.5343
159	Vermont	10-5	0.6392	1.131	0.5307
160	San Francisco	11-14	1.383	1.1151	0.5272
161	Tulsa	9-12	1.428	1.1108	0.5262
162	Jackson St.	12-6	0.6088	1.0958	0.5228
163	Canisius	7-6	0.9884	1.0845	0.5203
164	Brown	0-0	1	1.0829	0.5199
165	Mount St. Mary’s	12-11	0.9996	1.0796	0.5191
166	UTSA	11-11	1.078	1.078	0.5188
167	Duquesne	9-9	1.077	1.0766	0.5184
168	Massachusetts	8-7	0.9436	1.0546	0.5133
169	Northwestern	8-15	1.808	1.0411	0.5101
170	Princeton	0-0	1	1.0351	0.5086
171	Rice	12-13	1.112	1.035	0.5086
172	Pittsburgh	10-12	1.212	1.0325	0.5080
173	Texas A&M	8-10	1.249	1.0319	0.5079
174	Saint Peter’s	14-11	0.8148	1.0104	0.5026
175	Bellarmine	12-8	0.7053	1.0023	0.5006
176	Fresno St.	10-12	1.168	0.995	0.4987
177	Bowling Green	13-12	0.9216	0.98987	0.4975
178	Marist	12-9	0.769	0.98872	0.4972
179	Tulane	10-13	1.234	0.97892	0.4947
180	American	4-6	1.334	0.97019	0.4924
181	Elon	9-9	0.9696	0.9696	0.4923
182	VMI	10-12	1.134	0.9661	0.4914
183	UC Davis	9-8	0.8604	0.95097	0.4874
184	North Dakota St.	15-12	0.7725	0.94414	0.4856
185	South Florida	8-13	1.44	0.94335	0.4854
186	UTEP	9-12	1.201	0.93406	0.4830
187	Northern Kentucky	14-11	0.7268	0.90121	0.4740
188	Lafayette	9-6	0.6396	0.89542	0.4724
189	Sacred Heart	9-9	0.8922	0.89224	0.4715
190	Rhode Island	10-15	1.273	0.8873	0.4701
191	Campbell	15-10	0.6179	0.88656	0.4699
192	The Citadel	9-12	1.131	0.87965	0.4680
193	Detroit	12-10	0.7408	0.86967	0.4651
194	Kansas St.	9-19	1.66	0.85001	0.4595
195	Vanderbilt	9-16	1.372	0.82323	0.4515
196	South Carolina	6-15	1.81	0.82263	0.4513
197	South Dakota	13-11	0.7033	0.81577	0.4493
198	Montana St.	11-10	0.7459	0.81071	0.4477
199	LIU	9-9	0.8083	0.8083	0.4470
200	Miami OH	11-11	0.803	0.80296	0.4454
201	Merrimack	9-9	0.8009	0.80092	0.4447
202	Hawaii	9-10	0.8731	0.79714	0.4436
203	Miami FL	10-17	1.282	0.79709	0.4435
204	California	8-20	1.786	0.78905	0.4410
205	UMass Lowell	11-12	0.8466	0.78385	0.4394
206	New Mexico St.	9-8	0.6944	0.76755	0.4342
207	UNLV	10-15	1.089	0.75884	0.4314
208	East Carolina	7-11	1.111	0.75579	0.4305
209	Florida Atlantic	9-10	0.8276	0.75565	0.4304
210	Boston University	7-11	1.106	0.75214	0.4293
211	Bucknell	5-7	0.9882	0.74802	0.4279
212	Southern Illinois	11-14	0.9255	0.74637	0.4274
213	Bradley	10-16	1.129	0.74193	0.4259
214	Niagara	9-11	0.8809	0.73994	0.4253
215	St. Francis NY	9-10	0.799	0.72953	0.4218
216	Ball St.	10-13	0.9176	0.72774	0.4212
217	Dartmouth	0-0	1	0.72523	0.4204
218	Montana	10-13	0.9133	0.72437	0.4201
219	William & Mary	7-10	0.964	0.71254	0.4161
220	Coppin St.	9-13	0.9838	0.71242	0.4160
221	Loyola MD	6-11	1.179	0.70722	0.4143
222	Temple	5-11	1.35	0.70198	0.4124
223	New Hampshire	9-9	0.6998	0.69981	0.4117
224	Milwaukee	10-12	0.8188	0.69747	0.4109
225	Oakland	12-18	1.005	0.69569	0.4103
226	Georgia Southern	9-13	0.9556	0.69199	0.4090
227	UT Arlington	10-13	0.8498	0.67395	0.4026
228	Bethune Cookman	0-0	1	0.66972	0.4011
229	Northern Iowa	8-15	1.152	0.66316	0.3987
230	Radford	13-12	0.6164	0.6621	0.3984
231	Lipscomb	11-12	0.7127	0.65991	0.3976
232	Western Carolina	9-16	1.098	0.65883	0.3972
233	Little Rock	10-15	0.928	0.64678	0.3928
234	Utah Valley	9-11	0.7691	0.64604	0.3925
235	IUPUI	8-10	0.7812	0.64536	0.3922
236	Youngstown St.	11-12	0.6677	0.6182	0.3820
237	Delaware	6-8	0.7642	0.6148	0.3807
238	La Salle	8-16	1.125	0.61057	0.3791
239	DePaul	5-14	1.431	0.60025	0.3751
240	Nebraska	6-20	1.721	0.60019	0.3751
241	Albany	7-9	0.7283	0.58959	0.3709
242	Evansville	9-16	0.9722	0.58333	0.3684
243	Fairleigh Dickinson	9-15	0.9153	0.58246	0.3681
244	Grambling St.	11-12	0.6257	0.57937	0.3668
245	UNC Asheville	10-10	0.5768	0.57683	0.3658
246	Charleston	7-10	0.7774	0.57461	0.3649
247	Troy	8-17	1.118	0.57418	0.3647
248	Charlotte	9-15	0.9018	0.5739	0.3646
249	North Carolina A&T	9-10	0.6187	0.56491	0.3610
250	Florida Gulf Coast	8-8	0.5618	0.56181	0.3597
251	Austin Peay	12-13	0.5925	0.55166	0.3555
252	Washington	5-21	1.907	0.55086	0.3552
253	Saint Joseph’s	5-15	1.398	0.55072	0.3551
254	Stetson	10-14	0.7407	0.54952	0.3546
255	Arkansas St.	8-13	0.8341	0.5465	0.3534
256	Murray St.	11-13	0.6291	0.54231	0.3516
257	North Alabama	9-11	0.64	0.53761	0.3496
258	Fairfield	10-17	0.8548	0.53138	0.3470
259	Quinnipiac	9-13	0.7324	0.53037	0.3466
260	Stony Brook	8-14	0.8539	0.52336	0.3436
261	UC San Diego	4-10	1.136	0.52318	0.3435
262	Holy Cross	5-11	1.002	0.52119	0.3426
263	Valparaiso	8-18	1.07	0.52109	0.3426
264	San Diego	3-11	1.439	0.5157	0.3402
265	Cal St. Northridge	8-13	0.7857	0.51474	0.3398
266	Seattle	8-11	0.6695	0.50883	0.3372
267	Idaho St.	8-11	0.6564	0.49886	0.3328
268	Cal Baptist	9-10	0.5365	0.48988	0.3288
269	Gardner Webb	11-15	0.6282	0.47588	0.3224
270	UNC Wilmington	6-10	0.7226	0.47126	0.3203
271	Tarleton St.	5-10	0.8266	0.46719	0.3184
272	Wake Forest	5-16	1.247	0.46335	0.3166
273	Northern Colorado	8-11	0.609	0.46287	0.3164
274	Sacramento St.	6-12	0.8226	0.45703	0.3137
275	Longwood	12-16	0.5891	0.45445	0.3125
276	Long Beach St.	6-12	0.8158	0.4532	0.3119
277	Illinois Chicago	9-13	0.6229	0.45103	0.3108
278	NJIT	7-12	0.7057	0.44433	0.3076
279	Southern	8-11	0.5679	0.43159	0.3015
280	Manhattan	7-13	0.7301	0.42797	0.2997
281	Southeast Missouri St.	11-16	0.5958	0.4256	0.2985
282	Cal St. Fullerton	5-10	0.7474	0.42243	0.2970
283	Cornell	0-0	1	0.42078	0.2962
284	Samford	4-13	1.105	0.4191	0.2953
285	Alabama A&M	6-9	0.5867	0.41909	0.2953
286	Boston College	4-16	1.314	0.41308	0.2923
287	Florida A&M	8-12	0.5817	0.40932	0.2904
288	Lehigh	4-11	0.9299	0.40916	0.2904
289	Purdue Fort Wayne	8-15	0.7088	0.40811	0.2898
290	Jacksonville	9-13	0.5573	0.40356	0.2875
291	Green Bay	8-17	0.7682	0.39446	0.2829
292	St. Francis PA	6-16	0.9132	0.39137	0.2813
293	George Washington	5-12	0.8127	0.39128	0.2812
294	Rider	6-17	0.9559	0.38754	0.2793
295	North Florida	7-14	0.687	0.37672	0.2736
296	UMKC	7-13	0.6425	0.37662	0.2736
297	Maine	2-7	0.9242	0.36599	0.2679
298	High Point	9-15	0.5721	0.36404	0.2669
299	Hampton	11-14	0.4499	0.3628	0.2662
300	North Dakota	9-17	0.6373	0.36171	0.2656
301	Portland St.	6-12	0.6423	0.35681	0.2630
302	Northwestern St.	10-18	0.5969	0.35203	0.2604
303	Illinois St.	6-18	0.9093	0.34973	0.2591
304	Central Connecticut	5-16	0.9127	0.339	0.2532
305	Columbia	0-0	1	0.33852	0.2529
306	Southern Miss	6-17	0.8218	0.33315	0.2499
307	New Mexico	4-16	1.053	0.33096	0.2487
308	Lamar	10-18	0.5606	0.3306	0.2485
309	Louisiana Monroe	7-19	0.7936	0.32904	0.2476
310	UT Rio Grande Valley	5-10	0.5681	0.32108	0.2430
311	Alcorn St.	6-13	0.6194	0.32036	0.2426
312	SIU Edwardsville	8-17	0.6105	0.31351	0.2387
313	Northern Arizona	6-16	0.7314	0.31347	0.2387
314	Towson	4-14	0.8741	0.31016	0.2367
315	Portland	3-15	1.131	0.30856	0.2358
316	North Carolina Central	4-9	0.5658	0.30833	0.2357
317	Tennessee Martin	7-16	0.6264	0.30423	0.2333
318	New Orleans	9-15	0.475	0.30227	0.2321
319	Eastern Illinois	9-18	0.5547	0.2987	0.2300
320	Dixie St.	6-13	0.5526	0.28583	0.2223
321	FIU	5-17	0.78	0.27405	0.2151
322	Air Force	5-20	0.9014	0.27252	0.2142
323	Binghamton	4-14	0.7676	0.27236	0.2141
324	Iowa St.	2-22	1.817	0.2706	0.2130
325	Eastern Michigan	3-12	0.7963	0.26543	0.2098
326	Western Illinois	6-15	0.5586	0.25389	0.2025
327	San Jose St.	3-16	0.9701	0.24947	0.1997
328	Central Michigan	5-15	0.6328	0.24928	0.1995
329	Southeastern Louisiana	8-18	0.5116	0.24923	0.1995
330	Western Michigan	4-16	0.775	0.24358	0.1959
331	Fordham	2-12	0.8999	0.23497	0.1903
332	USC Upstate	5-17	0.6666	0.2342	0.1898
333	Middle Tennessee	4-18	0.8167	0.23035	0.1872
334	Presbyterian	6-15	0.4829	0.2195	0.1800
335	Howard	1-3	0.8093	0.21624	0.1778
336	Robert Morris	3-15	0.773	0.21082	0.1741
337	Central Arkansas	4-19	0.7705	0.20673	0.1713
338	Tennessee Tech	5-22	0.7406	0.20484	0.1700
339	Maryland Eastern Shore	0-0	1	0.19291	0.1617
340	Nebraska Omaha	5-20	0.6103	0.18451	0.1558
341	Cal Poly	3-20	0.8368	0.17515	0.1490
342	Arkansas Pine Bluff	4-21	0.7019	0.17158	0.1464
343	Houston Baptist	5-19	0.524	0.16613	0.1425
344	Incarnate Word	5-14	0.3913	0.16408	0.1410
345	Alabama St.	4-14	0.4512	0.16011	0.1380
346	Northern Illinois	3-16	0.6155	0.15826	0.1366
347	McNeese St.	4-14	0.4047	0.14359	0.1256
348	Delaware St.	1-16	0.9468	0.13526	0.1191
349	Tennessee St.	3-19	0.5982	0.13132	0.1161
350	Kennesaw St.	2-19	0.6602	0.11271	0.1013
351	Charleston Southern	2-18	0.6163	0.11061	0.0996
352	Mississippi Valley St.	2-22	0.6671	0.099358	0.0904
353	Chicago St.	0-9	0.9168	0.098018	0.0893
354	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	2-19	0.5066	0.086487	0.0796
355	South Carolina St.	1-17	0.5747	0.077664	0.0721
356	Idaho	1-21	0.6475	0.071948	0.0671
357	Denver	1-19	0.434	0.052926	0.0503