Updated through games of December 16

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.948

  • Preseason adjustment included for teams who have played fewer than 15 games

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Tennessee

10-0

1.309

9.7369

0.9069

2

Auburn

9-1

2.164

8.7185

0.8971

3

Florida

10-0

1.367

8.6427

0.8963

4

Utah St.

9-0

1.018

7.1932

0.8779

5

Oregon

10-1

1.679

6.9974

0.8750

6

Iowa St.

9-1

1.535

6.6979

0.8701

7

Kentucky

10-1

1.278

5.6532

0.8497

8

Alabama

8-2

2.024

5.6397

0.8494

9

Drake

7-0

0.9917

5.639

0.8494

10

Memphis

8-2

2.271

5.5826

0.8481

11

Marquette

9-2

1.759

5.4582

0.8452

12

Oklahoma

10-0

0.7116

4.7652

0.8265

13

Texas A&M

9-2

1.635

4.6973

0.8245

14

Kansas

8-2

1.616

4.4766

0.8174

15

UC Irvine

8-1

1.304

4.3792

0.8141

16

Duke

8-2

1.471

4.2692

0.8102

17

Mississippi St.

9-1

1.055

4.2212

0.8085

18

Pittsburgh

9-2

1.426

4.1798

0.8069

19

Purdue

8-3

1.653

4.0465

0.8018

20

Clemson

9-2

1.301

4.0073

0.8003

21

Michigan St.

8-2

1.531

3.977

0.7991

22

St. Bonaventure

9-1

1.033

3.8323

0.7931

23

Mississippi

9-1

0.936

3.7495

0.7895

24

Washington St.

9-2

1.226

3.726

0.7884

25

Georgia

9-1

0.983

3.7207

0.7882

26

Gonzaga

7-3

1.821

3.6819

0.7864

27

Saint Mary’s

8-2

1.308

3.6591

0.7854

28

Arizona St.

8-2

1.541

3.6095

0.7831

29

Furman

8-1

1.201

3.5835

0.7818

30

UCLA

9-1

0.9962

3.4958

0.7776

31

Dayton

8-2

1.179

3.4883

0.7772

32

San Diego St.

6-2

1.379

3.4102

0.7733

33

Wisconsin

9-3

1.398

3.3173

0.7684

34

Baylor

7-3

1.592

3.1966

0.7617

35

Connecticut

8-3

1.263

3.1944

0.7616

36

Vanderbilt

9-1

0.9757

3.1546

0.7593

37

Liberty

8-1

1.044

3.1512

0.7591

38

Nebraska

7-2

1.196

3.0461

0.7528

39

Colorado

8-2

1.029

2.978

0.7486

40

Samford

7-2

1.099

2.9283

0.7454

41

Cincinnati

8-1

0.7859

2.911

0.7443

42

Illinois

7-3

1.331

2.8825

0.7424

43

Loyola Chicago

7-1

0.8311

2.8672

0.7414

44

Bradley

7-2

1.165

2.8283

0.7388

45

SMU

9-2

0.997

2.8243

0.7385

46

Michigan

8-2

1.243

2.8139

0.7378

47

LSU

8-2

1.11

2.785

0.7358

48

St. John’s

8-2

1.008

2.7604

0.7341

49

Rhode Island

9-1

0.8183

2.7457

0.7330

50

Houston

6-3

1.262

2.7017

0.7299

51

San Francisco

8-2

1.018

2.693

0.7292

52

Charleston

7-2

1.064

2.687

0.7288

53

North Carolina

6-4

1.703

2.6775

0.7281

54

Louisiana Tech

8-2

1.016

2.6358

0.7250

55

Arkansas

9-2

0.9125

2.5865

0.7212

56

Wichita St.

8-2

1.078

2.5067

0.7148

57

Nevada

8-3

1.078

2.487

0.7132

58

UC San Diego

8-2

0.9997

2.4651

0.7114

59

UCF

8-2

0.958

2.4532

0.7104

60

Penn St.

9-2

0.8652

2.442

0.7095

61

BYU

8-2

0.8215

2.3991

0.7058

62

Arkansas St.

8-3

1.211

2.3974

0.7057

63

Florida St.

8-3

1.119

2.3386

0.7005

64

Iowa

8-3

1.097

2.3341

0.7001

65

Boise St.

6-3

1.278

2.3337

0.7000

66

Wake Forest

8-3

1.087

2.331

0.6998

67

Texas

9-2

0.7353

2.3115

0.6980

68

Belmont

8-2

0.8806

2.307

0.6976

69

Northwestern

8-3

1.035

2.3057

0.6975

70

Missouri

9-1

0.6842

2.2486

0.6922

71

Indiana

8-3

1.045

2.2441

0.6917

72

West Virginia

8-2

0.9624

2.208

0.6883

73

Kent St.

7-2

1.079

2.2032

0.6878

74

Texas Tech

8-2

0.7289

2.1655

0.6841

75

Radford

8-3

1.121

2.1214

0.6796

76

Maryland

8-2

0.8088

2.0944

0.6768

77

VCU

8-2

0.7341

2.0924

0.6766

78

Stanford

8-2

0.837

2.0661

0.6738

79

New Mexico

7-3

0.9655

2.0576

0.6729

80

Columbia

8-1

0.6873

2.0261

0.6695

81

Cornell

6-3

1.125

2.0227

0.6692

82

Princeton

7-4

1.151

1.9403

0.6599

83

High Point

9-2

0.6367

1.9342

0.6592

84

Creighton

7-4

1.132

1.9339

0.6592

85

South Carolina

7-3

0.8612

1.9041

0.6557

86

Xavier

8-3

0.8753

1.8403

0.6479

87

Washington

6-3

1.088

1.8254

0.6461

88

Ohio St.

6-4

1.265

1.8247

0.6460

89

Utah

7-2

0.6872

1.8053

0.6435

90

North Texas

4-3

1.509

1.7876

0.6413

91

Grand Canyon

5-4

1.245

1.7702

0.6390

92

Rutgers

7-4

1.146

1.7526

0.6367

93

Davidson

7-2

0.7967

1.7493

0.6363

94

Virginia

6-4

1.16

1.7482

0.6361

95

Florida Atlantic

6-5

1.388

1.7295

0.6336

96

Oregon St.

6-2

0.9123

1.7004

0.6297

97

Hofstra

6-4

1.248

1.697

0.6292

98

Butler

7-4

1.051

1.6529

0.6231

99

Kansas St.

6-3

0.9182

1.6246

0.6190

100

Santa Clara

6-5

1.375

1.606

0.6163

101

Georgetown

8-2

0.6984

1.5907

0.6140

102

North Dakota St.

7-4

1.12

1.5811

0.6126

103

Providence

7-5

1.166

1.5763

0.6119

104

CSUN

6-3

1.049

1.575

0.6117

105

UNC Wilmington

6-3

0.9086

1.5661

0.6103

106

Middle Tennessee

6-3

1.096

1.561

0.6095

107

Western Kentucky

6-3

0.9511

1.5449

0.6071

108

Oklahoma St.

6-3

1.029

1.5434

0.6068

109

UC Riverside

5-4

1.467

1.5371

0.6058

110

Northern Iowa

6-4

1.069

1.5046

0.6007

111

Northeastern

8-3

0.782

1.5026

0.6004

112

Lipscomb

6-4

1.129

1.4999

0.6000

113

George Washington

9-2

0.5355

1.4868

0.5979

114

Louisville

6-5

1.395

1.4538

0.5925

115

UMass Lowell

6-4

1.04

1.4492

0.5917

116

George Mason

6-3

0.8104

1.4409

0.5903

117

Purdue Fort Wayne

7-4

0.9453

1.4397

0.5901

118

Central Connecticut

5-4

1.328

1.4396

0.5901

119

USC

7-4

0.9225

1.4327

0.5889

120

Milwaukee

7-4

0.9555

1.4265

0.5879

121

N.C. State

7-4

0.832

1.4191

0.5866

122

Akron

4-3

1.042

1.4187

0.5866

123

North Florida

5-4

1.35

1.4028

0.5838

124

Texas St.

5-4

1.275

1.4

0.5833

125

Rice

8-3

0.736

1.3965

0.5827

126

McNeese

3-5

1.555

1.3637

0.5769

127

UC Davis

5-4

1.178

1.3568

0.5757

128

TCU

6-4

0.8962

1.3521

0.5748

129

James Madison

5-4

0.919

1.3472

0.5740

130

Wright St.

5-5

1.4

1.3457

0.5737

131

South Florida

5-5

1.194

1.332

0.5712

132

Marist

6-2

0.6826

1.3198

0.5689

133

Troy

5-4

1.112

1.3022

0.5656

134

St. Thomas

6-4

1.002

1.2993

0.5651

135

UNLV

5-4

0.9649

1.2976

0.5648

136

Arizona

4-5

1.219

1.2882

0.5630

137

Boston College

7-4

0.7856

1.2863

0.5626

138

Kennesaw St.

5-3

1.052

1.2838

0.5621

139

Montana

4-5

1.468

1.2791

0.5612

140

Toledo

5-4

1.033

1.2759

0.5606

141

Appalachian St.

4-4

1.059

1.2749

0.5604

142

Miami OH

5-3

1.013

1.2742

0.5603

143

Brown

7-3

0.7119

1.2625

0.5580

144

Indiana St.

5-4

0.855

1.2617

0.5579

145

Temple

5-4

1.145

1.2526

0.5561

146

Yale

4-5

1.255

1.2408

0.5537

147

Saint Joseph’s

6-4

0.8502

1.239

0.5534

148

DePaul

8-2

0.5758

1.2355

0.5527

149

Sam Houston St.

4-5

1.399

1.2307

0.5517

150

UTEP

5-3

0.9217

1.2261

0.5508

151

California

7-4

0.8044

1.2186

0.5493

152

Villanova

7-4

0.7417

1.2084

0.5472

153

Drexel

6-4

0.8577

1.2013

0.5457

154

La Salle

6-5

1.062

1.1913

0.5436

155

South Dakota St.

6-5

1.028

1.1889

0.5432

156

Chattanooga

6-4

0.8349

1.1825

0.5418

157

UNC Asheville

4-4

1.111

1.1741

0.5400

158

Maine

6-5

1.046

1.1569

0.5364

159

Colorado St.

5-5

0.9855

1.1493

0.5347

160

Elon

5-3

0.9806

1.1404

0.5328

161

Syracuse

5-5

0.9927

1.1292

0.5303

162

Murray St.

5-3

0.8752

1.1272

0.5299

163

Abilene Christian

4-4

1.189

1.1149

0.5272

164

Winthrop

6-3

0.6869

1.0862

0.5207

165

Jacksonville

4-5

1.415

1.0794

0.5191

166

Notre Dame

6-5

0.9205

1.0607

0.5147

167

Longwood

6-3

0.6303

1.0549

0.5134

168

Oakland

2-5

1.571

1.0496

0.5121

169

Saint Louis

5-4

0.9067

1.049

0.5120

170

UC Santa Barbara

6-3

0.6644

1.0446

0.5109

171

Quinnipiac

4-5

1.158

1.0395

0.5097

172

Norfolk St.

4-6

1.409

1.0393

0.5096

173

Northern Colorado

4-5

1.222

1.0292

0.5072

174

Minnesota

6-5

0.8435

1.029

0.5071

175

Illinois St.

5-4

0.8851

1.0189

0.5047

176

UNC Greensboro

4-5

1.095

1.0154

0.5038

177

North Alabama

5-4

0.9107

0.99673

0.4992

178

Merrimack

5-6

1.148

0.99022

0.4975

179

South Dakota

6-4

0.829

0.97969

0.4949

180

Eastern Kentucky

4-5

1.199

0.97699

0.4942

181

Fordham

6-5

0.8629

0.96522

0.4912

182

South Alabama

6-4

0.729

0.95653

0.4889

183

Southern

2-4

1.535

0.95223

0.4878

184

Mount St. Mary’s

5-4

0.9173

0.95054

0.4873

185

Georgia Southern

5-5

1.084

0.94985

0.4871

186

Southern Utah

5-4

0.9065

0.93442

0.4830

187

Charlotte

4-4

0.8187

0.92876

0.4815

188

East Tennessee St.

4-5

1.058

0.92796

0.4813

189

Missouri St.

4-5

1.042

0.92511

0.4805

190

Hawaii

4-3

0.7375

0.92494

0.4805

191

Illinois Chicago

4-4

1.006

0.91696

0.4783

192

Central Michigan

2-4

1.371

0.9096

0.4763

193

Wagner

4-4

0.9934

0.90049

0.4738

194

American

4-4

1.079

0.9003

0.4738

195

Loyola Marymount

4-4

1.006

0.8985

0.4733

196

Southern Illinois

3-6

1.364

0.88755

0.4702

197

Youngstown St.

5-5

0.834

0.8872

0.4701

198

Little Rock

4-5

1.051

0.87561

0.4668

199

Mercer

4-4

0.8481

0.85095

0.4597

200

Wyoming

4-5

0.9476

0.85067

0.4597

201

Nicholls

4-4

0.8215

0.84579

0.4582

202

Delaware

5-4

0.687

0.84405

0.4577

203

Queens

4-5

1.051

0.84224

0.4572

204

Utah Valley

4-6

1.122

0.84203

0.4571

205

Seton Hall

5-6

0.8588

0.84022

0.4566

206

SIUE

4-4

0.923

0.83835

0.4560

207

Ohio

4-6

1.057

0.80792

0.4469

208

Seattle

2-6

1.488

0.80708

0.4466

209

Fairfield

4-5

0.8656

0.79651

0.4434

210

UTSA

4-5

1.043

0.78862

0.4409

211

Bryant

4-7

1.148

0.78793

0.4407

212

Montana St.

4-6

1.079

0.78495

0.4398

213

Marshall

5-5

0.8214

0.7848

0.4397

214

Siena

5-5

0.9434

0.78079

0.4385

215

Holy Cross

4-5

1.139

0.77708

0.4373

216

East Carolina

5-4

0.6639

0.77523

0.4367

217

Jacksonville St.

4-4

0.8489

0.77014

0.4351

218

Vermont

4-7

1.04

0.76685

0.4340

219

Cal Poly

4-7

1.37

0.76459

0.4333

220

Cal Baptist

5-6

0.8888

0.76417

0.4332

221

UT Arlington

3-6

1.119

0.75826

0.4313

222

Austin Peay

3-6

1.226

0.74642

0.4274

223

Saint Peter’s

3-5

0.9974

0.74551

0.4271

224

Cleveland St.

4-6

0.9587

0.74317

0.4263

225

Wofford

3-7

1.328

0.7431

0.4263

226

Northern Arizona

4-4

0.7777

0.74302

0.4263

227

Gardner Webb

4-7

1.108

0.73934

0.4251

228

Weber St.

3-6

1.111

0.73909

0.4250

229

Eastern Michigan

4-5

0.94

0.72322

0.4197

230

Virginia Tech

5-6

0.7442

0.71649

0.4174

231

Richmond

2-6

1.137

0.71404

0.4166

232

New Mexico St.

4-6

1.007

0.70966

0.4151

233

Lamar

3-5

1.029

0.70693

0.4142

234

Robert Morris

5-5

0.7777

0.69347

0.4095

235

Alabama St.

3-6

1.281

0.69163

0.4089

236

Presbyterian

4-6

1.001

0.68339

0.4060

237

Morehead St.

2-6

1.145

0.68128

0.4052

238

Cal St. Bakersfield

3-6

1.199

0.67955

0.4046

239

Sacred Heart

4-6

0.9827

0.67779

0.4040

240

Florida Gulf Coast

3-7

1.31

0.67055

0.4014

241

Southeastern Louisiana

4-6

0.96

0.66867

0.4007

242

Albany

4-6

0.9352

0.66712

0.4002

243

Stephen F. Austin

3-6

1.031

0.66685

0.4001

244

Northern Kentucky

3-6

1.037

0.66329

0.3988

245

Texas A&M Corpus Chris

4-5

0.7307

0.64872

0.3935

246

Georgia Tech

4-6

0.791

0.64382

0.3917

247

Pepperdine

4-6

0.9102

0.64027

0.3903

248

UT Rio Grande Valley

4-4

0.821

0.63942

0.3900

249

Portland St.

3-5

0.8752

0.63659

0.3890

250

Towson

3-7

1.085

0.63419

0.3881

251

Binghamton

3-6

1.021

0.62626

0.3851

252

Niagara

4-6

0.859

0.62579

0.3849

253

Loyola MD

4-4

0.8362

0.6248

0.3845

254

Western Illinois

3-5

0.8294

0.6222

0.3836

255

San Jose St.

4-6

0.869

0.61301

0.3800

256

Lafayette

4-5

0.8259

0.60804

0.3781

257

Howard

3-6

1.024

0.60693

0.3777

258

Southern Miss

3-6

0.9441

0.59618

0.3735

259

Idaho St.

2-5

1.169

0.59334

0.3724

260

Valparaiso

4-4

0.6822

0.58879

0.3706

261

Bucknell

4-7

0.9286

0.58107

0.3675

262

Detroit Mercy

4-7

1.062

0.57821

0.3664

263

Stony Brook

2-7

1.212

0.57705

0.3659

264

North Carolina Central

3-8

1.214

0.57588

0.3654

265

Fresno St.

4-7

0.8632

0.56962

0.3629

266

Lehigh

2-6

1.356

0.56808

0.3623

267

UAB

4-6

0.6545

0.56621

0.3615

268

Rider

4-7

0.8404

0.55737

0.3579

269

Cal St. Fullerton

3-8

1.155

0.55521

0.3570

270

Colgate

2-9

1.438

0.54436

0.3525

271

Northwestern St.

3-6

1.082

0.53818

0.3499

272

Miami FL

4-7

0.7576

0.5369

0.3493

273

Hampton

3-5

0.9418

0.52799

0.3455

274

South Carolina St.

3-7

1.015

0.52398

0.3438

275

Harvard

3-7

0.8964

0.51776

0.3411

276

Stonehill

4-6

0.8546

0.51517

0.3400

277

Dartmouth

3-6

0.9821

0.51454

0.3397

278

Western Carolina

1-6

1.044

0.51319

0.3391

279

Massachusetts

3-7

0.8191

0.51147

0.3384

280

Boston University

4-6

0.7118

0.50802

0.3369

281

Army

3-5

0.9338

0.50676

0.3363

282

Georgia St.

3-6

0.8096

0.50277

0.3346

283

Tarleton St.

1-9

1.617

0.49331

0.3303

284

Iona

3-8

0.9986

0.48992

0.3288

285

Eastern Washington

2-9

1.254

0.4802

0.3244

286

Coastal Carolina

4-5

0.6427

0.47989

0.3243

287

Southern Indiana

3-5

0.8834

0.47657

0.3228

288

Delaware St.

2-6

1.053

0.4726

0.3209

289

Bethune Cookman

2-8

1.234

0.46931

0.3194

290

Bowling Green

3-6

0.6979

0.4685

0.3190

291

Denver

3-7

0.8645

0.46785

0.3187

292

Tennessee Martin

1-7

1.213

0.45813

0.3142

293

Manhattan

3-5

0.773

0.45363

0.3121

294

Long Beach St.

3-8

0.8614

0.45066

0.3107

295

Florida A&M

1-5

1.688

0.4497

0.3102

296

Saint Francis

2-7

1.353

0.44698

0.3089

297

North Dakota

3-8

0.8833

0.43854

0.3049

298

Pacific

3-7

0.9633

0.43694

0.3041

299

Idaho

2-7

1.133

0.4365

0.3039

300

Incarnate Word

4-5

0.6137

0.43519

0.3032

301

Tulane

4-7

0.6279

0.43268

0.3020

302

Evansville

2-7

0.8969

0.43107

0.3012

303

William & Mary

2-6

1.081

0.43057

0.3010

304

Tennessee Tech

3-6

0.8005

0.42932

0.3004

305

Nebraska Omaha

3-9

0.9984

0.42687

0.2992

306

UMBC

4-5

0.5244

0.42396

0.2977

307

Duquesne

3-8

0.7382

0.41342

0.2925

308

Ball St.

2-6

0.8387

0.41233

0.2919

309

FIU

2-6

0.889

0.40566

0.2886

310

Western Michigan

2-7

0.9588

0.40225

0.2869

311

Buffalo

3-5

0.7447

0.39874

0.2851

312

Grambling St.

0-7

1.467

0.3963

0.2838

313

Campbell

3-6

0.6609

0.39596

0.2836

314

Tulsa

3-7

0.6808

0.39594

0.2836

315

Southeast Missouri

2-6

1.06

0.39135

0.2813

316

Jackson St.

0-10

2.6

0.38872

0.2799

317

LIU

2-9

1.258

0.3841

0.2775

318

Eastern Illinois

1-7

1.364

0.38312

0.2770

319

Kansas City

2-7

0.8469

0.38207

0.2764

320

New Orleans

2-7

1.093

0.37962

0.2752

321

Portland

2-7

0.8761

0.37918

0.2749

322

Texas Southern

0-8

1.805

0.36715

0.2686

323

Penn

3-7

0.6442

0.35919

0.2643

324

Charleston Southern

2-9

1.062

0.35385

0.2614

325

Oral Roberts

1-7

1.149

0.35116

0.2599

326

Lindenwood

2-6

0.9217

0.34735

0.2578

327

Le Moyne

2-8

0.9259

0.3467

0.2574

328

Mercyhurst

3-7

0.818

0.34571

0.2569

329

Monmouth

1-10

1.344

0.34453

0.2562

330

USC Upstate

1-9

1.39

0.33228

0.2494

331

Northern Illinois

1-7

1.005

0.32484

0.2452

332

Air Force

3-8

0.6483

0.31679

0.2406

333

North Carolina A&T

2-8

0.903

0.31296

0.2384

334

Tennessee St.

1-7

0.8716

0.30901

0.2361

335

Alcorn St.

0-11

2.141

0.30159

0.2317

336

Fairleigh Dickinson

1-8

1.038

0.29212

0.2261

337

VMI

2-6

0.8483

0.28628

0.2226

338

Louisiana Monroe

2-8

0.718

0.28023

0.2189

339

Central Arkansas

2-8

0.7968

0.2785

0.2178

340

Utah Tech

1-10

1.17

0.27613

0.2164

341

Green Bay

2-10

0.8133

0.27333

0.2147

342

Louisiana

1-9

0.8503

0.25843

0.2054

343

Arkansas Pine Bluff

1-10

1.083

0.24224

0.1950

344

San Diego

2-8

0.5431

0.24083

0.1941

345

East Texas A&M

1-10

1.058

0.23731

0.1918

346

Navy

2-8

0.6242

0.23299

0.1890

347

Alabama A&M

1-6

0.587

0.23047

0.1873

348

Prairie View A&M

0-9

1.446

0.22462

0.1834

349

Old Dominion

2-8

0.6082

0.22306

0.1824

350

The Citadel

1-5

0.4698

0.22192

0.1816

351

IU Indy

2-8

0.6559

0.20794

0.1721

352

Sacramento St.

1-8

0.7177

0.20719

0.1716

353

Morgan St.

2-8

0.533

0.20327

0.1689

354

West Georgia

1-10

1.083

0.19026

0.1598

355

Chicago St.

0-12

1.454

0.18838

0.1585

356

NJIT

2-11

0.6429

0.18347

0.1550

357

Mississippi Valley St.

0-8

2.3

0.18152

0.1536

358

Bellarmine

1-8

0.583

0.16542

0.1419

359

Stetson

0-9

0.6803

0.15954

0.1376

360

Maryland Eastern Shore

0-11

1.311

0.15862

0.1369

361

Houston Christian

1-7

0.6048

0.15729

0.1359

362

New Hampshire

0-11

0.8436

0.14042

0.1231

363

Canisius

0-11

0.8781

0.1392

0.1222

364

Coppin St.

0-12

1.135

0.1124

0.1010