Football Margin-Aware Bradley-Terry Ratings 2009

WPct = Winning percentage against an average team
Mgn = Expected margin of victory against an average team

Parameters: α = 6.5, KW = 2.1, KM = 13.0

RankTeamRecordSOSRatingWPctMgn
1 Alabama 14-0-0 2.777 17.973 0.9977 37.6
2 Florida 13-1-0 2.279 10.729 0.9932 30.8
3 Texas 13-1-0 1.78 8.1043 0.9878 27.2
4 Boise State 14-0-0 0.9495 7.6929 0.9864 26.5
5 TCU 12-1-0 1.294 7.2348 0.9846 25.7
6 Virginia Tech 10-3-0 1.883 5.592 0.9738 22.4
7 Ohio State 11-2-0 1.379 4.6914 0.9625 20.1
8 Cincinnati 12-1-0 1.485 4.5852 0.9608 19.8
9 Penn State 11-2-0 1.132 3.9565 0.9473 17.9
10 Nebraska 10-4-0 1.457 3.8868 0.9454 17.6
11 LSU 9-4-0 2.074 3.8801 0.9452 17.6
12 Oregon 10-3-0 1.853 3.8677 0.9448 17.6
13 Oklahoma 8-5-0 1.742 3.7056 0.9400 17.0
14 Arkansas 8-5-0 2.047 3.6922 0.9395 17.0
15 Pittsburgh 10-3-0 1.348 3.4071 0.9292 15.9
16 Georgia Tech 11-3-0 1.637 3.2781 0.9237 15.4
17 Clemson 9-5-0 1.519 3.0955 0.9147 14.7
18 Texas Tech 9-4-0 1.296 3.0652 0.9131 14.6
19 Mississippi 9-4-0 1.525 2.9932 0.9091 14.3
20 Iowa 11-2-0 1.321 2.8424 0.8997 13.6
21 Brigham Young 11-2-0 1.141 2.8307 0.8989 13.5
22 Miami FL 9-4-0 1.613 2.8066 0.8973 13.4
23 Stanford 8-5-0 1.433 2.6306 0.8840 12.6
24 Tennessee 7-6-0 1.806 2.5757 0.8794 12.3
25 Auburn 8-5-0 1.746 2.552 0.8773 12.2
26 Utah 10-3-0 1.015 2.5012 0.8727 11.9
27 USC 9-4-0 1.466 2.4584 0.8686 11.7
28 Connecticut 8-5-0 1.368 2.3764 0.8603 11.3
29 Georgia 8-5-0 1.831 2.2201 0.8422 10.4
30 Oregon State 8-5-0 1.42 2.2182 0.8420 10.4
31 North Carolina 8-5-0 1.34 2.1678 0.8355 10.1
32 Oklahoma State 9-4-0 1.363 2.1503 0.8331 10.0
33 Wisconsin 10-3-0 1.085 2.0858 0.8240 9.6
34 West Virginia 9-4-0 1.314 2.0387 0.8170 9.3
35 Arizona 8-5-0 1.497 2.0068 0.8120 9.1
36 Rutgers 9-4-0 0.9222 1.9022 0.7942 8.4
37 Air Force 8-5-0 0.9104 1.8672 0.7877 8.1
38 Kentucky 7-6-0 1.427 1.7374 0.7613 7.2
39 Mississippi State 5-7-0 2.009 1.7086 0.7549 7.0
40 Central Michigan 12-2-0 0.6156 1.7019 0.7534 6.9
41 South Carolina 7-6-0 1.779 1.701 0.7532 6.9
42 Florida State 7-6-0 1.637 1.6762 0.7474 6.7
43 South Florida 8-5-0 1.107 1.6688 0.7456 6.7
44 Notre Dame 6-6-0 1.353 1.6202 0.7337 6.3
45 Navy 10-4-0 0.8603 1.5673 0.7198 5.8
46 California 8-5-0 1.221 1.4803 0.6950 5.1
47 Boston College 8-5-0 1.212 1.4611 0.6892 4.9
48 Houston 10-4-0 0.7725 1.3468 0.6514 3.9
49 Troy 9-4-0 0.7369 1.3415 0.6495 3.8
50 Missouri 8-5-0 1.056 1.3356 0.6474 3.8
51 Texas A&M 6-7-0 1.243 1.3161 0.6403 3.6
52 Wake Forest 5-7-0 1.205 1.3009 0.6347 3.4
53 Michigan State 6-7-0 1.155 1.2749 0.6248 3.2
54 East Carolina 9-5-0 0.9038 1.2551 0.6171 3.0
55 UCLA 7-6-0 1.274 1.2487 0.6145 2.9
56 Washington 5-7-0 1.469 1.2351 0.6091 2.7
57 Middle Tennessee St. 10-3-0 0.5632 1.147 0.5715 1.8
58 Minnesota 6-7-0 1.233 1.0773 0.5390 1.0
59 Purdue 5-7-0 1.092 1.0583 0.5297 0.7
60 Nevada 8-5-0 0.6965 1.0173 0.5090 0.2
61 Arizona State 4-8-0 1.166 1.0081 0.5042 0.1
62 Kansas 5-7-0 1.079 0.9572 0.4771 -0.6
63 Northwestern 8-5-0 0.8488 0.93379 0.4641 -0.9
64 Iowa State 7-6-0 0.893 0.92091 0.4569 -1.1
65 Fresno State 8-5-0 0.6969 0.91607 0.4541 -1.1
66 Central Florida 8-5-0 0.7325 0.8287 0.4026 -2.4
67 North Carolina State 5-7-0 1.067 0.81896 0.3967 -2.6
68 Southern Miss 7-6-0 0.6231 0.81283 0.3929 -2.7
69 Michigan 5-7-0 0.9122 0.80444 0.3877 -2.8
70 Kansas State 6-6-0 0.8858 0.78635 0.3764 -3.1
71 Bowling Green 6-6-0 0.6656 0.77131 0.3670 -3.4
72 Ohio 9-5-0 0.566 0.76098 0.3604 -3.6
73 Southern Methodist 8-5-0 0.6262 0.75281 0.3552 -3.7
74 Baylor 4-8-0 1.364 0.7503 0.3536 -3.7
75 Temple 9-4-0 0.4585 0.75013 0.3535 -3.7
76 Syracuse 4-8-0 1.158 0.72032 0.3343 -4.3
77 Marshall 7-6-0 0.6861 0.69182 0.3157 -4.8
78 Louisiana Tech 4-8-0 0.7368 0.68714 0.3126 -4.9
79 Northern Illinois 7-6-0 0.4885 0.65554 0.2918 -5.5
80 Virginia 3-9-0 1.178 0.62087 0.2688 -6.2
81 Duke 5-7-0 0.7947 0.61552 0.2652 -6.3
82 Louisville 4-8-0 1.172 0.58493 0.2449 -7.0
83 UAB 5-7-0 0.7199 0.57196 0.2363 -7.3
84 Illinois 3-9-0 1.059 0.56691 0.2329 -7.4
85 Idaho 8-5-0 0.61 0.56357 0.2307 -7.5
86 Indiana 4-8-0 0.8231 0.55727 0.2266 -7.6
87 Tulsa 5-7-0 0.5767 0.55565 0.2255 -7.6
88 UNLV 5-7-0 0.7691 0.55358 0.2241 -7.7
89 Wyoming 7-6-0 0.756 0.513 0.1975 -8.7
90 Colorado 3-9-0 1.037 0.49996 0.1891 -9.0
91 Buffalo 5-6-0 0.5295 0.49619 0.1867 -9.1
92 Maryland 2-10-0 1.04 0.46073 0.1642 -10.1
93 Hawaii 6-7-0 0.5556 0.45125 0.1583 -10.3
94 Vanderbilt 2-10-0 1.077 0.44818 0.1564 -10.4
95 Utah State 4-8-0 0.6679 0.43734 0.1497 -10.8
96 UTEP 4-8-0 0.5328 0.43299 0.1471 -10.9
97 Florida Atlantic 5-7-0 0.5367 0.41623 0.1370 -11.4
98 Louisiana-Monroe 6-6-0 0.5054 0.40277 0.1290 -11.8
99 San Diego State 4-8-0 0.6168 0.39539 0.1247 -12.1
100 Kent State 5-7-0 0.4446 0.39455 0.1242 -12.1
101 Colorado State 3-9-0 0.668 0.35296 0.1009 -13.5
102 Arkansas State 4-8-0 0.4804 0.35279 0.1008 -13.5
103 Louisiana-Lafayette 6-6-0 0.4921 0.33901 0.0935 -14.1
104 Western Michigan 5-7-0 0.4 0.33492 0.0914 -14.2
105 Toledo 5-7-0 0.4772 0.29912 0.0735 -15.7
106 Army 5-7-0 0.4217 0.25848 0.0551 -17.6
107 Memphis 2-10-0 0.7397 0.2577 0.0548 -17.6
108 Florida International 3-9-0 0.5527 0.23422 0.0453 -18.9
109 North Texas 2-10-0 0.4273 0.22703 0.0425 -19.3
110 Akron 3-9-0 0.5184 0.21944 0.0397 -19.7
111 Tulane 3-9-0 0.5414 0.17912 0.0263 -22.4
112 Miami OH 1-11-0 0.7313 0.17376 0.0247 -22.8
113 San Jose State 2-10-0 0.6074 0.17298 0.0245 -22.8
114 Rice 2-10-0 0.7268 0.16773 0.0230 -23.2
115 Ball State 2-10-0 0.3973 0.16544 0.0224 -23.4
116 New Mexico 1-11-0 0.7189 0.15841 0.0204 -24.0
117 Washington State 1-11-0 1.297 0.15604 0.0198 -24.1
118 New Mexico State 3-10-0 0.4498 0.12165 0.0118 -27.4
119 1-AA 5-89-0 0.7628 0.10056 0.0080 -29.9
120 Western Kentucky 0-12-0 0.4475 0.084432 0.0055 -32.1
121 Eastern Michigan 0-12-0 0.4629 0.080584 0.0050 -32.7