WPct = Winning percentage against an average team
Mgn = Expected margin of victory against an average team
Parameters: α = 6.5, KW = 2.1, KM = 13.0
| Rank | Team | Record | SOS | Rating | WPct | Mgn |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon | 12-1-0 | 2.074 | 12.888 | 0.9954 | 33.2 |
| 2 | Auburn | 14-0-0 | 2.613 | 9.8362 | 0.9918 | 29.7 |
| 3 | TCU | 13-0-0 | 1.184 | 9.4685 | 0.9912 | 29.2 |
| 4 | Stanford | 12-1-0 | 2.045 | 9.4276 | 0.9911 | 29.2 |
| 5 | Boise State | 12-1-0 | 1.266 | 9.3228 | 0.9909 | 29.0 |
| 6 | Alabama | 10-3-0 | 2.199 | 7.6294 | 0.9862 | 26.4 |
| 7 | Ohio State | 12-1-0 | 1.445 | 6.8724 | 0.9828 | 25.1 |
| 8 | Arkansas | 10-3-0 | 2.292 | 5.8024 | 0.9757 | 22.9 |
| 9 | Virginia Tech | 11-3-0 | 1.562 | 4.8385 | 0.9648 | 20.5 |
| 10 | Wisconsin | 11-2-0 | 1.458 | 4.8278 | 0.9646 | 20.5 |
| 11 | LSU | 11-2-0 | 2.01 | 4.7513 | 0.9635 | 20.3 |
| 12 | Oklahoma State | 11-2-0 | 1.398 | 4.7437 | 0.9634 | 20.2 |
| 13 | Oklahoma | 12-2-0 | 1.747 | 4.4917 | 0.9591 | 19.5 |
| 14 | South Carolina | 9-5-0 | 2.189 | 4.0707 | 0.9502 | 18.2 |
| 15 | Missouri | 10-3-0 | 1.542 | 4.0308 | 0.9492 | 18.1 |
| 16 | Nevada | 13-1-0 | 0.8911 | 3.9901 | 0.9481 | 18.0 |
| 17 | Florida State | 10-4-0 | 1.688 | 3.7192 | 0.9404 | 17.1 |
| 18 | Nebraska | 10-4-0 | 1.393 | 3.4501 | 0.9309 | 16.1 |
| 19 | Texas A&M | 9-4-0 | 1.776 | 3.236 | 0.9217 | 15.3 |
| 20 | Michigan State | 11-2-0 | 1.345 | 3.1362 | 0.9169 | 14.9 |
| 21 | Iowa | 8-5-0 | 1.437 | 2.9267 | 0.9051 | 14.0 |
| 22 | Mississippi State | 9-4-0 | 1.616 | 2.7844 | 0.8957 | 13.3 |
| 23 | Notre Dame | 8-5-0 | 1.634 | 2.7555 | 0.8936 | 13.2 |
| 24 | North Carolina State | 9-4-0 | 1.335 | 2.7073 | 0.8901 | 12.9 |
| 25 | Florida | 8-5-0 | 1.633 | 2.6317 | 0.8841 | 12.6 |
| 26 | USC | 8-5-0 | 1.759 | 2.4595 | 0.8687 | 11.7 |
| 27 | Arizona | 7-6-0 | 1.857 | 2.3632 | 0.8589 | 11.2 |
| 28 | Arizona State | 6-6-0 | 1.663 | 2.3441 | 0.8568 | 11.1 |
| 29 | Air Force | 9-4-0 | 1.045 | 2.3134 | 0.8534 | 10.9 |
| 30 | Utah | 10-3-0 | 1.263 | 2.2683 | 0.8481 | 10.6 |
| 31 | West Virginia | 9-4-0 | 1.021 | 2.2509 | 0.8460 | 10.5 |
| 32 | San Diego State | 9-4-0 | 0.8995 | 2.0659 | 0.8211 | 9.4 |
| 33 | Pittsburgh | 8-5-0 | 1.072 | 1.9783 | 0.8073 | 8.9 |
| 34 | Illinois | 7-6-0 | 1.202 | 1.9509 | 0.8027 | 8.7 |
| 35 | Miami FL | 7-6-0 | 1.493 | 1.9325 | 0.7995 | 8.6 |
| 36 | Central Florida | 11-3-0 | 0.6498 | 1.9023 | 0.7942 | 8.4 |
| 37 | Georgia | 6-7-0 | 1.41 | 1.8281 | 0.7802 | 7.8 |
| 38 | Oregon State | 5-7-0 | 2.318 | 1.82 | 0.7786 | 7.8 |
| 39 | California | 5-7-0 | 1.722 | 1.7532 | 0.7648 | 7.3 |
| 40 | Clemson | 6-7-0 | 1.39 | 1.7309 | 0.7599 | 7.1 |
| 41 | Hawaii | 10-4-0 | 0.8826 | 1.7287 | 0.7594 | 7.1 |
| 42 | Maryland | 9-4-0 | 1.088 | 1.6863 | 0.7498 | 6.8 |
| 43 | Northern Illinois | 11-3-0 | 0.5414 | 1.6565 | 0.7427 | 6.6 |
| 44 | Tulsa | 10-3-0 | 0.7357 | 1.6191 | 0.7334 | 6.3 |
| 45 | Washington | 7-6-0 | 1.924 | 1.5176 | 0.7060 | 5.4 |
| 46 | Penn State | 7-6-0 | 1.271 | 1.3962 | 0.6684 | 4.3 |
| 47 | Navy | 9-4-0 | 0.8391 | 1.3892 | 0.6660 | 4.3 |
| 48 | Kansas State | 7-6-0 | 1.088 | 1.3481 | 0.6519 | 3.9 |
| 49 | North Carolina | 8-5-0 | 1.216 | 1.346 | 0.6511 | 3.9 |
| 50 | Southern Miss | 8-5-0 | 0.6817 | 1.2949 | 0.6324 | 3.4 |
| 51 | Texas Tech | 8-5-0 | 1.122 | 1.2724 | 0.6239 | 3.1 |
| 52 | Boston College | 7-6-0 | 1.223 | 1.2495 | 0.6149 | 2.9 |
| 53 | Tennessee | 6-7-0 | 1.232 | 1.188 | 0.5894 | 2.2 |
| 54 | Michigan | 7-6-0 | 1.347 | 1.145 | 0.5706 | 1.8 |
| 55 | Baylor | 7-6-0 | 1.126 | 1.135 | 0.5661 | 1.6 |
| 56 | Iowa State | 5-7-0 | 1.364 | 1.0996 | 0.5497 | 1.2 |
| 57 | Louisville | 7-6-0 | 0.8274 | 1.0852 | 0.5428 | 1.1 |
| 58 | South Florida | 8-5-0 | 0.8823 | 1.0758 | 0.5383 | 1.0 |
| 59 | Brigham Young | 7-6-0 | 1.007 | 1.073 | 0.5369 | 0.9 |
| 60 | Colorado | 5-7-0 | 1.365 | 1.0565 | 0.5288 | 0.7 |
| 61 | Kentucky | 6-7-0 | 1.03 | 1.0426 | 0.5219 | 0.5 |
| 62 | Texas | 5-7-0 | 1.165 | 1.0183 | 0.5095 | 0.2 |
| 63 | Fresno State | 8-5-0 | 0.8302 | 1.0053 | 0.5028 | 0.1 |
| 64 | Connecticut | 8-5-0 | 0.821 | 0.99985 | 0.4999 | -0.0 |
| 65 | Georgia Tech | 6-7-0 | 0.9532 | 0.91165 | 0.4516 | -1.2 |
| 66 | Toledo | 8-5-0 | 0.6492 | 0.90058 | 0.4452 | -1.4 |
| 67 | UCLA | 4-8-0 | 1.643 | 0.89163 | 0.4401 | -1.5 |
| 68 | Syracuse | 8-5-0 | 0.7642 | 0.87972 | 0.4331 | -1.7 |
| 69 | Southern Methodist | 7-7-0 | 0.7668 | 0.79329 | 0.3808 | -3.0 |
| 70 | Army | 7-6-0 | 0.6271 | 0.75266 | 0.3551 | -3.7 |
| 71 | Mississippi | 4-8-0 | 1.033 | 0.72378 | 0.3365 | -4.2 |
| 72 | Houston | 5-7-0 | 0.68 | 0.71827 | 0.3329 | -4.3 |
| 73 | Northwestern | 7-6-0 | 0.8218 | 0.71152 | 0.3286 | -4.4 |
| 74 | Cincinnati | 4-8-0 | 1.024 | 0.70567 | 0.3247 | -4.5 |
| 75 | Louisiana Tech | 5-7-0 | 0.8317 | 0.69054 | 0.3148 | -4.8 |
| 76 | Temple | 8-4-0 | 0.4967 | 0.68671 | 0.3123 | -4.9 |
| 77 | Troy | 8-5-0 | 0.4832 | 0.68477 | 0.3111 | -4.9 |
| 78 | Miami OH | 10-4-0 | 0.5163 | 0.66429 | 0.2976 | -5.3 |
| 79 | Ohio | 8-5-0 | 0.4165 | 0.64297 | 0.2834 | -5.7 |
| 80 | Western Michigan | 6-6-0 | 0.5152 | 0.63949 | 0.2811 | -5.8 |
| 81 | Idaho | 6-7-0 | 0.6426 | 0.63436 | 0.2777 | -5.9 |
| 82 | East Carolina | 6-7-0 | 0.9356 | 0.62227 | 0.2697 | -6.2 |
| 83 | Florida International | 7-6-0 | 0.541 | 0.61916 | 0.2676 | -6.2 |
| 84 | Indiana | 5-7-0 | 0.776 | 0.58251 | 0.2433 | -7.0 |
| 85 | Virginia | 4-8-0 | 0.8262 | 0.58077 | 0.2421 | -7.1 |
| 86 | Purdue | 4-8-0 | 0.955 | 0.5727 | 0.2368 | -7.2 |
| 87 | Wake Forest | 3-9-0 | 1.13 | 0.54556 | 0.2188 | -7.9 |
| 88 | Duke | 3-9-0 | 1.024 | 0.51743 | 0.2004 | -8.6 |
| 89 | Minnesota | 3-9-0 | 1.126 | 0.50937 | 0.1952 | -8.8 |
| 90 | Rutgers | 4-8-0 | 0.7762 | 0.49999 | 0.1891 | -9.0 |
| 91 | Washington State | 2-10-0 | 1.41 | 0.41988 | 0.1392 | -11.3 |
| 92 | Arkansas State | 4-8-0 | 0.4975 | 0.41946 | 0.1389 | -11.3 |
| 93 | Kent State | 5-7-0 | 0.5034 | 0.41923 | 0.1388 | -11.3 |
| 94 | Marshall | 5-7-0 | 0.6397 | 0.40623 | 0.1310 | -11.7 |
| 95 | UTEP | 6-7-0 | 0.4144 | 0.40179 | 0.1284 | -11.9 |
| 96 | UAB | 4-8-0 | 0.6052 | 0.39988 | 0.1273 | -11.9 |
| 97 | Central Michigan | 3-9-0 | 0.5565 | 0.37667 | 0.1140 | -12.7 |
| 98 | Utah State | 4-8-0 | 0.7437 | 0.35922 | 0.1043 | -13.3 |
| 99 | Kansas | 3-9-0 | 0.9155 | 0.34353 | 0.0959 | -13.9 |
| 100 | Vanderbilt | 2-10-0 | 1.044 | 0.34187 | 0.0950 | -14.0 |
| 101 | Wyoming | 3-9-0 | 0.7104 | 0.3367 | 0.0923 | -14.2 |
| 102 | Rice | 4-8-0 | 0.6497 | 0.29402 | 0.0711 | -15.9 |
| 103 | Colorado State | 3-9-0 | 0.7878 | 0.2893 | 0.0688 | -16.1 |
| 104 | Louisiana-Monroe | 5-7-0 | 0.4597 | 0.28297 | 0.0659 | -16.4 |
| 105 | Middle Tennessee St. | 6-7-0 | 0.3354 | 0.2827 | 0.0658 | -16.4 |
| 106 | North Texas | 3-9-0 | 0.4305 | 0.25244 | 0.0526 | -17.9 |
| 107 | Bowling Green | 2-10-0 | 0.5752 | 0.24822 | 0.0509 | -18.1 |
| 108 | Tulane | 4-8-0 | 0.5808 | 0.24319 | 0.0488 | -18.4 |
| 109 | Ball State | 4-8-0 | 0.3339 | 0.22394 | 0.0414 | -19.5 |
| 110 | UNLV | 2-11-0 | 0.9124 | 0.22117 | 0.0404 | -19.6 |
| 111 | Western Kentucky | 2-10-0 | 0.4643 | 0.19586 | 0.0316 | -21.2 |
| 112 | Florida Atlantic | 4-8-0 | 0.45 | 0.19424 | 0.0310 | -21.3 |
| 113 | San Jose State | 1-12-0 | 0.5809 | 0.17987 | 0.0265 | -22.3 |
| 114 | Louisiana-Lafayette | 3-9-0 | 0.4699 | 0.16856 | 0.0232 | -23.1 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | 2-10-0 | 0.5221 | 0.13061 | 0.0137 | -26.5 |
| 116 | Memphis | 1-11-0 | 0.7276 | 0.12617 | 0.0128 | -26.9 |
| 117 | Buffalo | 2-10-0 | 0.3736 | 0.11545 | 0.0106 | -28.1 |
| 118 | Akron | 1-11-0 | 0.4239 | 0.10606 | 0.0089 | -29.2 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | 2-10-0 | 0.5247 | 0.10332 | 0.0084 | -29.5 |
| 120 | New Mexico | 1-11-0 | 0.5862 | 0.096371 | 0.0073 | -30.4 |
| 121 | 1-AA | 7-83-0 | 0.8037 | 0.092544 | 0.0067 | -30.9 |