Football Margin-Aware Bradley-Terry Ratings 2011

WPct = Winning percentage against an average team
Mgn = Expected margin of victory against an average team

Parameters: Home field = 1.42, α = 6.5, K_W = 1.9, K_M = 13.0

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	WPct	Mgn
1	Alabama	12-1-0	1.631	9.2789	0.9857	29.0
2	LSU	13-1-0	1.968	8.5534	0.9833	27.9
3	Boise State	12-1-0	1.059	5.6302	0.9639	22.5
4	Oklahoma State	12-1-0	1.506	5.2514	0.9590	21.6
5	Oregon	12-2-0	1.287	4.7116	0.9500	20.2
6	Oklahoma	10-3-0	1.439	3.7701	0.9256	17.3
7	Stanford	11-2-0	1.168	3.6511	0.9213	16.8
8	Wisconsin	11-3-0	1.104	3.3764	0.9099	15.8
9	Houston	13-1-0	0.8814	3.2192	0.9022	15.2
10	Arkansas	11-2-0	1.32	2.9704	0.8878	14.2
11	TCU	11-2-0	1.02	2.929	0.8851	14.0
12	Michigan	11-2-0	1.083	2.8197	0.8776	13.5
13	Southern Miss	12-2-0	0.9314	2.6189	0.8617	12.5
14	USC	10-2-0	1.144	2.4834	0.8492	11.8
15	Georgia	10-4-0	1.291	2.3514	0.8354	11.1
16	Michigan State	11-3-0	1.151	2.3119	0.8309	10.9
17	South Carolina	10-2-0	1.112	2.2997	0.8295	10.8
18	Baylor	10-3-0	1.234	2.1711	0.8135	10.1
19	Texas A&M	7-6-0	1.308	2.107	0.8047	9.7
20	Florida State	9-4-0	0.9648	2.0648	0.7986	9.4
21	Virginia Tech	11-3-0	1.006	1.9398	0.7788	8.6
22	Notre Dame	8-5-0	1.253	1.8865	0.7696	8.3
23	Missouri	8-5-0	1.247	1.839	0.7609	7.9
24	West Virginia	10-3-0	1.053	1.8364	0.7604	7.9
25	Cincinnati	10-3-0	0.9572	1.797	0.7528	7.6
26	Toledo	9-4-0	0.9746	1.7862	0.7507	7.5
27	Tulsa	8-5-0	1.199	1.7432	0.7419	7.2
28	Nebraska	9-4-0	1.067	1.7295	0.7390	7.1
29	Texas	8-5-0	1.311	1.7032	0.7334	6.9
30	Kansas State	10-3-0	1.256	1.6862	0.7296	6.8
31	Clemson	10-4-0	1.038	1.6075	0.7113	6.2
32	Temple	9-4-0	0.6998	1.5863	0.7061	6.0
33	Louisiana Tech	8-5-0	1.003	1.5478	0.6964	5.7
34	Northern Illinois	11-3-0	0.8226	1.5282	0.6912	5.5
35	Penn State	9-4-0	1.164	1.5168	0.6882	5.4
36	Brigham Young	10-3-0	0.8346	1.5112	0.6866	5.4
37	Rutgers	9-4-0	0.9142	1.4933	0.6818	5.2
38	Mississippi State	7-6-0	1.221	1.4569	0.6715	4.9
39	Florida	7-6-0	1.173	1.3844	0.6498	4.2
40	Auburn	8-5-0	1.262	1.3472	0.6379	3.9
41	Arkansas State	10-3-0	0.6826	1.346	0.6375	3.9
42	Vanderbilt	6-7-0	1.113	1.3117	0.6261	3.5
43	South Florida	6-7-0	1.001	1.2879	0.6179	3.3
44	Ohio	10-4-0	0.7253	1.2853	0.6170	3.3
45	Southern Methodist	8-5-0	1.009	1.262	0.6088	3.0
46	Arizona State	6-7-0	1.033	1.2492	0.6042	2.9
47	Georgia Tech	8-5-0	0.8511	1.2371	0.5997	2.8
48	Ohio State	6-7-0	1.101	1.2217	0.5940	2.6
49	Nevada	7-6-0	0.9229	1.2196	0.5932	2.6
50	North Carolina State	8-5-0	0.8231	1.214	0.5911	2.5
51	Miami FL	6-6-0	0.9186	1.205	0.5877	2.4
52	California	7-6-0	1.036	1.201	0.5861	2.4
53	Iowa	7-6-0	0.9806	1.1966	0.5845	2.3
54	Utah	8-5-0	0.9085	1.1822	0.5788	2.2
55	Western Michigan	7-6-0	0.8724	1.1552	0.5681	1.9
56	North Carolina	7-6-0	0.974	1.1376	0.5610	1.7
57	Louisville	7-6-0	0.9886	1.1254	0.5559	1.5
58	Navy	5-7-0	0.9551	1.0916	0.5415	1.1
59	Pittsburgh	6-7-0	0.9505	1.0677	0.5311	0.9
60	San Diego State	8-5-0	0.7691	1.0541	0.5250	0.7
61	Tennessee	5-7-0	1.159	1.0402	0.5187	0.5
62	Central Florida	5-7-0	0.8324	0.99775	0.4989	-0.0
63	Washington	7-6-0	1.017	0.96617	0.4837	-0.4
64	Florida International	8-5-0	0.6504	0.94872	0.4750	-0.7
65	Utah State	7-6-0	0.7724	0.93995	0.4706	-0.8
66	Louisiana-Lafayette	9-4-0	0.7316	0.92669	0.4639	-1.0
67	Northwestern	6-7-0	0.9216	0.91529	0.4581	-1.2
68	Air Force	7-6-0	0.7467	0.91165	0.4562	-1.2
69	Illinois	7-6-0	0.895	0.9048	0.4526	-1.3
70	Connecticut	5-7-0	0.9072	0.84161	0.4188	-2.2
71	Purdue	7-6-0	0.8561	0.83095	0.4129	-2.4
72	Virginia	8-5-0	0.8489	0.82956	0.4122	-2.4
73	Marshall	7-6-0	1.084	0.81959	0.4066	-2.6
74	Wake Forest	6-7-0	0.9261	0.80608	0.3990	-2.8
75	Texas Tech	5-7-0	1.064	0.80332	0.3974	-2.8
76	Bowling Green	5-7-0	0.8597	0.79012	0.3899	-3.1
77	UCLA	6-8-0	1.138	0.78243	0.3855	-3.2
78	Iowa State	6-7-0	1.213	0.76078	0.3730	-3.6
79	Wyoming	8-5-0	0.7787	0.74838	0.3657	-3.8
80	East Carolina	5-7-0	0.923	0.69747	0.3352	-4.7
81	San Jose State	5-7-0	0.894	0.69151	0.3316	-4.8
82	Ball State	6-6-0	0.9442	0.68859	0.3298	-4.9
83	Kentucky	5-7-0	0.9259	0.68498	0.3276	-4.9
84	Eastern Michigan	6-6-0	0.7108	0.67569	0.3219	-5.1
85	Hawaii	6-7-0	0.6288	0.67221	0.3198	-5.2
86	Western Kentucky	7-5-0	0.6685	0.67006	0.3185	-5.2
87	Arizona	4-8-0	1.08	0.66822	0.3174	-5.2
88	Miami OH	4-8-0	0.8535	0.66439	0.3150	-5.3
89	Syracuse	5-7-0	0.9363	0.65586	0.3097	-5.5
90	Boston College	4-8-0	0.9191	0.6524	0.3076	-5.6
91	Louisiana-Monroe	4-8-0	0.7405	0.62869	0.2928	-6.0
92	UTEP	5-7-0	0.8134	0.61358	0.2833	-6.3
93	Kent State	5-7-0	0.814	0.58909	0.2679	-6.9
94	Washington State	4-8-0	0.8603	0.57801	0.2609	-7.1
95	Oregon State	3-9-0	1.039	0.57455	0.2587	-7.2
96	Rice	4-8-0	0.9966	0.56942	0.2554	-7.3
97	Fresno State	4-9-0	0.8579	0.55838	0.2484	-7.6
98	North Texas	5-7-0	0.7735	0.51355	0.2199	-8.7
99	Army	3-9-0	0.8568	0.499	0.2107	-9.0
100	Mississippi	2-10-0	1.215	0.49799	0.2100	-9.1
101	Duke	3-9-0	0.8666	0.49179	0.2061	-9.2
102	Colorado	3-10-0	1.076	0.46852	0.1915	-9.9
103	Kansas	2-10-0	1.172	0.45261	0.1815	-10.3
104	Minnesota	3-9-0	0.93	0.45006	0.1799	-10.4
105	New Mexico State	4-9-0	0.7724	0.42265	0.1630	-11.2
106	Central Michigan	3-9-0	0.8292	0.4161	0.1590	-11.4
107	Buffalo	3-9-0	0.748	0.40591	0.1528	-11.7
108	Maryland	2-10-0	0.9116	0.37915	0.1367	-12.6
109	UAB	3-9-0	0.7937	0.36272	0.1271	-13.2
110	Colorado State	3-9-0	0.6521	0.35706	0.1238	-13.4
111	Idaho	2-10-0	0.7705	0.35416	0.1221	-13.5
112	Troy	3-9-0	0.7126	0.32595	0.1062	-14.6
113	Indiana	1-11-0	0.8317	0.32218	0.1041	-14.7
114	Middle Tennessee St.	2-10-0	0.6614	0.29168	0.0878	-16.0
115	Memphis	2-10-0	0.6456	0.27529	0.0794	-16.8
116	Tulane	2-11-0	0.6393	0.23232	0.0588	-19.0
117	UNLV	2-10-0	0.7206	0.21658	0.0518	-19.9
118	Akron	1-11-0	0.702	0.20785	0.0481	-20.4
119	Florida Atlantic	1-11-0	0.7156	0.16805	0.0327	-23.2
120	New Mexico	1-11-0	0.6194	0.16427	0.0313	-23.5
121	1-AA	6-91-0	1.181	0.15054	0.0267	-24.6