Updated through games of January 7

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.387

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Alabama

13-1-0

1.994

11.568

0.9204

2

Ohio State

12-0-0

1.169

10.523

0.9132

3

Notre Dame

12-1-0

1.925

10.395

0.9122

4

Oregon

12-1-0

1.572

8.4902

0.8946

5

Florida

11-2-0

2.288

8.172

0.8910

6

Stanford

12-2-0

1.911

7.3705

0.8805

7

South Carolina

11-2-0

1.89

6.749

0.8710

8

Georgia

12-2-0

1.741

6.7154

0.8704

9

Texas A&M

11-2-0

1.87

6.6803

0.8698

10

Kansas State

11-2-0

1.569

5.6032

0.8486

11

LSU

10-3-0

1.836

4.6912

0.8243

12

Clemson

11-2-0

1.256

4.487

0.8178

13

Florida State

12-2-0

1.152

4.4451

0.8163

14

Oklahoma

10-3-0

1.69

4.3195

0.8120

15

San Jose State

11-2-0

1.111

3.9666

0.7987

16

Nebraska

10-4-0

1.665

3.4823

0.7769

17

Utah State

11-2-0

0.9669

3.4531

0.7754

18

Louisville

11-2-0

0.9611

3.4325

0.7744

19

Northwestern

10-3-0

1.155

2.9526

0.7470

20

Northern Illinois

12-2-0

0.7549

2.9117

0.7444

21

Oregon State

9-4-0

1.486

2.8371

0.7394

22

Arkansas State

10-3-0

1.102

2.8163

0.7380

23

Texas

9-4-0

1.367

2.6096

0.7230

24

Vanderbilt

9-4-0

1.359

2.5952

0.7219

25

Boise State

11-2-0

0.7083

2.5298

0.7167

26

Michigan

8-5-0

1.73

2.5287

0.7166

27

Kent State

11-3-0

0.8687

2.413

0.7070

28

Cincinnati

10-3-0

0.867

2.2157

0.6890

29

Tulsa

11-3-0

0.7896

2.1934

0.6869

30

UCLA

9-5-0

1.284

2.0736

0.6747

31

Baylor

8-5-0

1.391

2.0333

0.6703

32

Ball State

9-4-0

1.056

2.0169

0.6685

33

Louisiana Tech

9-3-0

0.8499

1.9831

0.6648

34

Penn State

8-4-0

1.125

1.9424

0.6601

35

Oklahoma State

8-5-0

1.288

1.8826

0.6531

36

Arizona

8-5-0

1.273

1.86

0.6503

37

Central Florida

10-4-0

0.8687

1.8163

0.6449

38

Wisconsin

8-6-0

1.409

1.7847

0.6409

39

Michigan State

7-6-0

1.491

1.69

0.6282

40

Rutgers

9-4-0

0.8771

1.6745

0.6261

41

Mississippi State

8-5-0

1.125

1.6444

0.6218

42

Louisiana-Lafayette

9-4-0

0.8566

1.6354

0.6206

43

USC

7-6-0

1.415

1.6038

0.6159

44

Toledo

8-4-0

0.9282

1.6032

0.6159

45

Syracuse

8-5-0

1.096

1.6023

0.6157

46

Texas Tech

8-5-0

1.089

1.5916

0.6141

47

Brigham Young

8-5-0

1.066

1.5574

0.6090

48

Fresno State

9-4-0

0.7966

1.5208

0.6033

49

Arizona State

8-5-0

1.008

1.4739

0.5958

50

San Diego State

9-4-0

0.7604

1.4517

0.5921

51

Miami (Florida)

7-5-0

1.109

1.4509

0.5920

52

Mississippi

7-6-0

1.267

1.436

0.5895

53

Washington

7-6-0

1.255

1.4218

0.5871

54

TCU

7-6-0

1.253

1.4197

0.5867

55

North Carolina

8-4-0

0.8213

1.4186

0.5865

56

Ohio

9-4-0

0.6954

1.3276

0.5704

57

Missouri

5-7-0

1.693

1.295

0.5643

58

Navy

8-5-0

0.8805

1.2869

0.5627

59

West Virginia

7-6-0

1.135

1.286

0.5626

60

Middle Tennessee

8-4-0

0.7393

1.277

0.5608

61

Virginia Tech

7-6-0

1.086

1.2305

0.5517

62

Louisiana-Monroe

8-5-0

0.835

1.2203

0.5496

63

Bowling Green

8-5-0

0.8043

1.1755

0.5403

64

Iowa State

6-7-0

1.269

1.1196

0.5282

65

Georgia Tech

7-7-0

1.091

1.0911

0.5218

66

East Carolina

8-5-0

0.6667

0.97447

0.4935

67

North Carolina State

7-6-0

0.8597

0.97427

0.4935

68

Duke

6-7-0

1.027

0.90598

0.4753

69

Southern Methodist

7-6-0

0.7755

0.87892

0.4678

70

Tennessee

5-7-0

1.145

0.87536

0.4668

71

Western Kentucky

7-6-0

0.7455

0.84487

0.4580

72

UTSA

6-4-0

0.6029

0.82216

0.4512

73

Pittsburgh

6-7-0

0.913

0.80561

0.4462

74

Purdue

6-7-0

0.8995

0.79368

0.4425

75

Minnesota

6-7-0

0.8584

0.75744

0.4310

76

Central Michigan

7-6-0

0.6577

0.74536

0.4271

77

Utah

5-7-0

0.944

0.72188

0.4192

78

Rice

7-6-0

0.6284

0.71223

0.4160

79

Arkansas

4-8-0

1.204

0.69729

0.4108

80

Wake Forest

5-7-0

0.8712

0.66618

0.3998

81

Nevada

6-6-0

0.6353

0.63526

0.3885

82

Connecticut

5-7-0

0.7729

0.59106

0.3715

83

Iowa

4-8-0

1.011

0.58545

0.3693

84

Troy

5-7-0

0.7556

0.57784

0.3662

85

Virginia

4-8-0

0.898

0.51992

0.3421

86

Indiana

4-8-0

0.8951

0.51819

0.3413

87

Houston

5-7-0

0.6528

0.49916

0.3330

88

Temple

4-7-0

0.7678

0.49679

0.3319

89

Marshall

5-7-0

0.6443

0.49273

0.3301

90

North Texas

4-8-0

0.8498

0.492

0.3298

91

Auburn

3-9-0

1.143

0.48966

0.3287

92

Miami (Ohio)

4-8-0

0.8383

0.48531

0.3267

93

California

3-9-0

1.108

0.47469

0.3219

94

Maryland

4-8-0

0.7922

0.45863

0.3144

95

Air Force

6-7-0

0.5177

0.45682

0.3136

96

Buffalo

4-8-0

0.7708

0.44628

0.3086

97

South Florida

3-9-0

0.9833

0.42141

0.2965

98

Western Michigan

4-7-0

0.6053

0.39163

0.2814

99

Kentucky

2-10-0

1.207

0.36723

0.2686

100

Texas State

4-8-0

0.6145

0.35579

0.2624

101

Florida International

3-9-0

0.785

0.33645

0.2517

102

Memphis

4-8-0

0.5783

0.33478

0.2508

103

Washington State

3-9-0

0.7622

0.32664

0.2462

104

Wyoming

4-8-0

0.5553

0.32152

0.2433

105

Florida Atlantic

3-9-0

0.7362

0.31553

0.2399

106

Colorado State

4-8-0

0.5185

0.30019

0.2309

107

UTEP

3-9-0

0.6525

0.27964

0.2185

108

Boston College

2-10-0

0.8596

0.26162

0.2074

109

Illinois

2-10-0

0.8254

0.2512

0.2008

110

New Mexico

4-9-0

0.4713

0.24688

0.1980

111

UAB

3-9-0

0.5579

0.23909

0.1930

112

Eastern Michigan

2-10-0

0.7608

0.23154

0.1880

113

Tulane

2-10-0

0.7207

0.21933

0.1799

114

Hawaii

3-9-0

0.4939

0.21169

0.1747

115

Kansas

1-11-0

1.038

0.20765

0.1719

116

Army

2-10-0

0.6163

0.18757

0.1579

117

South Alabama

2-11-0

0.5875

0.16451

0.1413

118

Colorado

1-11-0

0.7873

0.15746

0.1360

119

Massachusetts

1-11-0

0.6949

0.13897

0.1220

120

UNLV

2-11-0

0.4618

0.12931

0.1145

121

Akron

1-11-0

0.5888

0.11776

0.1054

122

Idaho

1-11-0

0.58

0.116

0.1039

123

1-AA

10-95-0

0.923

0.10999

0.0991

124

New Mexico State

1-11-0

0.5079

0.10159

0.0922

125

Southern Miss

0-12-0

0.6776

0.075289

0.0700