Updated through games of January 6
Parameters
-
Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.475
-
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`
Ratings
Rank | Team | Record | SOS | Rating | Win % vs Average |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Florida State |
14-0-0 |
1.642 |
16.972 |
0.9444 |
2 |
Auburn |
12-2-0 |
2.162 |
8.3401 |
0.8929 |
3 |
Michigan State |
13-1-0 |
1.396 |
8.0947 |
0.8900 |
4 |
Missouri |
12-2-0 |
1.823 |
7.0333 |
0.8755 |
5 |
South Carolina |
11-2-0 |
1.818 |
6.4942 |
0.8666 |
6 |
Central Florida |
12-1-0 |
1.176 |
6.3528 |
0.8640 |
7 |
Alabama |
11-2-0 |
1.627 |
5.8098 |
0.8532 |
8 |
Oklahoma |
11-2-0 |
1.589 |
5.6755 |
0.8502 |
9 |
Clemson |
11-2-0 |
1.552 |
5.5417 |
0.8471 |
10 |
Stanford |
11-3-0 |
1.93 |
5.3605 |
0.8428 |
11 |
Oregon |
11-2-0 |
1.354 |
4.8348 |
0.8286 |
12 |
Baylor |
11-2-0 |
1.313 |
4.6907 |
0.8243 |
13 |
Ohio State |
12-2-0 |
1.196 |
4.6121 |
0.8218 |
14 |
UCLA |
10-3-0 |
1.764 |
4.5083 |
0.8185 |
15 |
Louisville |
12-1-0 |
0.764 |
4.1258 |
0.8049 |
16 |
LSU |
10-3-0 |
1.475 |
3.7701 |
0.7904 |
17 |
Arizona State |
10-4-0 |
1.712 |
3.5794 |
0.7816 |
18 |
Oklahoma State |
10-3-0 |
1.398 |
3.573 |
0.7813 |
19 |
Texas A&M |
9-4-0 |
1.659 |
3.1681 |
0.7601 |
20 |
USC |
10-4-0 |
1.425 |
2.9789 |
0.7487 |
21 |
Notre Dame |
9-4-0 |
1.535 |
2.9296 |
0.7455 |
22 |
Northern Illinois |
12-2-0 |
0.73 |
2.8155 |
0.7379 |
23 |
Georgia |
8-5-0 |
1.848 |
2.7013 |
0.7298 |
24 |
Washington |
9-4-0 |
1.402 |
2.6761 |
0.7280 |
25 |
Fresno State |
11-2-0 |
0.7309 |
2.6105 |
0.7230 |
26 |
Duke |
10-4-0 |
1.193 |
2.4945 |
0.7138 |
27 |
Mississippi |
8-5-0 |
1.679 |
2.4534 |
0.7104 |
28 |
Miami (Florida) |
9-4-0 |
1.21 |
2.3099 |
0.6979 |
29 |
Wisconsin |
9-4-0 |
1.207 |
2.3039 |
0.6973 |
30 |
Vanderbilt |
9-4-0 |
1.167 |
2.2275 |
0.6902 |
31 |
Virginia Tech |
8-5-0 |
1.432 |
2.0923 |
0.6766 |
32 |
Nebraska |
9-4-0 |
1.062 |
2.0279 |
0.6697 |
33 |
East Carolina |
10-3-0 |
0.7786 |
1.9898 |
0.6655 |
34 |
Texas |
8-5-0 |
1.325 |
1.937 |
0.6595 |
35 |
Arizona |
8-5-0 |
1.319 |
1.9281 |
0.6585 |
36 |
Navy |
9-4-0 |
0.9605 |
1.8336 |
0.6471 |
37 |
Iowa |
8-5-0 |
1.229 |
1.7964 |
0.6424 |
38 |
Mississippi State |
7-6-0 |
1.562 |
1.7701 |
0.6390 |
39 |
Brigham Young |
8-5-0 |
1.175 |
1.7176 |
0.6320 |
40 |
Rice |
10-4-0 |
0.8172 |
1.7087 |
0.6308 |
41 |
Ball State |
10-3-0 |
0.6513 |
1.6643 |
0.6247 |
42 |
Pittsburgh |
7-6-0 |
1.427 |
1.6169 |
0.6179 |
43 |
Texas Tech |
8-5-0 |
1.103 |
1.6116 |
0.6171 |
44 |
Marshall |
10-4-0 |
0.75 |
1.5681 |
0.6106 |
45 |
Minnesota |
8-5-0 |
1.06 |
1.5491 |
0.6077 |
46 |
Bowling Green |
10-4-0 |
0.7213 |
1.5083 |
0.6013 |
47 |
Utah State |
9-5-0 |
0.9253 |
1.4947 |
0.5991 |
48 |
Kansas State |
8-5-0 |
0.9961 |
1.4558 |
0.5928 |
49 |
Louisiana-Lafayette |
9-4-0 |
0.7591 |
1.4491 |
0.5917 |
50 |
North Texas |
9-4-0 |
0.7586 |
1.4483 |
0.5916 |
51 |
Penn State |
7-5-0 |
1.091 |
1.4266 |
0.5879 |
52 |
Georgia Tech |
7-6-0 |
1.246 |
1.4118 |
0.5854 |
53 |
Michigan |
7-6-0 |
1.23 |
1.3938 |
0.5822 |
54 |
North Carolina |
7-6-0 |
1.226 |
1.3899 |
0.5816 |
55 |
Houston |
8-5-0 |
0.9423 |
1.3772 |
0.5793 |
56 |
Arkansas State |
8-5-0 |
0.9338 |
1.3647 |
0.5771 |
57 |
Oregon State |
7-6-0 |
1.191 |
1.3499 |
0.5744 |
58 |
Syracuse |
7-6-0 |
1.133 |
1.284 |
0.5622 |
59 |
Boston College |
7-6-0 |
1.12 |
1.2693 |
0.5593 |
60 |
Western Kentucky |
8-4-0 |
0.7296 |
1.2603 |
0.5576 |
61 |
Boise State |
8-5-0 |
0.8442 |
1.2338 |
0.5523 |
62 |
Toledo |
7-5-0 |
0.9424 |
1.2324 |
0.5521 |
63 |
Washington State |
6-7-0 |
1.323 |
1.1677 |
0.5387 |
64 |
Utah |
5-7-0 |
1.485 |
1.1353 |
0.5317 |
65 |
Tennessee |
5-7-0 |
1.458 |
1.115 |
0.5272 |
66 |
UTSA |
7-5-0 |
0.845 |
1.1051 |
0.5250 |
67 |
Cincinnati |
9-4-0 |
0.5645 |
1.0777 |
0.5187 |
68 |
San Diego State |
8-5-0 |
0.7164 |
1.047 |
0.5115 |
69 |
Middle Tennessee |
8-5-0 |
0.7093 |
1.0367 |
0.5090 |
70 |
Maryland |
7-6-0 |
0.8933 |
1.0124 |
0.5031 |
71 |
Louisiana-Monroe |
6-6-0 |
0.9808 |
0.98075 |
0.4951 |
72 |
Tulane |
7-6-0 |
0.8218 |
0.93137 |
0.4822 |
73 |
Buffalo |
8-5-0 |
0.6289 |
0.91923 |
0.4790 |
74 |
San Jose State |
6-6-0 |
0.9142 |
0.91424 |
0.4776 |
75 |
Troy |
6-6-0 |
0.8694 |
0.86937 |
0.4651 |
76 |
Indiana |
5-7-0 |
1.134 |
0.86686 |
0.4643 |
77 |
Old Dominion |
8-4-0 |
0.5016 |
0.86637 |
0.4642 |
78 |
UNLV |
7-6-0 |
0.7231 |
0.81951 |
0.4504 |
79 |
South Alabama |
6-6-0 |
0.7764 |
0.77636 |
0.4370 |
80 |
Colorado State |
8-6-0 |
0.606 |
0.76762 |
0.4343 |
81 |
Ohio |
7-6-0 |
0.6714 |
0.76096 |
0.4321 |
82 |
Florida Atlantic |
6-6-0 |
0.7592 |
0.7592 |
0.4316 |
83 |
Northwestern |
5-7-0 |
0.9702 |
0.74194 |
0.4259 |
84 |
Florida |
4-8-0 |
1.277 |
0.73948 |
0.4251 |
85 |
Wake Forest |
4-8-0 |
1.053 |
0.60991 |
0.3788 |
86 |
Rutgers |
6-7-0 |
0.6888 |
0.60774 |
0.3780 |
87 |
Texas State |
6-6-0 |
0.6059 |
0.60593 |
0.3773 |
88 |
Colorado |
4-8-0 |
0.9991 |
0.57844 |
0.3665 |
89 |
Akron |
5-7-0 |
0.745 |
0.56967 |
0.3629 |
90 |
Central Michigan |
6-6-0 |
0.5681 |
0.56806 |
0.3623 |
91 |
TCU |
4-8-0 |
0.9572 |
0.55417 |
0.3566 |
92 |
Southern Methodist |
5-7-0 |
0.6689 |
0.51153 |
0.3384 |
93 |
Illinois |
4-8-0 |
0.8505 |
0.4924 |
0.3299 |
94 |
Nevada |
4-8-0 |
0.8177 |
0.47341 |
0.3213 |
95 |
Arkansas |
3-9-0 |
1.104 |
0.47332 |
0.3213 |
96 |
West Virginia |
4-8-0 |
0.8135 |
0.47097 |
0.3202 |
97 |
Wyoming |
5-7-0 |
0.6022 |
0.46052 |
0.3153 |
98 |
Kent State |
4-8-0 |
0.7399 |
0.42836 |
0.2999 |
99 |
Iowa State |
3-9-0 |
0.8951 |
0.38363 |
0.2773 |
100 |
Virginia |
2-10-0 |
1.204 |
0.36654 |
0.2682 |
101 |
Tulsa |
3-9-0 |
0.8453 |
0.36227 |
0.2659 |
102 |
Kansas |
3-9-0 |
0.842 |
0.36084 |
0.2652 |
103 |
North Carolina State |
3-9-0 |
0.8363 |
0.35842 |
0.2639 |
104 |
Memphis |
3-9-0 |
0.657 |
0.28156 |
0.2197 |
105 |
New Mexico |
3-9-0 |
0.6451 |
0.27649 |
0.2166 |
106 |
Kentucky |
2-10-0 |
0.8991 |
0.27365 |
0.2149 |
107 |
Connecticut |
3-9-0 |
0.5792 |
0.24821 |
0.1989 |
108 |
Louisiana Tech |
4-8-0 |
0.405 |
0.23447 |
0.1899 |
109 |
Army |
3-9-0 |
0.4958 |
0.2125 |
0.1753 |
110 |
South Florida |
2-10-0 |
0.6956 |
0.21169 |
0.1747 |
111 |
California |
1-11-0 |
1.042 |
0.20848 |
0.1725 |
112 |
Purdue |
1-11-0 |
1.026 |
0.20515 |
0.1702 |
113 |
Eastern Michigan |
2-10-0 |
0.6241 |
0.18995 |
0.1596 |
114 |
UAB |
2-10-0 |
0.6241 |
0.18995 |
0.1596 |
115 |
Air Force |
2-10-0 |
0.5919 |
0.18016 |
0.1527 |
116 |
New Mexico State |
2-10-0 |
0.5603 |
0.17054 |
0.1457 |
117 |
Hawaii |
1-11-0 |
0.8385 |
0.1677 |
0.1436 |
118 |
Temple |
2-10-0 |
0.548 |
0.16677 |
0.1429 |
119 |
Idaho |
1-11-0 |
0.7951 |
0.15902 |
0.1372 |
120 |
UTEP |
2-10-0 |
0.5155 |
0.1569 |
0.1356 |
121 |
1-AA |
15-98-0 |
0.91 |
0.15091 |
0.1311 |
122 |
Southern Miss |
1-11-0 |
0.5852 |
0.11703 |
0.1048 |
123 |
Western Michigan |
1-11-0 |
0.544 |
0.1088 |
0.0981 |
124 |
Florida International |
1-11-0 |
0.4569 |
0.091384 |
0.0837 |
125 |
Massachusetts |
1-11-0 |
0.4325 |
0.086509 |
0.0796 |
126 |
Miami (Ohio) |
0-12-0 |
0.6006 |
0.066736 |
0.0626 |
127 |
Georgia State |
0-12-0 |
0.421 |
0.046773 |
0.0447 |