Updated through games of January 6

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.475

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Florida State

14-0-0

1.642

16.972

0.9444

2

Auburn

12-2-0

2.162

8.3401

0.8929

3

Michigan State

13-1-0

1.396

8.0947

0.8900

4

Missouri

12-2-0

1.823

7.0333

0.8755

5

South Carolina

11-2-0

1.818

6.4942

0.8666

6

Central Florida

12-1-0

1.176

6.3528

0.8640

7

Alabama

11-2-0

1.627

5.8098

0.8532

8

Oklahoma

11-2-0

1.589

5.6755

0.8502

9

Clemson

11-2-0

1.552

5.5417

0.8471

10

Stanford

11-3-0

1.93

5.3605

0.8428

11

Oregon

11-2-0

1.354

4.8348

0.8286

12

Baylor

11-2-0

1.313

4.6907

0.8243

13

Ohio State

12-2-0

1.196

4.6121

0.8218

14

UCLA

10-3-0

1.764

4.5083

0.8185

15

Louisville

12-1-0

0.764

4.1258

0.8049

16

LSU

10-3-0

1.475

3.7701

0.7904

17

Arizona State

10-4-0

1.712

3.5794

0.7816

18

Oklahoma State

10-3-0

1.398

3.573

0.7813

19

Texas A&M

9-4-0

1.659

3.1681

0.7601

20

USC

10-4-0

1.425

2.9789

0.7487

21

Notre Dame

9-4-0

1.535

2.9296

0.7455

22

Northern Illinois

12-2-0

0.73

2.8155

0.7379

23

Georgia

8-5-0

1.848

2.7013

0.7298

24

Washington

9-4-0

1.402

2.6761

0.7280

25

Fresno State

11-2-0

0.7309

2.6105

0.7230

26

Duke

10-4-0

1.193

2.4945

0.7138

27

Mississippi

8-5-0

1.679

2.4534

0.7104

28

Miami (Florida)

9-4-0

1.21

2.3099

0.6979

29

Wisconsin

9-4-0

1.207

2.3039

0.6973

30

Vanderbilt

9-4-0

1.167

2.2275

0.6902

31

Virginia Tech

8-5-0

1.432

2.0923

0.6766

32

Nebraska

9-4-0

1.062

2.0279

0.6697

33

East Carolina

10-3-0

0.7786

1.9898

0.6655

34

Texas

8-5-0

1.325

1.937

0.6595

35

Arizona

8-5-0

1.319

1.9281

0.6585

36

Navy

9-4-0

0.9605

1.8336

0.6471

37

Iowa

8-5-0

1.229

1.7964

0.6424

38

Mississippi State

7-6-0

1.562

1.7701

0.6390

39

Brigham Young

8-5-0

1.175

1.7176

0.6320

40

Rice

10-4-0

0.8172

1.7087

0.6308

41

Ball State

10-3-0

0.6513

1.6643

0.6247

42

Pittsburgh

7-6-0

1.427

1.6169

0.6179

43

Texas Tech

8-5-0

1.103

1.6116

0.6171

44

Marshall

10-4-0

0.75

1.5681

0.6106

45

Minnesota

8-5-0

1.06

1.5491

0.6077

46

Bowling Green

10-4-0

0.7213

1.5083

0.6013

47

Utah State

9-5-0

0.9253

1.4947

0.5991

48

Kansas State

8-5-0

0.9961

1.4558

0.5928

49

Louisiana-Lafayette

9-4-0

0.7591

1.4491

0.5917

50

North Texas

9-4-0

0.7586

1.4483

0.5916

51

Penn State

7-5-0

1.091

1.4266

0.5879

52

Georgia Tech

7-6-0

1.246

1.4118

0.5854

53

Michigan

7-6-0

1.23

1.3938

0.5822

54

North Carolina

7-6-0

1.226

1.3899

0.5816

55

Houston

8-5-0

0.9423

1.3772

0.5793

56

Arkansas State

8-5-0

0.9338

1.3647

0.5771

57

Oregon State

7-6-0

1.191

1.3499

0.5744

58

Syracuse

7-6-0

1.133

1.284

0.5622

59

Boston College

7-6-0

1.12

1.2693

0.5593

60

Western Kentucky

8-4-0

0.7296

1.2603

0.5576

61

Boise State

8-5-0

0.8442

1.2338

0.5523

62

Toledo

7-5-0

0.9424

1.2324

0.5521

63

Washington State

6-7-0

1.323

1.1677

0.5387

64

Utah

5-7-0

1.485

1.1353

0.5317

65

Tennessee

5-7-0

1.458

1.115

0.5272

66

UTSA

7-5-0

0.845

1.1051

0.5250

67

Cincinnati

9-4-0

0.5645

1.0777

0.5187

68

San Diego State

8-5-0

0.7164

1.047

0.5115

69

Middle Tennessee

8-5-0

0.7093

1.0367

0.5090

70

Maryland

7-6-0

0.8933

1.0124

0.5031

71

Louisiana-Monroe

6-6-0

0.9808

0.98075

0.4951

72

Tulane

7-6-0

0.8218

0.93137

0.4822

73

Buffalo

8-5-0

0.6289

0.91923

0.4790

74

San Jose State

6-6-0

0.9142

0.91424

0.4776

75

Troy

6-6-0

0.8694

0.86937

0.4651

76

Indiana

5-7-0

1.134

0.86686

0.4643

77

Old Dominion

8-4-0

0.5016

0.86637

0.4642

78

UNLV

7-6-0

0.7231

0.81951

0.4504

79

South Alabama

6-6-0

0.7764

0.77636

0.4370

80

Colorado State

8-6-0

0.606

0.76762

0.4343

81

Ohio

7-6-0

0.6714

0.76096

0.4321

82

Florida Atlantic

6-6-0

0.7592

0.7592

0.4316

83

Northwestern

5-7-0

0.9702

0.74194

0.4259

84

Florida

4-8-0

1.277

0.73948

0.4251

85

Wake Forest

4-8-0

1.053

0.60991

0.3788

86

Rutgers

6-7-0

0.6888

0.60774

0.3780

87

Texas State

6-6-0

0.6059

0.60593

0.3773

88

Colorado

4-8-0

0.9991

0.57844

0.3665

89

Akron

5-7-0

0.745

0.56967

0.3629

90

Central Michigan

6-6-0

0.5681

0.56806

0.3623

91

TCU

4-8-0

0.9572

0.55417

0.3566

92

Southern Methodist

5-7-0

0.6689

0.51153

0.3384

93

Illinois

4-8-0

0.8505

0.4924

0.3299

94

Nevada

4-8-0

0.8177

0.47341

0.3213

95

Arkansas

3-9-0

1.104

0.47332

0.3213

96

West Virginia

4-8-0

0.8135

0.47097

0.3202

97

Wyoming

5-7-0

0.6022

0.46052

0.3153

98

Kent State

4-8-0

0.7399

0.42836

0.2999

99

Iowa State

3-9-0

0.8951

0.38363

0.2773

100

Virginia

2-10-0

1.204

0.36654

0.2682

101

Tulsa

3-9-0

0.8453

0.36227

0.2659

102

Kansas

3-9-0

0.842

0.36084

0.2652

103

North Carolina State

3-9-0

0.8363

0.35842

0.2639

104

Memphis

3-9-0

0.657

0.28156

0.2197

105

New Mexico

3-9-0

0.6451

0.27649

0.2166

106

Kentucky

2-10-0

0.8991

0.27365

0.2149

107

Connecticut

3-9-0

0.5792

0.24821

0.1989

108

Louisiana Tech

4-8-0

0.405

0.23447

0.1899

109

Army

3-9-0

0.4958

0.2125

0.1753

110

South Florida

2-10-0

0.6956

0.21169

0.1747

111

California

1-11-0

1.042

0.20848

0.1725

112

Purdue

1-11-0

1.026

0.20515

0.1702

113

Eastern Michigan

2-10-0

0.6241

0.18995

0.1596

114

UAB

2-10-0

0.6241

0.18995

0.1596

115

Air Force

2-10-0

0.5919

0.18016

0.1527

116

New Mexico State

2-10-0

0.5603

0.17054

0.1457

117

Hawaii

1-11-0

0.8385

0.1677

0.1436

118

Temple

2-10-0

0.548

0.16677

0.1429

119

Idaho

1-11-0

0.7951

0.15902

0.1372

120

UTEP

2-10-0

0.5155

0.1569

0.1356

121

1-AA

15-98-0

0.91

0.15091

0.1311

122

Southern Miss

1-11-0

0.5852

0.11703

0.1048

123

Western Michigan

1-11-0

0.544

0.1088

0.0981

124

Florida International

1-11-0

0.4569

0.091384

0.0837

125

Massachusetts

1-11-0

0.4325

0.086509

0.0796

126

Miami (Ohio)

0-12-0

0.6006

0.066736

0.0626

127

Georgia State

0-12-0

0.421

0.046773

0.0447