Updated through games of October 25

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.331

  • Victory point formula: `V_A=1/(1+e^(-M_A/6.5))`

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A^2.42/(R_A^2.42+R_B^2.42)`

  • Expected margin for a matchup: `M_(A,B)=15.4*ln(R_A/R_B)`

  • Home field equivalent to 4.4 points in expected margin

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average Margin vs Average

1

Mississippi State

7-0

1.275

4.5027

0.9745

23.2

2

Mississippi

7-1

1.331

4.3628

0.9725

22.7

3

Marshall

8-0

0.7159

3.9404

0.9651

21.1

4

Alabama

7-1

1.306

3.4832

0.9535

19.2

5

Auburn

6-1

1.406

3.293

0.9471

18.4

6

Oregon

7-1

1.021

3.0287

0.9359

17.1

7

Georgia

6-1

1.091

3.0038

0.9347

16.9

8

Nebraska

7-1

0.9802

2.9777

0.9334

16.8

9

TCU

6-1

0.9387

2.8095

0.9241

15.9

10

Florida State

7-0

0.9578

2.7373

0.9196

15.5

11

Oklahoma

5-2

1.24

2.6679

0.9149

15.1

12

Michigan State

7-1

0.9295

2.5952

0.9095

14.7

13

Ohio State

6-1

0.9761

2.5518

0.9061

14.4

14

Notre Dame

6-1

1.031

2.4481

0.8972

13.8

15

Arizona State

6-1

1.061

2.3121

0.8837

12.9

16

Louisville

6-2

0.9428

2.2917

0.8815

12.8

17

Baylor

6-1

0.8933

2.2288

0.8743

12.3

18

Kansas State

6-1

0.9576

2.1556

0.8651

11.8

19

LSU

7-2

1.168

2.0817

0.8550

11.3

20

Georgia Southern

6-2

0.7825

2.0663

0.8527

11.2

21

Arizona

6-1

1.029

2.0369

0.8483

11.0

22

USC

5-3

1.308

2.0189

0.8456

10.8

23

Utah

6-1

0.9526

2.0054

0.8434

10.7

24

Miami (Florida)

5-3

1.302

1.9906

0.8410

10.6

25

Duke

6-1

0.8365

1.9697

0.8376

10.4

26

Georgia Tech

6-2

1.081

1.9492

0.8341

10.3

27

Clemson

6-2

1.155

1.9477

0.8339

10.3

28

West Virginia

6-2

1.15

1.9057

0.8264

9.9

29

Boise State

6-2

1.115

1.8877

0.8231

9.8

30

Texas A&M

5-3

1.329

1.8256

0.8110

9.3

31

Colorado State

7-1

0.8986

1.8094

0.8077

9.1

32

Stanford

5-3

1.03

1.8023

0.8062

9.1

33

UCLA

6-2

1.294

1.786

0.8028

8.9

34

Wisconsin

5-2

0.8008

1.7689

0.7990

8.8

35

East Carolina

6-1

0.7097

1.688

0.7802

8.1

36

Missouri

6-2

0.9052

1.6664

0.7748

7.9

37

Arkansas

4-4

1.16

1.5584

0.7453

6.8

38

Memphis

4-3

0.9887

1.5294

0.7366

6.5

39

Virginia Tech

4-4

1.117

1.459

0.7139

5.8

40

Boston College

5-3

0.907

1.429

0.7035

5.5

41

Minnesota

6-2

0.8507

1.3925

0.6902

5.1

42

Utah State

5-3

0.8683

1.3609

0.6782

4.7

43

Louisiana Tech

5-3

0.9329

1.3204

0.6621

4.3

44

Nevada

5-3

0.9644

1.3089

0.6573

4.1

45

Maryland

5-3

0.9752

1.2856

0.6475

3.9

46

Central Florida

5-2

0.8332

1.283

0.6464

3.8

47

South Carolina

4-4

1.126

1.2642

0.6381

3.6

48

Tennessee

3-5

1.307

1.2521

0.6328

3.5

49

Iowa

5-2

0.764

1.1606

0.5892

2.3

50

Air Force

5-2

0.7513

1.1578

0.5877

2.3

51

Kentucky

5-3

0.8301

1.1489

0.5832

2.1

52

Western Michigan

5-3

0.7584

1.1167

0.5664

1.7

53

Oklahoma State

5-3

0.8513

1.1151

0.5655

1.7

54

Washington

5-3

0.8831

1.1032

0.5592

1.5

55

South Alabama

5-2

0.7738

1.0821

0.5476

1.2

56

Rice

4-3

0.8281

1.0788

0.5457

1.2

57

Brigham Young

4-4

1.006

1.0589

0.5345

0.9

58

Middle Tennessee

5-3

0.9405

1.0492

0.5290

0.7

59

Penn State

4-3

0.9546

1.0458

0.5270

0.7

60

Virginia

4-4

0.8979

1.0437

0.5259

0.7

61

Western Kentucky

3-4

0.8676

1.039

0.5231

0.6

62

Oregon State

4-3

0.9729

1.0366

0.5217

0.6

63

Pittsburgh

4-4

0.9302

1.028

0.5167

0.4

64

Rutgers

5-3

0.9342

1.0208

0.5124

0.3

65

Houston

4-3

0.7407

0.97821

0.4867

-0.3

66

Florida

3-3

1.123

0.97798

0.4865

-0.3

67

Arkansas State

4-3

0.8481

0.97334

0.4837

-0.4

68

UTEP

4-3

0.8538

0.9583

0.4743

-0.7

69

Cincinnati

4-3

0.8364

0.91958

0.4494

-1.3

70

Northwestern

3-4

0.9603

0.91955

0.4494

-1.3

71

Navy

4-4

0.8504

0.90947

0.4428

-1.5

72

North Carolina State

4-4

1.011

0.90632

0.4408

-1.5

73

Northern Illinois

6-2

0.6162

0.89738

0.4349

-1.7

74

Louisiana-Lafayette

4-3

0.885

0.89644

0.4342

-1.7

75

California

4-4

0.9796

0.8956

0.4337

-1.7

76

San Diego State

4-3

0.6949

0.88957

0.4297

-1.8

77

North Carolina

4-4

1.138

0.87477

0.4198

-2.1

78

Temple

4-3

0.6711

0.87265

0.4183

-2.1

79

Toledo

5-3

0.7395

0.8305

0.3895

-2.9

80

UAB

4-4

0.8151

0.80425

0.3712

-3.4

81

Akron

4-4

0.745

0.80217

0.3697

-3.4

82

Michigan

3-5

1.026

0.78583

0.3582

-3.7

83

Texas

3-5

0.9791

0.77262

0.3488

-4.0

84

Fresno State

3-5

0.9988

0.76298

0.3419

-4.2

85

Purdue

3-5

0.9417

0.75584

0.3368

-4.3

86

Central Michigan

5-4

0.6759

0.74641

0.3301

-4.5

87

Indiana

3-4

0.8745

0.73591

0.3225

-4.7

88

Bowling Green

5-3

0.7519

0.73144

0.3193

-4.8

89

San Jose State

3-4

0.849

0.72664

0.3159

-4.9

90

Washington State

2-6

1.083

0.72036

0.3114

-5.1

91

Illinois

4-4

0.8989

0.71546

0.3078

-5.2

92

Florida Atlantic

3-5

1.055

0.7064

0.3013

-5.4

93

Syracuse

3-5

1.033

0.70374

0.2994

-5.4

94

Florida International

3-5

0.7524

0.69159

0.2906

-5.7

95

Texas Tech

3-5

1.014

0.67227

0.2767

-6.1

96

Colorado

2-6

1.07

0.66696

0.2729

-6.2

97

Ball State

3-5

0.6715

0.61917

0.2386

-7.4

98

UTSA

2-6

0.9593

0.59529

0.2218

-8.0

99

Old Dominion

3-5

0.8624

0.5952

0.2217

-8.0

100

Texas State

4-3

0.601

0.56106

0.1980

-8.9

101

New Mexico

2-5

0.8704

0.5609

0.1979

-8.9

102

Iowa State

2-5

0.9317

0.55829

0.1961

-9.0

103

Massachusetts

2-7

0.6873

0.53904

0.1831

-9.5

104

Southern Miss

3-5

0.8582

0.50577

0.1612

-10.5

105

Ohio

4-5

0.7588

0.49438

0.1538

-10.8

106

Wyoming

3-5

0.8878

0.49011

0.1511

-11.0

107

Hawaii

2-6

0.7542

0.48985

0.1510

-11.0

108

Buffalo

3-5

0.5391

0.48975

0.1509

-11.0

109

Tulane

2-5

0.7795

0.48018

0.1449

-11.3

110

Louisiana-Monroe

3-4

0.7089

0.47986

0.1447

-11.3

111

Appalachian State

2-5

0.6321

0.4726

0.1402

-11.5

112

Wake Forest

2-6

0.8213

0.4541

0.1289

-12.2

113

Kansas

2-5

0.8141

0.45144

0.1273

-12.2

114

South Florida

3-5

0.709

0.42518

0.1121

-13.2

115

Army

2-5

0.6612

0.40978

0.1035

-13.7

116

Idaho

1-6

0.7987

0.38624

0.0909

-14.7

117

Kent State

1-7

0.755

0.38374

0.0897

-14.7

118

New Mexico State

2-6

0.6815

0.37891

0.0872

-14.9

119

Miami (Ohio)

2-7

0.7271

0.36174

0.0787

-15.7

120

Vanderbilt

2-6

0.9057

0.36139

0.0785

-15.7

121

Tulsa

1-6

0.8078

0.35405

0.0750

-16.0

122

Georgia State

1-7

0.7606

0.3385

0.0678

-16.7

123

North Texas

2-6

0.634

0.33321

0.0654

-16.9

124

Troy

1-7

0.7063

0.31864

0.0591

-17.6

125

UNLV

2-6

0.8419

0.31044

0.0557

-18.0

126

Connecticut

1-6

0.7281

0.30969

0.0554

-18.1

127

Eastern Michigan

2-6

0.7362

0.30873

0.0550

-18.1

128

Southern Methodist

0-7

1.097

0.20102

0.0202

-24.7

129

1-AA

8-92

1.101

0.18243

0.0160

-26.2