Updated through games of January 12

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.311

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Ohio State

14-1

2.122

13.153

0.9293

2

Florida State

13-1

1.679

9.7405

0.9069

3

Oregon

13-2

2.292

9.4939

0.9047

4

Alabama

12-2

1.953

7.5316

0.8828

5

TCU

12-1

1.244

6.7188

0.8704

6

Michigan State

11-2

1.609

5.7448

0.8517

7

Boise State

12-2

1.25

4.8208

0.8282

8

UCLA

10-3

1.857

4.7467

0.8260

9

Georgia Tech

11-3

1.559

4.3315

0.8124

10

Marshall

13-1

0.7438

4.3138

0.8118

11

Baylor

11-2

1.203

4.2959

0.8112

12

Missouri

11-3

1.456

4.0436

0.8017

13

Arizona

10-4

1.846

3.8588

0.7942

14

Mississippi State

10-3

1.477

3.7746

0.7906

15

Georgia

10-3

1.461

3.7334

0.7887

16

Wisconsin

11-3

1.324

3.6789

0.7863

17

Clemson

10-3

1.424

3.6395

0.7845

18

Arizona State

10-3

1.421

3.6313

0.7841

19

Mississippi

9-4

1.88

3.59

0.7821

20

Utah

9-4

1.624

3.1003

0.7561

21

USC

9-4

1.575

3.0062

0.7504

22

Auburn

8-5

1.831

2.676

0.7280

23

Kansas State

9-4

1.32

2.5206

0.7160

24

Colorado State

10-3

0.9813

2.5076

0.7149

25

Louisville

9-4

1.246

2.3789

0.7040

26

Nebraska

9-4

1.167

2.2282

0.6902

27

Memphis

10-3

0.8692

2.2213

0.6896

28

Air Force

10-3

0.8657

2.2122

0.6887

29

LSU

8-5

1.503

2.1963

0.6871

30

Texas A&M

8-5

1.497

2.1875

0.6863

31

Stanford

8-5

1.491

2.1797

0.6855

32

Northern Illinois

11-3

0.761

2.1138

0.6789

33

Notre Dame

8-5

1.433

2.0941

0.6768

34

Minnesota

8-5

1.33

1.9437

0.6603

35

Utah State

10-4

0.9192

1.922

0.6578

36

Rutgers

8-5

1.304

1.9053

0.6558

37

Arkansas

7-6

1.659

1.8803

0.6528

38

Oklahoma

8-5

1.244

1.8175

0.6451

39

Florida

7-5

1.343

1.7562

0.6372

40

North Carolina State

8-5

1.189

1.7381

0.6348

41

Louisiana Tech

9-5

1.027

1.6584

0.6238

42

Cincinnati

9-4

0.8524

1.6273

0.6194

43

Georgia Southern

9-3

0.6812

1.5895

0.6138

44

Tennessee

7-6

1.348

1.5278

0.6044

45

Duke

9-4

0.7953

1.5184

0.6029

46

West Virginia

7-6

1.309

1.483

0.5973

47

Navy

8-5

0.9908

1.448

0.5915

48

Maryland

7-6

1.248

1.4138

0.5857

49

Louisiana-Lafayette

9-4

0.7394

1.4115

0.5853

50

South Carolina

7-6

1.238

1.4025

0.5838

51

Central Florida

9-4

0.7346

1.4025

0.5838

52

Brigham Young

8-5

0.948

1.3855

0.5808

53

Toledo

9-4

0.7112

1.3578

0.5759

54

Washington

8-6

1.068

1.3524

0.5749

55

Western Kentucky

8-5

0.8994

1.3146

0.5680

56

Oklahoma State

7-6

1.156

1.3099

0.5671

57

Rice

8-5

0.8602

1.2573

0.5570

58

Boston College

7-6

1.103

1.2501

0.5556

59

Penn State

7-6

1.092

1.2376

0.5531

60

Virginia Tech

7-6

1.065

1.2075

0.5470

61

Texas

6-7

1.236

1.0905

0.5216

62

Miami (Florida)

6-7

1.223

1.0788

0.5189

63

North Carolina

6-7

1.194

1.0531

0.5129

64

Nevada

7-6

0.9261

1.0496

0.5121

65

East Carolina

8-5

0.6979

1.02

0.5050

66

Illinois

6-7

1.114

0.9827

0.4956

67

Iowa

7-6

0.8521

0.96572

0.4913

68

Western Michigan

8-5

0.6596

0.96396

0.4908

69

Michigan

5-7

1.235

0.9441

0.4856

70

UTEP

7-6

0.8097

0.91768

0.4785

71

California

5-7

1.173

0.89738

0.4730

72

Houston

8-5

0.6133

0.89633

0.4727

73

Virginia

5-7

1.126

0.86106

0.4627

74

Middle Tennessee

6-6

0.8597

0.85973

0.4623

75

Bowling Green

8-6

0.6766

0.85706

0.4615

76

Kentucky

5-7

1.105

0.84531

0.4581

77

San Diego State

7-6

0.7079

0.80227

0.4451

78

Northwestern

5-7

1.047

0.80057

0.4446

79

Oregon State

5-7

1.026

0.7846

0.4396

80

Old Dominion

6-6

0.7823

0.78226

0.4389

81

UAB

6-6

0.7702

0.77021

0.4351

82

Temple

6-6

0.7245

0.72451

0.4201

83

Pittsburgh

6-7

0.8118

0.71633

0.4174

84

Fresno State

6-8

0.8845

0.69828

0.4112

85

Texas State

7-5

0.5286

0.6912

0.4087

86

Arkansas State

7-6

0.6051

0.68583

0.4068

87

Central Michigan

7-6

0.5633

0.63844

0.3897

88

Appalachian State

7-5

0.4771

0.62386

0.3842

89

South Alabama

6-7

0.6932

0.61163

0.3795

90

Indiana

4-8

0.9999

0.57886

0.3666

91

Texas Tech

4-8

0.998

0.57777

0.3662

92

Ohio

6-6

0.5663

0.56631

0.3616

93

Washington State

3-9

1.3

0.55706

0.3578

94

Wyoming

4-8

0.9085

0.52597

0.3447

95

New Mexico

4-8

0.8694

0.50334

0.3348

96

UTSA

4-8

0.7783

0.45062

0.3106

97

Syracuse

3-9

1.033

0.44283

0.3069

98

Purdue

3-9

0.9417

0.4036

0.2875

99

Kansas

3-9

0.9308

0.39893

0.2852

100

South Florida

4-8

0.6742

0.39033

0.2807

101

Ball State

5-7

0.5059

0.38688

0.2790

102

Vanderbilt

3-9

0.8844

0.37905

0.2749

103

Wake Forest

3-9

0.8652

0.37078

0.2705

104

Louisiana-Monroe

4-8

0.6404

0.37076

0.2705

105

Colorado

2-10

1.204

0.36634

0.2681

106

Southern Miss

3-9

0.8499

0.36422

0.2670

107

Akron

5-7

0.471

0.36014

0.2648

108

Buffalo

5-6

0.4044

0.35048

0.2595

109

Hawaii

4-9

0.6533

0.34221

0.2550

110

Florida International

4-8

0.5714

0.33083

0.2486

111

Florida Atlantic

3-9

0.7716

0.33068

0.2485

112

Tulane

3-9

0.7669

0.32869

0.2474

113

San Jose State

3-9

0.7553

0.32372

0.2446

114

North Texas

4-8

0.5358

0.31019

0.2368

115

Iowa State

2-10

0.9169

0.27906

0.2182

116

Army

4-8

0.4806

0.27822

0.2177

117

UNLV

2-11

0.7357

0.206

0.1708

118

Tulsa

2-10

0.6764

0.20585

0.1707

119

Massachusetts

3-9

0.4701

0.20146

0.1677

120

Troy

3-9

0.4459

0.19112

0.1605

121

Kent State

2-9

0.5675

0.18916

0.1591

122

Eastern Michigan

2-10

0.611

0.18596

0.1568

123

Connecticut

2-10

0.5734

0.17452

0.1486

124

Southern Methodist

1-11

0.7783

0.15566

0.1347

125

Miami (Ohio)

2-10

0.5093

0.15501

0.1342

126

New Mexico State

2-10

0.4173

0.12701

0.1127

127

Idaho

1-10

0.5236

0.11382

0.1022

128

Georgia State

1-11

0.5088

0.10176

0.0924

129

1-AA

8-100

0.9022

0.084441

0.0779