Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2014

Updated through games of January 12

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.311
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Ohio State	14-1	2.122	13.153	0.9293
2	Florida State	13-1	1.679	9.7405	0.9069
3	Oregon	13-2	2.292	9.4939	0.9047
4	Alabama	12-2	1.953	7.5316	0.8828
5	TCU	12-1	1.244	6.7188	0.8704
6	Michigan State	11-2	1.609	5.7448	0.8517
7	Boise State	12-2	1.25	4.8208	0.8282
8	UCLA	10-3	1.857	4.7467	0.8260
9	Georgia Tech	11-3	1.559	4.3315	0.8124
10	Marshall	13-1	0.7438	4.3138	0.8118
11	Baylor	11-2	1.203	4.2959	0.8112
12	Missouri	11-3	1.456	4.0436	0.8017
13	Arizona	10-4	1.846	3.8588	0.7942
14	Mississippi State	10-3	1.477	3.7746	0.7906
15	Georgia	10-3	1.461	3.7334	0.7887
16	Wisconsin	11-3	1.324	3.6789	0.7863
17	Clemson	10-3	1.424	3.6395	0.7845
18	Arizona State	10-3	1.421	3.6313	0.7841
19	Mississippi	9-4	1.88	3.59	0.7821
20	Utah	9-4	1.624	3.1003	0.7561
21	USC	9-4	1.575	3.0062	0.7504
22	Auburn	8-5	1.831	2.676	0.7280
23	Kansas State	9-4	1.32	2.5206	0.7160
24	Colorado State	10-3	0.9813	2.5076	0.7149
25	Louisville	9-4	1.246	2.3789	0.7040
26	Nebraska	9-4	1.167	2.2282	0.6902
27	Memphis	10-3	0.8692	2.2213	0.6896
28	Air Force	10-3	0.8657	2.2122	0.6887
29	LSU	8-5	1.503	2.1963	0.6871
30	Texas A&M	8-5	1.497	2.1875	0.6863
31	Stanford	8-5	1.491	2.1797	0.6855
32	Northern Illinois	11-3	0.761	2.1138	0.6789
33	Notre Dame	8-5	1.433	2.0941	0.6768
34	Minnesota	8-5	1.33	1.9437	0.6603
35	Utah State	10-4	0.9192	1.922	0.6578
36	Rutgers	8-5	1.304	1.9053	0.6558
37	Arkansas	7-6	1.659	1.8803	0.6528
38	Oklahoma	8-5	1.244	1.8175	0.6451
39	Florida	7-5	1.343	1.7562	0.6372
40	North Carolina State	8-5	1.189	1.7381	0.6348
41	Louisiana Tech	9-5	1.027	1.6584	0.6238
42	Cincinnati	9-4	0.8524	1.6273	0.6194
43	Georgia Southern	9-3	0.6812	1.5895	0.6138
44	Tennessee	7-6	1.348	1.5278	0.6044
45	Duke	9-4	0.7953	1.5184	0.6029
46	West Virginia	7-6	1.309	1.483	0.5973
47	Navy	8-5	0.9908	1.448	0.5915
48	Maryland	7-6	1.248	1.4138	0.5857
49	Louisiana-Lafayette	9-4	0.7394	1.4115	0.5853
50	South Carolina	7-6	1.238	1.4025	0.5838
51	Central Florida	9-4	0.7346	1.4025	0.5838
52	Brigham Young	8-5	0.948	1.3855	0.5808
53	Toledo	9-4	0.7112	1.3578	0.5759
54	Washington	8-6	1.068	1.3524	0.5749
55	Western Kentucky	8-5	0.8994	1.3146	0.5680
56	Oklahoma State	7-6	1.156	1.3099	0.5671
57	Rice	8-5	0.8602	1.2573	0.5570
58	Boston College	7-6	1.103	1.2501	0.5556
59	Penn State	7-6	1.092	1.2376	0.5531
60	Virginia Tech	7-6	1.065	1.2075	0.5470
61	Texas	6-7	1.236	1.0905	0.5216
62	Miami (Florida)	6-7	1.223	1.0788	0.5189
63	North Carolina	6-7	1.194	1.0531	0.5129
64	Nevada	7-6	0.9261	1.0496	0.5121
65	East Carolina	8-5	0.6979	1.02	0.5050
66	Illinois	6-7	1.114	0.9827	0.4956
67	Iowa	7-6	0.8521	0.96572	0.4913
68	Western Michigan	8-5	0.6596	0.96396	0.4908
69	Michigan	5-7	1.235	0.9441	0.4856
70	UTEP	7-6	0.8097	0.91768	0.4785
71	California	5-7	1.173	0.89738	0.4730
72	Houston	8-5	0.6133	0.89633	0.4727
73	Virginia	5-7	1.126	0.86106	0.4627
74	Middle Tennessee	6-6	0.8597	0.85973	0.4623
75	Bowling Green	8-6	0.6766	0.85706	0.4615
76	Kentucky	5-7	1.105	0.84531	0.4581
77	San Diego State	7-6	0.7079	0.80227	0.4451
78	Northwestern	5-7	1.047	0.80057	0.4446
79	Oregon State	5-7	1.026	0.7846	0.4396
80	Old Dominion	6-6	0.7823	0.78226	0.4389
81	UAB	6-6	0.7702	0.77021	0.4351
82	Temple	6-6	0.7245	0.72451	0.4201
83	Pittsburgh	6-7	0.8118	0.71633	0.4174
84	Fresno State	6-8	0.8845	0.69828	0.4112
85	Texas State	7-5	0.5286	0.6912	0.4087
86	Arkansas State	7-6	0.6051	0.68583	0.4068
87	Central Michigan	7-6	0.5633	0.63844	0.3897
88	Appalachian State	7-5	0.4771	0.62386	0.3842
89	South Alabama	6-7	0.6932	0.61163	0.3795
90	Indiana	4-8	0.9999	0.57886	0.3666
91	Texas Tech	4-8	0.998	0.57777	0.3662
92	Ohio	6-6	0.5663	0.56631	0.3616
93	Washington State	3-9	1.3	0.55706	0.3578
94	Wyoming	4-8	0.9085	0.52597	0.3447
95	New Mexico	4-8	0.8694	0.50334	0.3348
96	UTSA	4-8	0.7783	0.45062	0.3106
97	Syracuse	3-9	1.033	0.44283	0.3069
98	Purdue	3-9	0.9417	0.4036	0.2875
99	Kansas	3-9	0.9308	0.39893	0.2852
100	South Florida	4-8	0.6742	0.39033	0.2807
101	Ball State	5-7	0.5059	0.38688	0.2790
102	Vanderbilt	3-9	0.8844	0.37905	0.2749
103	Wake Forest	3-9	0.8652	0.37078	0.2705
104	Louisiana-Monroe	4-8	0.6404	0.37076	0.2705
105	Colorado	2-10	1.204	0.36634	0.2681
106	Southern Miss	3-9	0.8499	0.36422	0.2670
107	Akron	5-7	0.471	0.36014	0.2648
108	Buffalo	5-6	0.4044	0.35048	0.2595
109	Hawaii	4-9	0.6533	0.34221	0.2550
110	Florida International	4-8	0.5714	0.33083	0.2486
111	Florida Atlantic	3-9	0.7716	0.33068	0.2485
112	Tulane	3-9	0.7669	0.32869	0.2474
113	San Jose State	3-9	0.7553	0.32372	0.2446
114	North Texas	4-8	0.5358	0.31019	0.2368
115	Iowa State	2-10	0.9169	0.27906	0.2182
116	Army	4-8	0.4806	0.27822	0.2177
117	UNLV	2-11	0.7357	0.206	0.1708
118	Tulsa	2-10	0.6764	0.20585	0.1707
119	Massachusetts	3-9	0.4701	0.20146	0.1677
120	Troy	3-9	0.4459	0.19112	0.1605
121	Kent State	2-9	0.5675	0.18916	0.1591
122	Eastern Michigan	2-10	0.611	0.18596	0.1568
123	Connecticut	2-10	0.5734	0.17452	0.1486
124	Southern Methodist	1-11	0.7783	0.15566	0.1347
125	Miami (Ohio)	2-10	0.5093	0.15501	0.1342
126	New Mexico State	2-10	0.4173	0.12701	0.1127
127	Idaho	1-10	0.5236	0.11382	0.1022
128	Georgia State	1-11	0.5088	0.10176	0.0924
129	1-AA	8-100	0.9022	0.084441	0.0779