Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2014

Updated through games of October 25

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.449
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Mississippi State	7-0	1.596	9.0431	0.9004
2	Florida State	7-0	1.117	6.328	0.8635
3	Auburn	6-1	1.721	5.1623	0.8377
4	Mississippi	7-1	1.517	5.1564	0.8376
5	Alabama	7-1	1.369	4.6534	0.8231
6	Marshall	8-0	0.6703	4.2454	0.8094
7	Oregon	7-1	1.203	4.0886	0.8035
8	Nebraska	7-1	1.03	3.5016	0.7779
9	LSU	7-2	1.42	3.4483	0.7752
10	Michigan State	7-1	1.012	3.4412	0.7748
11	Notre Dame	6-1	1.135	3.4053	0.7730
12	Colorado State	7-1	0.9829	3.342	0.7697
13	Arizona State	6-1	1.102	3.3068	0.7678
14	Georgia	6-1	1.088	3.2646	0.7655
15	Arizona	6-1	1.078	3.2333	0.7638
16	Utah	6-1	1.026	3.0765	0.7547
17	Kansas State	6-1	1.004	3.0114	0.7507
18	UCLA	6-2	1.401	3.0016	0.7501
19	Ohio State	6-1	0.9881	2.9643	0.7478
20	TCU	6-1	0.971	2.913	0.7444
21	Clemson	6-2	1.316	2.82	0.7382
22	West Virginia	6-2	1.28	2.7427	0.7328
23	Baylor	6-1	0.9134	2.7403	0.7326
24	Boise State	6-2	1.272	2.7253	0.7316
25	Duke	6-1	0.7984	2.3953	0.7055
26	Oklahoma	5-2	1.255	2.3299	0.6997
27	Georgia Tech	6-2	1.025	2.1957	0.6871
28	East Carolina	6-1	0.7148	2.1445	0.6820
29	Missouri	6-2	0.9652	2.0683	0.6741
30	USC	5-3	1.407	2.0324	0.6702
31	Texas A&M	5-3	1.397	2.0181	0.6687
32	Louisville	6-2	0.8994	1.9272	0.6584
33	Minnesota	6-2	0.8862	1.8991	0.6551
34	Miami (Florida)	5-3	1.296	1.8719	0.6518
35	Wisconsin	5-2	0.8541	1.5862	0.6133
36	Maryland	5-3	1.048	1.5133	0.6021
37	Georgia Southern	6-2	0.7013	1.5027	0.6004
38	Nevada	5-3	1.039	1.5003	0.6000
39	Central Florida	5-2	0.8057	1.4964	0.5994
40	Stanford	5-3	1.013	1.4634	0.5941
41	Louisiana Tech	5-3	0.9584	1.3843	0.5806
42	Air Force	5-2	0.7392	1.3728	0.5786
43	Middle Tennessee	5-3	0.95	1.3723	0.5785
44	Rutgers	5-3	0.9375	1.3541	0.5752
45	Kentucky	5-3	0.9322	1.3465	0.5738
46	Iowa	5-2	0.7207	1.3385	0.5724
47	Oklahoma State	5-3	0.9035	1.3051	0.5662
48	Washington	5-3	0.8841	1.2771	0.5608
49	Boston College	5-3	0.8743	1.2629	0.5581
50	Northern Illinois	6-2	0.5871	1.2581	0.5572
51	Utah State	5-3	0.8651	1.2496	0.5555
52	Memphis	4-3	1.012	1.2366	0.5529
53	Florida	3-3	1.204	1.2039	0.5463
54	South Carolina	4-4	1.197	1.1974	0.5449
55	North Carolina	4-4	1.195	1.1945	0.5443
56	South Alabama	5-2	0.6403	1.1892	0.5432
57	Arkansas	4-4	1.178	1.1782	0.5409
58	Louisiana-Lafayette	4-3	0.9364	1.1445	0.5337
59	Oregon State	4-3	0.9286	1.1349	0.5316
60	Penn State	4-3	0.9174	1.1213	0.5286
61	Virginia Tech	4-4	1.1	1.0999	0.5238
62	North Carolina State	4-4	1.04	1.0395	0.5097
63	Western Michigan	5-3	0.7195	1.0393	0.5096
64	California	4-4	1.009	1.009	0.5022
65	Cincinnati	4-3	0.8168	0.99832	0.4996
66	UTEP	4-3	0.8166	0.99812	0.4995
67	Toledo	5-3	0.6848	0.9892	0.4973
68	Bowling Green	5-3	0.6735	0.97277	0.4931
69	Brigham Young	4-4	0.9652	0.96517	0.4911
70	Rice	4-3	0.7873	0.96222	0.4904
71	Arkansas State	4-3	0.7862	0.96091	0.4900
72	Illinois	4-4	0.9195	0.91949	0.4790
73	Navy	4-4	0.8508	0.85085	0.4597
74	Tennessee	3-5	1.211	0.83845	0.4561
75	Virginia	4-4	0.8324	0.83243	0.4543
76	San Diego State	4-3	0.6807	0.832	0.4541
77	Houston	4-3	0.6711	0.82025	0.4506
78	Pittsburgh	4-4	0.8041	0.80406	0.4457
79	Northwestern	3-4	0.9819	0.80341	0.4455
80	Central Michigan	5-4	0.6547	0.77372	0.4362
81	San Jose State	3-4	0.9257	0.75739	0.4310
82	Indiana	3-4	0.9237	0.75572	0.4304
83	Syracuse	3-5	1.086	0.75169	0.4291
84	Temple	4-3	0.6136	0.74991	0.4285
85	Western Kentucky	3-4	0.9075	0.74247	0.4261
86	Texas State	4-3	0.5957	0.72812	0.4213
87	Michigan	3-5	1.041	0.72098	0.4189
88	Texas Tech	3-5	1.033	0.71509	0.4169
89	Fresno State	3-5	1.026	0.71007	0.4152
90	UAB	4-4	0.695	0.695	0.4100
91	Purdue	3-5	0.976	0.67569	0.4032
92	Texas	3-5	0.9708	0.67206	0.4019
93	Akron	4-4	0.6674	0.66745	0.4003
94	Florida Atlantic	3-5	0.9593	0.66414	0.3991
95	Wyoming	3-5	0.9201	0.63699	0.3891
96	Ohio	4-5	0.711	0.60158	0.3756
97	Old Dominion	3-5	0.8445	0.58464	0.3689
98	Southern Miss	3-5	0.8182	0.56643	0.3616
99	Louisiana-Monroe	3-4	0.6757	0.55283	0.3560
100	Iowa State	2-5	0.9518	0.5125	0.3388
101	Washington State	2-6	1.098	0.51243	0.3388
102	Colorado	2-6	1.033	0.48189	0.3252
103	South Florida	3-5	0.6777	0.46915	0.3193
104	New Mexico	2-5	0.7996	0.43058	0.3010
105	Kansas	2-5	0.7944	0.42773	0.2996
106	UTSA	2-6	0.8876	0.4142	0.2929
107	Florida International	3-5	0.5856	0.4054	0.2885
108	UNLV	2-6	0.8585	0.40065	0.2860
109	Ball State	3-5	0.5648	0.39102	0.2811
110	Tulane	2-5	0.7062	0.38024	0.2755
111	Vanderbilt	2-6	0.7918	0.36951	0.2698
112	Wake Forest	2-6	0.7194	0.33574	0.2514
113	Hawaii	2-6	0.6965	0.32504	0.2453
114	Buffalo	3-5	0.4326	0.29952	0.2305
115	Eastern Michigan	2-6	0.6379	0.29768	0.2294
116	North Texas	2-6	0.5725	0.26717	0.2108
117	Tulsa	1-6	0.7804	0.26015	0.2064
118	Appalachian State	2-5	0.4788	0.25779	0.2050
119	Idaho	1-6	0.7692	0.2564	0.2041
120	Army	2-5	0.4707	0.25346	0.2022
121	Massachusetts	2-7	0.5764	0.23733	0.1918
122	New Mexico State	2-6	0.4967	0.2318	0.1882
123	Miami (Ohio)	2-7	0.5275	0.21719	0.1784
124	Connecticut	1-6	0.6428	0.21426	0.1765
125	Southern Methodist	0-7	1.063	0.1875	0.1579
126	Georgia State	1-7	0.6108	0.17964	0.1523
127	Kent State	1-7	0.5788	0.17022	0.1455
128	Troy	1-7	0.5137	0.15109	0.1313
129	1-AA	8-92	1.029	0.10457	0.0947