Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2023

Updated through games of January 8

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.437
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Michigan	15-0	2.468	27.144	0.9645
2	Washington	14-1	2.657	16.476	0.9428
3	Georgia	13-1	1.863	10.808	0.9153
4	Alabama	12-2	2.295	8.8513	0.8985
5	Florida State	13-1	1.478	8.5713	0.8955
6	Texas	12-2	1.946	7.5055	0.8824
7	Oregon	12-2	1.867	7.2023	0.8781
8	Ohio State	11-2	1.885	6.732	0.8707
9	Mississippi	11-2	1.808	6.4556	0.8659
10	Missouri	11-2	1.603	5.726	0.8513
11	Liberty	13-1	0.8982	5.2096	0.8390
12	Penn State	10-3	1.77	4.5221	0.8189
13	LSU	10-3	1.71	4.3703	0.8138
14	James Madison	11-2	1.002	3.5784	0.7816
15	Oklahoma	10-3	1.363	3.4831	0.7769
16	Notre Dame	10-3	1.288	3.2916	0.7670
17	Arizona	10-3	1.255	3.207	0.7623
18	Iowa	10-4	1.363	2.8508	0.7403
19	Kansas State	9-4	1.456	2.7796	0.7354
20	Troy	11-3	0.9898	2.7495	0.7333
21	Tennessee	9-4	1.334	2.5461	0.7180
22	Louisville	10-4	1.189	2.4861	0.7131
23	Oklahoma State	10-4	1.184	2.4762	0.7123
24	Clemson	9-4	1.216	2.3216	0.6989
25	Toledo	11-3	0.8233	2.2869	0.6958
26	Tulane	11-3	0.8206	2.2795	0.6951
27	Memphis	10-3	0.8769	2.2409	0.6914
28	Southern Methodist	11-3	0.7927	2.202	0.6877
29	Kansas	9-4	1.147	2.189	0.6864
30	Miami OH	11-3	0.7809	2.1693	0.6845
31	North Carolina State	9-4	1.114	2.1268	0.6802
32	USC	8-5	1.442	2.1073	0.6782
33	Oregon State	8-5	1.391	2.0325	0.6702
34	Wyoming	9-4	1.034	1.9745	0.6638
35	West Virginia	9-4	0.9946	1.8988	0.6550
36	Utah	8-5	1.295	1.8922	0.6542
37	Duke	8-5	1.217	1.7792	0.6402
38	Maryland	8-5	1.136	1.6608	0.6242
39	Appalachian State	9-5	1.02	1.6475	0.6223
40	Northwestern	8-5	1.122	1.6397	0.6212
41	Air Force	9-4	0.8204	1.5661	0.6103
42	Ohio	10-3	0.5952	1.5211	0.6033
43	Iowa State	7-6	1.317	1.4925	0.5988
44	Coastal Carolina	8-5	1.007	1.4714	0.5954
45	UCLA	8-5	0.9969	1.457	0.5930
46	North Carolina	8-5	0.9821	1.4354	0.5894
47	Rutgers	7-6	1.253	1.4198	0.5867
48	UTSA	9-4	0.7406	1.414	0.5857
49	UNLV	9-5	0.8671	1.4008	0.5835
50	Fresno State	9-4	0.7328	1.399	0.5832
51	New Mexico State	10-5	0.7856	1.39	0.5816
52	Jacksonville State	9-4	0.7241	1.3824	0.5803
53	Texas Tech	7-6	1.208	1.3693	0.5779
54	Boise State	8-6	1.065	1.3492	0.5743
55	Georgia Tech	7-6	1.157	1.3117	0.5674
56	Kentucky	7-6	1.15	1.3033	0.5658
57	Miami FL	7-6	1.146	1.2988	0.5650
58	Western Kentucky	8-5	0.8668	1.2669	0.5589
59	Virginia Tech	7-6	1.098	1.2443	0.5544
60	Texas A&M	7-6	1.081	1.2247	0.5505
61	Wisconsin	7-6	1.067	1.2087	0.5473
62	San Jose State	7-6	0.9783	1.1087	0.5258
63	Georgia State	7-6	0.9345	1.0591	0.5144
64	Boston College	7-6	0.9098	1.0311	0.5076
65	Minnesota	6-7	1.155	1.0191	0.5047
66	Texas State	8-5	0.6823	0.99723	0.4993
67	Bowling Green	7-6	0.8787	0.99586	0.4990
68	California	6-7	1.079	0.95219	0.4878
69	South Alabama	7-6	0.8152	0.92387	0.4802
70	Florida	5-7	1.158	0.88571	0.4697
71	Illinois	5-7	1.111	0.84938	0.4593
72	Auburn	6-8	1.055	0.8327	0.4544
73	Old Dominion	6-7	0.937	0.82677	0.4526
74	Marshall	6-7	0.9291	0.8198	0.4505
75	Central Florida	6-7	0.9202	0.81196	0.4481
76	South Carolina	5-7	1.046	0.79972	0.4444
77	Mississippi State	5-7	1.041	0.79634	0.4433
78	South Florida	7-6	0.6973	0.79029	0.4414
79	TCU	5-7	1.033	0.78969	0.4412
80	Nebraska	5-7	1.026	0.78456	0.4396
81	Washington State	5-7	1.018	0.77862	0.4378
82	Brigham Young	5-7	0.9985	0.76357	0.4330
83	Syracuse	6-7	0.8468	0.7472	0.4277
84	Army	6-6	0.7262	0.72618	0.4207
85	Georgia Southern	6-7	0.8227	0.72591	0.4206
86	Michigan State	4-8	1.251	0.72415	0.4200
87	Arkansas State	6-7	0.7667	0.67648	0.4035
88	Purdue	4-8	1.156	0.669	0.4008
89	Colorado	4-8	1.089	0.63032	0.3866
90	Utah State	5-7	0.7939	0.60708	0.3778
91	Northern Illinois	7-6	0.5317	0.60264	0.3760
92	Louisiana	6-7	0.6674	0.58884	0.3706
93	Rice	6-7	0.642	0.5665	0.3616
94	Wake Forest	4-8	0.963	0.55754	0.3580
95	Arkansas	4-7	0.8396	0.54328	0.3520
96	Houston	4-8	0.9196	0.53239	0.3474
97	Virginia	3-9	1.183	0.50687	0.3364
98	Colorado State	5-7	0.6574	0.50274	0.3345
99	Central Michigan	5-7	0.6364	0.48666	0.3273
100	Stanford	3-9	1.127	0.483	0.3257
101	North Texas	5-7	0.6187	0.47315	0.3212
102	Arizona State	3-9	1.085	0.46488	0.3174
103	Western Michigan	4-8	0.8014	0.46399	0.3169
104	Navy	5-7	0.5947	0.45474	0.3126
105	Hawaii	5-8	0.6516	0.44581	0.3083
106	Eastern Michigan	6-7	0.4881	0.43064	0.3010
107	San Diego State	4-8	0.7224	0.41823	0.2949
108	New Mexico	4-8	0.7026	0.40676	0.2891
109	Pittsburgh	3-9	0.9287	0.398	0.2847
110	Ball State	4-8	0.6778	0.39242	0.2818
111	Alabama-Birmingham	4-8	0.6775	0.39226	0.2817
112	Middle Tennessee	4-8	0.6583	0.38111	0.2759
113	Indiana	3-9	0.8716	0.37353	0.2720
114	Connecticut	3-8	0.782	0.37042	0.2703
115	Florida Atlantic	4-8	0.6119	0.35423	0.2616
116	Baylor	3-9	0.822	0.35228	0.2605
117	Cincinnati	3-9	0.798	0.34198	0.2548
118	Southern Miss	3-9	0.7844	0.33616	0.2516
119	Tulsa	4-8	0.5722	0.33126	0.2488
120	Florida International	4-8	0.5601	0.32428	0.2449
121	Massachusetts	3-9	0.7519	0.32226	0.2437
122	UTEP	3-9	0.6866	0.29425	0.2273
123	Vanderbilt	2-10	0.8969	0.27296	0.2144
124	Sam Houston	3-9	0.5766	0.24709	0.1981
125	Louisiana Tech	3-9	0.5716	0.24499	0.1968
126	Charlotte	3-9	0.5684	0.24358	0.1959
127	Temple	3-9	0.5638	0.24163	0.1946
128	Buffalo	3-9	0.5494	0.23545	0.1906
129	Louisiana-Monroe	2-10	0.7165	0.21806	0.1790
130	Nevada	2-10	0.6531	0.19878	0.1658
131	East Carolina	2-10	0.5839	0.17772	0.1509
132	Akron	2-10	0.4044	0.12307	0.1096
133	Kent State	1-11	0.4355	0.087109	0.0801
134	1-AA	4-114	0.9361	0.044578	0.0427