Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2025

Updated through games of December 20

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.609
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Indiana	13-0	2.022	19.543	0.9513
2	Ohio State	12-1	1.842	9.9442	0.9086
3	Georgia	12-1	1.675	9.0442	0.9004
4	Oregon	12-1	1.663	8.979	0.8998
5	Texas Tech	12-1	1.628	8.7915	0.8979
6	Mississippi	12-1	1.514	8.173	0.8910
7	Brigham Young	11-2	1.959	6.9969	0.8750
8	Alabama	11-3	1.855	5.1524	0.8375
9	Texas A&M	11-2	1.326	4.7341	0.8256
10	Miami FL	11-2	1.298	4.6346	0.8225
11	Notre Dame	10-2	1.344	4.4172	0.8154
12	Oklahoma	10-3	1.612	4.1194	0.8047
13	Utah	10-2	1.238	4.0671	0.8026
14	Vanderbilt	10-2	1.215	3.9912	0.7996
15	James Madison	12-2	1.027	3.9614	0.7984
16	Texas	9-3	1.654	3.8594	0.7942
17	Tulane	11-3	1.376	3.8224	0.7926
18	North Texas	11-2	1.025	3.6592	0.7854
19	Navy	10-2	1.09	3.581	0.7817
20	Michigan	9-3	1.469	3.4288	0.7742
21	USC	9-3	1.467	3.4232	0.7739
22	Old Dominion	10-3	1.068	2.7303	0.7319
23	Arizona	9-3	1.154	2.6935	0.7293
24	Virginia	10-3	1.021	2.6088	0.7229
25	Georgia Tech	9-3	1.042	2.4307	0.7085
26	Illinois	8-4	1.401	2.4201	0.7076
27	Iowa	8-4	1.371	2.3679	0.7031
28	South Florida	9-4	1.185	2.2624	0.6935
29	Houston	9-3	0.9636	2.2483	0.6921
30	Arizona State	8-4	1.3	2.2454	0.6919
31	Washington	9-4	1.168	2.2296	0.6904
32	Kennesaw State	10-4	1.035	2.1642	0.6840
33	TCU	8-4	1.182	2.0412	0.6712
34	Iowa State	8-4	1.119	1.9336	0.6591
35	Tennessee	8-4	1.116	1.9269	0.6583
36	Duke	8-5	1.3	1.9005	0.6552
37	North Carolina State	8-5	1.293	1.8897	0.6539
38	UNLV	10-3	0.7276	1.8593	0.6503
39	LSU	7-5	1.392	1.8209	0.6455
40	Pittsburgh	8-4	1.036	1.789	0.6415
41	Southern Methodist	8-4	1.016	1.7544	0.6369
42	East Carolina	8-4	1.014	1.7512	0.6365
43	Louisville	8-4	1.01	1.7439	0.6355
44	San Diego State	9-3	0.7367	1.719	0.6322
45	Boise State	9-5	1.053	1.7013	0.6298
46	Missouri	8-4	0.9836	1.6989	0.6295
47	Wake Forest	8-4	0.9626	1.6626	0.6244
48	Western Michigan	10-4	0.7511	1.5704	0.6110
49	New Mexico	9-4	0.7443	1.4209	0.5869
50	Connecticut	9-3	0.6089	1.4209	0.5869
51	Memphis	8-5	0.936	1.368	0.5777
52	Western Kentucky	8-4	0.761	1.3144	0.5679
53	Minnesota	7-5	0.9924	1.2978	0.5648
54	Cincinnati	7-5	0.9497	1.2419	0.5540
55	Nebraska	7-5	0.9264	1.2114	0.5478
56	Toledo	8-4	0.6831	1.1799	0.5413
57	Northwestern	6-6	1.16	1.1597	0.5370
58	Jacksonville State	9-5	0.7179	1.1597	0.5370
59	Penn State	6-6	1.157	1.1568	0.5364
60	Hawaii	8-4	0.6631	1.1454	0.5339
61	Fresno State	8-4	0.6363	1.099	0.5236
62	California	7-5	0.8401	1.0986	0.5235
63	Clemson	7-5	0.8375	1.0953	0.5227
64	Ohio	8-4	0.6277	1.0843	0.5202
65	Troy	8-6	0.8199	1.0385	0.5094
66	Washington State	6-6	0.9846	0.98461	0.4961
67	Florida International	7-5	0.746	0.97556	0.4938
68	Kansas State	6-6	0.9655	0.96554	0.4912
69	Louisiana Tech	7-5	0.7125	0.93176	0.4823
70	Mississippi State	5-7	1.195	0.91352	0.4774
71	Army	6-6	0.8939	0.89385	0.4720
72	Kentucky	5-7	1.156	0.88422	0.4693
73	UTSA	6-6	0.8821	0.88213	0.4687
74	Wisconsin	4-8	1.513	0.87616	0.4670
75	Missouri State	7-6	0.773	0.87608	0.4670
76	Georgia Southern	6-6	0.8728	0.87279	0.4660
77	Utah State	6-6	0.8619	0.86192	0.4629
78	Southern Miss	7-5	0.653	0.85387	0.4606
79	Central Michigan	7-5	0.6366	0.83251	0.4543
80	Florida	4-8	1.422	0.82348	0.4516
81	Rutgers	5-7	1.053	0.80495	0.4460
82	Miami OH	7-6	0.6947	0.78737	0.4405
83	Florida State	5-7	1.026	0.78458	0.4396
84	Auburn	5-7	1.021	0.78098	0.4385
85	Coastal Carolina	6-6	0.7713	0.77131	0.4354
86	Arkansas State	7-6	0.6717	0.76122	0.4322
87	Texas State	6-6	0.7452	0.7452	0.4270
88	West Virginia	4-8	1.251	0.72408	0.4200
89	Baylor	5-7	0.9446	0.72238	0.4194
90	Delaware	7-6	0.6348	0.71939	0.4184
91	Kansas	5-7	0.9376	0.71699	0.4176
92	South Carolina	4-8	1.165	0.67452	0.4028
93	Temple	5-7	0.8559	0.65448	0.3956
94	Stanford	4-8	1.087	0.62938	0.3863
95	Rice	5-7	0.8102	0.6196	0.3826
96	Louisiana	6-7	0.6952	0.61342	0.3802
97	Central Florida	5-7	0.7885	0.60295	0.3761
98	UCLA	3-9	1.359	0.58235	0.3680
99	Marshall	5-7	0.7323	0.55996	0.3590
100	Colorado	3-9	1.285	0.55079	0.3552
101	Michigan State	4-8	0.872	0.50483	0.3355
102	Alabama-Birmingham	4-8	0.8588	0.49722	0.3321
103	Florida Atlantic	4-8	0.8474	0.49057	0.3291
104	Virginia Tech	3-9	1.111	0.4762	0.3226
105	Maryland	4-8	0.8173	0.47317	0.3212
106	North Carolina	4-8	0.7811	0.45222	0.3114
107	Appalachian State	5-7	0.5555	0.42478	0.2981
108	Air Force	4-8	0.7206	0.41718	0.2944
109	Kent State	5-7	0.5392	0.41231	0.2919
110	Liberty	4-8	0.7025	0.40669	0.2891
111	New Mexico State	4-7	0.6239	0.40373	0.2876
112	Syracuse	3-9	0.8885	0.38077	0.2758
113	South Alabama	4-8	0.6498	0.37618	0.2734
114	Buffalo	5-7	0.4791	0.36635	0.2681
115	Tulsa	4-8	0.6183	0.35797	0.2636
116	Akron	5-7	0.4577	0.35	0.2593
117	Wyoming	4-8	0.5894	0.34122	0.2544
118	Ball State	4-8	0.5716	0.33091	0.2486
119	Purdue	2-10	1.059	0.32234	0.2438
120	Eastern Michigan	4-8	0.5385	0.31175	0.2377
121	Arkansas	2-10	0.9831	0.29921	0.2303
122	Louisiana-Monroe	3-9	0.6834	0.29289	0.2265
123	Nevada	3-9	0.6744	0.28902	0.2242
124	San Jose State	3-9	0.6575	0.2818	0.2198
125	Bowling Green	4-8	0.4534	0.26247	0.2079
126	Middle Tennessee	3-9	0.6108	0.26178	0.2075
127	Boston College	2-10	0.8011	0.2438	0.1960
128	Sam Houston	2-10	0.69	0.21	0.1736
129	Colorado State	2-10	0.671	0.20422	0.1696
130	Northern Illinois	3-9	0.4635	0.19866	0.1657
131	Oregon State	2-10	0.6272	0.19089	0.1603
132	UTEP	2-10	0.4946	0.15055	0.1308
133	Oklahoma State	1-11	0.6355	0.1271	0.1128
134	Georgia State	1-11	0.6	0.12	0.1071
135	Charlotte	1-11	0.5738	0.11476	0.1029
136	1-AA	4-122	1.001	0.044575	0.0427
137	Massachusetts	0-12	0.3211	0.035677	0.0344