Updated through games of January 11

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.325

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Alabama

14-1

2.699

16.733

0.9436

2

Clemson

14-1

1.943

12.044

0.9233

3

Ohio State

12-1

1.548

8.3573

0.8931

4

Michigan State

12-2

2.156

8.3176

0.8927

5

Stanford

12-2

1.756

6.774

0.8714

6

Oklahoma

11-2

1.786

6.3789

0.8645

7

Iowa

12-2

1.546

5.9618

0.8564

8

Houston

13-1

1.005

5.8284

0.8536

9

TCU

11-2

1.426

5.0931

0.8359

10

Mississippi

10-3

1.9

4.8552

0.8292

11

Notre Dame

10-3

1.845

4.7155

0.8250

12

Michigan

10-3

1.703

4.3525

0.8132

13

LSU

9-3

1.845

4.3045

0.8115

14

Navy

11-2

1.179

4.2116

0.8081

15

Northwestern

10-3

1.579

4.0354

0.8014

16

Oklahoma State

10-3

1.355

3.4616

0.7759

17

Western Kentucky

12-2

0.896

3.4559

0.7756

18

Florida

10-4

1.607

3.361

0.7707

19

Utah

10-3

1.292

3.3025

0.7676

20

Wisconsin

10-3

1.274

3.2557

0.7650

21

Toledo

10-2

0.9775

3.2117

0.7626

22

Baylor

10-3

1.229

3.1416

0.7586

23

Georgia

10-3

1.217

3.1091

0.7566

24

Florida State

10-3

1.203

3.0731

0.7545

25

Oregon

9-4

1.581

3.0187

0.7512

26

Mississippi State

9-4

1.545

2.9499

0.7468

27

Tennessee

9-4

1.54

2.9394

0.7462

28

North Carolina

11-3

1.046

2.9056

0.7440

29

Appalachian State

11-2

0.7906

2.8234

0.7385

30

Arkansas

8-5

1.701

2.4864

0.7132

31

Memphis

9-4

1.256

2.3985

0.7057

32

USC

8-6

1.746

2.2111

0.6886

33

Washington State

9-4

1.157

2.2083

0.6883

34

Temple

10-4

1.05

2.1945

0.6870

35

California

8-5

1.455

2.1264

0.6801

36

Bowling Green

10-4

0.9889

2.0678

0.6740

37

Brigham Young

9-4

1.035

1.976

0.6640

38

Pittsburgh

8-5

1.321

1.9311

0.6588

39

Texas A&M

8-5

1.32

1.9291

0.6586

40

San Diego State

11-3

0.6872

1.9088

0.6562

41

Miami FL

8-5

1.247

1.8221

0.6457

42

UCLA

8-5

1.24

1.8128

0.6445

43

Auburn

7-6

1.562

1.7708

0.6391

44

Louisville

8-5

1.209

1.7665

0.6385

45

West Virginia

8-5

1.15

1.6805

0.6269

46

Western Michigan

8-5

1.12

1.6369

0.6208

47

Marshall

10-3

0.6374

1.629

0.6196

48

Penn State

7-6

1.406

1.5935

0.6144

49

Georgia Southern

9-4

0.8024

1.5319

0.6050

50

Louisiana Tech

9-4

0.7605

1.4518

0.5921

51

Texas Tech

7-6

1.276

1.4459

0.5912

52

Washington

7-6

1.269

1.4381

0.5899

53

Arkansas State

9-4

0.7514

1.4345

0.5892

54

South Florida

8-5

0.9699

1.4175

0.5864

55

Boise State

9-4

0.6898

1.3168

0.5684

56

Minnesota

6-7

1.429

1.261

0.5577

57

Nebraska

6-7

1.399

1.2341

0.5524

58

Ohio

8-5

0.8349

1.2202

0.5496

59

Southern Miss

9-5

0.7449

1.2033

0.5461

60

Arizona

7-6

1.02

1.1564

0.5363

61

Cincinnati

7-6

0.9969

1.1299

0.5305

62

Duke

8-5

0.772

1.1283

0.5301

63

Arizona State

6-7

1.231

1.0864

0.5207

64

North Carolina State

7-6

0.9454

1.0714

0.5172

65

Texas

5-7

1.338

1.0233

0.5058

66

Virginia Tech

7-6

0.9012

1.0213

0.5053

67

Air Force

8-6

0.8017

1.0155

0.5038

68

Central Michigan

7-6

0.8772

0.99419

0.4985

69

Northern Illinois

8-6

0.7832

0.99205

0.4980

70

Akron

8-5

0.6785

0.99161

0.4979

71

Indiana

6-7

1.099

0.96932

0.4922

72

Kansas State

6-7

1.086

0.95858

0.4894

73

Illinois

5-7

1.21

0.92551

0.4807

74

Missouri

5-7

1.134

0.86697

0.4644

75

Middle Tennessee

7-6

0.7515

0.85169

0.4600

76

Connecticut

6-7

0.8298

0.73222

0.4227

77

Utah State

6-7

0.8268

0.72953

0.4218

78

Vanderbilt

4-8

1.236

0.71549

0.4171

79

Tulsa

6-7

0.7892

0.69633

0.4105

80

New Mexico

7-6

0.5981

0.67781

0.4040

81

Colorado State

7-6

0.5945

0.67372

0.4025

82

Nevada

7-6

0.5857

0.66383

0.3990

83

Kentucky

5-7

0.8515

0.65118

0.3944

84

East Carolina

5-7

0.8112

0.62032

0.3828

85

Virginia

4-8

1.015

0.58773

0.3702

86

San Jose State

6-7

0.6551

0.57804

0.3663

87

Maryland

3-9

1.313

0.56274

0.3601

88

Syracuse

4-8

0.9571

0.55409

0.3565

89

South Alabama

5-7

0.7069

0.54057

0.3509

90

Rutgers

4-8

0.8735

0.5057

0.3359

91

Iowa State

3-9

1.175

0.50357

0.3349

92

Georgia State

6-7

0.5641

0.49772

0.3323

93

Buffalo

5-7

0.6441

0.49255

0.3300

94

Colorado

4-9

0.874

0.45782

0.3140

95

Georgia Tech

3-9

1.055

0.45217

0.3114

96

Old Dominion

5-7

0.5414

0.41397

0.2928

97

South Carolina

3-9

0.9612

0.41194

0.2918

98

Florida International

5-7

0.5321

0.40692

0.2892

99

UTEP

5-7

0.5289

0.40444

0.2880

100

Rice

5-7

0.516

0.3946

0.2829

101

Idaho

4-8

0.6423

0.37185

0.2711

102

Troy

4-8

0.6306

0.36508

0.2674

103

Wake Forest

3-9

0.8029

0.34409

0.2560

104

Purdue

2-10

1.062

0.32327

0.2443

105

Oregon State

2-10

1.044

0.31763

0.2411

106

Kent State

3-9

0.7167

0.30715

0.2350

107

Ball State

3-9

0.7139

0.30595

0.2343

108

Louisiana-Lafayette

4-8

0.5188

0.30036

0.2310

109

Florida Atlantic

3-9

0.7004

0.30017

0.2309

110

Boston College

3-9

0.7003

0.30011

0.2308

111

Fresno State

3-9

0.6822

0.29236

0.2262

112

Massachusetts

3-9

0.6182

0.26493

0.2094

113

UTSA

3-9

0.6119

0.26226

0.2078

114

New Mexico State

3-9

0.6084

0.26074

0.2068

115

UNLV

3-9

0.5953

0.25513

0.2033

116

Miami OH

3-9

0.5948

0.25491

0.2031

117

Texas State

3-9

0.5427

0.2326

0.1887

118

Tulane

3-9

0.5164

0.22131

0.1812

119

Hawaii

3-10

0.5562

0.21766

0.1788

120

Southern Methodist

2-10

0.6508

0.19807

0.1653

121

Wyoming

2-10

0.5284

0.16083

0.1385

122

Charlotte

2-10

0.5219

0.15885

0.1371

123

Louisiana-Monroe

2-11

0.5522

0.15462

0.1339

124

North Texas

1-11

0.5617

0.11233

0.1010

125

Army

2-10

0.3592

0.10933

0.0986

126

Eastern Michigan

1-11

0.4679

0.093584

0.0856

127

Kansas

0-12

0.7873

0.087474

0.0804

128

1-AA

9-96

0.7508

0.080854

0.0748

129

Central Florida

0-12

0.5388

0.059871

0.0565