Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2015

Updated through games of January 11

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.325
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Alabama	14-1	2.699	16.733	0.9436
2	Clemson	14-1	1.943	12.044	0.9233
3	Ohio State	12-1	1.548	8.3573	0.8931
4	Michigan State	12-2	2.156	8.3176	0.8927
5	Stanford	12-2	1.756	6.774	0.8714
6	Oklahoma	11-2	1.786	6.3789	0.8645
7	Iowa	12-2	1.546	5.9618	0.8564
8	Houston	13-1	1.005	5.8284	0.8536
9	TCU	11-2	1.426	5.0931	0.8359
10	Mississippi	10-3	1.9	4.8552	0.8292
11	Notre Dame	10-3	1.845	4.7155	0.8250
12	Michigan	10-3	1.703	4.3525	0.8132
13	LSU	9-3	1.845	4.3045	0.8115
14	Navy	11-2	1.179	4.2116	0.8081
15	Northwestern	10-3	1.579	4.0354	0.8014
16	Oklahoma State	10-3	1.355	3.4616	0.7759
17	Western Kentucky	12-2	0.896	3.4559	0.7756
18	Florida	10-4	1.607	3.361	0.7707
19	Utah	10-3	1.292	3.3025	0.7676
20	Wisconsin	10-3	1.274	3.2557	0.7650
21	Toledo	10-2	0.9775	3.2117	0.7626
22	Baylor	10-3	1.229	3.1416	0.7586
23	Georgia	10-3	1.217	3.1091	0.7566
24	Florida State	10-3	1.203	3.0731	0.7545
25	Oregon	9-4	1.581	3.0187	0.7512
26	Mississippi State	9-4	1.545	2.9499	0.7468
27	Tennessee	9-4	1.54	2.9394	0.7462
28	North Carolina	11-3	1.046	2.9056	0.7440
29	Appalachian State	11-2	0.7906	2.8234	0.7385
30	Arkansas	8-5	1.701	2.4864	0.7132
31	Memphis	9-4	1.256	2.3985	0.7057
32	USC	8-6	1.746	2.2111	0.6886
33	Washington State	9-4	1.157	2.2083	0.6883
34	Temple	10-4	1.05	2.1945	0.6870
35	California	8-5	1.455	2.1264	0.6801
36	Bowling Green	10-4	0.9889	2.0678	0.6740
37	Brigham Young	9-4	1.035	1.976	0.6640
38	Pittsburgh	8-5	1.321	1.9311	0.6588
39	Texas A&M	8-5	1.32	1.9291	0.6586
40	San Diego State	11-3	0.6872	1.9088	0.6562
41	Miami FL	8-5	1.247	1.8221	0.6457
42	UCLA	8-5	1.24	1.8128	0.6445
43	Auburn	7-6	1.562	1.7708	0.6391
44	Louisville	8-5	1.209	1.7665	0.6385
45	West Virginia	8-5	1.15	1.6805	0.6269
46	Western Michigan	8-5	1.12	1.6369	0.6208
47	Marshall	10-3	0.6374	1.629	0.6196
48	Penn State	7-6	1.406	1.5935	0.6144
49	Georgia Southern	9-4	0.8024	1.5319	0.6050
50	Louisiana Tech	9-4	0.7605	1.4518	0.5921
51	Texas Tech	7-6	1.276	1.4459	0.5912
52	Washington	7-6	1.269	1.4381	0.5899
53	Arkansas State	9-4	0.7514	1.4345	0.5892
54	South Florida	8-5	0.9699	1.4175	0.5864
55	Boise State	9-4	0.6898	1.3168	0.5684
56	Minnesota	6-7	1.429	1.261	0.5577
57	Nebraska	6-7	1.399	1.2341	0.5524
58	Ohio	8-5	0.8349	1.2202	0.5496
59	Southern Miss	9-5	0.7449	1.2033	0.5461
60	Arizona	7-6	1.02	1.1564	0.5363
61	Cincinnati	7-6	0.9969	1.1299	0.5305
62	Duke	8-5	0.772	1.1283	0.5301
63	Arizona State	6-7	1.231	1.0864	0.5207
64	North Carolina State	7-6	0.9454	1.0714	0.5172
65	Texas	5-7	1.338	1.0233	0.5058
66	Virginia Tech	7-6	0.9012	1.0213	0.5053
67	Air Force	8-6	0.8017	1.0155	0.5038
68	Central Michigan	7-6	0.8772	0.99419	0.4985
69	Northern Illinois	8-6	0.7832	0.99205	0.4980
70	Akron	8-5	0.6785	0.99161	0.4979
71	Indiana	6-7	1.099	0.96932	0.4922
72	Kansas State	6-7	1.086	0.95858	0.4894
73	Illinois	5-7	1.21	0.92551	0.4807
74	Missouri	5-7	1.134	0.86697	0.4644
75	Middle Tennessee	7-6	0.7515	0.85169	0.4600
76	Connecticut	6-7	0.8298	0.73222	0.4227
77	Utah State	6-7	0.8268	0.72953	0.4218
78	Vanderbilt	4-8	1.236	0.71549	0.4171
79	Tulsa	6-7	0.7892	0.69633	0.4105
80	New Mexico	7-6	0.5981	0.67781	0.4040
81	Colorado State	7-6	0.5945	0.67372	0.4025
82	Nevada	7-6	0.5857	0.66383	0.3990
83	Kentucky	5-7	0.8515	0.65118	0.3944
84	East Carolina	5-7	0.8112	0.62032	0.3828
85	Virginia	4-8	1.015	0.58773	0.3702
86	San Jose State	6-7	0.6551	0.57804	0.3663
87	Maryland	3-9	1.313	0.56274	0.3601
88	Syracuse	4-8	0.9571	0.55409	0.3565
89	South Alabama	5-7	0.7069	0.54057	0.3509
90	Rutgers	4-8	0.8735	0.5057	0.3359
91	Iowa State	3-9	1.175	0.50357	0.3349
92	Georgia State	6-7	0.5641	0.49772	0.3323
93	Buffalo	5-7	0.6441	0.49255	0.3300
94	Colorado	4-9	0.874	0.45782	0.3140
95	Georgia Tech	3-9	1.055	0.45217	0.3114
96	Old Dominion	5-7	0.5414	0.41397	0.2928
97	South Carolina	3-9	0.9612	0.41194	0.2918
98	Florida International	5-7	0.5321	0.40692	0.2892
99	UTEP	5-7	0.5289	0.40444	0.2880
100	Rice	5-7	0.516	0.3946	0.2829
101	Idaho	4-8	0.6423	0.37185	0.2711
102	Troy	4-8	0.6306	0.36508	0.2674
103	Wake Forest	3-9	0.8029	0.34409	0.2560
104	Purdue	2-10	1.062	0.32327	0.2443
105	Oregon State	2-10	1.044	0.31763	0.2411
106	Kent State	3-9	0.7167	0.30715	0.2350
107	Ball State	3-9	0.7139	0.30595	0.2343
108	Louisiana-Lafayette	4-8	0.5188	0.30036	0.2310
109	Florida Atlantic	3-9	0.7004	0.30017	0.2309
110	Boston College	3-9	0.7003	0.30011	0.2308
111	Fresno State	3-9	0.6822	0.29236	0.2262
112	Massachusetts	3-9	0.6182	0.26493	0.2094
113	UTSA	3-9	0.6119	0.26226	0.2078
114	New Mexico State	3-9	0.6084	0.26074	0.2068
115	UNLV	3-9	0.5953	0.25513	0.2033
116	Miami OH	3-9	0.5948	0.25491	0.2031
117	Texas State	3-9	0.5427	0.2326	0.1887
118	Tulane	3-9	0.5164	0.22131	0.1812
119	Hawaii	3-10	0.5562	0.21766	0.1788
120	Southern Methodist	2-10	0.6508	0.19807	0.1653
121	Wyoming	2-10	0.5284	0.16083	0.1385
122	Charlotte	2-10	0.5219	0.15885	0.1371
123	Louisiana-Monroe	2-11	0.5522	0.15462	0.1339
124	North Texas	1-11	0.5617	0.11233	0.1010
125	Army	2-10	0.3592	0.10933	0.0986
126	Eastern Michigan	1-11	0.4679	0.093584	0.0856
127	Kansas	0-12	0.7873	0.087474	0.0804
128	1-AA	9-96	0.7508	0.080854	0.0748
129	Central Florida	0-12	0.5388	0.059871	0.0565