Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2019

Updated through games of January 13

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.635
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	LSU	15-0	2.574	28.311	0.9659
2	Ohio State	13-1	2.039	11.824	0.9220
3	Clemson	14-1	1.855	11.501	0.9200
4	Georgia	12-2	1.944	7.4994	0.8823
5	Penn State	11-2	1.866	6.6637	0.8695
6	Oklahoma	12-2	1.655	6.3824	0.8645
7	Florida	11-2	1.596	5.6984	0.8507
8	Appalachian State	13-1	0.9731	5.644	0.8495
9	Notre Dame	11-2	1.538	5.4927	0.8460
10	Memphis	12-2	1.415	5.4576	0.8451
11	Oregon	12-2	1.371	5.2894	0.8410
12	Alabama	11-2	1.438	5.1365	0.8370
13	Navy	11-2	1.319	4.7116	0.8249
14	Cincinnati	11-3	1.594	4.4271	0.8157
15	Minnesota	11-2	1.115	3.9831	0.7993
16	Boise State	12-2	1.021	3.9389	0.7975
17	Air Force	11-2	1.093	3.9038	0.7961
18	Auburn	9-4	1.919	3.6628	0.7855
19	Baylor	11-3	1.314	3.6509	0.7850
20	Wisconsin	10-4	1.746	3.6504	0.7850
21	Iowa	10-3	1.382	3.5321	0.7794
22	Utah	11-3	1.196	3.3213	0.7686
23	Michigan	9-4	1.736	3.314	0.7682
24	Southern Methodist	10-3	1.244	3.1791	0.7607
25	Louisiana-Lafayette	11-3	1.06	2.9448	0.7465
26	Florida Atlantic	11-3	1.038	2.8821	0.7424
27	Central Florida	10-3	1.126	2.8774	0.7421
28	USC	8-5	1.505	2.1993	0.6874
29	Texas	8-5	1.45	2.1193	0.6794
30	Virginia	9-5	1.212	1.9586	0.6620
31	San Diego State	10-3	0.7332	1.8737	0.6520
32	Texas A&M	8-5	1.262	1.8438	0.6484
33	Louisville	8-5	1.199	1.7526	0.6367
34	Washington	8-5	1.199	1.7522	0.6366
35	Hawaii	10-5	0.9416	1.6658	0.6249
36	Oklahoma State	8-5	1.135	1.6594	0.6240
37	Tennessee	8-5	1.129	1.65	0.6226
38	Louisiana Tech	10-3	0.628	1.6048	0.6161
39	Kansas State	8-5	1.095	1.5997	0.6153
40	Arizona State	8-5	1.083	1.5829	0.6128
41	California	8-5	1.033	1.5099	0.6016
42	Temple	8-5	0.9782	1.4296	0.5884
43	Miami OH	8-6	1.114	1.4111	0.5852
44	Marshall	8-5	0.9555	1.3965	0.5827
45	Indiana	8-5	0.9555	1.3965	0.5827
46	Western Kentucky	9-4	0.7198	1.3742	0.5788
47	Pittsburgh	8-5	0.9331	1.3638	0.5769
48	Iowa State	7-6	1.168	1.3234	0.5696
49	Kentucky	8-5	0.8938	1.3064	0.5664
50	Wake Forest	8-5	0.8911	1.3024	0.5657
51	Michigan State	7-6	1.143	1.295	0.5643
52	Tulane	7-6	1.114	1.2628	0.5581
53	Wyoming	8-5	0.8612	1.2587	0.5573
54	North Carolina	7-6	1.084	1.2291	0.5514
55	Brigham Young	7-6	1.079	1.2223	0.5500
56	Arkansas State	8-5	0.8321	1.2162	0.5488
57	Utah State	7-6	1.052	1.192	0.5438
58	Virginia Tech	8-5	0.8068	1.1792	0.5411
59	Buffalo	8-5	0.79	1.1547	0.5359
60	Alabama-Birmingham	9-5	0.7026	1.135	0.5316
61	Mississippi State	6-7	1.22	1.0763	0.5184
62	Georgia Southern	7-6	0.9473	1.0737	0.5178
63	Kent State	7-6	0.8837	1.0015	0.5004
64	Florida State	6-7	1.086	0.95854	0.4894
65	Southern Miss	7-6	0.8336	0.94477	0.4858
66	Central Michigan	8-6	0.7164	0.90745	0.4757
67	Georgia State	7-6	0.7806	0.88464	0.4694
68	Washington State	6-7	0.9924	0.8756	0.4668
69	Colorado	5-7	1.128	0.86243	0.4631
70	Western Michigan	7-6	0.7601	0.8614	0.4628
71	Boston College	6-7	0.9743	0.85965	0.4623
72	Ohio	7-6	0.7555	0.8562	0.4613
73	Miami FL	6-7	0.9698	0.8557	0.4611
74	Oregon State	5-7	1.097	0.83892	0.4562
75	TCU	5-7	1.048	0.80108	0.4448
76	Tulsa	4-8	1.357	0.78586	0.4400
77	Nevada	7-6	0.6932	0.7856	0.4400
78	South Carolina	4-8	1.35	0.78162	0.4387
79	Missouri	6-6	0.7762	0.77624	0.4370
80	Liberty	8-5	0.5218	0.76268	0.4327
81	Charlotte	7-6	0.6691	0.75832	0.4313
82	Nebraska	5-7	0.9808	0.75003	0.4286
83	UCLA	4-8	1.293	0.74877	0.4282
84	Duke	5-7	0.9436	0.72161	0.4191
85	Illinois	6-7	0.8043	0.70972	0.4151
86	Toledo	6-6	0.7002	0.70017	0.4118
87	West Virginia	5-7	0.9112	0.69682	0.4107
88	Louisiana-Monroe	5-7	0.8914	0.68166	0.4053
89	Syracuse	5-7	0.8804	0.67327	0.4024
90	Stanford	4-8	1.121	0.64898	0.3936
91	Houston	4-8	1.113	0.64424	0.3918
92	Eastern Michigan	6-7	0.6998	0.61748	0.3818
93	Ball State	5-7	0.7823	0.59825	0.3743
94	South Florida	4-8	0.9777	0.56606	0.3615
95	Arizona	4-8	0.9628	0.55741	0.3579
96	San Jose State	5-7	0.687	0.52537	0.3444
97	Northern Illinois	5-7	0.6852	0.52401	0.3438
98	Purdue	4-8	0.891	0.51582	0.3403
99	Florida International	6-7	0.574	0.50649	0.3362
100	Troy	5-7	0.6513	0.49809	0.3325
101	Coastal Carolina	5-7	0.614	0.4695	0.3195
102	Mississippi	4-8	0.7911	0.45802	0.3141
103	Texas Tech	4-8	0.7687	0.44507	0.3080
104	Fresno State	4-8	0.7357	0.42592	0.2987
105	UNLV	4-8	0.727	0.42091	0.2962
106	Army	5-8	0.6079	0.41591	0.2937
107	North Carolina State	4-8	0.7122	0.41236	0.2920
108	Maryland	3-9	0.9259	0.39682	0.2841
109	Colorado State	4-8	0.6766	0.39174	0.2815
110	Northwestern	3-9	0.8874	0.38033	0.2755
111	Middle Tennessee	4-8	0.619	0.35839	0.2638
112	Georgia Tech	3-9	0.8225	0.35252	0.2606
113	Kansas	3-9	0.8127	0.34832	0.2583
114	Vanderbilt	3-9	0.7806	0.33454	0.2507
115	East Carolina	4-8	0.5413	0.31339	0.2386
116	North Texas	4-8	0.5329	0.30851	0.2358
117	Texas State	3-9	0.7073	0.30312	0.2326
118	UTSA	4-8	0.5072	0.29363	0.2270
119	Rice	3-9	0.6826	0.29255	0.2263
120	Bowling Green	3-9	0.6723	0.28812	0.2237
121	Rutgers	2-10	0.8589	0.2614	0.2072
122	South Alabama	2-10	0.8271	0.25172	0.2011
123	Arkansas	2-10	0.6724	0.20465	0.1699
124	New Mexico	2-10	0.621	0.18899	0.1590
125	Connecticut	2-10	0.5073	0.15438	0.1337
126	New Mexico State	2-10	0.4597	0.13991	0.1227
127	Old Dominion	1-11	0.4873	0.097467	0.0888
128	UTEP	1-11	0.367	0.073397	0.0684
129	Akron	0-12	0.5308	0.058976	0.0557
130	Massachusetts	1-11	0.266	0.053201	0.0505
131	1-AA	3-111	1.007	0.040265	0.0387