Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2024

Updated through games of December 7

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.478
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Oregon	13-0	1.588	15.35	0.9388
2	Boise State	12-1	1.354	7.3112	0.8797
3	Notre Dame	11-1	1.234	6.1684	0.8605
4	Georgia	11-2	1.693	6.0463	0.8581
5	Ohio State	10-2	1.615	5.3064	0.8414
6	Penn State	11-2	1.393	4.9762	0.8327
7	Texas	11-2	1.388	4.9583	0.8322
8	Indiana	11-1	0.9534	4.7671	0.8266
9	Southern Methodist	11-2	1.205	4.3034	0.8114
10	Arizona State	11-2	1.163	4.1539	0.8060
11	Miami FL	10-2	1.219	4.0069	0.8003
12	Brigham Young	10-2	1.206	3.9627	0.7985
13	Army	11-1	0.7642	3.821	0.7926
14	Tennessee	10-2	1.012	3.3263	0.7689
15	Alabama	9-3	1.395	3.2559	0.7650
16	Clemson	10-3	1.212	3.0977	0.7560
17	South Carolina	9-3	1.311	3.06	0.7537
18	Iowa State	10-3	1.169	2.9864	0.7492
19	Syracuse	9-3	1.233	2.878	0.7421
20	UNLV	10-3	1.104	2.8211	0.7383
21	Illinois	9-3	1.197	2.7931	0.7364
22	Marshall	10-3	1.069	2.7324	0.7321
23	Mississippi	9-3	1.123	2.6199	0.7237
24	Louisville	8-4	1.461	2.5232	0.7162
25	Duke	9-3	1.033	2.4106	0.7068
26	Memphis	10-2	0.7236	2.3777	0.7039
27	Colorado	9-3	1.008	2.3521	0.7017
28	Missouri	9-3	0.9872	2.3035	0.6973
29	Kansas State	8-4	1.322	2.2838	0.6955
30	LSU	8-4	1.23	2.1245	0.6800
31	Michigan	7-5	1.608	2.1026	0.6777
32	Tulane	9-4	1.09	2.0808	0.6754
33	Baylor	8-4	1.189	2.0544	0.6726
34	Texas Tech	8-4	1.128	1.9486	0.6609
35	Navy	8-3	0.9188	1.9397	0.6598
36	Ohio	10-3	0.7465	1.9076	0.6561
37	Georgia Tech	7-5	1.435	1.877	0.6524
38	Louisiana	10-3	0.7314	1.8692	0.6515
39	Texas A&M	7-4	1.189	1.837	0.6475
40	Georgia Southern	8-4	1.003	1.7319	0.6340
41	Iowa	8-4	0.9842	1.7001	0.6296
42	TCU	8-4	0.9517	1.6438	0.6218
43	Florida	7-5	1.201	1.571	0.6110
44	Boston College	7-5	1.109	1.4501	0.5919
45	Virginia Tech	6-6	1.446	1.4464	0.5912
46	Sam Houston	9-3	0.613	1.4303	0.5885
47	Pittsburgh	7-5	1.083	1.4161	0.5861
48	Minnesota	7-5	1.062	1.3886	0.5813
49	James Madison	8-4	0.7681	1.3268	0.5702
50	Oklahoma	6-6	1.323	1.3228	0.5695
51	USC	6-6	1.29	1.2897	0.5633
52	Washington State	8-4	0.7365	1.2721	0.5599
53	Washington	6-6	1.268	1.2684	0.5592
54	Jacksonville State	9-4	0.6481	1.2373	0.5530
55	Buffalo	8-4	0.7057	1.219	0.5493
56	Rutgers	7-5	0.9206	1.2039	0.5463
57	Miami OH	8-5	0.8197	1.198	0.5450
58	Kansas	5-7	1.543	1.1798	0.5412
59	UCLA	5-7	1.493	1.1419	0.5331
60	Colorado State	8-4	0.6573	1.1353	0.5317
61	Vanderbilt	6-6	1.132	1.1324	0.5311
62	West Virginia	6-6	1.076	1.0759	0.5183
63	Western Kentucky	8-5	0.7273	1.0629	0.5153
64	Connecticut	8-4	0.6041	1.0434	0.5106
65	Bowling Green	7-4	0.675	1.0431	0.5105
66	Liberty	8-3	0.4908	1.0362	0.5089
67	Nebraska	6-6	1.008	1.0077	0.5019
68	Northern Illinois	7-5	0.7514	0.98264	0.4956
69	San Jose State	7-5	0.7409	0.96893	0.4921
70	East Carolina	7-5	0.7405	0.96839	0.4920
71	North Carolina State	6-6	0.9552	0.95525	0.4886
72	Texas State	7-5	0.7287	0.95285	0.4879
73	Arkansas State	7-5	0.7125	0.93167	0.4823
74	Cincinnati	5-7	1.214	0.92805	0.4813
75	Toledo	7-5	0.6907	0.90322	0.4746
76	Virginia	5-7	1.171	0.89542	0.4724
77	Arkansas	6-6	0.8932	0.89322	0.4718
78	Appalachian State	5-6	1.022	0.88535	0.4696
79	North Carolina	6-6	0.8752	0.87521	0.4667
80	Old Dominion	5-7	1.113	0.85126	0.4598
81	Coastal Carolina	6-6	0.8391	0.83906	0.4562
82	Michigan State	5-7	1.081	0.82661	0.4525
83	Wisconsin	5-7	1.072	0.82014	0.4506
84	South Alabama	6-6	0.8074	0.80741	0.4467
85	California	6-6	0.7955	0.79548	0.4430
86	Utah	5-7	1.009	0.7714	0.4355
87	North Texas	6-6	0.7679	0.76788	0.4343
88	South Florida	6-6	0.7511	0.75113	0.4289
89	Houston	4-8	1.275	0.73809	0.4247
90	Fresno State	6-6	0.7257	0.72567	0.4205
91	Western Michigan	6-6	0.7224	0.72238	0.4194
92	UTSA	6-6	0.6947	0.69468	0.4099
93	Auburn	5-7	0.8506	0.65046	0.3941
94	Charlotte	5-7	0.8364	0.63956	0.3901
95	Kentucky	4-8	1.077	0.62361	0.3841
96	Central Florida	4-8	1.065	0.61675	0.3815
97	Northwestern	4-8	1.036	0.59993	0.3750
98	Maryland	4-8	1.026	0.59409	0.3727
99	Oregon State	5-7	0.7738	0.59171	0.3717
100	Wake Forest	4-8	1.004	0.58106	0.3675
101	Louisiana-Monroe	5-7	0.7552	0.57753	0.3661
102	Arizona	4-8	0.9696	0.56133	0.3595
103	Air Force	5-7	0.6749	0.51608	0.3404
104	Rice	4-8	0.8596	0.49768	0.3323
105	Stanford	3-9	1.13	0.48435	0.3263
106	Hawaii	5-7	0.6121	0.46805	0.3188
107	Akron	4-8	0.7849	0.45444	0.3124
108	Eastern Michigan	5-7	0.5859	0.44802	0.3094
109	Oklahoma State	3-9	0.9776	0.41896	0.2953
110	New Mexico	5-7	0.5353	0.40931	0.2904
111	Troy	4-8	0.685	0.39656	0.2840
112	Georgia State	3-9	0.8918	0.38222	0.2765
113	Utah State	4-8	0.6349	0.36757	0.2688
114	Central Michigan	4-8	0.6148	0.35597	0.2625
115	Louisiana Tech	5-7	0.4358	0.33326	0.2500
116	Temple	3-9	0.7728	0.33122	0.2488
117	Florida State	2-10	1.064	0.32385	0.2446
118	Alabama-Birmingham	3-9	0.7302	0.31294	0.2384
119	Wyoming	3-9	0.7176	0.30753	0.2352
120	Nevada	3-10	0.7794	0.305	0.2337
121	Ball State	3-9	0.6849	0.29355	0.2269
122	Mississippi State	2-10	0.8458	0.25742	0.2047
123	Florida Atlantic	3-9	0.5607	0.24028	0.1937
124	San Diego State	3-9	0.5509	0.23609	0.1910
125	Florida International	4-8	0.4062	0.23514	0.1904
126	Tulsa	3-9	0.5228	0.22406	0.1830
127	Middle Tennessee	3-9	0.4906	0.21027	0.1737
128	New Mexico State	3-9	0.4816	0.20638	0.1711
129	UTEP	3-9	0.4712	0.20194	0.1680
130	Purdue	1-11	0.9517	0.19034	0.1599
131	Massachusetts	2-10	0.5249	0.15975	0.1377
132	Kennesaw State	2-10	0.5079	0.15459	0.1339
133	Southern Miss	1-11	0.6565	0.13129	0.1161
134	1-AA	6-115	0.931	0.059937	0.0565
135	Kent State	0-12	0.5034	0.055937	0.0530