Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2024

Updated through games of January 20

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.487
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Oregon	13-1	2.199	12.753	0.9273
2	Ohio State	14-2	2.809	12.44	0.9256
3	Notre Dame	14-2	2.045	9.0583	0.9006
4	Penn State	13-3	2.028	6.5363	0.8673
5	Texas	13-3	1.79	5.7691	0.8523
6	Georgia	11-3	1.88	5.2219	0.8393
7	Boise State	12-2	1.344	5.1846	0.8383
8	Indiana	11-2	1.344	4.8014	0.8276
9	Brigham Young	11-2	1.228	4.3874	0.8144
10	Illinois	10-3	1.431	3.6571	0.7853
11	Arizona State	11-3	1.31	3.638	0.7844
12	Southern Methodist	11-3	1.295	3.5985	0.7825
13	Iowa State	11-3	1.231	3.4185	0.7737
14	Army	12-2	0.8267	3.1888	0.7613
15	Miami FL	10-3	1.239	3.1659	0.7600
16	Tennessee	10-3	1.219	3.1151	0.7570
17	Mississippi	10-3	1.196	3.0563	0.7535
18	Navy	10-3	1.139	2.9117	0.7444
19	Syracuse	10-3	1.125	2.8758	0.7420
20	Memphis	11-2	0.7989	2.853	0.7405
21	Michigan	8-5	1.9	2.7765	0.7352
22	UNLV	11-3	0.9967	2.7687	0.7347
23	Alabama	9-4	1.439	2.7476	0.7332
24	Marshall	10-3	1.072	2.7402	0.7326
25	South Carolina	9-4	1.398	2.6681	0.7274
26	Missouri	10-3	1.03	2.6319	0.7247
27	Clemson	10-4	1.232	2.5769	0.7204
28	Louisville	9-4	1.332	2.5428	0.7177
29	LSU	9-4	1.33	2.5398	0.7175
30	Kansas State	9-4	1.306	2.4928	0.7137
31	Ohio	11-3	0.8446	2.3461	0.7011
32	Colorado	9-4	1.079	2.0596	0.6732
33	Duke	9-4	0.9999	1.9088	0.6562
34	Florida	8-5	1.273	1.8608	0.6504
35	Tulane	9-5	1.138	1.8387	0.6477
36	TCU	9-4	0.9629	1.8383	0.6477
37	Baylor	8-5	1.211	1.77	0.6390
38	Minnesota	8-5	1.159	1.6938	0.6288
39	Texas A&M	7-5	1.283	1.6777	0.6265
40	USC	7-6	1.461	1.6563	0.6235
41	Sam Houston	10-3	0.6455	1.6495	0.6226
42	Iowa	8-5	1.115	1.6297	0.6197
43	Louisiana	10-4	0.7749	1.6202	0.6184
44	Texas Tech	8-5	1.055	1.5424	0.6067
45	Buffalo	9-4	0.7895	1.5073	0.6012
46	Georgia Southern	8-5	1.006	1.4697	0.5951
47	James Madison	9-4	0.768	1.4663	0.5945
48	Miami OH	9-5	0.9048	1.4616	0.5938
49	Georgia Tech	7-6	1.282	1.4528	0.5923
50	Vanderbilt	7-6	1.17	1.3258	0.5700
51	Nebraska	7-6	1.112	1.2608	0.5577
52	Connecticut	9-4	0.6367	1.2155	0.5486
53	Oklahoma	6-7	1.357	1.1975	0.5449
54	Virginia Tech	6-7	1.349	1.1903	0.5434
55	UCLA	5-7	1.555	1.1889	0.5432
56	Kansas	5-7	1.554	1.1884	0.5430
57	Washington	6-7	1.339	1.181	0.5415
58	Rutgers	7-6	1.028	1.165	0.5381
59	Boston College	7-6	1.027	1.1645	0.5380
60	Northern Illinois	8-5	0.7849	1.1472	0.5343
61	Arkansas State	8-5	0.7844	1.1464	0.5341
62	East Carolina	8-5	0.7755	1.1335	0.5313
63	Arkansas	7-6	0.9876	1.1192	0.5281
64	Texas State	8-5	0.7655	1.1188	0.5280
65	Toledo	8-5	0.763	1.1151	0.5272
66	Pittsburgh	7-6	0.9746	1.1046	0.5249
67	Jacksonville State	9-5	0.6612	1.0681	0.5165
68	Washington State	8-5	0.7222	1.0555	0.5135
69	West Virginia	6-7	1.107	0.9769	0.4942
70	South Alabama	7-6	0.8359	0.94735	0.4865
71	Bowling Green	7-5	0.7212	0.94308	0.4854
72	Colorado State	8-5	0.6324	0.92427	0.4803
73	South Florida	7-6	0.8062	0.91365	0.4774
74	Cincinnati	5-7	1.185	0.90652	0.4755
75	Western Kentucky	8-6	0.708	0.89681	0.4728
76	Liberty	8-4	0.514	0.88774	0.4703
77	Appalachian State	5-6	1.012	0.87738	0.4673
78	Michigan State	5-7	1.135	0.86828	0.4647
79	Wisconsin	5-7	1.121	0.85691	0.4615
80	UTSA	7-6	0.7512	0.8514	0.4599
81	Old Dominion	5-7	1.107	0.84615	0.4583
82	Virginia	5-7	1.068	0.81681	0.4496
83	North Carolina State	6-7	0.8783	0.77498	0.4366
84	Utah	5-7	1.004	0.76786	0.4343
85	San Jose State	7-6	0.6695	0.75872	0.4314
86	Houston	4-8	1.283	0.74269	0.4262
87	North Carolina	6-7	0.8204	0.72385	0.4199
88	Coastal Carolina	6-7	0.8018	0.70745	0.4143
89	North Texas	6-7	0.779	0.68734	0.4074
90	California	6-7	0.7779	0.68639	0.4070
91	Charlotte	5-7	0.8832	0.67538	0.4031
92	Western Michigan	6-7	0.7472	0.65933	0.3973
93	Auburn	5-7	0.8511	0.65086	0.3943
94	Kentucky	4-8	1.116	0.646	0.3925
95	Northwestern	4-8	1.103	0.63836	0.3896
96	Central Florida	4-8	1.076	0.62292	0.3838
97	Maryland	4-8	1.074	0.62179	0.3834
98	Fresno State	6-7	0.6912	0.60985	0.3788
99	Louisiana-Monroe	5-7	0.7937	0.60697	0.3777
100	Rice	4-8	0.9396	0.54396	0.3523
101	Arizona	4-8	0.9356	0.54164	0.3513
102	Oregon State	5-7	0.7062	0.54003	0.3507
103	Wake Forest	4-8	0.9254	0.53578	0.3489
104	Air Force	5-7	0.6315	0.48293	0.3257
105	Akron	4-8	0.8256	0.47796	0.3234
106	Eastern Michigan	5-7	0.6127	0.46852	0.3190
107	Stanford	3-9	1.05	0.44987	0.3103
108	Hawaii	5-7	0.5838	0.44647	0.3087
109	Oklahoma State	3-9	0.967	0.41444	0.2930
110	Troy	4-8	0.6935	0.40149	0.2865
111	Georgia State	3-9	0.9038	0.38734	0.2792
112	New Mexico	5-7	0.5018	0.38371	0.2773
113	Central Michigan	4-8	0.6352	0.36776	0.2689
114	Utah State	4-8	0.6109	0.35371	0.2613
115	Alabama-Birmingham	3-9	0.788	0.33771	0.2525
116	Temple	3-9	0.7741	0.33174	0.2491
117	Louisiana Tech	5-8	0.4578	0.31324	0.2385
118	Ball State	3-9	0.7131	0.30562	0.2341
119	Florida State	2-10	0.9839	0.29944	0.2304
120	Wyoming	3-9	0.6646	0.28483	0.2217
121	Nevada	3-10	0.7202	0.28181	0.2199
122	Mississippi State	2-10	0.9026	0.2747	0.2155
123	Florida Atlantic	3-9	0.5805	0.2488	0.1992
124	Tulsa	3-9	0.5433	0.23284	0.1889
125	Florida International	4-8	0.3972	0.22996	0.1870
126	San Diego State	3-9	0.52	0.22286	0.1822
127	Purdue	1-11	1.012	0.20245	0.1684
128	Middle Tennessee	3-9	0.4635	0.19864	0.1657
129	UTEP	3-9	0.4561	0.19545	0.1635
130	New Mexico State	3-9	0.4531	0.19417	0.1626
131	Massachusetts	2-10	0.5504	0.16752	0.1435
132	Kennesaw State	2-10	0.4859	0.14789	0.1288
133	Southern Miss	1-11	0.6919	0.13838	0.1216
134	1-AA	6-115	0.9298	0.059858	0.0565
135	Kent State	0-12	0.5132	0.057024	0.0539