Updated through games of January 9

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.472

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Clemson

14-1

2.328

14.435

0.9352

2

Alabama

14-1

2.23

13.824

0.9325

3

Ohio State

11-2

2.028

7.2443

0.8787

4

Washington

12-2

1.556

6.0003

0.8571

5

Western Michigan

13-1

0.8269

4.7961

0.8275

6

Oklahoma

11-2

1.33

4.7504

0.8261

7

Florida State

10-3

1.778

4.5439

0.8196

8

USC

10-3

1.722

4.401

0.8149

9

Wisconsin

11-3

1.569

4.3587

0.8134

10

Penn State

11-3

1.457

4.0463

0.8018

11

Michigan

10-3

1.362

3.4813

0.7769

12

South Florida

11-2

0.9201

3.2862

0.7667

13

Stanford

10-3

1.286

3.2852

0.7666

14

Colorado

10-4

1.473

3.0808

0.7549

15

Florida

9-4

1.579

3.0146

0.7509

16

Oklahoma State

10-3

1.116

2.8514

0.7404

17

Tennessee

9-4

1.481

2.8271

0.7387

18

Appalachian State

10-3

1.088

2.78

0.7354

19

West Virginia

10-3

1.028

2.6274

0.7243

20

Virginia Tech

10-4

1.242

2.5971

0.7220

21

Boise State

10-3

1.011

2.5843

0.7210

22

Western Kentucky

11-3

0.9139

2.5387

0.7174

23

LSU

8-4

1.457

2.5165

0.7156

24

Troy

10-3

0.9674

2.4723

0.7120

25

Georgia Tech

9-4

1.293

2.468

0.7116

26

Miami FL

9-4

1.282

2.4467

0.7099

27

Nebraska

9-4

1.229

2.3466

0.7012

28

Louisville

9-4

1.217

2.3231

0.6991

29

Tulsa

10-3

0.9018

2.3046

0.6974

30

Kansas State

9-4

1.111

2.121

0.6796

31

Auburn

8-5

1.439

2.1035

0.6778

32

Utah

9-4

1.094

2.0881

0.6762

33

San Diego State

11-3

0.7467

2.0742

0.6747

34

Minnesota

9-4

1.058

2.019

0.6688

35

Air Force

10-3

0.788

2.0137

0.6682

36

Old Dominion

10-3

0.7445

1.9026

0.6555

37

Pittsburgh

8-5

1.281

1.8716

0.6518

38

Idaho

9-4

0.9718

1.8553

0.6498

39

Temple

10-4

0.885

1.8505

0.6492

40

Houston

9-4

0.9602

1.8332

0.6470

41

Washington State

8-5

1.197

1.7499

0.6364

42

Texas A&M

8-5

1.155

1.6887

0.6281

43

Brigham Young

9-4

0.8711

1.6629

0.6245

44

Toledo

9-4

0.87

1.661

0.6242

45

North Carolina

8-5

1.131

1.6535

0.6231

46

Georgia

8-5

1.12

1.6366

0.6207

47

Navy

9-5

0.9802

1.5833

0.6129

48

Iowa

8-5

1.056

1.5428

0.6067

49

Memphis

8-5

0.9527

1.3924

0.5820

50

New Mexico

9-4

0.7247

1.3836

0.5805

51

Louisiana Tech

9-5

0.8368

1.3518

0.5748

52

Arkansas

7-6

1.186

1.3445

0.5735

53

North Carolina State

7-6

1.182

1.3392

0.5725

54

Kentucky

7-6

1.178

1.3355

0.5718

55

Wyoming

8-6

1.018

1.289

0.5631

56

Northwestern

7-6

1.118

1.2673

0.5589

57

Boston College

7-6

1.053

1.193

0.5440

58

Wake Forest

7-6

1.029

1.1663

0.5384

59

Colorado State

7-6

1.013

1.1479

0.5344

60

Vanderbilt

6-7

1.247

1.1006

0.5239

61

Arkansas State

8-5

0.7003

1.0236

0.5058

62

Baylor

7-6

0.8991

1.0189

0.5047

63

Mississippi

5-7

1.27

0.97097

0.4926

64

Middle Tennessee

8-5

0.6608

0.96586

0.4913

65

Army

8-5

0.6469

0.94544

0.4860

66

California

5-7

1.232

0.94204

0.4851

67

South Carolina

6-7

1.061

0.9366

0.4836

68

Mississippi State

6-7

1.022

0.90198

0.4742

69

Ohio

8-6

0.7026

0.88994

0.4709

70

Eastern Michigan

7-6

0.7679

0.87033

0.4653

71

Southern Miss

7-6

0.754

0.85458

0.4608

72

Indiana

6-7

0.954

0.84179

0.4571

73

Maryland

6-7

0.9472

0.83576

0.4553

74

TCU

6-7

0.9401

0.82949

0.4534

75

Arizona State

5-7

1.009

0.77192

0.4356

76

Hawaii

7-7

0.75

0.75004

0.4286

77

Southern Methodist

5-7

0.9455

0.72301

0.4196

78

Central Florida

6-7

0.8137

0.71793

0.4179

79

Georgia Southern

5-7

0.9305

0.71157

0.4157

80

Louisiana-Lafayette

6-7

0.8011

0.70681

0.4141

81

Texas Tech

5-7

0.9142

0.69909

0.4114

82

UCLA

4-8

1.195

0.69177

0.4089

83

Oregon

4-8

1.173

0.67922

0.4045

84

Texas

5-7

0.8866

0.67798

0.4040

85

Central Michigan

6-7

0.7535

0.66486

0.3993

86

Syracuse

4-8

1.148

0.66476

0.3993

87

UTSA

6-7

0.7375

0.65074

0.3942

88

South Alabama

6-7

0.7294

0.64355

0.3916

89

Missouri

4-8

1.07

0.61929

0.3824

90

Oregon State

4-8

1.059

0.61339

0.3802

91

Duke

4-8

1.007

0.58327

0.3684

92

Northern Illinois

5-7

0.7375

0.56397

0.3606

93

Notre Dame

4-8

0.9657

0.55908

0.3586

94

Miami OH

6-7

0.5927

0.52297

0.3434

95

Akron

5-7

0.6614

0.50576

0.3359

96

Louisiana-Monroe

4-8

0.8414

0.48711

0.3276

97

North Texas

5-8

0.7037

0.4815

0.3250

98

Arizona

3-9

1.068

0.45755

0.3139

99

Tulane

4-8

0.7744

0.44835

0.3096

100

Cincinnati

4-8

0.7486

0.43337

0.3023

101

San Jose State

4-8

0.7276

0.42123

0.2964

102

UNLV

4-8

0.706

0.40876

0.2902

103

Nevada

5-7

0.5331

0.40766

0.2896

104

New Mexico State

3-9

0.9457

0.40529

0.2884

105

Michigan State

3-9

0.8937

0.38303

0.2770

106

Utah State

3-9

0.8658

0.37108

0.2706

107

Illinois

3-9

0.8532

0.36566

0.2678

108

Bowling Green

4-8

0.6252

0.36194

0.2658

109

Charlotte

4-8

0.6129

0.35481

0.2619

110

Florida International

4-8

0.611

0.35371

0.2613

111

Purdue

3-9

0.8187

0.35087

0.2597

112

Ball State

4-8

0.599

0.34681

0.2575

113

East Carolina

3-9

0.804

0.34459

0.2563

114

Iowa State

3-9

0.7991

0.34246

0.2551

115

UTEP

4-8

0.5356

0.31011

0.2367

116

Georgia State

3-9

0.7033

0.30141

0.2316

117

Rutgers

2-10

0.8777

0.26712

0.2108

118

Marshall

3-9

0.6159

0.26396

0.2088

119

Virginia

2-10

0.8539

0.25988

0.2063

120

Connecticut

3-9

0.6039

0.25883

0.2056

121

Rice

3-9

0.5965

0.25564

0.2036

122

Kansas

2-10

0.7957

0.24217

0.1950

123

Florida Atlantic

3-9

0.5552

0.23794

0.1922

124

Kent State

3-9

0.5442

0.23324

0.1891

125

Texas State

2-10

0.76

0.2313

0.1879

126

Massachusetts

2-10

0.7508

0.22851

0.1860

127

Buffalo

2-10

0.4933

0.15014

0.1305

128

Fresno State

1-11

0.6693

0.13387

0.1181

129

1-AA

10-103

1.005

0.11059

0.0996