Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2016

Updated through games of January 9

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.472
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Clemson	14-1	2.328	14.435	0.9352
2	Alabama	14-1	2.23	13.824	0.9325
3	Ohio State	11-2	2.028	7.2443	0.8787
4	Washington	12-2	1.556	6.0003	0.8571
5	Western Michigan	13-1	0.8269	4.7961	0.8275
6	Oklahoma	11-2	1.33	4.7504	0.8261
7	Florida State	10-3	1.778	4.5439	0.8196
8	USC	10-3	1.722	4.401	0.8149
9	Wisconsin	11-3	1.569	4.3587	0.8134
10	Penn State	11-3	1.457	4.0463	0.8018
11	Michigan	10-3	1.362	3.4813	0.7769
12	South Florida	11-2	0.9201	3.2862	0.7667
13	Stanford	10-3	1.286	3.2852	0.7666
14	Colorado	10-4	1.473	3.0808	0.7549
15	Florida	9-4	1.579	3.0146	0.7509
16	Oklahoma State	10-3	1.116	2.8514	0.7404
17	Tennessee	9-4	1.481	2.8271	0.7387
18	Appalachian State	10-3	1.088	2.78	0.7354
19	West Virginia	10-3	1.028	2.6274	0.7243
20	Virginia Tech	10-4	1.242	2.5971	0.7220
21	Boise State	10-3	1.011	2.5843	0.7210
22	Western Kentucky	11-3	0.9139	2.5387	0.7174
23	LSU	8-4	1.457	2.5165	0.7156
24	Troy	10-3	0.9674	2.4723	0.7120
25	Georgia Tech	9-4	1.293	2.468	0.7116
26	Miami FL	9-4	1.282	2.4467	0.7099
27	Nebraska	9-4	1.229	2.3466	0.7012
28	Louisville	9-4	1.217	2.3231	0.6991
29	Tulsa	10-3	0.9018	2.3046	0.6974
30	Kansas State	9-4	1.111	2.121	0.6796
31	Auburn	8-5	1.439	2.1035	0.6778
32	Utah	9-4	1.094	2.0881	0.6762
33	San Diego State	11-3	0.7467	2.0742	0.6747
34	Minnesota	9-4	1.058	2.019	0.6688
35	Air Force	10-3	0.788	2.0137	0.6682
36	Old Dominion	10-3	0.7445	1.9026	0.6555
37	Pittsburgh	8-5	1.281	1.8716	0.6518
38	Idaho	9-4	0.9718	1.8553	0.6498
39	Temple	10-4	0.885	1.8505	0.6492
40	Houston	9-4	0.9602	1.8332	0.6470
41	Washington State	8-5	1.197	1.7499	0.6364
42	Texas A&M	8-5	1.155	1.6887	0.6281
43	Brigham Young	9-4	0.8711	1.6629	0.6245
44	Toledo	9-4	0.87	1.661	0.6242
45	North Carolina	8-5	1.131	1.6535	0.6231
46	Georgia	8-5	1.12	1.6366	0.6207
47	Navy	9-5	0.9802	1.5833	0.6129
48	Iowa	8-5	1.056	1.5428	0.6067
49	Memphis	8-5	0.9527	1.3924	0.5820
50	New Mexico	9-4	0.7247	1.3836	0.5805
51	Louisiana Tech	9-5	0.8368	1.3518	0.5748
52	Arkansas	7-6	1.186	1.3445	0.5735
53	North Carolina State	7-6	1.182	1.3392	0.5725
54	Kentucky	7-6	1.178	1.3355	0.5718
55	Wyoming	8-6	1.018	1.289	0.5631
56	Northwestern	7-6	1.118	1.2673	0.5589
57	Boston College	7-6	1.053	1.193	0.5440
58	Wake Forest	7-6	1.029	1.1663	0.5384
59	Colorado State	7-6	1.013	1.1479	0.5344
60	Vanderbilt	6-7	1.247	1.1006	0.5239
61	Arkansas State	8-5	0.7003	1.0236	0.5058
62	Baylor	7-6	0.8991	1.0189	0.5047
63	Mississippi	5-7	1.27	0.97097	0.4926
64	Middle Tennessee	8-5	0.6608	0.96586	0.4913
65	Army	8-5	0.6469	0.94544	0.4860
66	California	5-7	1.232	0.94204	0.4851
67	South Carolina	6-7	1.061	0.9366	0.4836
68	Mississippi State	6-7	1.022	0.90198	0.4742
69	Ohio	8-6	0.7026	0.88994	0.4709
70	Eastern Michigan	7-6	0.7679	0.87033	0.4653
71	Southern Miss	7-6	0.754	0.85458	0.4608
72	Indiana	6-7	0.954	0.84179	0.4571
73	Maryland	6-7	0.9472	0.83576	0.4553
74	TCU	6-7	0.9401	0.82949	0.4534
75	Arizona State	5-7	1.009	0.77192	0.4356
76	Hawaii	7-7	0.75	0.75004	0.4286
77	Southern Methodist	5-7	0.9455	0.72301	0.4196
78	Central Florida	6-7	0.8137	0.71793	0.4179
79	Georgia Southern	5-7	0.9305	0.71157	0.4157
80	Louisiana-Lafayette	6-7	0.8011	0.70681	0.4141
81	Texas Tech	5-7	0.9142	0.69909	0.4114
82	UCLA	4-8	1.195	0.69177	0.4089
83	Oregon	4-8	1.173	0.67922	0.4045
84	Texas	5-7	0.8866	0.67798	0.4040
85	Central Michigan	6-7	0.7535	0.66486	0.3993
86	Syracuse	4-8	1.148	0.66476	0.3993
87	UTSA	6-7	0.7375	0.65074	0.3942
88	South Alabama	6-7	0.7294	0.64355	0.3916
89	Missouri	4-8	1.07	0.61929	0.3824
90	Oregon State	4-8	1.059	0.61339	0.3802
91	Duke	4-8	1.007	0.58327	0.3684
92	Northern Illinois	5-7	0.7375	0.56397	0.3606
93	Notre Dame	4-8	0.9657	0.55908	0.3586
94	Miami OH	6-7	0.5927	0.52297	0.3434
95	Akron	5-7	0.6614	0.50576	0.3359
96	Louisiana-Monroe	4-8	0.8414	0.48711	0.3276
97	North Texas	5-8	0.7037	0.4815	0.3250
98	Arizona	3-9	1.068	0.45755	0.3139
99	Tulane	4-8	0.7744	0.44835	0.3096
100	Cincinnati	4-8	0.7486	0.43337	0.3023
101	San Jose State	4-8	0.7276	0.42123	0.2964
102	UNLV	4-8	0.706	0.40876	0.2902
103	Nevada	5-7	0.5331	0.40766	0.2896
104	New Mexico State	3-9	0.9457	0.40529	0.2884
105	Michigan State	3-9	0.8937	0.38303	0.2770
106	Utah State	3-9	0.8658	0.37108	0.2706
107	Illinois	3-9	0.8532	0.36566	0.2678
108	Bowling Green	4-8	0.6252	0.36194	0.2658
109	Charlotte	4-8	0.6129	0.35481	0.2619
110	Florida International	4-8	0.611	0.35371	0.2613
111	Purdue	3-9	0.8187	0.35087	0.2597
112	Ball State	4-8	0.599	0.34681	0.2575
113	East Carolina	3-9	0.804	0.34459	0.2563
114	Iowa State	3-9	0.7991	0.34246	0.2551
115	UTEP	4-8	0.5356	0.31011	0.2367
116	Georgia State	3-9	0.7033	0.30141	0.2316
117	Rutgers	2-10	0.8777	0.26712	0.2108
118	Marshall	3-9	0.6159	0.26396	0.2088
119	Virginia	2-10	0.8539	0.25988	0.2063
120	Connecticut	3-9	0.6039	0.25883	0.2056
121	Rice	3-9	0.5965	0.25564	0.2036
122	Kansas	2-10	0.7957	0.24217	0.1950
123	Florida Atlantic	3-9	0.5552	0.23794	0.1922
124	Kent State	3-9	0.5442	0.23324	0.1891
125	Texas State	2-10	0.76	0.2313	0.1879
126	Massachusetts	2-10	0.7508	0.22851	0.1860
127	Buffalo	2-10	0.4933	0.15014	0.1305
128	Fresno State	1-11	0.6693	0.13387	0.1181
129	1-AA	10-103	1.005	0.11059	0.0996