Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2021

Updated through games of January 10

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.415
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Georgia	14-1	1.993	12.355	0.9251
2	Alabama	13-2	2.061	8.5401	0.8952
3	Cincinnati	13-1	1.357	7.8733	0.8873
4	Oklahoma State	12-2	1.826	7.0449	0.8757
5	Michigan	12-2	1.821	7.0253	0.8754
6	Baylor	12-2	1.724	6.6507	0.8693
7	Ohio State	11-2	1.534	5.4791	0.8457
8	Michigan State	11-2	1.519	5.4254	0.8444
9	Oklahoma	11-2	1.382	4.9358	0.8315
10	Notre Dame	11-2	1.338	4.7778	0.8269
11	Louisiana	13-1	0.8236	4.7767	0.8269
12	San Diego State	12-2	1.058	4.0797	0.8031
13	Mississippi	10-3	1.386	3.543	0.7799
14	UTSA	12-2	0.9153	3.5306	0.7793
15	Houston	12-2	0.9121	3.518	0.7787
16	Clemson	10-3	1.306	3.3383	0.7695
17	Wake Forest	11-3	1.097	3.0483	0.7530
18	Pittsburgh	11-3	1.055	2.9318	0.7457
19	Brigham Young	10-3	1.08	2.76	0.7340
20	Utah State	11-3	0.9679	2.6887	0.7289
21	Arkansas	9-4	1.405	2.6826	0.7285
22	Kentucky	10-3	1.049	2.6805	0.7283
23	Iowa	10-4	1.274	2.663	0.7270
24	Purdue	9-4	1.381	2.636	0.7250
25	Wisconsin	9-4	1.373	2.622	0.7239
26	Air Force	10-3	1.001	2.5587	0.7190
27	Fresno State	10-3	0.9893	2.5282	0.7166
28	Utah	10-4	1.155	2.4147	0.7072
29	Appalachian State	10-4	1.103	2.3056	0.6975
30	Oregon	10-4	1.098	2.2962	0.6966
31	North Carolina State	9-3	0.9647	2.251	0.6924
32	Coastal Carolina	11-2	0.6174	2.2051	0.6880
33	Minnesota	9-4	1.063	2.0299	0.6700
34	Boise State	7-5	1.529	2	0.6667
35	Texas A&M	8-4	1.119	1.9334	0.6591
36	Army	9-4	0.9978	1.9048	0.6557
37	Alabama-Birmingham	9-4	0.9465	1.807	0.6437
38	Kansas State	8-5	1.205	1.7617	0.6379
39	Western Kentucky	9-5	1.003	1.6202	0.6184
40	Southern Methodist	8-4	0.9277	1.6024	0.6157
41	Penn State	7-6	1.414	1.6021	0.6157
42	Central Florida	9-4	0.8325	1.5893	0.6138
43	Iowa State	7-6	1.398	1.5842	0.6130
44	Central Michigan	9-4	0.788	1.5043	0.6007
45	Texas Tech	7-6	1.304	1.4773	0.5963
46	Northern Illinois	9-5	0.902	1.457	0.5930
47	Miami FL	7-5	1.109	1.4508	0.5920
48	Maryland	7-6	1.262	1.4302	0.5885
49	Nevada	8-5	0.9506	1.3894	0.5815
50	Mississippi State	7-6	1.222	1.3845	0.5806
51	Western Michigan	8-5	0.9453	1.3816	0.5801
52	Tennessee	7-6	1.215	1.3772	0.5793
53	Georgia State	8-5	0.9341	1.3652	0.5772
54	UCLA	8-4	0.7802	1.3477	0.5740
55	Liberty	8-5	0.9106	1.3308	0.5710
56	Auburn	6-7	1.505	1.3278	0.5704
57	East Carolina	7-5	1.001	1.3089	0.5669
58	South Carolina	7-6	1.105	1.2522	0.5560
59	Texas	5-7	1.542	1.1789	0.5411
60	West Virginia	6-7	1.302	1.1485	0.5346
61	LSU	6-7	1.295	1.1429	0.5333
62	Arizona State	8-5	0.7477	1.0928	0.5222
63	Tulsa	7-6	0.9411	1.0666	0.5161
64	Virginia	6-6	1.016	1.016	0.5040
65	Louisville	6-7	1.106	0.97564	0.4938
66	Marshall	7-6	0.8573	0.97164	0.4928
67	Oregon State	7-6	0.8562	0.97038	0.4925
68	Washington State	7-6	0.8347	0.94605	0.4861
69	Wyoming	7-6	0.8219	0.93147	0.4823
70	Missouri	6-7	1.044	0.92127	0.4795
71	Miami OH	7-6	0.8029	0.9099	0.4764
72	TCU	5-7	1.151	0.88017	0.4681
73	North Carolina	6-7	0.9891	0.87276	0.4660
74	Florida	6-7	0.987	0.87088	0.4655
75	Illinois	5-7	1.12	0.85666	0.4614
76	Memphis	6-6	0.8505	0.85045	0.4596
77	Kent State	7-7	0.8453	0.84527	0.4581
78	Eastern Michigan	7-6	0.7064	0.80059	0.4446
79	Navy	4-8	1.369	0.79272	0.4422
80	UTEP	7-6	0.6951	0.78779	0.4407
81	Virginia Tech	6-7	0.8706	0.76817	0.4344
82	Rutgers	5-8	1.108	0.75831	0.4313
83	Boston College	6-6	0.7581	0.75815	0.4312
84	Ball State	6-7	0.8423	0.74321	0.4263
85	Middle Tennessee	7-6	0.6437	0.72951	0.4218
86	Syracuse	5-7	0.9431	0.72119	0.4190
87	Florida State	5-7	0.9414	0.7199	0.4186
88	Toledo	7-6	0.6203	0.70305	0.4128
89	Hawaii	6-7	0.7829	0.69081	0.4086
90	North Texas	6-7	0.719	0.63438	0.3881
91	San Jose State	5-7	0.7962	0.6089	0.3785
92	Troy	5-7	0.7922	0.6058	0.3773
93	Old Dominion	6-7	0.6522	0.57549	0.3653
94	Florida Atlantic	5-7	0.6792	0.51941	0.3418
95	Nebraska	3-9	1.162	0.49799	0.3324
96	South Alabama	5-7	0.6377	0.48763	0.3278
97	California	5-7	0.6282	0.48038	0.3245
98	Louisiana-Monroe	4-8	0.815	0.47186	0.3206
99	Rice	4-8	0.8112	0.46964	0.3196
100	USC	4-8	0.8098	0.46882	0.3192
101	Indiana	2-10	1.455	0.44296	0.3070
102	Charlotte	5-7	0.549	0.4198	0.2957
103	Colorado	4-8	0.7117	0.41204	0.2918
104	Georgia Tech	3-9	0.9523	0.40814	0.2898
105	Stanford	3-9	0.8909	0.38182	0.2763
106	Northwestern	3-9	0.8487	0.36374	0.2667
107	Buffalo	4-8	0.6071	0.35147	0.2601
108	Texas State	4-8	0.6016	0.34832	0.2583
109	Georgia Southern	3-9	0.802	0.3437	0.2558
110	Washington	4-8	0.5908	0.34205	0.2549
111	Bowling Green	4-8	0.5877	0.34022	0.2539
112	Kansas	2-10	1.066	0.32454	0.2450
113	Tulane	2-10	1.062	0.32314	0.2442
114	New Mexico	3-9	0.7523	0.3224	0.2438
115	Colorado State	3-9	0.7471	0.32017	0.2425
116	Temple	3-9	0.7246	0.31052	0.2369
117	Louisiana Tech	3-9	0.7127	0.30542	0.2340
118	UNLV	2-10	0.9321	0.28368	0.2210
119	Duke	3-9	0.6385	0.27364	0.2149
120	South Florida	2-10	0.8726	0.26558	0.2098
121	Southern Miss	3-9	0.582	0.24945	0.1996
122	Ohio	3-9	0.5754	0.24661	0.1978
123	Arkansas State	2-10	0.6723	0.2046	0.1698
124	New Mexico State	2-10	0.6515	0.19829	0.1655
125	Vanderbilt	2-10	0.6229	0.18957	0.1594
126	Akron	2-10	0.5261	0.16013	0.1380
127	Arizona	1-11	0.6774	0.13549	0.1193
128	1-AA	12-105	0.8612	0.10917	0.0984
129	Florida International	1-11	0.5212	0.10424	0.0944
130	Connecticut	1-11	0.4507	0.090139	0.0827
131	Massachusetts	1-11	0.3766	0.075329	0.0701