Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2022

Updated through games of January 9

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.399
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Georgia	15-0	2.227	24.499	0.9608
2	Michigan	13-1	1.512	8.769	0.8976
3	TCU	13-2	1.897	7.8605	0.8871
4	Tennessee	11-2	1.944	6.9437	0.8741
5	Ohio State	11-2	1.743	6.2244	0.8616
6	Alabama	11-2	1.635	5.838	0.8538
7	Penn State	11-2	1.475	5.2689	0.8405
8	Tulane	12-2	1.11	4.28	0.8106
9	Troy	12-2	1.046	4.0346	0.8014
10	Washington	11-2	1.102	3.9341	0.7973
11	Oregon	10-3	1.533	3.9167	0.7966
12	USC	11-3	1.41	3.9155	0.7966
13	Clemson	11-3	1.385	3.8477	0.7937
14	LSU	10-4	1.662	3.4746	0.7765
15	Kansas State	10-4	1.62	3.3874	0.7721
16	Oregon State	10-3	1.3	3.3232	0.7687
17	Florida State	10-3	1.205	3.0799	0.7549
18	Utah	10-4	1.428	2.9867	0.7492
19	Mississippi State	9-4	1.492	2.8479	0.7401
20	Notre Dame	9-4	1.359	2.5939	0.7217
21	UTSA	11-3	0.9163	2.5452	0.7179
22	Texas	8-5	1.53	2.236	0.6910
23	UCLA	9-4	1.089	2.0797	0.6753
24	South Alabama	10-3	0.7974	2.0378	0.6708
25	Pittsburgh	9-4	1.052	2.0086	0.6676
26	South Carolina	8-5	1.37	2.0025	0.6669
27	Mississippi	8-5	1.322	1.9323	0.6590
28	Fresno State	10-4	0.907	1.8965	0.6548
29	Louisville	8-5	1.286	1.8799	0.6528
30	North Carolina	9-5	1.148	1.854	0.6496
31	Texas Tech	8-5	1.25	1.8263	0.6462
32	North Carolina State	8-5	1.192	1.7422	0.6353
33	Maryland	8-5	1.173	1.7147	0.6316
34	Boise State	10-4	0.8165	1.7072	0.6306
35	Wake Forest	8-5	1.167	1.7057	0.6304
36	Marshall	9-4	0.8922	1.7033	0.6301
37	Coastal Carolina	9-4	0.8733	1.6672	0.6251
38	Cincinnati	9-4	0.8673	1.6558	0.6235
39	Minnesota	9-4	0.8538	1.63	0.6198
40	James Madison	8-3	0.7634	1.6117	0.6171
41	Central Florida	9-5	0.9793	1.582	0.6127
42	Ohio	10-4	0.7341	1.5348	0.6055
43	Purdue	8-6	1.206	1.5274	0.6043
44	Duke	9-4	0.792	1.5119	0.6019
45	Air Force	10-3	0.5893	1.506	0.6010
46	Arkansas	7-6	1.274	1.4435	0.5908
47	Kentucky	7-6	1.254	1.4215	0.5870
48	Iowa	8-5	0.9719	1.4204	0.5868
49	Houston	8-5	0.9663	1.4123	0.5855
50	Brigham Young	8-5	0.9449	1.3809	0.5800
51	Syracuse	7-6	1.198	1.358	0.5759
52	Western Kentucky	9-5	0.8388	1.355	0.5754
53	Illinois	8-5	0.9072	1.3259	0.5701
54	Washington State	7-6	1.118	1.2668	0.5589
55	East Carolina	8-5	0.8587	1.2551	0.5566
56	Florida	6-7	1.378	1.2159	0.5487
57	Toledo	9-5	0.7471	1.2069	0.5469
58	Southern Methodist	7-6	1.052	1.1925	0.5439
59	Oklahoma State	7-6	1.003	1.1366	0.5320
60	Kansas	6-7	1.245	1.0989	0.5236
61	Eastern Michigan	9-4	0.565	1.0787	0.5189
62	Missouri	6-7	1.2	1.0586	0.5142
63	Wisconsin	7-6	0.9133	1.0351	0.5086
64	Auburn	5-7	1.353	1.0349	0.5086
65	Middle Tennessee	8-5	0.7057	1.0315	0.5077
66	Oklahoma	6-7	1.161	1.0244	0.5060
67	Baylor	6-7	1.151	1.0156	0.5039
68	Liberty	8-5	0.6812	0.99556	0.4989
69	Southern Miss	7-6	0.8434	0.95583	0.4887
70	Michigan State	5-7	1.214	0.92831	0.4814
71	Memphis	7-6	0.8156	0.9244	0.4804
72	Georgia Tech	5-7	1.208	0.92405	0.4803
73	Vanderbilt	5-7	1.175	0.89841	0.4732
74	Alabama-Birmingham	7-6	0.7733	0.87643	0.4671
75	West Virginia	5-7	1.128	0.86227	0.4630
76	Wyoming	7-6	0.7436	0.84269	0.4573
77	Arizona	5-7	1.082	0.82774	0.4529
78	Buffalo	7-6	0.718	0.81375	0.4487
79	San Diego State	7-6	0.7139	0.80909	0.4472
80	San Jose State	7-5	0.6161	0.80564	0.4462
81	North Texas	7-7	0.8009	0.80088	0.4447
82	Louisiana	6-7	0.8875	0.78309	0.4392
83	Appalachian State	6-6	0.7609	0.76088	0.4321
84	Texas A&M	5-7	0.9898	0.75689	0.4308
85	Miami FL	5-7	0.9364	0.7161	0.4173
86	Georgia Southern	6-7	0.7923	0.69908	0.4114
87	Connecticut	6-7	0.7884	0.69563	0.4102
88	Kent State	5-7	0.9017	0.68951	0.4081
89	Army	6-6	0.6866	0.68662	0.4071
90	Bowling Green	6-7	0.7521	0.66361	0.3989
91	Indiana	4-8	1.133	0.65587	0.3961
92	Iowa State	4-8	1.111	0.64306	0.3914
93	Utah State	6-7	0.6937	0.61211	0.3797
94	California	4-8	0.979	0.56679	0.3618
95	Florida Atlantic	5-7	0.728	0.55668	0.3576
96	Western Michigan	5-7	0.7236	0.55333	0.3562
97	Tulsa	5-7	0.7182	0.54924	0.3545
98	Ball State	5-7	0.7131	0.54528	0.3529
99	Miami OH	6-7	0.6165	0.54399	0.3523
100	Rutgers	4-8	0.9268	0.5366	0.3492
101	New Mexico State	7-6	0.4609	0.52237	0.3431
102	Rice	5-8	0.7494	0.51277	0.3390
103	Stanford	3-9	1.188	0.50904	0.3373
104	Louisiana-Monroe	4-8	0.8692	0.50322	0.3348
105	Georgia State	4-8	0.8667	0.50175	0.3341
106	UTEP	5-7	0.6496	0.49674	0.3319
107	Navy	4-8	0.8444	0.48889	0.3284
108	UNLV	5-7	0.6234	0.4767	0.3228
109	Virginia	3-7	0.8535	0.45183	0.3112
110	Arizona State	3-9	1.014	0.4347	0.3030
111	Nebraska	4-8	0.7398	0.42829	0.2999
112	Boston College	3-9	0.9872	0.4231	0.2973
113	Central Michigan	4-8	0.6665	0.38589	0.2784
114	Virginia Tech	3-8	0.7688	0.36419	0.2670
115	Texas State	4-8	0.6264	0.36266	0.2661
116	Old Dominion	3-9	0.8101	0.34719	0.2577
117	Florida International	4-8	0.5911	0.34222	0.2550
118	Louisiana Tech	3-9	0.7024	0.30104	0.2314
119	Arkansas State	3-9	0.6673	0.28601	0.2224
120	Colorado	1-11	1.38	0.27598	0.2163
121	Charlotte	3-9	0.6058	0.25961	0.2061
122	Northern Illinois	3-9	0.5791	0.24818	0.1988
123	Colorado State	3-9	0.5564	0.23846	0.1925
124	Hawaii	3-10	0.5703	0.22316	0.1824
125	Temple	3-9	0.5186	0.22227	0.1819
126	New Mexico	2-10	0.6449	0.19628	0.1641
127	Akron	2-10	0.6328	0.1926	0.1615
128	Nevada	2-10	0.5432	0.16531	0.1419
129	Northwestern	1-11	0.8069	0.16137	0.1390
130	South Florida	1-11	0.7813	0.15626	0.1351
131	Massachusetts	1-11	0.5595	0.1119	0.1006
132	1-AA	8-112	0.9933	0.08314	0.0768