Bradley-Terry Ratings for College Football 2018

Updated through games of January 7

Parameters

Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.539
Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank	Team	Record	SOS	Rating	Win % vs Average
1	Clemson	15-0	2.463	27.096	0.9644
2	Alabama	14-1	2.209	13.699	0.9320
3	Notre Dame	12-1	1.956	10.563	0.9135
4	Ohio State	13-1	1.326	7.6889	0.8849
5	Oklahoma	12-2	1.58	6.0927	0.8590
6	Georgia	11-3	1.852	5.1441	0.8372
7	Central Florida	12-1	0.8852	4.7803	0.8270
8	LSU	10-3	1.72	4.3959	0.8147
9	Michigan	10-3	1.569	4.0091	0.8004
10	Syracuse	10-3	1.532	3.9142	0.7965
11	Fresno State	12-2	1.011	3.8992	0.7959
12	Appalachian State	11-2	1.019	3.6384	0.7844
13	Florida	10-3	1.417	3.6206	0.7836
14	Washington State	11-2	1.008	3.6012	0.7827
15	Texas A&M	9-4	1.882	3.5935	0.7823
16	Kentucky	10-3	1.398	3.5738	0.7814
17	Army	11-2	0.9479	3.3852	0.7720
18	Cincinnati	11-2	0.8988	3.2099	0.7625
19	Washington	10-4	1.441	3.0128	0.7508
20	Utah State	11-2	0.8313	2.9689	0.7480
21	Boise State	10-3	1.154	2.9494	0.7468
22	Texas	10-4	1.336	2.7932	0.7364
23	Stanford	9-4	1.389	2.651	0.7261
24	Penn State	9-4	1.325	2.5302	0.7167
25	Troy	10-3	0.9851	2.5176	0.7157
26	Alabama-Birmingham	11-3	0.8912	2.4756	0.7123
27	Georgia Southern	10-3	0.9416	2.4064	0.7064
28	Northwestern	9-5	1.405	2.2695	0.6941
29	Mississippi State	8-5	1.459	2.1326	0.6808
30	Utah	9-5	1.31	2.1165	0.6791
31	North Carolina State	9-4	1.09	2.0805	0.6754
32	West Virginia	8-4	1.201	2.0752	0.6748
33	Iowa	9-4	1.057	2.0186	0.6687
34	Duke	8-5	1.348	1.9706	0.6634
35	Auburn	8-5	1.33	1.9433	0.6602
36	Missouri	8-5	1.318	1.926	0.6582
37	Oregon	9-4	0.9567	1.8264	0.6462
38	Iowa State	8-5	1.151	1.6815	0.6271
39	Pittsburgh	7-7	1.625	1.6252	0.6191
40	Buffalo	10-4	0.7769	1.6245	0.6190
41	South Carolina	7-6	1.371	1.5536	0.6084
42	Ohio	9-4	0.8069	1.5404	0.6064
43	Boston College	7-5	1.167	1.5267	0.6042
44	Wake Forest	7-6	1.294	1.466	0.5945
45	Marshall	9-4	0.7565	1.4442	0.5909
46	Wisconsin	8-5	0.9853	1.4401	0.5902
47	Michigan State	7-6	1.212	1.3732	0.5786
48	Virginia	8-5	0.9276	1.3558	0.5755
49	Middle Tennessee	8-6	1.044	1.3229	0.5695
50	Northern Illinois	8-6	1.036	1.3126	0.5676
51	Temple	8-5	0.8765	1.281	0.5616
52	TCU	7-6	1.12	1.269	0.5593
53	Arizona State	7-6	1.094	1.24	0.5536
54	Minnesota	7-6	1.084	1.2285	0.5513
55	Oklahoma State	7-6	1.072	1.2152	0.5486
56	Miami FL	7-6	1.067	1.209	0.5473
57	North Texas	9-4	0.6221	1.1877	0.5429
58	Arkansas State	8-5	0.8122	1.1871	0.5428
59	Georgia Tech	7-6	1.038	1.1766	0.5406
60	Brigham Young	7-6	1.032	1.1697	0.5391
61	Louisiana Tech	8-5	0.7813	1.1419	0.5331
62	Baylor	7-6	1.004	1.1378	0.5322
63	Florida International	9-4	0.5939	1.1337	0.5313
64	Nevada	8-5	0.7551	1.1035	0.5246
65	Purdue	6-7	1.228	1.0838	0.5201
66	Vanderbilt	6-7	1.149	1.0138	0.5034
67	Florida State	5-7	1.32	1.0095	0.5024
68	California	7-6	0.8816	0.99914	0.4998
69	Tulane	7-6	0.8717	0.98788	0.4970
70	Houston	8-5	0.6534	0.95496	0.4885
71	Tennessee	5-7	1.244	0.9515	0.4876
72	Miami OH	6-6	0.942	0.94204	0.4851
73	Hawaii	8-6	0.7416	0.93937	0.4844
74	Louisiana-Lafayette	7-7	0.9313	0.93133	0.4822
75	San Diego State	7-6	0.8174	0.92634	0.4809
76	Virginia Tech	6-7	1.047	0.92407	0.4803
77	Memphis	8-6	0.7011	0.88805	0.4704
78	Eastern Michigan	7-6	0.7641	0.86603	0.4641
79	South Florida	7-6	0.7601	0.86147	0.4628
80	USC	5-7	1.115	0.85269	0.4602
81	Louisiana-Monroe	6-6	0.8463	0.84632	0.4584
82	Western Michigan	7-6	0.7332	0.83091	0.4538
83	Wyoming	6-6	0.8217	0.82174	0.4511
84	Maryland	5-7	1.068	0.81638	0.4495
85	Indiana	5-7	1.06	0.81057	0.4477
86	Southern Miss	6-5	0.6773	0.78147	0.4387
87	Toledo	7-6	0.6804	0.77114	0.4354
88	Texas Tech	5-7	0.9877	0.75532	0.4303
89	Mississippi	5-7	0.9392	0.71822	0.4180
90	Kansas State	5-7	0.9383	0.7175	0.4178
91	Coastal Carolina	5-7	0.9359	0.71567	0.4171
92	Florida Atlantic	5-7	0.8316	0.63595	0.3887
93	Liberty	6-6	0.6317	0.63171	0.3871
94	Arizona	5-7	0.8116	0.6206	0.3829
95	Charlotte	5-7	0.7864	0.60136	0.3755
96	Southern Methodist	5-7	0.7837	0.59927	0.3747
97	Nebraska	4-8	1.009	0.58429	0.3688
98	Colorado	5-7	0.7632	0.58362	0.3685
99	UCLA	3-9	1.348	0.57756	0.3661
100	Air Force	5-7	0.708	0.54145	0.3513
101	Massachusetts	4-8	0.7514	0.43501	0.3031
102	Illinois	4-8	0.7095	0.41077	0.2912
103	Akron	4-8	0.6806	0.39405	0.2827
104	South Alabama	3-9	0.8075	0.34609	0.2571
105	Navy	3-10	0.8687	0.33994	0.2537
106	Old Dominion	4-8	0.5854	0.33894	0.2531
107	UNLV	4-8	0.5811	0.33641	0.2517
108	Ball State	4-8	0.5652	0.32721	0.2465
109	Kansas	3-9	0.6859	0.29396	0.2272
110	North Carolina	2-9	0.8703	0.2901	0.2249
111	New Mexico	3-9	0.669	0.28671	0.2228
112	UTSA	3-9	0.6596	0.28269	0.2204
113	Oregon State	2-10	0.9191	0.27972	0.2186
114	Louisville	2-10	0.9071	0.27608	0.2164
115	East Carolina	3-9	0.5852	0.25078	0.2005
116	New Mexico State	3-9	0.5724	0.24531	0.1970
117	Tulsa	3-9	0.5533	0.23713	0.1917
118	Texas State	3-9	0.552	0.23659	0.1913
119	Bowling Green	3-9	0.5519	0.23651	0.1913
120	Colorado State	3-9	0.5399	0.23139	0.1879
121	Western Kentucky	3-9	0.537	0.23015	0.1871
122	Arkansas	2-10	0.7325	0.22293	0.1823
123	Georgia State	2-10	0.7226	0.21991	0.1803
124	Kent State	2-10	0.5937	0.18068	0.1530
125	Rutgers	1-11	0.8302	0.16604	0.1424
126	Rice	2-11	0.528	0.14784	0.1288
127	San Jose State	1-11	0.6162	0.12325	0.1097
128	Connecticut	1-11	0.6094	0.12188	0.1086
129	Central Michigan	1-11	0.4599	0.091979	0.0842
130	UTEP	1-11	0.4327	0.086549	0.0797
131	1-AA	7-105	0.9538	0.076128	0.0707