Updated through games of January 8

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.299

  • Victory point formula: `V_A=1/(1+e^(-M_A/6.5))`

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A^1.92/(R_A^1.92+R_B^1.92)`

  • Expected margin for a matchup: `M_(A,B)=14.0*ln(R_A/R_B)`

  • Home field equivalent to 3.7 points in expected margin

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average Margin vs Average

1

Georgia

13-2

1.795

6.0969

0.9698

25.3

2

Alabama

13-1

1.591

6.0508

0.9694

25.2

3

Wisconsin

13-1

1.328

5.7142

0.9660

24.4

4

Central Florida

13-0

1.091

5.191

0.9594

23.1

5

Clemson

12-2

1.576

5.1616

0.9590

23.0

6

Penn State

11-2

1.442

5.0139

0.9567

22.6

7

Ohio State

12-2

1.59

4.5477

0.9482

21.2

8

Oklahoma

12-2

1.52

4.3651

0.9442

20.6

9

Auburn

10-4

1.811

4.2731

0.9421

20.3

10

Notre Dame

10-3

1.617

3.8636

0.9305

18.9

11

TCU

11-3

1.329

3.2088

0.9037

16.3

12

Washington

10-3

1.081

2.9454

0.8884

15.1

13

Oklahoma State

10-3

1.197

2.5201

0.8550

12.9

14

Miami FL

10-3

1.354

2.4407

0.8472

12.5

15

Mississippi State

9-4

1.326

2.4084

0.8439

12.3

16

Iowa

8-5

1.549

2.3445

0.8370

11.9

17

Florida Atlantic

11-3

0.8709

2.3335

0.8357

11.9

18

USC

11-3

1.293

2.3012

0.8320

11.7

19

Michigan State

10-3

1.441

2.3007

0.8320

11.7

20

North Carolina State

9-4

1.326

2.2231

0.8226

11.2

21

Boise State

11-3

1.01

2.2006

0.8197

11.0

22

Michigan

8-5

1.375

2.1644

0.8150

10.8

23

LSU

9-4

1.249

2.1626

0.8147

10.8

24

Northwestern

10-3

1.214

2.0969

0.8056

10.4

25

Stanford

9-5

1.322

2.0941

0.8052

10.3

26

Memphis

10-3

1.03

2.0777

0.8028

10.2

27

South Florida

10-2

0.7449

2.0151

0.7934

9.8

28

Iowa State

8-5

1.226

1.9637

0.7851

9.4

29

Virginia Tech

9-4

1.089

1.9441

0.7818

9.3

30

Louisville

8-5

1.169

1.787

0.7530

8.1

31

Fresno State

10-4

1.012

1.756

0.7467

7.9

32

Wake Forest

8-5

1.356

1.7287

0.7410

7.7

33

Texas

7-6

1.17

1.69

0.7325

7.3

34

Purdue

7-6

1.253

1.6398

0.7210

6.9

35

Toledo

11-3

0.7981

1.6205

0.7164

6.8

36

Troy

11-2

0.7437

1.6091

0.7137

6.7

37

Florida State

7-6

1.301

1.5398

0.6961

6.0

38

San Diego State

10-3

0.8043

1.5315

0.6939

6.0

39

South Carolina

9-4

1.128

1.5303

0.6936

6.0

40

Boston College

7-6

1.349

1.5047

0.6867

5.7

41

Ohio

9-4

0.7222

1.497

0.6845

5.6

42

Washington State

9-4

1.104

1.4665

0.6759

5.4

43

Appalachian State

9-4

0.7221

1.4124

0.6599

4.8

44

Army

10-3

0.8743

1.4074

0.6584

4.8

45

Utah

7-6

0.9886

1.3752

0.6483

4.5

46

Navy

7-6

1.226

1.3731

0.6477

4.4

47

Duke

7-6

1.048

1.3633

0.6445

4.3

48

Kansas State

8-5

0.9828

1.3507

0.6404

4.2

49

Georgia Tech

5-6

1.185

1.3412

0.6373

4.1

50

Houston

7-5

0.9791

1.3188

0.6298

3.9

51

Oregon

7-6

1.025

1.2606

0.6094

3.2

52

Texas A&M

7-6

1.101

1.1987

0.5861

2.5

53

Marshall

8-5

0.7529

1.155

0.5687

2.0

54

Arizona State

7-6

1.129

1.1291

0.5580

1.7

55

Kentucky

7-6

1.061

1.1161

0.5525

1.5

56

Missouri

7-6

0.9816

1.1156

0.5523

1.5

57

Indiana

5-7

1.147

1.1131

0.5513

1.5

58

Arizona

7-6

0.8976

1.1099

0.5499

1.5

59

West Virginia

7-6

1.056

1.0756

0.5349

1.0

60

Arkansas State

7-5

0.6313

1.059

0.5275

0.8

61

Mississippi

6-6

1.022

1.0471

0.5221

0.6

62

Louisiana Tech

7-6

0.7321

1.0378

0.5178

0.5

63

Wyoming

8-5

0.7493

1.0341

0.5161

0.5

64

Temple

7-6

0.9142

1.0212

0.5101

0.3

65

Northern Illinois

8-5

0.7885

1.02

0.5095

0.3

66

Texas Tech

6-7

1.146

1.0193

0.5092

0.3

67

Minnesota

5-7

1.108

0.99257

0.4964

-0.1

68

Southern Methodist

7-6

0.9627

0.99191

0.4961

-0.1

69

Buffalo

6-6

0.7605

0.9907

0.4955

-0.1

70

California

5-7

0.9844

0.94228

0.4715

-0.8

71

Pittsburgh

5-7

1.062

0.9218

0.4610

-1.1

72

UCLA

6-7

1.19

0.89611

0.4475

-1.5

73

North Texas

9-5

0.8622

0.88732

0.4429

-1.7

74

Colorado State

7-6

0.7191

0.87537

0.4365

-1.9

75

Tulane

5-7

0.9445

0.86683

0.4318

-2.0

76

Florida

4-7

1.17

0.85797

0.4270

-2.1

77

Western Michigan

6-6

0.7999

0.85577

0.4258

-2.2

78

Eastern Michigan

5-7

0.8299

0.84398

0.4193

-2.4

79

Utah State

6-7

0.7585

0.8412

0.4178

-2.4

80

Syracuse

4-8

1.199

0.8099

0.4002

-3.0

81

Middle Tennessee

7-6

0.7041

0.80318

0.3963

-3.1

82

UTSA

6-5

0.5975

0.79562

0.3920

-3.2

83

Maryland

4-8

1.475

0.79353

0.3908

-3.2

84

Nebraska

4-8

1.309

0.78343

0.3849

-3.4

85

Virginia

6-7

1.026

0.78335

0.3849

-3.4

86

Central Michigan

8-5

0.7428

0.77709

0.3813

-3.5

87

Vanderbilt

5-7

1.016

0.77449

0.3797

-3.6

88

Colorado

5-7

0.878

0.75705

0.3695

-3.9

89

Florida International

8-5

0.7107

0.75117

0.3660

-4.0

90

Miami OH

5-7

0.6952

0.7415

0.3603

-4.2

91

Southern Miss

8-5

0.6498

0.73602

0.3570

-4.3

92

Alabama-Birmingham

8-5

0.5784

0.71386

0.3436

-4.7

93

Akron

7-7

0.9115

0.70897

0.3407

-4.8

94

Air Force

5-7

0.8911

0.65338

0.3064

-6.0

95

New Mexico State

7-6

0.6704

0.6433

0.3001

-6.2

96

Arkansas

4-8

1.098

0.63769

0.2965

-6.3

97

Tennessee

4-8

1.019

0.61567

0.2827

-6.8

98

North Carolina

3-9

1.048

0.60989

0.2790

-6.9

99

Rutgers

4-8

1.075

0.59892

0.2720

-7.2

100

UNLV

5-7

0.6733

0.57224

0.2551

-7.8

101

Georgia State

7-5

0.5979

0.56771

0.2522

-7.9

102

Tulsa

2-10

0.9908

0.55173

0.2420

-8.3

103

Idaho

4-8

0.6605

0.53249

0.2297

-8.8

104

Brigham Young

4-9

0.8191

0.50395

0.2115

-9.6

105

Nevada

3-9

0.8043

0.50183

0.2102

-9.7

106

Louisiana-Monroe

4-8

0.8066

0.49807

0.2078

-9.8

107

Massachusetts

4-8

0.6535

0.49474

0.2057

-9.9

108

South Alabama

4-8

0.7034

0.48221

0.1978

-10.2

109

Western Kentucky

6-7

0.5698

0.47766

0.1949

-10.3

110

New Mexico

3-9

0.8182

0.4687

0.1892

-10.6

111

Old Dominion

5-7

0.6535

0.42815

0.1640

-11.9

112

Cincinnati

4-8

0.8643

0.42514

0.1622

-12.0

113

Louisiana-Lafayette

5-7

0.6264

0.39682

0.1450

-12.9

114

Baylor

1-11

0.9632

0.38974

0.1407

-13.2

115

Connecticut

3-9

0.8298

0.3743

0.1316

-13.8

116

Bowling Green

2-10

0.8388

0.3552

0.1205

-14.5

117

Illinois

2-10

0.999

0.34031

0.1121

-15.1

118

Coastal Carolina

3-9

0.5955

0.3357

0.1095

-15.3

119

East Carolina

3-9

0.8111

0.33464

0.1089

-15.3

120

Hawaii

3-9

0.6591

0.32213

0.1020

-15.9

121

Georgia Southern

2-10

0.7033

0.28969

0.0848

-17.3

122

Texas State

2-10

0.6547

0.27077

0.0753

-18.3

123

Oregon State

1-11

0.9603

0.26304

0.0715

-18.7

124

Rice

1-11

0.794

0.25335

0.0669

-19.2

125

Ball State

2-10

0.6874

0.25199

0.0662

-19.3

126

Kansas

1-11

0.9047

0.22447

0.0537

-20.9

127

Kent State

2-10

0.7925

0.2233

0.0532

-21.0

128

Charlotte

1-11

0.6994

0.21581

0.0500

-21.5

129

San Jose State

2-11

0.7734

0.20973

0.0475

-21.9

130

1-AA

9-89

0.9847

0.14837

0.0250

-26.7

131

UTEP

0-12

0.7903

0.14601

0.0243

-26.9