Updated through games of January 8

Parameters

  • Home field: Multiply home rating by 1.383

  • Win probability for a matchup: `W_(A,B)=R_A/(R_A+R_B)`

Ratings

Rank Team Record SOS Rating Win % vs Average

1

Central Florida

13-0

1.338

12.934

0.9282

2

Alabama

13-1

1.972

11.437

0.9196

3

Georgia

13-2

2.197

9.1019

0.9010

4

Wisconsin

13-1

1.518

8.8058

0.8980

5

Ohio State

12-2

2.091

8.0657

0.8897

6

Clemson

12-2

1.913

7.3802

0.8807

7

Oklahoma

12-2

1.801

6.9458

0.8741

8

Penn State

11-2

1.804

6.4436

0.8657

9

Notre Dame

10-3

2.023

5.1701

0.8379

10

Auburn

10-4

2.242

4.6869

0.8242

11

Michigan State

10-3

1.807

4.6186

0.8220

12

TCU

11-3

1.497

4.1583

0.8061

13

USC

11-3

1.475

4.0984

0.8039

14

Miami FL

10-3

1.509

3.8559

0.7941

15

Northwestern

10-3

1.391

3.5553

0.7805

16

Boise State

11-3

1.118

3.1053

0.7564

17

Oklahoma State

10-3

1.211

3.094

0.7557

18

Memphis

10-3

1.186

3.0308

0.7519

19

Troy

11-2

0.8453

3.019

0.7512

20

Washington

10-3

1.131

2.8903

0.7430

21

North Carolina State

9-4

1.473

2.8125

0.7377

22

Mississippi State

9-4

1.432

2.7338

0.7322

23

Iowa

8-5

1.853

2.7077

0.7303

24

LSU

9-4

1.409

2.6897

0.7290

25

Florida Atlantic

11-3

0.9545

2.6515

0.7261

26

South Florida

10-2

0.7819

2.5692

0.7198

27

Army

10-3

0.9867

2.5215

0.7160

28

Stanford

9-5

1.519

2.4544

0.7105

29

South Carolina

9-4

1.259

2.4035

0.7062

30

Fresno State

10-4

1.113

2.3274

0.6995

31

Washington State

9-4

1.217

2.3238

0.6991

32

Michigan

8-5

1.559

2.2782

0.6950

33

Toledo

11-3

0.8035

2.2319

0.6906

34

San Diego State

10-3

0.8699

2.223

0.6897

35

Virginia Tech

9-4

1.148

2.191

0.6866

36

Wake Forest

8-5

1.388

2.0281

0.6698

37

Iowa State

8-5

1.279

1.8692

0.6515

38

Louisville

8-5

1.213

1.7732

0.6394

39

Boston College

7-6

1.485

1.6825

0.6272

40

North Texas

9-5

1.037

1.6754

0.6262

41

Florida State

7-6

1.414

1.6026

0.6158

42

Navy

7-6

1.387

1.5721

0.6112

43

Kansas State

8-5

0.9822

1.4356

0.5894

44

Purdue

7-6

1.232

1.3957

0.5826

45

Texas A&M

7-6

1.2

1.3595

0.5762

46

Arizona State

7-6

1.179

1.3358

0.5719

47

Texas

7-6

1.157

1.3109

0.5673

48

Houston

7-5

0.9924

1.2978

0.5648

49

Kentucky

7-6

1.137

1.2889

0.5631

50

Appalachian State

9-4

0.6737

1.2862

0.5626

51

Ohio

9-4

0.6599

1.2598

0.5575

52

Duke

7-6

1.073

1.2159

0.5487

53

Oregon

7-6

1.038

1.1768

0.5406

54

Southern Methodist

7-6

1.021

1.157

0.5364

55

Northern Illinois

8-5

0.7843

1.1463

0.5341

56

West Virginia

7-6

1.007

1.1417

0.5331

57

Utah

7-6

0.9988

1.132

0.5310

58

Temple

7-6

0.9853

1.1166

0.5276

59

Missouri

7-6

0.9674

1.0964

0.5230

60

Marshall

8-5

0.7383

1.0791

0.5190

61

UCLA

6-7

1.221

1.077

0.5185

62

Wyoming

8-5

0.7202

1.0525

0.5128

63

Central Michigan

8-5

0.719

1.0508

0.5124

64

Florida International

8-5

0.7044

1.0295

0.5073

65

Mississippi

6-6

1.029

1.0295

0.5073

66

Georgia Tech

5-6

1.14

0.9876

0.4969

67

Texas Tech

6-7

1.114

0.98308

0.4957

68

Arizona

7-6

0.8664

0.98191

0.4954

69

Maryland

4-8

1.651

0.95572

0.4887

70

Southern Miss

8-5

0.6439

0.94105

0.4848

71

Akron

7-7

0.9258

0.9258

0.4807

72

Indiana

5-7

1.153

0.88199

0.4686

73

Virginia

6-7

0.9972

0.87989

0.4681

74

Minnesota

5-7

1.1

0.84154

0.4570

75

Louisiana Tech

7-6

0.724

0.82052

0.4507

76

Vanderbilt

5-7

1.065

0.81432

0.4488

77

Florida

4-7

1.243

0.80445

0.4458

78

Western Michigan

6-6

0.8036

0.80361

0.4456

79

Alabama-Birmingham

8-5

0.5349

0.78183

0.4388

80

Nebraska

4-8

1.337

0.77427

0.4364

81

Pittsburgh

5-7

1.009

0.77132

0.4354

82

Tulane

5-7

1.004

0.76812

0.4344

83

Arkansas State

7-5

0.5788

0.75686

0.4308

84

Middle Tennessee

7-6

0.6597

0.7477

0.4278

85

California

5-7

0.9491

0.7258

0.4206

86

Syracuse

4-8

1.238

0.71685

0.4175

87

Colorado State

7-6

0.6184

0.70091

0.4121

88

Buffalo

6-6

0.6997

0.69969

0.4117

89

Georgia State

7-5

0.535

0.69961

0.4116

90

New Mexico State

7-6

0.5891

0.66761

0.4003

91

Arkansas

4-8

1.126

0.6517

0.3946

92

Air Force

5-7

0.8413

0.64334

0.3915

93

Colorado

5-7

0.8188

0.62614

0.3850

94

Rutgers

4-8

1.069

0.61864

0.3822

95

UTSA

6-5

0.5318

0.61362

0.3803

96

Eastern Michigan

5-7

0.781

0.59726

0.3739

97

Tennessee

4-8

1.031

0.59686

0.3738

98

Utah State

6-7

0.6639

0.58583

0.3694

99

Cincinnati

4-8

0.8792

0.50902

0.3373

100

Old Dominion

5-7

0.6224

0.47593

0.3225

101

Western Kentucky

6-7

0.5348

0.47186

0.3206

102

Miami OH

5-7

0.6047

0.46239

0.3162

103

UNLV

5-7

0.5534

0.4232

0.2974

104

North Carolina

3-9

0.9775

0.41892

0.2952

105

Louisiana-Monroe

4-8

0.7179

0.41564

0.2936

106

Louisiana-Lafayette

5-7

0.5199

0.39758

0.2845

107

Brigham Young

4-9

0.7142

0.37412

0.2723

108

South Alabama

4-8

0.6158

0.35649

0.2628

109

Connecticut

3-9

0.8208

0.35178

0.2602

110

East Carolina

3-9

0.8036

0.34442

0.2562

111

Idaho

4-8

0.5722

0.33125

0.2488

112

Massachusetts

4-8

0.547

0.3167

0.2405

113

Nevada

3-9

0.7044

0.3019

0.2319

114

New Mexico

3-9

0.6921

0.29663

0.2288

115

Illinois

2-10

0.9495

0.28899

0.2242

116

Tulsa

2-10

0.9378

0.28541

0.2220

117

Hawaii

3-9

0.5494

0.23544

0.1906

118

Bowling Green

2-10

0.7597

0.23123

0.1878

119

Kent State

2-10

0.7038

0.2142

0.1764

120

Coastal Carolina

3-9

0.4757

0.20387

0.1693

121

Ball State

2-10

0.6227

0.18951

0.1593

122

San Jose State

2-11

0.6595

0.18465

0.1559

123

Georgia Southern

2-10

0.5816

0.17701

0.1504

124

Texas State

2-10

0.5597

0.17034

0.1456

125

Oregon State

1-11

0.8434

0.16868

0.1443

126

Rice

1-11

0.7803

0.15606

0.1350

127

Baylor

1-11

0.7299

0.14598

0.1274

128

Kansas

1-11

0.7206

0.14411

0.1260

129

Charlotte

1-11

0.6591

0.13183

0.1165

130

1-AA

9-89

0.8904

0.1033

0.0936

131

UTEP

0-12

0.6958

0.077307

0.0718