These ratings are based on the Bradley-Terry method. Ratings are compiled for NCAA FBS (Division 1-A) football and Division 1 basketball. The basic method considers only win/loss results and home field advantage; the margin-aware method is modified to use margin of victory as well with diminishing returns for blowouts.
Home field and a small adjustment to produce more realistic win probabilities for teams at the extreme ends of the rating scales have only been applied to the ratings starting with 2011 football.
Starting in 2014, a preseason adjustment based on the previous year’s rating is included early in the season. This adjustment is gradually removed as more games are played and eventually disappears entirely. It has no effect on the late-season ratings but should produce more reasonable early-season results. In addition, team pages are now available showing each team’s results.
Due to the reduction in non-conference schedules, no ratings were produced for the 2020 college football season. The 2021 season ratings used the 2019 end-of-season ratings for the preseason adjustment, but this has been phased out by now. For basketball, teams that cancelled their seasons in 2020-21 will use a rating of 1 for preseason adjustment in 2021-22.
Details of the method are available here.
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Football 2024 (through November 30)
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Basketball 2024-25 (through December 1)
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Football 2023
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Football 2022
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Football 2021
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Football 2020
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No ratings for 2020 football season
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Football 2019
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Football 2018
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Football 2017
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Football 2016
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Football 2015
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Football 2014
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Football 2013
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Football 2012
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Football 2011
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Football 2010
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Basic (old method)
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Margin-aware (old method)
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Football 2009
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Basic (old method)
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Margin-aware (old method)
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Basketball 2023-24
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Basketball 2022-23
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Basketball 2021-22
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Basketball 2020-21
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Basketball 2019-20
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Basketball 2018-19
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Basketball 2017-18
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Basketball 2016-17
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Basketball 2015-16
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Basketball 2014-15
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Basketball 2013-14
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Basketball 2012-13
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Basketball 2011-12
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Basketball 2010-11
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Basic (old method)
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Margin-aware (old method)
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Basketball 2009-10
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Basic (old method)
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Margin-aware (old method)
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